• 제목/요약/키워드: Long Run Product

검색결과 57건 처리시간 0.021초

The Impact of Product Distribution and Information Technology on Carbon Emissions and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence in Korea

  • Lee, Jung Wan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제1권3호
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 2014
  • The paper deals with the impact of the product distribution and information technology sectors on energy resource use, carbon emissions and economic growth by examining the long-run equilibrium relationships and Granger causal relationships among these variables in South Korea. The quarterly time series data from the first quarter of 1970 to the third quarter of 2010 (163 observations) are collected and retrieved from the Bank of Korea database. The paper examines the long-run equilibrium relationships using cointegration techniques and Granger causality using vector error correction models. Test results indicate a long-run equilibrium relationship exists among these variables. In testing directional causality, both the product distribution and the information technology sectors show direct effects on economic growth but only marginal effects on carbon emissions.

The Relationship between Exchange Rate and Trade Balance: Empirical Evidence from Sri Lanka

  • FATHIMA THAHARA, Aboobucker;FATHIMA RINOSHA, Kalideen;FATHIMA SHIFANIYA, Abdul Jawahir
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권5호
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    • pp.37-41
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to investigate the relationship between the exchange rate and Trade Balance. Trade Balance is used as the dependent variable, and the independent variables are Exchange Rate, Gross Domestic Product, and Inflation. Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test was adopted to test the stationary property of time series data, Auto Regressive Distributed Lag model was employed to find the long run and short-run relationship and long-run adjustment, Bound test approach, the unrestricted Error Correction Model and Granger Causality Test are used to analyze the data from 1977 to 2019. The research findings suggest that inflation has a positive impact on the trade balance in the short run. The exchange rate and the Gross Domestic Product have adverse effects on Trade balance in the long run. The coefficient of ER in the previous year is negative, and the coefficient of TB in the previous year is positive and significant. This is consistent with the J-Curve phenomenon, which states that devaluation may not improve trade balance in the immediate period, but will significantly impact the trade balance improvement in subsequent periods. Hence Marshall Lerner Condition exists in Sri Lanka.

내생시차변수모형을 이용한 전력수요함수 추정 (Estimation of the electricity demand function using a lagged dependent variable model)

  • 안소연;진세준;유승훈
    • 에너지공학
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2016
  • 2차 에너지인 전력은 다양한 연료를 발전원으로 하고 있기 때문에, 전력에 대한 수요는 에너지 각 부문에 적지 않은 영향을 미친다. 이에 본 논문에서는 전력수요함수를 추정하여 가격탄력성 및 소득탄력성에 대한 정량적 정보를 도출하고자 한다. 이를 위해 1991년부터 2014년까지의 연간 시계열 자료를 이용하되, 탄력성을 단기와 장기를 구분하여 추정할 수 있는 내생시차변수모형을 적용한다. 종속변수로는 연간 전력수요, 독립변수로는 상수항, 전력실질가격, 실질 국내총생산의 3가지를 이용한다. 분석결과 단기 가격탄력성 및 소득탄력성은 각각 -0.142 및 0.866으로 추정되었으며 유의수준 5%에서 통계적으로 유의하다. 즉 전력수요는 단기적인 관점에서 가격 변화에 대해 비탄력적임과 동시에 소득 변화에 대해서도 비탄력적이다. 장기 가격탄력성 및 소득탄력성을 추정한 결과를 살펴보면 각각 -0.210 및 1.287이며 이 값은 유의수준 5%에서 통계적으로 유의하다. 장기적인 관점에서 보더라도 전력수요는 가격 변화에 대해 여전히 비탄력적인 반면에, 소득 변화에 대해서는 전력수요가 탄력적으로 변한다. 따라서 가격정책 위주의 수요관리정책은 단기 및 장기 모두 효과가 제한적이며, 향후 예상되는 소득 증가에 기인하는 전력수요의 증가는 단기보다는 장기에 보다 두드러질 것으로 예상된다.

Contribution of Tourism and Foreign Direct Investment to Gross Domestic Product: Econometric Analysis in the Case of Sri Lanka

  • MOHAMED MUSTAFA, Abdul Majeed
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.109-114
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of the study to evaluate the contribution of foreign direct investment (FDI) and tourism receipts (TR) to Sri Lanka's gross domestic product (GDP). This study employs time series annual data for the period from 1978 to 2016 and EViews 10 econometrics software was used for the time series data analysis. Unit root test was done on the variables and the method chosen was the Augmented Dicky - Fuller test. Co-integration analysis was used for the long run relationship and the Granger causality test was performed to investigate the causal relationship. Recently a more conducive environment has been established after the three decade long ethnic war came to an end. In this context, the Sri Lankan government has taken positive measures to attract foreign direct investment and boost tourism in the country. This study intends to evaluate the contribution of Sri Lanka, as these two factors are considered to be very effective at increasing the GDP of a country. The empirical study shows that there is a positive and statistically significant relationship between the variable's TR and FDI to the GDP in the long run. Results of Granger causality test implied that the two-way causality promoted the economic growth of Sri Lanka.

Morphological Control of Periodic Mesoporous Organosilica with Agitation

  • 박성수;이치헌;전종현;조상준;박동호
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • 제22권9호
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    • pp.948-952
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    • 2001
  • Periodic mesoporous organosilicas with rope-based morphology from a reaction gel composition of 1 BTME : 0.57 ODTMABr : 2.36 NaOH : 353 H2O were synthesized. While long rope-shaped product dominated in case of static synthesis condition , gyroid type products instead of rope shaped product appeared and rope shaped product disappeared with agitation. PMO with such a long rope shaped morphology is firstly reported. Additionally, various rope-based morphologies depending on the degree of bending, twisting, folding and winding of rope such as spirals, discoids, toroids, and worm-like aggregates were observed. White powdered products were characterized by X-ray diffraction, N2 sorption measurement, SEM and TEM. From XRD pattern and TEM image, ODTMA-PMO with hexagonal symmetry was identified. The pore diameter and BET surface area of ODTMA-PMO are $32.9{\AA}$ and 799 m2g-1 , respectively. Hexagonally arrayed channels run with long axis of rope and rope-based shapes with various degree of curvature, which was elucidated by using TEM images.

자동차 환경세의 장기효과 - 시뮬레이션 분석 - (Long-Run Effects of an Environmental Tax Levied on Motor Vehicles: Simulation Analysis)

  • 서정석;신윤근
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.133-160
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    • 2004
  • 본 논문은 자동차에 부과된 환경세의 장기효과를 분석한다. 만일 정부가 소비자에게 자동차 배기가스에 포함된 오염물질이 대기오염 심화를 유발하는 외부적 피해의 화폐가치에 비례하도록 환경세를 부과하면, 일반적인 피구세와 마찬가지로 자동차운행이 사회적정수준으로 감소한다. 이와 같이 단기에 대기오염저감효과가 발생한다. 게다가 이러한 환경세는 소비자들로 하여금 조세부담으로 인해 오염물질을 적게 배출하는 자동차를 선호하도록 하며, 기업은 이러한 수요 변화에 대응하기 위해 청정 자동차를 생산하게 된다. 그러므로 환경세는 장기에 대기오염저감의 추가적 효과를 갖는다. 이러한 결과는 자동차가 수평적 그리고 수직적 차별화되어 있을 때 내무해가 존재하는 과점모형에서 시뮬레이션을 통해 얻게 된다.

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Sectoral Contribution to Economic Development in India: A Time-Series Co-Integration Analysis

  • SOLANKI, Sandip;INUMULA, Krishna Murthy;CHITNIS, Asmita
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권9호
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    • pp.191-200
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    • 2020
  • This research paper examines the causal relationship between India's economic growth and sectoral contribution to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and vice versa, in the short-run and long-run, over a 10 years time period. Johansen's method of cointegration is used to study the cointegration between the sectoral contributions to Indian GDP vis-à-vis India's economic growth. Further, the route of interconnection between economic growth and sectoral contribution is tested by using Vector Auto Regression (VAR) model. Special attention was given for investigating impulse responses of economic growth depending on the innovations in sectoral contribution using time-series data from 1960 to 2015. This paper highlighted a dynamic co-relationship among industrial sector contribution and agricultural sector contribution and economic development. In the long run, one percent change in industrial sector contribution causes an increase of 3.42 percent in the economic growth and an increase of 1.12 percent in the primary sector contribution, while in the short run industrial and service sector contributions showed significant impact on economic development and agriculture sector. The changing composition of sector contribution is going to be an important activity for the policymakers to monitor and control where the technology and integration of sectors play a significant role in economic development.

Nonlinear Effects of Remittances Paid on Macroeconomics in Malaysia

  • TAASIM, Shairil Izwan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.783-790
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    • 2021
  • The remittances play a major and a very critical role in promoting economic growth and development activities in the developing countries. In this study, the relationship between per capita gross domestic product (GDP) and remittances paid has been investigated based on the case studies in Malaysia from 1987 to 2018. Data was collected from various sources namely statistical yearbook by World Bank and Asian Development Bank. All variables are expressed in natural logarithm form. The technique utilized is the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lags (hereafter NARDL) approach which was introduced by Shin et al.(2014) to examine both short run and long run relationships, as well as the direction of causality, due to the asymmetric relationship between GDP and remittances. The bound test verifies asymmetric cointegration among the variables. The empirical results show that the remittances paid has a momentous short-run and long-run effect towards capital accumulation in Malaysia. Remittances also increase a positive relationship with capital accumulation for Malaysia. We found that remittances form a significant source of external capital and investment for developing countries especially Malaysia which helps in promoting economic development. Furthermore, as a developing country, foreign workers are a source of income to the receiving countries and an indicator to boost sender countries.

Effects of Technology and Innovation Management and Total Factor Productivity on the Economic Growth of China

  • LEE, Jung Wan;XUAN, Ye
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 2019
  • The paper aims to investigate relationships between technology and innovation management, total factor productivity and economic growth in China. By comparing the trends in total factor productivity growth of industrialized economies (i.e. OECD), this study intends to showcase the importance of total factor productivity progress in the Chinese economy. The study employs time series data of an annual basis for the period from 1977 to 2016 retrieved from the World Development Indicator. The study employs unit root test, cointegration test, fully modified least squares estimation method, canonical cointegrating regression and dynamic least squares estimation method to test the hypotheses. The results of the cointegrating regression analysis show that manufacturing growth leads to an increase of total factor productivity in the short-run in China. The findings of the study suggest that manufacturing (i.e. technology and product innovation) is positively related to the increase of total factor productivity in the short-run and total output growth in the long-run. The findings suggest that promoting technology and innovation management and supporting R&D subsidies may reduce the marginal cost of conducting R&D and increase the rate of technology and innovation management and R&D activity and therefore, the total factor productivity growth rate.

R&D 및 불완전경쟁과 경제성장 (R&D Activities, Imperfect Competition and Economic Growth)

  • 김병우
    • 기술혁신학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.47-72
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    • 2007
  • 아이디어는 소멸하지 않으며 지식생산과정에 수확체감의 법칙이 작용하지도 않는다. 그럼에도 불구하고, 사적측면만을 고려하는 단순한 내생적 성장모형에서는 지속적 경제성장이 달성되지 않게 된다. 그러나, 지식자본의 비전유성을 고려하여 이를 공적자본으로 간주하게 되면 지속적 경제성장은 달성될 수 있게 된다. 우리 경제에 대한 실증분석 결과가 지식의 공적자본으로서의 성격을 강하게 뒷받침함을 확인할 수 있다. 즉, 제품혁신 생산함수에 대한 모든 함수형태에서 지식자본이 사적재화라는 귀무가설을 모두 기각할 수 있다. 이상의 결과로부터 우리 경제는 제품혁신을 통해 지속적 경제성장을 달성할 수 있다는 시사점을 얻을 수 있다.

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