• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.9 no.5
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• pp.295-303
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• 2022

This study investigates the impact of globalization, coal consumption, and economic growth on CO₂ emissions in Malaysia by applying the Kuznets Environmental Curve model. The study employed the Autoregressive Distributed Lag modeling technique on time series data over the period of 1970-2018 to determine the short and long-run relationship between CO₂ emissions and a number of variables, including globalization, coal consumption, and economic growth. The results show that globalization increase CO₂ emissions in both the short and long run in Malaysia. Furthermore, the results reveal that economic growth and coal consumption degrade the environmental quality by accelerating the CO₂ emissions in the short-run and long run. As a result, the findings validate the Kuznets Environmental Curve hypothesis of an inverted U-shaped relationship between economic growth and CO₂ emissions in the long run for Malaysia. The findings of this study suggest that higher globalization levels and usage of coal consumption degrade the environmental quality in Malaysia. The findings also indicate the effect of economic growth on environmental degradation is positive at the initial stage but improves after the economy achieves a threshold level of income per capita in the economic development process with an inverted U-shaped pattern in the long run.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.7 no.4
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• pp.163-171
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• 2020

The study aims to examine the effects of inward every presence of foreign investment, import, and real exchange rate shocks on export performance in Vietnam. This study employs a time-series sample dataset in the period of 2009 - 2018. All data are collected from the General Statistics Office of Ministry of Planning and Investment in Vietnam, World Development Indicator and Ministry of Finance, State Bank of Vietnam. This study employs the Augmented Dickey-Fuller test and the vector error correction model with the analysis of cointegration. The results demonstrate that a higher value of import significantly accelerates export performance in the short run, but insignificantly generates in the long run. When the volume of registered foreign investment goes up, the export performance will predominantly decrease in the both short run and long run. Historically, countries worldwide are more likely to devaluate their currencies in order to support export performance. According to the study, the exchange rate volatility has an effect on the external trade in the long run but no effect in the short run. Finally, Vietnam's export performance converges on its long-run equilibrium by roughly 6.3% with the speed adjustment via a combination of import, every presence of foreign investment, and real exchange rate fluctuations.

• Journal of Energy Engineering
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.37-44
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• 2016

The demand for electricity has a considerable impact on various energy sectors since electricity is generated from various energy sources. This paper attempts to estimate the electricity demand function and obtain some quantitative information on price and income elasticities of the demand. To this end, we apply a lagged dependent variable model to derive long-run as well as short-run elasticities using the time-series data over the period 1991-2014. Our dependent variable is annual electricity demand. The independent variables include constant term, real price of electricity, and real gross domestic product. The results show that the short-run price and income elasticities of the electricity demand are estimated to be -0.142 and 0.866, respectively. They are statistically significant at the 5% level. That is, the electricity demand is in-elastic with respect to price and income changes in the short-run. The long-run price and income elasticities of the electricity demand are calculated to be -0.210 and 1.287, respectively, which are also statistically meaningful at the 5% level. The electricity demand is still in-elastic with regard to price change in the long-run. However, the electricity demand is elastic regarding income change in the long-run. Therefore, this indicates that the effect of demand-side management policy through price-control is restrictive in both the short- and long-run. The growth in electricity demand following income growth is expected to be more remarkable in the long-run than in the short-run.

• International Area Studies Review
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.3-27
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• 2012

This paper adopts recently developed panel unit root test that is cross-sectionally robust. Cointegration test is also used to find whether regional house prices are in line with gross regional domestic production (GRDP) in the long run in Korea during 1989-2009. Based on the panel VECM and the panel ARDL models, we examine causal relationships among the variables and estimate the long-run elasticity. We find evidence of cointegration and bidirectional causal relationships between regional house prices and GRDP. The results of long-run estimates, using both fixed effect and ARDL models, show that house prices positively and significantly influence on the GRDP and vice versa. Together with these results, the findings of ARDL-ECM imply that there exists a long-run equilibrium relationship between house prices and regional economic variables even if there is a possibility of short-run deviation from its long-run path.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.13-26
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• 2019

This paper aims to empirically examine the short-run and long-run aggregate demand for the US imports using quarterly economic data for the period 2000-2018 including aggregate imports, final expenditure components, gross fixed capital formation and relative price of imports. According to the results of both multivariate co-integration analysis and error correction model, the above variables are all cointegrated and significant differences are found to exist among the long-run partial elasticities of imports as regards different macro components of final expenditure. Partial elasticities with respect to government expenditure, gross fixed capital formation, exports and relative price of import are found to be positive while imports seems to respond negatively to changes in private consumption, implying that an increase in private consumption could result in a significant reduction in demand for imports in the long run. With regard to the relative import prices, the results appear to indicate a relatively insignificant influence on the aggregate imports in the US in the long run. However, an error correction model designed for predicting the short-term variability shows that only exports have an impact on the imports in the short run.

• 사회경제평론
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• v.31 no.3
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• pp.131-163
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• 2018

The long-run equilibrium of an economy is a situation where all firms in the economy realize the condition of 'extra profits = 0'. The conventional partial equilibrium (PE) analysis, which is based on the assumption of 'ceteris paribus', conflicts logically with the long run equilibrium. 'Full industry equilibrium' (FIE) deals with long-run equilibrium in the framework of partial equilibrium; FIE requires the adjustment of more variables than PE. The comparative statics analysis of FIE shows that many results of the conventional PE does not hold. The present paper intends to introduce the background and significance of FIE. In its course, the paper discusses similarities and differences between FIE and the Capital Controversies of the 1960s and 1970s, and highlights the critical and constructive significances of FIE.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.8 no.5
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• pp.573-581
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• 2021

The current study analyzed the impacts of fiscal decentralization (FD) on the economic stability of Pakistan. This study used time series data from 1981 to 2017. The collected data was first passed through the unit root analysis. ARDL estimation techniques were employed to scrutinize the data where long-run associations were tested through Wald F-statistics. The long-run estimates were extracted by applying Ordinary Least Square, and error correction mechanisms were employed to find the speed of adjustment for disequilibria between the long and the short run. Wald F-statistics confirmed the existence of long-run cointegration. Long-run elasticities suggested that fiscal decentralization because of limited institutional capabilities of provincial governments failed in bringing stability in the economy of Pakistan. Similarly, transparency issues and misspecification of projects hinder the outcome of investment to stabilize the economy. High service payments on debt cut the amount that can be used for skills improvements and destabilize the economy. High Population growth puts pressure on infrastructure and reduces production capacity, ultimately destabilizing the economy by increasing unemployment and inflation. Based on these findings, the government is suggested to improve the institutional capacity of lower governments for the desired outcome of power devolution.

• 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2002.06a
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• pp.75-84
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• 2002

This paper compares long-run returns of privatization initial public offerings to those of domestic stock markets of respective countries using a sample of 196 privatization initial public offerings from 39 countries. The evidence indicates that the privatization initial public offerings (IPOs) significantly outperform their domestic stock markets. There are substantial differences in the long-run performance of privatization IPOs depending on the return estimation techniques, however. Evidence indicates that the inference based either on conventional t or on skewness-adjusted t statistics may yield misspecified test statistics. The quality of estimation tends to be improved by simply eliminating the outliers from the sample, especially for the buy-and-hold abnormal return technique.

• Journal of Technology Innovation
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.27-39
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• 2003

This study empirically examines the relationship between technology licensing and licetnsee firms' profitability. A significant positive effect of licensing on profitability is generally demonstrated in both the short run and the long run. Further, the magnitude of positive effect is bigger in the long run than that in the short run. The paper suggest that, for firms, aggressive management strategy of collaborating with technology holders through licensing agreements is beneficial. It also argues that transferred technology requires time to be implemented, modified and mastered better by companies.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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• v.6 no.1
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• pp.313-334
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• 2000

In this paper, we obtained some supportive evidence for the long-run PPP relationship concerning the Korean Won currency. Previous tests of PPP in the bilateral exchange rates of the Korean Won rate vis-a-vis the U.S. Dollar have been exposed to the lack of power problem. We argue that their failure to find PPP relation in Korean Won rates was due to the low power of Augmented Dickey-Fuller tests or the Engle-Granger two-step tests applied to the Korean exchange rate data with short sample period. En attempting to alleviate this low power problem, we used the error-correction model test and the Johansen test for bilateral long-run equilibrium relationships between exchange rates and price indices from Korea's major trading partners. It is surprising that our evidence supporting for long-run PPP in Korean Won rate contrasts sharply with Bahmani-Oskooee, Moshen and Rhee, Hyun-Jae(1992)'s.