• 제목/요약/키워드: Local Analysis and Prediction System

검색결과 155건 처리시간 0.025초

Sea state description of Asabo offshore in Nigeria

  • Jasper, Agbakwuru A.;Bernard, Akaawase T.;Gudmestad, Ove T.
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.25-47
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    • 2020
  • A study of the wave conditions for the Asabo offshore location at the Qua Iboe oil field in Eastern Nigeria has been carried out. Statistical analysis was applied to three (3) years of data comprising spectral periods, Tp and significant wave heights, Hs. The data was divided into two (2); data from October to April represents one set of data and data from May to September represents another set of data. The results were compared with similar studies at other locations offshore of West Africa. It was found that there is an absence of direct swellwaves from the Southern Ocean reaching the location under study (the Asabo site). This work suggests that the wave system is largely emanating from the North Atlantic storms. The presence of numerous islands near the Asabo location shields the site from effects of storms from south west and therefore swells from the Southern Ocean. It is noted that the local wind has little or no contribution. An Hs maximum of 2 m is noted at the Asabo offshore location. It is found that the Weibull distribution best describes the wave distribution at Asabo. Thus, the Weibull distribution is suggested to be adequate for long term prediction of extreme waves needed for offshore design and operations at this location.

고정오염원의 응축성 먼지 배출량을 고려한 서울과 인천의 먼지 관리방안 (PM Management Methods Considering Condensable PM Emissions from Stationary Sources in Seoul and Incheon)

  • 이임학;최두성;고명진;박영권
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.319-325
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    • 2017
  • In this study, the new particulate matter emissions considering condensable PM (CPM) of stationary pollutant sources were calculated to modify the CAPSS emissions based on only filterable PMs in Seoul and Incheon. When the new calculated emissions were compared to the existing filterable PM based emissions of local governments, different contribution patterns of emission sources were found. For example, the proportion of mobile sources was high when the filterable PM was considered; however, the contribution of non-industrial sources was dominant in Seoul when the emissions of CPM were considered. Also, the proportion of energy industrial combustion and manufacturing combustion sources was significant in Incheon when CPM emissions considered. Therefore, it seems to be much desirable to consider CPM emissions for determining adequate locations of collective energy facilities and manufacturing combustion facilities in the future. In addition, CPM should be considered to solve the dust problem nationwide. The emission analysis, diagnosis, prediction and countermeasures using CPM emissions should be appropriately performed.

수치해석을 이용한 FPSO용 사류펌프 성능해석 연구 (A Numerical Study on the Performance Analysis of the Mixed Flow Pump for FPSO)

  • 강경원;김영훈;김영주;우남섭;권재기;윤명오
    • 한국유체기계학회 논문집
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.12-17
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    • 2011
  • The seawater lift pump system is responsible for maintaining the open canal level to provide the suction flow of circulating water pump at the set point. The objective of this paper is to design a 2-stage mixed flow pump (for seawater lifting) by inverse design method and to evaluate the overall performance and the local flow fields of the pump by using a commercial CFD code. Rotating speed of the impeller is 1,750 rpm with the flow rate of 2,700 $m^3$/h. Finite volume method with structured mesh and realized k-${\varepsilon}$ turbulent model is used to guaranty more accurate prediction of turbulent flow in the pump impeller. The numerical results such as static head, brake horse power and efficiency of the mixed flow pump are compared with the design data. The simulated results are good agreement with the design data less 3% error.

우리나라 조석지각 기준 표기에 대한 고찰 (Overview of Tidal Phase-lag References Used in Korea)

  • 변도성
    • 한국해양학회지:바다
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.234-238
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    • 2007
  • 현재까지 우리나라에선 연구자마다 각기 다른 세 가지 조석지각 기준(관측지점 경도 기준 지각, 표준시 자오선 기준 지각, 그리니치 자오선 기준 지각)을 사용하여 오고 있다. 이처럼 통일되지 않는 조석지각 정보체계는 전체적인 우리나라 조석의 특성이나 변화를 이해하는데 장애가 되고 있다. 이 연구에서는 올바른 조석지각 기준의 상호전환과 관련하여, 세 가지 지각기준에 관하여 자세히 살펴보았다. 이에 앞서 조석 조화분해 과정에서 분조의 지각이 어떻게 계산되며, 조석예측프로그램에선 계산된 지각이 어떻게 사용되게 되는지 살펴보았다. 또한 이것을 바탕으로 과거 일부 연구에서 불명확하게 기술된 조석지각의 정의에 관하여 논의하였다.

KEOP-2005 집중관측자료를 이용한 관측시스템 실험 연구 (Observing System Experiments Using the Intensive Observation Data during KEOP-2005)

  • 원혜영;박창근;김연희;이희상;조천호
    • 대기
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.299-316
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    • 2008
  • The intensive upper-air observation network was organized over southwestern region of the Korean Peninsula during the Korea Enhanced Observing Program in 2005 (KEOP-2005). In order to examine the effect of additional upper-air observation on the numerical weather forecasting, three Observing System Experiments (OSEs) using Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System (KLAPS) and Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model with KEOP-2005 data are conducted. Cold start case with KEOP-2005 data presents a remarkable predictability difference with only conventional observation data in the downstream and along the Changma front area. The sensitivity of the predictability tends to decrease under the stable atmosphere. Our results indicates that the effect of intensive observation plays a role in the forecasting of the sensitive area in the numerical model, especially under the unstable atmospheric conditions. When the intensive upper-air observation data (KEOP-2005 data) are included in the OSEs, the predictability of precipitation is partially improved. Especially, when KEOP-2005 data are assimilated at 6-hour interval, the predictability on the heavy rainfall showing higher Critical Success Index (CSI) is highly improved. Therefore it is found that KEOP-2005 data play an important role in improving the position and intensity of the simulated precipitation system.

레이더 강우자료에 의한 홍수 예보 시스템 연구 (Study on Flood Prediction System Based on Radar Rainfall Data)

  • 김원일;오경두;안원식;전병호
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제41권11호
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    • pp.1153-1162
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    • 2008
  • 수문학적 해석에 있어 레이더 강우의 활용은 원시자료를 획득하기가 어려울 뿐만 아니라 이를 처리하여 적용하는 과정이 간단하지 않기 때문에 대부분의 연구와 실무적용에 있어 많은 어려움이 있다. 본 연구에서는 레이더 영상자료를 실용적으로 활용하기 위한 방안으로 기상청에서 제공하는 레이더 합성 CAPPI(Constant Altitude Plan Position Indicator) 이미지 자료를 디지털 강우자료로 변환할 수 있는 '레이더 영상 디지털 변환법(RAIDOM, RAdar Image DigitalizatiOn Method)'을 연구 개발하였다. 2006년 7월에 발생한 국지성 집중호우와 한강유역 중상류 지역에 걸쳐 큰 홍수량을 발생시킨 2개의 호우사상에 대하여 레이더 강우자료를 분포형 모형에 적용하여 활용성을 검토하였다. 모의된 홍수수문곡선은 실측치와 잘 일치하였고 RAIDOM과 이를 적용한 분포형 모형이 홍수예보를 위하여 활용될 수 있음을 보여주었다. 이러한 연구를 통하여 수문해석에 있어 레이더 강우에 대한 활용성을 넓히는데 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

한반도 복잡 해안지역의 바람장 모의 개선 (Improvement in the Simulation of Wind Fields Over the Complex Coastal Area, Korea)

  • 김유근;배주현;정주희;권지혜;서장원;김용상
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.417-430
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    • 2006
  • We focused on improvement in simulation of wind fields for the complex coastal area. Local Analysis and Prediction System(LAPS) was used as a data assimilation method to improve initial conditions. Case studies of different LAPS inputs were performed to compare improvement of wind fields. Five cases have been employed : I) non data assimilation, II) all available data, III) AWS, buoy, QuikSCAT, IV) AWS, buoy, wind profiler, V) AWS, buoy, AMEDAS. Data assimilation can supplement insufficiency of the mesoscale model which does not represent detailed terrain effect and small scale atmospheric flow fields. Result assimilated all available data showed a good agreement to the observations rather than other cases and estimated veil the local meteorological characteristics including sea breeze and up-slope winds. Result using wind profiler data was the next best thing. This implies that data assimilation with many high-resolution sounding data could contribute to the improvements of good initial condition in the complex coastal area. As a result, these indicated that effective data assimilation process and application of the selective LAPS inputs played an important role in simulating wind fields accurately in a complex area.

Seismic fragility curves for a concrete bridge using structural health monitoring and digital twins

  • Rojas-Mercedes, Norberto;Erazo, Kalil;Di Sarno, Luigi
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.503-515
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    • 2022
  • This paper presents the development of seismic fragility curves for a precast reinforced concrete bridge instrumented with a structural health monitoring (SHM) system. The bridge is located near an active seismic fault in the Dominican Republic (DR) and provides the only access to several local communities in the aftermath of a potential damaging earthquake; moreover, the sample bridge was designed with outdated building codes and uses structural detailing not adequate for structures in seismic regions. The bridge was instrumented with an SHM system to extract information about its state of structural integrity and estimate its seismic performance. The data obtained from the SHM system is integrated with structural models to develop a set of fragility curves to be used as a quantitative measure of the expected damage; the fragility curves provide an estimate of the probability that the structure will exceed different damage limit states as a function of an earthquake intensity measure. To obtain the fragility curves a digital twin of the bridge is developed combining a computational finite element model and the information extracted from the SHM system. The digital twin is used as a response prediction tool that minimizes modeling uncertainty, significantly improving the predicting capability of the model and the accuracy of the fragility curves. The digital twin was used to perform a nonlinear incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) with selected ground motions that are consistent with the seismic fault and site characteristics. The fragility curves show that for the maximum expected acceleration (with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years) the structure has a 62% probability of undergoing extensive damage. This is the first study presenting fragility curves for civil infrastructure in the DR and the proposed methodology can be extended to other structures to support disaster mitigation and post-disaster decision-making strategies.

일본의 지진방재·대응 시스템 분석을 통한 효과적인 우리나라 지진 R&D 전략 제언 (Suggestions for an Effective Earthquake R&D Strategy in Korea through an Analysis of Japan's Earthquake Disaster Prevention System)

  • 김성용;이재욱
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제53권3호
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    • pp.321-336
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    • 2020
  • 일본 지진방재 컨트롤타워는 지진조사연구추진본부이며, 산하의 정책위원회는 국가 종합기본시책과 조사관측계획을 수립하고 지진조사위원회는 각 지진방재 전문기관의 조사관측데이터와 연구성과를 취합하여 종합 검토평가를 한다. 일본의 지진방재·대응 시스템의 벤치마킹을 통한 우리나라에의 바람직한 시사점으로는 지진관련 지오-리질리언스 연구전략 구축이다. 지오-리질리언스 개념은 연구성과 실용화와 지질자원분야의 타 과학기술·인문사회분야와의 융합에 의한 재해복원능력 향상 역량을 의미하며, 주요 범위로는 국가 중장기 로드맵 전략연구, 지진예측연구, 지진재해 예측·경감기술개발, Geo-ICT 융합기술개발, Geo-사이버물리시스템 구현, 지구모방 기술개발 등과 지진발생지역 주민의 물리적, 심리적 치유관련 지질자원기술 관점 연구개발 등이다. 이를 통해, 국책전문연구기관은 재해발생 예측기술개발과 선제적 대응능력 강화, 지오데이터와 연구결과에 대한 지역사회의 신뢰도 제고와 차세대 인력양성, 관련 지진방재 인프라 확충 등이 가능할 것이다.

지중 변위와 체적 함수비 계측을 통한 사면 거동 분석 (Slope Behavior Analysis Using the Measurement of Underground Displacement and Volumetric Water Content)

  • 김용성;김만일;타망 비벡;김기환
    • 한국지반환경공학회 논문집
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    • 제19권9호
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2018
  • 국내 외에서는 사면붕괴를 사전에 예방할 수 있는 모니터링 및 자동계측기에 관한 다수의 연구가 수행되어져 오고 있으나, 이러한 연구들은 다소 복잡한 구조로 이루어져 있고, 계측시스템의 대부분은 사면표층에 설치되어 있으며, 사면파괴 전 붕괴징후를 사전에 감지하고 경보를 울려주는 계측시스템에 관한 연구는 미진한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 강우 조건에서의 사면 붕괴 메카니즘을 파악하기 위하여 사면 붕괴 실험을 수행하고 지중 변위와 체적 함수비 계측을 통해 사면 모델의 붕괴 초기에 발생되는 함수비와 변위 거동 특성을 분석하였다. 본 연구를 통해 고찰된 내용은 지방자치단체에서 집중호우로 인해 급경사지 붕괴위험지역 등 사면붕괴나 산사태가 예측될 때 사전에 주민을 대피시키는 사면붕괴 예 경보시스템 구축 시 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.