• Journal of international Conference on Electrical Machines and Systems
• /
• 제2권2호
• /
• pp.165-170
• /
• 2013

This paper presents the iron loss prediction of rotating electric machines taking account of the vector hysteretic properties of electrical steel sheet. The E&S vector hysteresis model is adopted to describe the vector hysteretic properties of a non-oriented electrical steel sheet, and incorporated into finite element analysis (FEA) for magnetic field analysis and iron loss prediction. A permanent magnet synchronous generator is taken as a numerical model, and the analyzed magnetic field distribution and predicted iron loss by using the proposed method is compared with those from a conventional method which employs an empirical iron loss formula with FEA based on a non-linear B-H curve. Through the comparison the effectiveness of the presented method for the iron loss prediction of the rotating machine is verified.

• 한국항공우주학회지
• /
• 제32권10호
• /
• pp.93-101
• /
• 2004

액체 로켓엔진에서 발생하는 고주파 연소 불안정성을 예측하기 위해 선형 안정한계를 계산하는 방법을 연구하였다. 기존의 선형이론에 근거하여 유도된 선형 안정한계를 나타내는 안정한계 식을 채택하였으며, 그 식을 구성하는 각각의 항을 정량적으로 평가하는 방안들이 제시되었다. 안정한계 계산에 필요한 열-화학 물성치와 유동 변수를 열역학적 평형계산과 CFD 해석 및 실험 결과로부터 평가하는 구체적 절차들을 상세히 제시하였다. 실제 로켓엔진으로서 시험 데이터가 확보되어 있는 KSR-III 로켓엔진에 대해서 제시한 방법을 적용하여 안정한계 곡선을 구하였다. 계산결과는, 해당 엔진에 대해 정량적으로 타당한 안정한계 곡선을 보여주었다. 이를 토대로 해당 엔진의 안정성 특성을 분석하였다. 본 연구에서 제시된 선형 안정한계 계산 방법은 진정한 예측의 1차적 근사로서 활용할 만한 가치가 있으며, 엔진 개발 초기에 근사적으로 안정성 경향을 분석하기에 유용할 것이다.

• 대한임베디드공학회논문지
• /
• 제17권4호
• /
• pp.249-255
• /
• 2022

The COVID-19 virus appeared in 2019 and is extremely contagious. Because it is very infectious and has a huge impact on people's mobility. In this paper, multiple linear regression and random forest models are used to predict the number of COVID-19 cases using COVID-19 infection status data (open source data provided by the Ministry of health and welfare) and Google Mobility Data, which can check the liquidity of various categories. The data has been divided into two sets. The first dataset is COVID-19 infection status data and all six variables of Google Mobility Data. The second dataset is COVID-19 infection status data and only two variables of Google Mobility Data: (1) Retail stores and leisure facilities (2) Grocery stores and pharmacies. The models' performance has been compared using the mean absolute error indicator. We also a correlation analysis of the random forest model and the multiple linear regression model.

• 스마트미디어저널
• /
• 제8권1호
• /
• pp.82-91
• /
• 2019

This study provides the analysis and prediction of fruits diseases related to weather conditions (temperature, wind speed, solar power, rainfall and humidity) using Linear Model and Poisson Regression. The main goal of the research is to control the method of fruits diseases and also to prevent diseases using less agricultural pesticides. So, it is needed to predict the fruits diseases with weather data. Initially, fruit data is used to detect the fruit diseases. If diseases are found, we move to the next process and verify the condition of the fruits including their size. We identify the growth of fruit and evidence of diseases with Linear Model. Then, Poisson Regression used in this study to fit the model of fruits diseases with weather conditions as an input provides the predicted diseases as an output. Finally, the residuals plot, Q-Q plot and other plots help to validate the fitness of Linear Model and provide correlation between the actual and the predicted diseases as a result of the conducted experiment in this study.

• 한국소음진동공학회논문집
• /
• 제22권2호
• /
• pp.123-129
• /
• 2012

It was previously suggested the design sensitivity analysis based on transmissibility function to identify the most sensitive response location over a small design modification. On the other hand, energy isoclines were used to predict the fatigue damage with acceleration response only. Both of previous studies commonly tackle the engineering problem using the acceleration response alone such that it may be possible to investigate the relationship between sensitivity analysis and accumulated fatigue damage. In this paper, it is suggested the novel method of vibration fatigue prediction using design sensitivity analysis to enhance the accuracy of predicted accumulated fatigue. Uni-axial vibration testing is performed with a simple notched specimen and the prediction of fatigue damage is conducted using accelerations measured at different locations. It can be concluded that the accuracy of predicted fatigue damage is proportional to the sensitivity index of the responsible location.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
• /
• 제43권4호
• /
• pp.76-83
• /
• 2020

Postal logistics organizations are characterized as having high labor intensity and short response times. These characteristics, along with rapid change in mail volume, make load scheduling a fundamental concern. Load analysis of major postal infrastructures such as post offices, sorting centers, exchange centers, and delivery stations is required for optimal postal logistics operation. In particular, the performance of mail traffic forecasting is essential for optimizing the resource operation by accurate load analysis. This paper addresses a traffic forecast problem of postal parcel that arises at delivery stations of Korea Post. The main purpose of this paper is to describe a method for predicting short-term traffic of postal parcel based on self-similarity analysis and to introduce an application of the traffic prediction model to postal logistics system. The proposed scheme develops multiple regression models by the clusters resulted from feature engineering and individual models for delivery stations to reinforce prediction accuracy. The experiment with data supplied by main postal delivery stations shows the advantage in terms of prediction performance. Comparing with other technique, experimental results show that the proposed method improves the accuracy up to 45.8%.

• 응용통계연구
• /
• 제28권6호
• /
• pp.1133-1146
• /
• 2015

경마 산업은 국내 합법 사행산업의 대부분을 차지하고 있다. 그러나 사행성 도박이라는 인식 하에 여타 스포츠 산업에 비해 활발한 통계적 분석이 이루어지지 않고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 다양한 데이터마이닝 기법을 이용하여 우승마를 예측하는 모형 개발에 있다. 모형 적합에 사용한 데이터는 한국 마사회에서 제공하는 자료를 바탕으로 하였으며, 경마 성적표, 경주마 정보, 기수 정보, 조교사 정보 등을 사용하였다. 예측 모형은 크게 두 모형으로 나누어 순위를 기반으로 한 모형과 기록을 기반으로 한 모형으로 적합하였고, 분석 방법으로는 선형회귀분석, 랜덤 포레스트, 로지스틱 회귀 분석을 사용하였다. 그 결과 말 기본 정보와 과거 우승 경력, 기수의 과거 우승 경력 등이 순위 예측에 큰 영향을 미치는 것을 알 수 있었다. 모형 적합에 사용되지 않은 최근 1개월 간 데이터를 이용하여 단승식, 복승식, 삼복승식으로 배팅한 결과 모형 간 큰 차이가 없었고, 모두 양의 수익을 얻을 수 있었다.

• 한국정보전자통신기술학회논문지
• /
• 제16권5호
• /
• pp.325-330
• /
• 2023

본 논문은 머신러닝을 활용하여 교량 데이터 설계 시 기존 엔지니어의 구조해석결과 또는 경험 및 주관에 따라 슬래브 두께를 예측하여 왔던 프로세스를 머신러닝 기법을 적용하여 디지털 기반 의사결정이 가능하도록 제시한다. 본 연구에서는 슬래브 두께 선정을 구조해석 외에 머신러닝 기법을 활용하여 엔지니어에게 가이드 값을 제공하게 함으로써 신뢰성 있는 설계 환경을 구축하고자 한다. 교량 데이터 중 가장 많은 비중을 차지하고 있는 거더교를 기준으로 상부구조물 중 슬래브 두께를 예측하기 위한 예측모델 프로세스를 정의 하였다. 각 프로세스 별 예측 값을 산출하기 위하여 다양한 머신러닝 모델 (Linear Regress, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Muliti-layer Perceptron)을 프로세스별 경합하여 최적의 모델을 도출하였다. 본 연구를 통해 기존 구조해석을 통해서만 슬래브 두께 예측을 하였던 영역에 머신러닝 기법의 적용 가능성을 확인하였으며 정확도 또한 95.4%를 도출하였다, 향후 프로세스 확장 및 데이터를 지속 확보하여 예측모델 정확도를 향상시킨다면 공사 환경에 머신러닝 모델이 지속 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 대한기계학회 2008년도 추계학술대회A
• /
• pp.1588-1593
• /
• 2008

This paper describes a real-time isometric pinch force prediction algorithm from surface electromyogram (sEMG) using multilayer perceptron (MLP) for human robot interactive applications. The activities of seven muscles which are observable from surface electrodes and also related to the movements of the thumb and index finger joints were recorded during pinch force experiments. For the successful implementation of the real-time prediction algorithm, an off-line analysis was performed using the recorded activities. Four muscles were selected for the force prediction by using the Fisher linear discriminant analysis among seven muscles, and the four muscle activities provided effective information for mapping sEMG to the pinch force. The MLP structure was designed to make training efficient and to avoid both under- and over-fitting problems. The pinch force prediction algorithm was tested on five volunteers and the results were evaluated using two criteria: normalized root mean squared error (NRMSE) and correlation (CORR). The training time for the subjects was only 2 min 29 sec, but the prediction results were successful with NRMSE = 0.112 ${\pm}$ 0.082 and CORR = 0.932 ${\pm}$ 0.058. These results imply that the proposed algorithm is useful to measure the produced pinch force without force sensors in real-time. The possible applications include controlling bionic finger robot systems to overcome finger paralysis or amputation.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
• /
• 제15권5호
• /
• pp.1201-1210
• /
• 2019

Stock price is characterized as being mutable, non-linear and stochastic. These key characteristics are known to have a direct influence on the stock markets globally. Given that the stock price data often contain both linear and non-linear patterns, no single model can be adequate in modelling and predicting time series data. The autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model cannot deal with non-linear relationships, however, it provides an accurate and effective way to process autocorrelation and non-stationary data in time series forecasting. On the other hand, the neural network provides an effective prediction of non-linear sequences. As a result, in this study, we used a hybrid ARIMA and neural network model to forecast the monthly closing price of the Shanghai composite index and Shenzhen component index.