• Title/Summary/Keyword: Lifetime Prediction

Search Result 220, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

The Study on the Temperature Distribution for 154kV Power Transformers (154kV 전력용 변압기의 온도분포에 관한 연구)

  • Woo, Jung-Wook;Koo, Kyo-Sun;Kwak, Joo-Sik;Kim, Kyung-Tak;Kweon, Dong-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
    • /
    • v.25 no.9
    • /
    • pp.56-61
    • /
    • 2011
  • The temperature of power transformers is very important factor for power system operation in substation because load capacity and limited lifetime of power transformers are determined by winding temperature. Also, The temperature of power transformers varies with the structure, capacity, operation condition and manufacturers. Thus, it is necessary for temperature distribution to be exactly investigated because of efficient load management and prediction of limited lifetime. Nevertheless, there was no case of analysis as well as measurement of the temperature of power transformers. In this paper, we manufactured the 154kV standard power transformer for the test. And we measured the temperature by the heat run test and analyzed the temperature distribution of transformer.

A Study on the Compensation Condition and the Lifetime Prediction in Power Cable (전력케이블의 수명평가와 보상조건에 관한 기초연구)

  • Lim, Jang-Seob;Noh, Sung-Ho;Kim, Ji-Sun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 2010.06a
    • /
    • pp.50-50
    • /
    • 2010
  • 전력케이블의 수명예측은 전력설비의 적절한 전력설비의 신뢰성 확보에 목적이 있다. 그러나 장기간의 수명으로 설계되는 관계로 가속실험을 수행하여 중장기적인 절연성 추세를 평가하기 위해서 와이블 분포함수와 같은 통계적인 접근과 수영과 관련된 보상조건에 대한 고려가 필수적이다.

  • PDF

Reliability Assessment of Elevators Using Life Data of the Components (부품의 수명 데이터를 이용한 승강기의 신뢰성 평가)

  • Sohn, S.H.;Sohn, H.J.;Kim, S.J.;Yang, B.S.;Yoon, M.C.
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
    • /
    • v.14 no.6
    • /
    • pp.61-66
    • /
    • 2010
  • Engineering asset management (EAM) requires the accurate assessment of current and the prediction of future asset health condition. Suitable mathematical models that are capable of predicting time-to-failure and the probability of failure in future time are essential. In general reliability models, lifetime of component and system is estimated using failure time data. This paper deals with the reliability assessment of elevators using life of main components. Especially this work is concerned with the stochastic nature of life of elevator components. First, we investigate the Weibull statistical analysis of lifetime data for the components. The final goal is to establish the mathematical model for reliability assessment. This work provides more perspectives to future research in the fields of reliability and maintainability.

Deterioration Analysis of the Shunting Locomotive Through Precision Diagnosis Assessment : Diesel Engine & Power Transmission Parts (입환기관차의 노후도 정밀진단 : 엔진 및 동력전달장치)

  • Chung Jong-Duk;Kim Jeong-Guk;Hong Yong-Ki;Lee Dong-Hyung;Pyun Jang-Sik
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
    • /
    • 2004.10a
    • /
    • pp.545-550
    • /
    • 2004
  • The deterioration of a shunting locomotive was characterized for the lifetime assessment. The locomotive has been used for shunting works in steel making processes, and in this investigation, various types of technical evaluation methods for the locomotive parts were employed to assess the current deterioration status and to provide important clue for lifetime prediction. Unlike other rolling stocks in railway applications, the diesel shunting locomotive is composed of major components such as diesel engine, transmission, gear box, brake system, electronic devices, etc. In this paper, the degree of deterioration in a diesel engine and power transmission parts has been presented based on the analysis results.

  • PDF

Deterioration Analysis of the Shunting Locomotive Through Precision Diagnosis Assessment : Running Performance Assessment (입환기관차의 노후도 정밀진단 : 주행성능평가)

  • Pyun Jang-Sik;Chung Jong-Duk;Kim Jeong-Guk;Choi Kyung-Jin;Kim Won-Kyung
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
    • /
    • 2004.10a
    • /
    • pp.557-562
    • /
    • 2004
  • The deterioration of a shunting locomotive was characterized for the lifetime assessment. The locomotive has been used for shunting works in steel making processes, and in this investigation, various types of technical evaluation methods for the locomotive parts were employed to assess the current deterioration status and to provide important clue for lifetime prediction. Unlike other rolling stocks in railway applications, the diesel shunting locomotive is composed of major components such as diesel engine, transmission, gear box, brake system, electronic devices, etc. In this paper, the analysis results of running performance assessment have been used to provide the critical information for the criteria of precision diagnosis assessment.

  • PDF

Aging Diagnosis of Underground Distribution Power Cables Using Breakdown Lifetime Prediction (파괴수명예측을 통한 지중배전용 전력케이블의 열화 진단)

  • Kim, Chung-Bae;Lee, Jung-Bin;Lim, Chang-Sub;Jang, Young-Hak;Lee, Jin;Kim, Tae-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 1999.05a
    • /
    • pp.222-225
    • /
    • 1999
  • Degradation diagnosis of XLPE insulated URD cables was accomplished through out new method. which was to be analyzed non-electrical experiments and synthesized by degradation points. To supplement this method, it was also carried out using several electrical analyses. Breakdown voltages were measured and breakdown lifetimes were Predicted appling for Weibull distribution function. As a result, breakdown lifetime in failure cables was shorted up to 1/3 times than that in general cables. It was very available to estimate cable degradation using above method, but it needs further study on XLPE insulated URD cables in order to improve reliability.

  • PDF

A Study on Warranty and Quality Assurance Model for Guided Missiles Based on Storage Reliability (저장신뢰도 기반의 유도탄 품질보증모델에 대한 연구)

  • Jung, Sanghoon;Lee, Sangbok
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.83-91
    • /
    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to develop a quality assurance model and to determine appropriate warranty period for a guided missile using its field data. Methods: 10 years of actual firing data is collected from the defense industry company and military. Parametric maximum likelihood estimation for a reliability function is determined with the data. Results: The reliability function estimates average lifetime of the missile. That function shows a user requirement, 80% reliability (lifetime) is come up when 8 years have passed, which is longer than the estimates in the missile's development phase. Conclusion: Quality assurance warranty for a guided missile must be established with actual test data. It is necessary to update and modify the reliability prediction and the warranty period with actual field test data.

Prediction of Service Life of The Rubber Fender (고무 방현재의 사용 수명 예측)

  • Lee, Se-Hee;Park, Jun-Hyung;Kim, Gwang-Sub
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
    • /
    • v.8 no.2
    • /
    • pp.87-100
    • /
    • 2008
  • The rubber fender is used to absorb the berthing energy that is produced when a ship is near a port, and it prevents collision between the ship and port. If the rubber fender becomes defective, the berthing energy cannot be absorbed when it is near the port, and damage can result from collisions due to the hardening process. In this research, when the rubber fender is heated, collisions can cause cracks and other damage. It is also confirmed from the research the lifetime distribution of the rubber fender. The researcher has predicted using different variables and elongation that a rubber fender has an 11year lifespan at $20^{\circ}C$.

  • PDF

Voltage-Current Modeling of NPT IGBT for Transient Condition (과도 상태 시 NPT IGBT의 전압-전류 모델링)

  • Ryu, Se-Hwan;Lee, Myung-Soo;Ahn, Hyung-Geun;Han, Deuk-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 2004.07a
    • /
    • pp.405-408
    • /
    • 2004
  • In this work, Analytical model for voltage and current characteristics of NPT(Non-PunchThrough) IGBT(Insulated Gate Bipolar Transistor) was represented. voltage and current characteristics models were based on prediction on power loss of NPT IGBT during transient condition. For Analytical current model, excess carrier concentration and accumulated charge in active base width was analyzed with time variance. Analytical models were simulated by varying lifetime of excess minority carrier.

  • PDF

Machine Learning Model for Predicting the Residual Useful Lifetime of the CNC Milling Insert (공작기계의 절삭용 인서트의 잔여 유효 수명 예측 모형)

  • Won-Gun Choi;Heungseob Kim;Bong Jin Ko
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
    • /
    • v.27 no.1
    • /
    • pp.111-118
    • /
    • 2023
  • For the implementation of a smart factory, it is necessary to collect data by connecting various sensors and devices in the manufacturing environment and to diagnose or predict failures in production facilities through data analysis. In this paper, to predict the residual useful lifetime of milling insert used for machining products in CNC machine, weight k-NN algorithm, Decision Tree, SVR, XGBoost, Random forest, 1D-CNN, and frequency spectrum based on vibration signal are investigated. As the results of the paper, the frequency spectrum does not provide a reliable criterion for an accurate prediction of the residual useful lifetime of an insert. And the weighted k-nearest neighbor algorithm performed best with an MAE of 0.0013, MSE of 0.004, and RMSE of 0.0192. This is an error of 0.001 seconds of the remaining useful lifetime of the insert predicted by the weighted-nearest neighbor algorithm, and it is considered to be a level that can be applied to actual industrial sites.