• Title/Summary/Keyword: Lifetime Analysis

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A probabilistic analysis of Miner's law for different loading conditions

  • Blason, Sergio;Correia, Jose A.F.O.;Jesus, Abilio M.P. De;Calcada, Rui A.B.;Fernandez-Canteli, Alfonso
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.60 no.1
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    • pp.71-90
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, the normalized variable V=(log N-B)(log ${\Delta}{\sigma}-C$-C), as derived from the probabilistic S-N field of Castillo and Canteli, is taken as a reference for calculation of damage accumulation and probability of failure using the Miner number in scenarios of variable amplitude loading. Alternative damage measures, such as the classical Miner and logarithmic Miner, are also considered for comparison between theoretical lifetime prediction and experimental data. The suitability of this approach is confirmed for it provides safe lifetime prediction when applied to fatigue data obtained for riveted joints made of a puddle iron original from the Fao bridge, as well as for data from experimental programs published elsewhere carried out for different materials (aluminium and concrete specimens) under distinct variable loading histories.

Life-Cost-Cycle Evaluation Analysis of the Shunting Locomotive (입환기관차의 LCC 평가분석)

  • Bae Dae-Sung;Chung Jong-Duk
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.260-266
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    • 2005
  • The deterioration of a shunting locomotive was characterized for the lifetime assessment. The locomotive has been used for shunting works in steel making processes, and in this investigation, various types of technical evaluation methods for the locomotive parts were employed to assess the current deterioration status and to provide important clue for lifetime prediction. Unlike other rolling stocks in railway applications, the diesel shunting locomotive is composed of major components such as diesel engine, transmission, gear box, brake system, electronic devices, etc., which cover more than 70 percent of the total price of the locomotive. Therefore, in this paper, each part of major components in the diesel locomotive was analyzed in terms of the degree of deterioration. The lift-cycle-cost (LCC) analysis was performed based on the maintenance and repair history as compared with economical cost to provide the cost-effective prediction, i.e., to assess either repair for reuse or putting the locomotive out of service based on cost-effective calculation.

Deterioration Analysis of the Shunting Locomotive Through Precision Diagnosis Assessment : Diesel Engine & Power Transmission Parts (입환기관차의 노후도 정밀진단 : 엔진 및 동력전달장치)

  • Chung Jong-Duk;Kim Jeong-Guk;Hong Yong-Ki;Lee Dong-Hyung;Pyun Jang-Sik
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.545-550
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    • 2004
  • The deterioration of a shunting locomotive was characterized for the lifetime assessment. The locomotive has been used for shunting works in steel making processes, and in this investigation, various types of technical evaluation methods for the locomotive parts were employed to assess the current deterioration status and to provide important clue for lifetime prediction. Unlike other rolling stocks in railway applications, the diesel shunting locomotive is composed of major components such as diesel engine, transmission, gear box, brake system, electronic devices, etc. In this paper, the degree of deterioration in a diesel engine and power transmission parts has been presented based on the analysis results.

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Life-Cost-Cycle Evaluation Analysis of the Shunting Locomotive (입환기관차의 LCC 평가분석)

  • Chung Jong-Duk;Kim Jeong-Guk;Pyun Jang-Sik;Kim Pil-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.551-556
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    • 2004
  • The deterioration of a shunting locomotive was characterized for the lifetime assessment. The locomotive has been used for shunting works in steel making processes, and in this investigation, various types of technical evaluation methods for the locomotive parts were employed to assess the current deterioration status and to provide important clue for lifetime prediction. Unlike other rolling stocks in railway applications, the diesel shunting locomotive is composed of major components such as diesel engine, transmission, gear box, brake system, electronic devices, etc., which cover more than 70 percent of the total price of the locomotive. Therefore, in this paper, each part of major components in the diesel locomotive was analyzed in terms of the degree of deterioration. The life-cycle-cost (LCC) analysis was performed based on the maintenance and repair history as compared with economical cost to provide the cost-effective prediction, i.e., to assess either repair for reuse or putting the locomotive out of service based on cost-effective calculation.

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Deterioration Analysis of the Shunting Locomotive Through Precision Diagnosis Assessment : Running Performance Assessment (입환기관차의 노후도 정밀진단 : 주행성능평가)

  • Pyun Jang-Sik;Chung Jong-Duk;Kim Jeong-Guk;Choi Kyung-Jin;Kim Won-Kyung
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.557-562
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    • 2004
  • The deterioration of a shunting locomotive was characterized for the lifetime assessment. The locomotive has been used for shunting works in steel making processes, and in this investigation, various types of technical evaluation methods for the locomotive parts were employed to assess the current deterioration status and to provide important clue for lifetime prediction. Unlike other rolling stocks in railway applications, the diesel shunting locomotive is composed of major components such as diesel engine, transmission, gear box, brake system, electronic devices, etc. In this paper, the analysis results of running performance assessment have been used to provide the critical information for the criteria of precision diagnosis assessment.

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Posbist Reliability Analysis of Typical Systems

  • Huang, Hong-Zhong;Tong, X.;He, L.P.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.137-151
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    • 2007
  • Posbist reliability of typical systems is preliminarily discussed in Cai (1991). In this paper, we focus on the posbist reliability analysis of some typical systems in depth. First, the lifetime of the system is dealt as a fuzzy variable defined on the possibility space (U, ${\phi}$, $P_{oss}$) and the universe of discourse is expanded from (0, $+{\infty}$) to ($-{\infty},\;+{\infty}$). Then, a concrete possibility distribution function of the fuzzy variable is given, i.e., a Gaussian fuzzy variable. Finally, posbist reliability of typical systems (series, parallel, series-parallel, parallel-series, cold redundant system) is deduced. The expansion makes the proofs of some theorems straightforward and allows us to easily obtain the posbist reliability of typical systems. To illustrate the method a numerical example is given.

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Bayesian Estimation of Three-parameter Bathtub Shaped Lifetime Distribution Based on Progressive Type-II Censoring with Binomial Removal

  • Chung, Younshik
    • Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.2747-2757
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    • 2018
  • We consider the MLE (maximum likelihood estimate) and Bayesian estimates of three-parameter bathtub-shaped lifetime distribution based on the progressive type II censoring with binomial removal. Jung, Chung (2018) proposed the three-parameter bathtub-shaped distribution which is the extension of the two-parameter bathtub-shaped distribution given by Zhang (2004). Jung, Chung (2018) investigated its properties and estimations. The maximum likelihood estimates are computed using Newton-Raphson algorithm. Also, Bayesian estimates are obtained under the balanced loss function using MCMC (Markov chain Monte Carlo) method. In particular, BSEL (balanced squared error loss) function is considered as a special form of balanced loss function given by Zellner (1994). For comparing theirs MLEs with the corresponding Bayes estimates, some simulations are performed. It shows that Bayes estimates is better than MLEs in terms of risks. Finally, concluding remarks are mentioned.

Immigration to Korea: A Fiscal Boon or Burden?

  • HUR, JINWOOK
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.27-58
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    • 2020
  • This paper intends to examine the extent of the fiscal contribution of immigrants to Korea. According to this analysis, the aim is to derive implications pertaining to the direction of Korea's immigration policy as a response to fiscal problems caused by population aging. For this purpose, a macroeconomic model is designed to measure the lifetime net fiscal contribution of immigrants in Korea by visa type, age, and other characteristics. According to this analysis, the sum of the lifetime fiscal contribution for all immigrants in Korea is negative. This implies that immigration policy reforms that increase the inflow size while maintaining the current structure of the foreign population characteristics can rather worsen Korea's fiscal problems. This finding suggests that immigration policy reform may exacerbate Korea's fiscal soundness if it simply targets the maintenance of the numerical balance of the demographic structure.