• Title/Summary/Keyword: Leakage risk

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A Study on the Individual and Societal Risk Estimation for the Use and Storage Facility with Toxic Materials (독성물질 사용.저장시설에 대한 개인적 위험성 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, S.B.;Kim, Y.H.;Lee, C.;Um, S.I.;Ko, J.W.;Baek, J.B.
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 1997
  • These days leakage incidents of toxic materials cause serious effects on the nearby residents as well as the workers around the accidents accompanying massive material losses and human damages through widening influential areas. The risk measure through adequate quantitative analysis as well as the qualitative analysis of the leakage incidents of toxic materials becomes an urgent issue. The damage of the leakage incident on the surrounding area of the dangerous toxic material facilities was calculated quantitatively by adopting several models in this research. First, the calculations of the leakage velocity from the factories were performed by using source model for the assessment of the influential area, and the damages on the nearly residents were calculated by using the dispersion model and the effort model. The probability of the Incidents was computed based on "The manual for classification and priorization of major incidents" published by IAEA( International Atomic Energy Agency ). Above calculated damage area and incident probability were further adopted in this study to induce the individual and societal risk, quantitatively. The calculated data of the real Incident of the toxic material leakage showed reasonable agreements to the actual damage of the incidents, which showed a validity of this study. The result of this study might be a helpful measure for predicting damages and preparing safety systems for similar kinds of incidents.incidents.

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Dynamic quantitative risk assessment of accidents induced by leakage on offshore platforms using DEMATEL-BN

  • Meng, Xiangkun;Chen, Guoming;Zhu, Gaogeng;Zhu, Yuan
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.22-32
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    • 2019
  • On offshore platforms, oil and gas leaks are apt to be the initial events of major accidents that may result in significant loss of life and property damage. To prevent accidents induced by leakage, it is vital to perform a case-specific and accurate risk assessment. This paper presents an integrated method of Ddynamic Qquantitative Rrisk Aassessment (DQRA)-using the Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL)-Bayesian Network (BN)-for evaluation of the system vulnerabilities and prediction of the occurrence probabilities of accidents induced by leakage. In the method, three-level indicators are established to identify factors, events, and subsystems that may lead to leakage, fire, and explosion. The critical indicators that directly influence the evolution of risk are identified using DEMATEL. Then, a sequential model is developed to describe the escalation of initial events using an Event Tree (ET), which is converted into a BN to calculate the posterior probabilities of indicators. Using the newly introduced accident precursor data, the failure probabilities of safety barriers and basic factors, and the occurrence probabilities of different consequences can be updated using the BN. The proposed method overcomes the limitations of traditional methods that cannot effectively utilize the operational data of platforms. This work shows trends of accident risks over time and provides useful information for risk control of floating marine platforms.

Management of Recurrent Paravalvular Leakage in a Very High-Risk Patient: A Case Report

  • Park, Sung Jun;Kim, Young Woong;Yoo, Jae Suk;Kim, Joon Bum;Lee, Jae Won
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.59-62
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    • 2015
  • Interventional device closure has emerged as a less invasive alternative to surgery in the management of paravalvular leakage. However, this procedure involves various problems such as a high probability of residual leakage or hemolysis. Here, we report a case of residual paravalvular leakage despite two attempts at interventional closure in a patient with a history of four previous mitral valve replacements. The fifth operation for the primary repair of paravalvular leakage was performed successfully. Careful evaluation before the procedure and specially designed devices are essential for the interventional treatment of paravalvular leakage. Surgery can be performed adequately in the management of paravalvular leakage even in high-risk patients.

An Predictive System for urban gas leakage based on Deep Learning (딥러닝 기반 도시가스 누출량 예측 모니터링 시스템)

  • Ahn, Jeong-mi;Kim, Gyeong-Yeong;Kim, Dong-Ju
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2021.07a
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    • pp.41-44
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we propose a monitoring system that can monitor gas leakage concentrations in real time and forecast the amount of gas leaked after one minute. When gas leaks happen, they typically lead to accidents such as poisoning, explosion, and fire, so a monitoring system is needed to reduce such occurrences. Previous research has mainly been focused on analyzing explosion characteristics based on gas types, or on warning systems that sound an alarm when a gas leak occurs in industrial areas. However, there are no studies on creating systems that utilize specific gas explosion characteristic analysis or empirical urban gas data. This research establishes a deep learning model that predicts the gas explosion risk level over time, based on the gas data collected in real time. In order to determine the relative risk level of a gas leak, the gas risk level was divided into five levels based on the lower explosion limit. The monitoring platform displays the current risk level, the predicted risk level, and the amount of gas leaked. It is expected that the development of this system will become a starting point for a monitoring system that can be deployed in urban areas.

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Analysis of Electric Shock Risk of the Human Body in Underwater (수중에서의 인체에 대한 전격위험성 분석)

  • Kim, Sung-Chul;Kim, Doo-Hyun;Lee, Chong-Ho;Kim, Chong-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.21 no.6 s.78
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    • pp.26-32
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    • 2006
  • The paper considers the electrical shock risk of the human body due to underwater leakage current in electric field. The characteristics of electric shock in fresh water due to the leakage of submerged electric facility in the bathtub in public baths were conducted. The exposed live electrode is modeled as a point source of electric current source. It is assumed that divergent monopole field exists in the vicinity of the current source, regardless of the presence of return electrode and insulating boundary. The electric potentials in the steel bathtub, Diesen and Mole and Flux3D program one are measured according to the distance from leakage source. The results show that the increased shock risk and safe distance are estimated by the bathtub of limited width and the voltage calculated on the basis of a divergent monopole field concept is compared with the measured value.

Safety Monitoring Sensor for Underground Subsidence Risk Assessment Surrounding Water Pipeline (상수도관로의 주변 지반침하 위험도 평가를 위한 안전감시 센서)

  • Kwak, Pill-Jae;Park, Sang-Hyuk;Choi, Chang-Ho;Lee, Hyun-Dong
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.306-310
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    • 2015
  • IoT(Internet of Things) based underground risk assessment system surrounding water pipeline enables an advanced monitoring and prediction for unexpected underground hazards such as abrupt road-side subsidence and urban sinkholes due to a leak in water pipeline. For the development of successful assessment technology, the PSU(Water Pipeline Safety Unit) which detects the leakage and movement of water pipes. Then, the IoT-based underground risk assessment system surrounding water pipeline will be proposed. The system consists of early detection tools for underground events and correspondence services, by analyzing leakage and movement data collected from PSU. These methods must be continuous and reliable, and cover certain block area ranging a few kilometers, for properly applying to regional water supply changes.

Analysis of Risk Voltage for Grounding Electrode by Injection of Earth Leakage Current

  • Gil, Hyoung-Jun;Kim, Dong-Woo;Kim, Dong-Ook;Lee, Ki-Yeon;Moon, Hyun-Wook;Kim, Hyang-Kon;Kil, Gyung-Suk
    • International Journal of Safety
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.9-14
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    • 2009
  • This paper describes analysis of risk voltage for grounding electrode where earth leakage current is injected. To assess risk voltage of grounding electrode, the grounding simulator and CDEGS program were used to obtain measured data and theoretical results of this study. The grounding simulator was composed of a hemispherical water tank, AC power supply, a movable potentiometer, and test grounding electrodes. The shapes of grounding electrode model was ground rod. The potential rise was measured by grounding simulator, and the touch and step voltages were computed by CDEGS program. As a consequence, the potential rise of ground rod abruptly decreases with increasing the distance from the grounding electrode to the point to be tested. The touch voltage above the ground rod was low, but the step voltage was high. The measured results were compared with the computer calculated data and were known in good agreement.

Integrated risk assessment method for spent fuel road transportation accident under complex environment

  • Tao, Longlong;Chen, Liwei;Long, Pengcheng;Chen, Chunhua;Wang, Jin
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.393-398
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    • 2021
  • Current risk assessment of Spent Nuclear Fuel (SNF) transportation has the problem of the incomplete risk factors consideration and the general particle diffusion model utilization. In this paper, the accident frequency calculation and the detailed simulation of the accident consequences are coupled by the integrated risk assessment method. The "man-machine-environment" three-dimensional comprehensive risk indicator system is established and quantified to characterize the frequency of the transportation accidents. Consideration of vegetation, building and turbulence effect, the standard k-ε model is updated to simulate radioactive consequence of leakage accidents under complex terrain. The developed method is applied to assess the risk of the leakage accident in the scene of the typical domestic SNF Road Transportation (SNFRT). The critical risk factors and their impacts on the dispersion of the radionuclide are obtained.

The Result of Treatment of Anastomotic Leakage after an Elective Gastrectomy for an Adenocarcinoma (위암의 정규 위절제술 후 발생한 문합부 누출의 치료 결과)

  • Shim, Yo-Seop;Kim, Chan-Young;Yang, Doo-Hyun
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.164-168
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    • 2004
  • Purpose: The most feared complication of gastrointestinal tract operations is anastomotic leakage, not only because of the presumed individual surgeon's culpability but also because of the assumption that this event is often fatal. We have experienced 32 cases of anastomotic leakage after elective gastric resection during 8 years. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the result of their treatment. Materials and Methods: We evaluated the records of 1335 patients who had undergone elective gastric resection for an adenocarcinoma of stomach from January 1995 to October 2003 and conducted a retrospective, multivariate analysis. Results: Of the 1335 patients, 32 ($2.4\%$) sustained an anastomotic leakage. Anastomotic leakages usually developed on mean postoperative day $9.1\pm3.2$ (range:$1\∼18$ days).Overall, $31.3\%$ (10/32) of patients who sustained an anastomotic leakage died. The anastomotic leakages were identifed by radiological study or by operative finding at the site of the duodenal stump (20 patients), the esophagojejunostomy (7), the gastroduodenostomy (4), and the gastrojejunostomy (1). Fourteen patients ($43.8\%$) underwent a relaparotomy, a drainage procedure in the main, and 18 patients ($56.3\%$) were treated conservatively. The mortality rates were $42.9\%$ (6/14) and $22.2\%$ (4/18), respectively, but this difference was not statistically significant. A cox's proportional hazard analysis showed that a body-mass Index < 24 kg/m2 (odds ratio 5.55, $95\%$ CI: $0.69\∼44.82$) and non-enteral feeding (odds ratio 18.27, $95\%$ CI 2.22.150.69) were independent factors of mortality due to anastomotic leakage. Conclusion: Our observations show that anastomotic leakage after an elective gastric resection has a high risk of being fatal. Moreover, for a patient with a body-mass index lower than $24\;kg/m^{2}$ and/or non-enteral feeding, an anastomotic leakage after an elective gastric resection has a higher risk of being fatal.

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Risk Factors for Duodenal Stump Leakage after Laparoscopic Gastrectomy for Gastric Cancer

  • Gu, Lihu;Zhang, Kang;Shen, Zefeng;Wang, Xianfa;Zhu, Hepan;Pan, Junhai;Zhong, Xin;Khadaroo, Parikshit Asutosh;Chen, Ping
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.81-94
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: Duodenal stump leakage (DSL) is a potentially fatal complication that can occur after gastrectomy, but its underlying risk factors are unclear. This study aimed to investigate the risk factors and management of DSL after laparoscopic radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer (GC). Materials and Methods: Relevant data were collected from several prospective databases to retrospectively analyze the data of GC patients who underwent Billroth II (B-II) or Rouxen-Y (R-Y) reconstruction after laparoscopic gastrectomy from 2 institutions (Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, and HwaMei Hospital, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences). The DSL risk factors were analyzed using univariate and multivariate analysis regression. Results: A total of 810 patients were eligible for our analysis (426 with R-Y, 384 with B-II with Braun). Eleven patients had DSL (1.36%). Body mass index (BMI), elevated preoperative C-reactive protein (CRP) level, and unreinforced duodenal stump were the independent risk factors for DSL. DSL was diagnosed in 2-12 days, with a median of 8 days. Seven patients received conservative treatment, 3 patients received puncture treatment, and only 1 patient required reoperation. All patients recovered successfully after treatment. Conclusions: The risk factors of DSL were BMI ≥24 kg/㎡, elevated preoperative CRP level, and unreinforced duodenal stump. Nonsurgical treatments for DSL are preferred.