• Title/Summary/Keyword: Leakage risk

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Fault Tree Analysis for Risk Assessment of CO2 Leakage from Geologic Storage (지중 저장 이산화탄소의 누출 위험도 평가를 위한 결함수 분석)

  • Lee, Sang Il;Lee, Sang Ki;Hwang, Jin Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.359-366
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    • 2009
  • CCS (Carbon Capture and Storage) is considered as the most promising interim solution to deal with the greenhouse gas such as $CO_2$ responsible for global warming. Even though carefully chosen geologic formations are known to contain stored gas for a long time period, there are potential risks of leakage. Up to now, applicable risk assessment procedures for the leakage of $CO_2$ are not available. This study presents a basis for risk analysis applicable to a complex geologic storage system. It starts with the classification of potential leakage pathways. Receptors and the leakage effect on them are identified and quantified. Then, a fault tree is constructed, which yields the minimum cut set (i.e., the most vulnerable leakage pathway) and quantifies the probability of the leakage risk through the cut set. The methodology will provide a tool for risk assessment in a CCS project. The outcomes of the assessment will not only ensure the safety of the CCS system but also offer a reliable and efficient monitoring plan.

Diffusion Range and Pool Formation in the Leakage of Liquid Hydrogen Storage Tank Using CFD Tools

  • Kim, Soohyeon;Lee, Minkyung;Kim, Junghwan;Lee, Jaehun
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.653-660
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    • 2022
  • In liquid hydrogen storage tanks, tank damage or leakage in the surrounding pipes possess a major risk. Since these tanks store huge amounts of the fluid among all the liquid hydrogen process facilities, there is a high risk of leakage-related accidents. Therefore, in this study, we conducted a risk assessment of liquid hydrogen leakage for a grid-type liquid hydrogen storage tank (lattice-type pressure vessel (LPV): 18 m3) that overcame the low space efficiency of the existing pressure vessel shape. Through a commercially developed three-dimensional computational fluid dynamics program, the geometry of the site, where the liquid hydrogen storage tank will be installed, was obtained and simulations of the leakage scenarios for each situation were performed. From the computational flow analysis results, the pool formation behavior in the event of liquid hydrogen leakage was identified, and the resulting damage range was predicted.

Risk of Carbon Leakage and Border Carbon Adjustments under the Korean Emissions Trading Scheme

  • Oh, Kyungsoo
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.45-64
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - This paper examines South Korea's potential status as a carbon leakage country, and the level of risk posed by the Korean emissions trading scheme (ETS) for Korean industries. The economic effects of border carbon adjustments (BCAs) to protect energy-intensive Korean industries in the process of achieving the carbon reduction target by 2030 through the Korean ETS are also analyzed. Design/methodology - First, using the Korean Input-Output (IO) table, this paper calculates the balance of emissions embodied in trade (BEET) and the pollution terms of trade (PTT) to determine Korean industries' carbon leakage status. Analyses of the risk level posed by carbon reduction policy implementation in international trade are conducted for some sectors by applying the EU criteria. Second, using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, three BCA scenarios, exemption regulations (EXE), reimbursement (REB), and tariff reduction (TAR) to protect the energy-intensive industries under the Korean ETS are addressed. Compared to the baseline scenario of achieving carbon reduction targets by 2030, the effects of BCAs on welfare, carbon leakage, outputs, and trading are analyzed. Findings - As Korea's industrial structure has been transitioning from a carbon importing to a carbon leaking country. The results indicate that some industrial sectors could face the risk of losing international competitiveness due to the Korean ETS. South Korea's industries are basically exposed to risk of carbon leakage because most industries have a trade intensity higher than 30%. This could be interpreted as disproving vulnerability to carbon leakage. Although the petroleum and coal sector is not in carbon leakage, according to BEET and PTT, the Korean ETS exposes this sector to a high risk of carbon leakage. Non-metallic minerals and iron and steel sectors are also exposed to a high risk of carbon leakage due to the increased burden of carbon reduction costs embodied in the Korean ETS, despite relatively low levels of trade intensity. BCAs are demonstrated to have an influential role in protecting energy-intensive industries while achieving the carbon reduction target by 2030. The EXE scenario has the greatest impact on mitigation of welfare losses and carbon leakage, and the TAF scenario causes a disturbance in the international trade market because of the pricing adjustment system. In reality, the EXE scenario, which implies completely exempting energy-intensive industries, could be difficult to implement due to various practical constraints, such as equity and reduction targets and other industries; therefore, the REB scenario presents the most realistic approach and appears to have an effect that could compensate for the burden of economic activities and emissions regulations in these industries. Originality/value - This paper confirms the vulnerability of the Korean industrial the risk of carbon leakage, demonstrating that some industrial sectors could be exposed to losing international competitiveness by implementing carbon reduction policies such as the Korean ETS. The contribution of this paper is the identification of proposed approaches to protect Korean industries in the process of achieving the 2030 reduction target by analyzing the effects of BCA scenarios using a CGE model.

Estimation of Accident Probability for Dynamic Risk Assessment (동적 위험 분석을 위한 사고확률 추정 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Byeong-Cheol Park;Chae-Og Lim;In-Hyuk Nam;Sung-Chul Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.26 no.2_2
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    • pp.315-325
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    • 2023
  • Recently, various dynamic risk analysis methods have been suggested for estimating the risk index by predicting the possibility of accidents and damage. It is necessary to maintain and support the safety system for responding to accidents by continuously updating the probability of accidents and the results of accidents, which are quantitative standards of ship risk. In this study, when a LNG leakage that may occur in the LN G Fuel Gas Supply System (FGSS) room during LN G bunkering operation, a reliability physical model was prepared by the change in monitoring data as physical parameters to estimate the accident probability. The scenario in which LNG leakage occur were configured with FT (Fault Tree), and the coefficient of the covariate model and Weibull distribution was estimated based on the monitoring data. The possibility of an LNG leakage, which is the top event of FT, was confirmed by changes in time and monitoring data. A method for estimating the LNG leakage based on the reliability physical analysis is proposed, which supports fast decision-making by identifying the potential LNG leakage at the accident.

A Study on Transportation Route of Chemicals using Quantitative Risk Assessment (정량적 위험성평가를 이용한 화학물질 운송경로에 관한 연구)

  • Byun, Yoon Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.46-52
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    • 2017
  • During the transportation of chemicals, quantitative risk assessment for chemical leakage accidents caused by traffic accidents was carried out and the appropriateness of chemical transportation route was evaluated. The quantitative risk assessment method applied to the chemical leakage accidents that may occur in the chemical handling equipments installed in the workplace was presented and applied to the chemical transportation. By analyzing the number of traffic accidents in transportation vehicles, the probability of chemical leakage accidents during chemical transportation was predicted and applied to the quantitative risk assessment of chlorine gas leakage accidents that may occur when transporting liquified chlorine bombe using vehicles. As a result, the most appropriate route of transporting the liquefied chlorine bombe was suggested on the basis of risk.

Analyzing the Privacy Leakage Prevention Behavior of Internet Users Based on Risk Perception and Efficacy Beliefs : Using Risk Perception Attitude Framework (위험지각과 효능감에 따른 인터넷 사용자의 개인정보 유출 예방행위 분석 : 위험지각태도 프레임웍을 기반으로)

  • Jang, Ickjin;Choi, Byounggu
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.65-89
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    • 2014
  • Although many studies have focused on the influences and outcomes of personal information leakage, few studies have investigated how the personal information leakage prevention behavior differs depending on internet user. This study attempts to supplement the existing studies' limitations with the use of risk perception attitude (RPA) framework. More specifically, this study tries to show internet user can be classified into four groups based on perceived risk of personal information leakage and efficacy beliefs of personal information protection, and to identify how the groups differ in terms of motivation, information seeking, and behaviors for privacy leakage prevention. Analysis on survey data from 276 internet users reveals that the users can be classified into responsive, avoidance, proactive, indifference groups. Furthermore, there are differences between groups in terms of motivation, information seeking, and behaviors for personal information leakage prevention. This study contributes to expand existing literature by providing tailored guidelines for implementation of personal information protection strategies and policy.

Risk Factors for Anastomotic Leakage: A Retrospective Cohort Study in a Single Gastric Surgical Unit

  • Kim, Sung-Ho;Son, Sang-Yong;Park, Young-Suk;Ahn, Sang-Hoon;Park, Do Joong;Kim, Hyung-Ho
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.167-175
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: Although several studies report risk factors for anastomotic leakage after gastrectomy for gastric cancer, they have yielded conflicting results. The present retrospective cohort study was performed to identify risk factors that are consistently associated with anastomotic leakage after gastrectomy for stomach cancer. Materials and Methods: All consecutive patients who underwent gastrectomy at a single gastric surgical unit between May 2003 and December 2012 were identified retrospectively. The associations between anastomotic leakage and 23 variables related to patient history, diagnosis, and surgery were assessed and analyzed with logistic regression. Results: In total, 3,827 patients were included. The rate of anastomotic leakage was 1.88% (72/3,827). Multiple regression analysis showed that male sex (P=0.001), preoperative/intraoperative transfusion (P<0.001), presence of cardiovascular disease (P=0.023), and tumor location (P<0.001) were predictive of anastomotic leakage. Patients with and without leakage did not differ significantly in terms of their 5-year survival: 97.6 vs. 109.5 months (P=0.076). Conclusions: Male sex, cardiovascular disease, perioperative transfusion, and tumor location in the upper third of the stomach were associated with an increased risk of anastomotic leakage. Although several studies have reported that an anastomotic complication has a negative impact on long-term survival, this association was not observed in the present study.

A Study on a Scenario-based Information Leakage Risk Response Model Associated with the PC Event Detection Function and Security Control Procedures (PC 이벤트 탐지 기능과 보안 통제 절차를 연계시킨 시나리오 기반 금융정보유출 위험 대응 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Ig Jun;Youm, Heung Youl
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.137-152
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    • 2018
  • It is a measure to overcome limitations that occur in the activity of detecting and blocking abnormal information leakage activity by collecting the activity log generated by the security solution to detect the leakage of existing financial information and analyzing it by pattern analysis. First, it monitors real-time execution programs in PC that are used as information leakage path (read from the outside, save to the outside, transfer to the outside, etc.) in the PC. Second, it determines whether it is a normal controlled exception control circumvention by interacting with the related security control process at the time the program is executed. Finally, we propose a risk management model that can control the risk of financial information leakage through the process procedure created on the basis of scenario.

A risk assessment of $CO_2$ geological storage for domestic application (이산화탄소 지중저장의 국내적용을 위한 위해성 평가 방안)

  • Lee, Kang-Ryel;Lee, Dae-Soo
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.220.1-220.1
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    • 2011
  • In recent years, the importance of Carbon Capture and Storage (hereafter CCS) is growing bigger and bigger. The development and commercialization of CCS technology are concerned for reducing carbon dioxide($CO_2$) emissions. For the most studies, the technology of $CO_2$ storage is known as the geological storage, ocean sequestration, mineral carbonation, industrial utilization, and so on. The geological storage is adjudged the most reasonable technology from economic and environmental aspects. Generally, the $CO_2$ geological storage is comprised of compression - transportation - drilling/injection - storage/management process. The critical problem is a leakage of $CO_2$ in all process. For resolving a leakage problem, it is necessary to predict and build a monitoring system. Those systems are proved safety of a leakage and received positive social perceptions of $CO_2$ geological storage. For those reasons, a risk assessment of $CO_2$ geological storage is required. A risk assessment is an estimated process of the possible effects when spilling $CO_2$. Although numerous studies of risk assessment have studied, it is incomplete to evaluate a risk and disaster quantitatively. The risk assessment will be developed for domestic application and safe $CO_2$ geological storage considering characteristics of Korea.

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A Study on Minimization of Leakage of Important Information in M&A (인수합병(M&A)시 기업 중요정보 유출 최소화 방안 연구)

  • An, Young Baek;Chang, Hang Bae
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.215-228
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    • 2020
  • M&As are continuing to grow globally and are expected to increase in the future. With the fourth industrial revolution and the strengthening of neo-protection trade between countries, technology is cited as the core of national competitiveness, and the trend of M&A's increase, which is aimed at securing technology, is expected to continue. However, the risk of technology leakage, which is difficult to determine clearly illegally in the process of M&A, is still growing, and there is not enough prevention or response to this problem. the purpose of this paper was to divide the M&A process into seven stages and to ensure that important information of the enterprises during M&A between the countries and the domestic companies was not leaked unfairly, and each step analyzed the risk factors and causes of the leakage of important information in the M&A process and presented a risk-specific management plan for minimizing the leakage of important information based on the importance of the risk factors. Companies that pursue M&A in the future will reflect the M&A step-by-step risk and risk management measures derived based on case analysis and expert surveys. I hope to use risk management measures to help minimize unintentional leakage of important corporate information into the outside.