• 제목/요약/키워드: Leakage risk

검색결과 424건 처리시간 0.025초

지중 저장 이산화탄소의 누출 위험도 평가를 위한 결함수 분석 (Fault Tree Analysis for Risk Assessment of CO2 Leakage from Geologic Storage)

  • 이상일;이상기;황진환
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.359-366
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    • 2009
  • CCS (Carbon Capture and Storage) is considered as the most promising interim solution to deal with the greenhouse gas such as $CO_2$ responsible for global warming. Even though carefully chosen geologic formations are known to contain stored gas for a long time period, there are potential risks of leakage. Up to now, applicable risk assessment procedures for the leakage of $CO_2$ are not available. This study presents a basis for risk analysis applicable to a complex geologic storage system. It starts with the classification of potential leakage pathways. Receptors and the leakage effect on them are identified and quantified. Then, a fault tree is constructed, which yields the minimum cut set (i.e., the most vulnerable leakage pathway) and quantifies the probability of the leakage risk through the cut set. The methodology will provide a tool for risk assessment in a CCS project. The outcomes of the assessment will not only ensure the safety of the CCS system but also offer a reliable and efficient monitoring plan.

Diffusion Range and Pool Formation in the Leakage of Liquid Hydrogen Storage Tank Using CFD Tools

  • Kim, Soohyeon;Lee, Minkyung;Kim, Junghwan;Lee, Jaehun
    • 공업화학
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.653-660
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    • 2022
  • In liquid hydrogen storage tanks, tank damage or leakage in the surrounding pipes possess a major risk. Since these tanks store huge amounts of the fluid among all the liquid hydrogen process facilities, there is a high risk of leakage-related accidents. Therefore, in this study, we conducted a risk assessment of liquid hydrogen leakage for a grid-type liquid hydrogen storage tank (lattice-type pressure vessel (LPV): 18 m3) that overcame the low space efficiency of the existing pressure vessel shape. Through a commercially developed three-dimensional computational fluid dynamics program, the geometry of the site, where the liquid hydrogen storage tank will be installed, was obtained and simulations of the leakage scenarios for each situation were performed. From the computational flow analysis results, the pool formation behavior in the event of liquid hydrogen leakage was identified, and the resulting damage range was predicted.

Risk of Carbon Leakage and Border Carbon Adjustments under the Korean Emissions Trading Scheme

  • Oh, Kyungsoo
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.45-64
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - This paper examines South Korea's potential status as a carbon leakage country, and the level of risk posed by the Korean emissions trading scheme (ETS) for Korean industries. The economic effects of border carbon adjustments (BCAs) to protect energy-intensive Korean industries in the process of achieving the carbon reduction target by 2030 through the Korean ETS are also analyzed. Design/methodology - First, using the Korean Input-Output (IO) table, this paper calculates the balance of emissions embodied in trade (BEET) and the pollution terms of trade (PTT) to determine Korean industries' carbon leakage status. Analyses of the risk level posed by carbon reduction policy implementation in international trade are conducted for some sectors by applying the EU criteria. Second, using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, three BCA scenarios, exemption regulations (EXE), reimbursement (REB), and tariff reduction (TAR) to protect the energy-intensive industries under the Korean ETS are addressed. Compared to the baseline scenario of achieving carbon reduction targets by 2030, the effects of BCAs on welfare, carbon leakage, outputs, and trading are analyzed. Findings - As Korea's industrial structure has been transitioning from a carbon importing to a carbon leaking country. The results indicate that some industrial sectors could face the risk of losing international competitiveness due to the Korean ETS. South Korea's industries are basically exposed to risk of carbon leakage because most industries have a trade intensity higher than 30%. This could be interpreted as disproving vulnerability to carbon leakage. Although the petroleum and coal sector is not in carbon leakage, according to BEET and PTT, the Korean ETS exposes this sector to a high risk of carbon leakage. Non-metallic minerals and iron and steel sectors are also exposed to a high risk of carbon leakage due to the increased burden of carbon reduction costs embodied in the Korean ETS, despite relatively low levels of trade intensity. BCAs are demonstrated to have an influential role in protecting energy-intensive industries while achieving the carbon reduction target by 2030. The EXE scenario has the greatest impact on mitigation of welfare losses and carbon leakage, and the TAF scenario causes a disturbance in the international trade market because of the pricing adjustment system. In reality, the EXE scenario, which implies completely exempting energy-intensive industries, could be difficult to implement due to various practical constraints, such as equity and reduction targets and other industries; therefore, the REB scenario presents the most realistic approach and appears to have an effect that could compensate for the burden of economic activities and emissions regulations in these industries. Originality/value - This paper confirms the vulnerability of the Korean industrial the risk of carbon leakage, demonstrating that some industrial sectors could be exposed to losing international competitiveness by implementing carbon reduction policies such as the Korean ETS. The contribution of this paper is the identification of proposed approaches to protect Korean industries in the process of achieving the 2030 reduction target by analyzing the effects of BCA scenarios using a CGE model.

동적 위험 분석을 위한 사고확률 추정 방법에 관한 연구 (Estimation of Accident Probability for Dynamic Risk Assessment)

  • 박병철;임채옥;남인혁;신성철
    • 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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    • 제26권2_2호
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    • pp.315-325
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    • 2023
  • Recently, various dynamic risk analysis methods have been suggested for estimating the risk index by predicting the possibility of accidents and damage. It is necessary to maintain and support the safety system for responding to accidents by continuously updating the probability of accidents and the results of accidents, which are quantitative standards of ship risk. In this study, when a LNG leakage that may occur in the LN G Fuel Gas Supply System (FGSS) room during LN G bunkering operation, a reliability physical model was prepared by the change in monitoring data as physical parameters to estimate the accident probability. The scenario in which LNG leakage occur were configured with FT (Fault Tree), and the coefficient of the covariate model and Weibull distribution was estimated based on the monitoring data. The possibility of an LNG leakage, which is the top event of FT, was confirmed by changes in time and monitoring data. A method for estimating the LNG leakage based on the reliability physical analysis is proposed, which supports fast decision-making by identifying the potential LNG leakage at the accident.

정량적 위험성평가를 이용한 화학물질 운송경로에 관한 연구 (A Study on Transportation Route of Chemicals using Quantitative Risk Assessment)

  • 변윤섭
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.46-52
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    • 2017
  • 화학물질 운송과정에서 교통사고로 인한 화학물질 누출사고가 발생할 경우에 대한 정량적 위험성평가를 실시하였고, 이를 기준으로 화학물질 운송경로의 적절성을 평가하였다. 이를 위해 사업장 내부에 설치되어 있는 화학물질 취급설비에서 화학물질 누출사고가 발생할 경우 적용하는 정량적 위험성평가방법을 제시하였고, 이를 화학물질 운송과정에 적용하였다. 운송 차량의 교통사고 건수를 분석하여 화학물질 운송시 화학물질 누출사고가 발생할 확률을 예측하였고, 차량을 이용하여 액화염소용기를 운송할 경우 발생할 수 있는 염소가스 누출사고에 대한 정량적 위험성평가에 적용하였다. 그 결과 위험도를 바탕으로 액화염소용기를 운송하는 차량의 가장 적절한 운행경로를 제시하였다.

위험지각과 효능감에 따른 인터넷 사용자의 개인정보 유출 예방행위 분석 : 위험지각태도 프레임웍을 기반으로 (Analyzing the Privacy Leakage Prevention Behavior of Internet Users Based on Risk Perception and Efficacy Beliefs : Using Risk Perception Attitude Framework)

  • 장익진;최병구
    • 한국전자거래학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.65-89
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    • 2014
  • 개인정보 유출에 미치는 영향요인 및 유출의 결과와 관련된 다양한 연구가 진행되어 왔음에도 불구하고, 인터넷 사용자에 따라 개인정보 유출 예방행동에 어떠한 차이가 있는지에 대한 연구는 거의 이루어지지 않고 있다. 본 연구는 위험지각태도(risk perception attitude: RPA) 프레임웍을 기반으로 인터넷 사용자의 개인정보 유출 예방행동이 어떻게 달라지는가를 파악하고자 하였다. 보다 구체적으로 개인정보 유출에 대한 지각된 위험과 이의 예방을 위한 효능감을 기준으로 인터넷 사용자를 4가지 유형으로 분류할 수 있으며 각 그룹이 개인정보 보호동기, 정보탐색, 유출 예방행동에 있어 어떠한 차이가 있는지를 파악하고자 하였다. 276명의 인터넷 사용자로부터 수집된 자료를 분석한 결과 인터넷 사용자는 즉각대응(responsive), 회피(avoidance), 상황주도(proactive), 무관심(indifference)의 4가지 그룹으로 분류 가능하며 각 그룹 간 보호동기, 정보탐색, 예방활동에 있어 차이가 있음을 규명하였다. 본 연구는 개인정보 유출 예방전략 및 정책수립을 위한 가이드라인을 제시하였다는 점에서 그 의의가 있다.

Risk Factors for Anastomotic Leakage: A Retrospective Cohort Study in a Single Gastric Surgical Unit

  • Kim, Sung-Ho;Son, Sang-Yong;Park, Young-Suk;Ahn, Sang-Hoon;Park, Do Joong;Kim, Hyung-Ho
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.167-175
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: Although several studies report risk factors for anastomotic leakage after gastrectomy for gastric cancer, they have yielded conflicting results. The present retrospective cohort study was performed to identify risk factors that are consistently associated with anastomotic leakage after gastrectomy for stomach cancer. Materials and Methods: All consecutive patients who underwent gastrectomy at a single gastric surgical unit between May 2003 and December 2012 were identified retrospectively. The associations between anastomotic leakage and 23 variables related to patient history, diagnosis, and surgery were assessed and analyzed with logistic regression. Results: In total, 3,827 patients were included. The rate of anastomotic leakage was 1.88% (72/3,827). Multiple regression analysis showed that male sex (P=0.001), preoperative/intraoperative transfusion (P<0.001), presence of cardiovascular disease (P=0.023), and tumor location (P<0.001) were predictive of anastomotic leakage. Patients with and without leakage did not differ significantly in terms of their 5-year survival: 97.6 vs. 109.5 months (P=0.076). Conclusions: Male sex, cardiovascular disease, perioperative transfusion, and tumor location in the upper third of the stomach were associated with an increased risk of anastomotic leakage. Although several studies have reported that an anastomotic complication has a negative impact on long-term survival, this association was not observed in the present study.

PC 이벤트 탐지 기능과 보안 통제 절차를 연계시킨 시나리오 기반 금융정보유출 위험 대응 모델에 관한 연구 (A Study on a Scenario-based Information Leakage Risk Response Model Associated with the PC Event Detection Function and Security Control Procedures)

  • 이익준;염흥열
    • 한국전자거래학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.137-152
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    • 2018
  • 기존 금융정보유출 행위를 탐지하기 위해 보안솔루션에서 생성한 행위 로그를 수집하여 패턴분석으로 정보유출 이상행위를 탐지하고 차단하는 활동에서 발생되는 한계점을 극복하고, 효과적으로 대응하기 위한 방안으로 첫 번째, PC에서 정보유출 경로(외부에서 읽기, 외부로 저장하기, 외부로 전송하기 등)로 이용되는 PC내 실행 프로그램들을 실시간으로 모니터링하고 두 번째, 해당 프로그램이 실행하는 시점에 연관된 보안 통제 프로세스와 상호 연동하여 정상 통제예외 통제우회 행위인지를 파악한 다음 마지막 단계인 시나리오 기반으로 생성한 처리 절차를 통해 금융정보유출 위험을 통제할 수 있는 위험 관리 모델을 제안함으로서 정보 보호 측면의 보안성 강화 및 업무 효율성 향상의 기대효과를 창출하고자 한다.

이산화탄소 지중저장의 국내적용을 위한 위해성 평가 방안 (A risk assessment of $CO_2$ geological storage for domestic application)

  • 이강렬;이대수
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신재생에너지학회 2011년도 춘계학술대회 초록집
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    • pp.220.1-220.1
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    • 2011
  • In recent years, the importance of Carbon Capture and Storage (hereafter CCS) is growing bigger and bigger. The development and commercialization of CCS technology are concerned for reducing carbon dioxide($CO_2$) emissions. For the most studies, the technology of $CO_2$ storage is known as the geological storage, ocean sequestration, mineral carbonation, industrial utilization, and so on. The geological storage is adjudged the most reasonable technology from economic and environmental aspects. Generally, the $CO_2$ geological storage is comprised of compression - transportation - drilling/injection - storage/management process. The critical problem is a leakage of $CO_2$ in all process. For resolving a leakage problem, it is necessary to predict and build a monitoring system. Those systems are proved safety of a leakage and received positive social perceptions of $CO_2$ geological storage. For those reasons, a risk assessment of $CO_2$ geological storage is required. A risk assessment is an estimated process of the possible effects when spilling $CO_2$. Although numerous studies of risk assessment have studied, it is incomplete to evaluate a risk and disaster quantitatively. The risk assessment will be developed for domestic application and safe $CO_2$ geological storage considering characteristics of Korea.

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인수합병(M&A)시 기업 중요정보 유출 최소화 방안 연구 (A Study on Minimization of Leakage of Important Information in M&A)

  • 안영백;장항배
    • 한국전자거래학회지
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.215-228
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    • 2020
  • 기업의 인수합병(M&A)은 전 세계적으로 계속 증가하는 추세이고 앞으로도 더욱 증가할 것으로 예상된다. 4차 산업혁명 등의 영향으로 기술이 국가경쟁력의 핵심으로 지목되고, 기술확보를 목적으로 하는 M&A의 증가 추세는 계속될 것으로 전망된다. 하지만, 기업의 인수합병 과정에서 기술 유출의 위험에 대한 예방이나 대응 방안은 미비하며, 산업기술보호법이 개정되어 해외기업이 국가 핵심기술을 보유한 우리나라 기업을 인수·합병하고자 하는 경우 미리 승인 또는 신고를 하도록 하여 국가 핵심기술에 대한 법적 통제는 강화되었으나, 국가 핵심기술 이외에 일반 핵심기술을 보유한 기업들의 기술, 영업비밀, 인력 및 핵심자산 등 중요정보가 M&A 과정에서 유출되는 것에 대한 법적 보호 및 이에 대한 대응 방안 연구 등은 부재한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 M&A 과정을 7단계로 구분하고 각 단계별로 M&A 과정에서 중요정보가 유출될 수 있는 위험요소 및 원인들을 도출하여 위험요소별 관리방안을 제시하였다. 앞으로 M&A를 추진하는 기업들이 본 연구에서 제시한 M&A 단계별 위험요소와 각 요소별 관리방안을 활용하여 기업의 중요정보가 의도하지 않게 외부로 유출되는 것을 최소화하는데 도움이 되기를 기대한다.