• 환경영향평가
• /
• 제9권3호
• /
• pp.203-214
• /
• 2000

Health risk assessment is applied to streamlining LCA(Life Cycle Assessment) using Monte carlo simulation for probabilistic/stochastic exposure and risk distribution analysis caused by data variability and uncertainty. A case study was carried out to find benefits of this application. BTC(Benzene, Trichloroethylene, Carbon tetrachloride mixture alias) personal exposure cases were assumed as production worker(in workplace), manager(in office) and business man(outdoor). These cases were different from occupational retention time and exposure concentration for BTC consumption pattern. The result of cancer risk in these 3 scenario cases were estimated as $1.72E-4{\pm}1.2E+0$(production worker; case A), $9.62E-5{\pm}1.44E-5$(manger; case B), $6.90E-5{\pm}1.16E+0$(business man; case C), respectively. Portions of over acceptable risk 1.00E-4(assumed standard) were 99.85%, 38.89% and 0.61%, respectively. Estimated BTC risk was log-normal pattern, but some of distributions did not have any formal patterns. Except first impact factor(BTC emission quantity), sensitivity analysis showed that main effective factor was retention time in their occupational exposure sites. This case study is a good example to cover that LCA with probabilistic risk analysis tool can supply various significant information such as statistical distribution including personal/environmental exposure level, daily time activity pattern and individual susceptibility. Further research is needed for investigating real data of these input variables and personal exposure concentration and application of this study methodology.

• 대한기계학회논문집B
• /
• 제35권8호
• /
• pp.763-771
• /
• 2011

본 연구에서는 환기용 축류송풍기에 대하여 효율을 목적함수로 하는 수치최적설계를 수행하였다. 유동해석은 삼차원 Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes(RANS) 방정식을 통하여 이뤄졌으며, 난류모델로는 Shear Stress Transport 모델을 사용하였다. 최적설계를 위한 설계변수로는 허브비, 날개의 중간 및 팁 스팬에서의 엇갈림각을 사용하였다. 실험계획법으로 라틴하이퍼큐브 샘플링 방법을 사용하여 설계영역 내에서 25개의 실험점을 추출하였다. 최적설계기법인 가중평균대리모델과 삼차원 RANS 해석을 결합하여 수치최적설계를 수행하였으며, 가중평균대리모델로는 WTA1, WTA2 및 WTA3 모델을 사용하였다. 수치 최적설계에 의해 얻어진 최적형상들의 성능을 기준형상과 비교하였으며, 성능이 가장 좋은 모델에 대하여 기준형상과의 내부유동장 비교 및 분석을 통해 성능이 향상된 원인을 규명하였다.

• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
• /
• 제26권3호
• /
• pp.23-34
• /
• 2017

본 연구는 복수 품목을 정비하는 단일 정비부대의 정비 프로세스를 시뮬레이션으로 모델링하였다. 이를 통해 정비능력을 공유한 정비창이 최적 비용으로 구성품 가동률과 목표 가동율 등을 달성하는지를 분석할 수 있다. 구성품 가동률과 정비시간 등을 핵심 성과지표로 하여 육군 항공기 정비단 엔진 정비프로세스에 대한 시뮬레이션 모델을 구성하고 실증연구를 하였다. 영향요소의 식별을 위해 NOLH 실험설계법을 적용하여, 33가지 시나리오를 구성하고 다중회귀분석을 수행하였다. 이 비용분석 연구를 통해 정비 프로세스의 개선사항을 식별할 수 있었다. 본 연구는 시뮬레이션을 통해 복수품목을 정비하는 단일 정비부대의 비용대 효과 분석 모형을 제공했다는데 의의가 있다.

• International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
• /
• 제12권1호
• /
• pp.71-84
• /
• 2020

In order to improve the performance of marine centrifugal pump, a centrifugal pump whose specific speed is 66.7 was selected for the research. Outlet diameter D2, outlet width b2, blade outlet angle β2, blade wrap φ and blade number z of the impeller were chosen as the variables. The maximum weighted average efficiency and the minimum vibration intensity at the base were calculated as objectives. Based on the Latin Hypercube method, the impeller was numerically optimized. The numerical results show that after optimization, the amplitudes of pressure fluctuation on the main frequency at different monitoring points decrease in varying degrees. The radial force on impeller decreases obviously under off-design flow rates and is more symmetrical during the operation of the pump. The variation of the axial force is relatively small, which has no obvious relationship with the rotating angle of the impeller. The energy performance and vibration experiment was performed for verifying. The test results show that the weighted average efficiency under 0.8Qd, 1.0Qd and 1.2Qd increases by 4.3% after optimization. The maximal vibration intensity at M1-M4 on the pump base reduced from 0.36 mm/s to 0.25 mm/s, decreasing by 30.5%. In addition, the vibration velocities of bracket in pump side and outlet flange also have significant reductions.

• Earthquakes and Structures
• /
• 제26권4호
• /
• pp.311-326
• /
• 2024

Transmission tower structures are particularly susceptible to damage and even collapse under strong seismic ground motions. Conventional seismic analyses of transmission towers are usually performed by considering only ground motion uncertainty while ignoring structural uncertainty; consequently, the performance evaluation and failure prediction may be inaccurate. In this context, the present study numerically investigates the seismic responses and failure mechanism of transmission towers by considering multiple sources of uncertainty. To this end, an existing transmission tower is chosen, and the corresponding three-dimensional finite element model is created in ABAQUS software. Sensitivity analysis is carried out to identify the relative importance of the uncertain parameters in the seismic responses of transmission towers. The numerical results indicate that the impacts of the structural damping ratio, elastic modulus and yield strength on the seismic responses of the transmission tower are relatively large. Subsequently, a set of 20 uncertainty models are established based on random samples of various parameter combinations generated by the Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) method. An uncertainty analysis is performed for these uncertainty models to clarify the impacts of uncertain structural factors on the seismic responses and failure mechanism (ultimate bearing capacity and failure path). The numerical results show that structural uncertainty has a significant influence on the seismic responses and failure mechanism of transmission towers; different possible failure paths exist for the uncertainty models, whereas only one exists for the deterministic model, and the ultimate bearing capacity of transmission towers is more sensitive to the variation in material parameters than that in geometrical parameters. This research is expected to provide an in-depth understanding of the influence of structural uncertainty on the seismic demand assessment of transmission towers.

• 한국전산구조공학회논문집
• /
• 제34권2호
• /
• pp.77-84
• /
• 2021

원자력시설 SPRA 방법으로서 기기 사이 부분 종속 관계를 정확하게 고려하기 위하여 샘플링기반접근법이 개발된 바 있다. 그러나 이는 샘플링 기반 방법이므로 정확한 지진 리스크 산정을 위하여 많은 수의 샘플을 추출해야 하는 단점이 있다. 이에 따라 본 연구에서는 기존 방법을 개선하기 위한 효과적인 방법을 제안한다. 본 연구에서 제안한 방법의 주요한 특징은 다음과 같다. 기존 샘플링방법인 몬테카를로샘플링(MCS) 방법을 대신하여 다차원에서 효과적인 샘플링이 가능한 라틴하이퍼큐브샘플링(LHS) 방법을 샘플링기반 SPRA에 도입한다. 또한, 기존 지진세기 세분화 정도를 최종 지진 리스크 결과와 연계하여 결정한다. 제안된 방법이 결합된 샘플링기반 SPRA 접근법을 실제 원전 예제에 적용한 결과, 제안된 방법이 기존의 방법과 비교하여 결과 정확도에 있어서 거의 비슷하나 총 샘플 추출수 기준에서 효율성을 약 2배 가량 높이 것을 확인하였다. 또한, 샘플링 개수가 적은 영역에서 LHS 기반 방법이 MCS 기반 방법보다는 해의 정확도를 높이는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

• Steel and Composite Structures
• /
• 제47권1호
• /
• pp.91-102
• /
• 2023

To study the evaluation standard and control limit of mortar filling layer void length, in this paper, the train sub-model was developed by MATLAB and the track-bridge sub-model considering the mortar filling layer void was established by ANSYS. The two sub-models were assembled into a train-track-bridge coupling dynamic model through the wheel-rail contact relationship, and the validity was corroborated by the coupling dynamic model with the literature model. Considering the randomness of fastening stiffness, mortar elastic modulus, length of mortar filling layer void, and pier settlement, the test points were designed by the Box-Behnken method based on Design-Expert software. The coupled dynamic model was calculated, and the support vector regression (SVR) nonlinear mapping model of the wheel-rail system was established. The learning, prediction, and verification were carried out. Finally, the reliable probability of the amplification coefficient distribution of the response index of the train and structure in different ranges was obtained based on the SVR nonlinear mapping model and Latin hypercube sampling method. The limit of the length of the mortar filling layer void was, thus, obtained. The results show that the SVR nonlinear mapping model developed in this paper has a high fitting accuracy of 0.993, and the computational efficiency is significantly improved by 99.86%. It can be used to calculate the dynamic response of the wheel-rail system. The length of the mortar filling layer void significantly affects the wheel-rail vertical force, wheel weight load reduction ratio, rail vertical displacement, and track plate vertical displacement. The dynamic response of the track structure has a more significant effect on the limit value of the length of the mortar filling layer void than the dynamic response of the vehicle, and the rail vertical displacement is the most obvious. At 250 km/h - 350 km/h train running speed, the limit values of grade I, II, and III of the lengths of the mortar filling layer void are 3.932 m, 4.337 m, and 4.766 m, respectively. The results can provide some reference for the long-term service performance reliability of the ballastless track-bridge system of HRS.

• 한국전산구조공학회논문집
• /
• 제34권1호
• /
• pp.43-50
• /
• 2021

LMU(Leg Mating Unit)는 해양구조물의 플로트오버 실치에서 활용되는 장비 중 하나로 충격을 흡수하는 부분과 결합부로 구성된다. 본 연구에서는 최적설계를 통해 부유식 해양구조물의 플로트오버 설치용 LMU의 성능을 개선하여 설계 요구 조건을 만족하는 설계를 개발하였다. 초기설계는 고정식 해양구조물의 플로트오버 설치용으로 개발된 것의 제원을 참조하였으며, 초탄성재료의 거동을 표현하기 위해 Mooney-Rivlin 모델을 활용하였다. 설계민감도해석 결과를 바탕으로 중요도에 따라 설계 변수들을 선별하였고, 진화알고리듬 기반 최적설계를 수행하였다. 최적설계 문제에서 목적함수는 LMU의 중량이며, 제약 조건은 LMU에 작용하는 최대 폰-미세스 응력과 LMU의 성능을 평가할 수 있는 반발력이다.