• 제목/요약/키워드: Land value

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빅데이터 표준분석모델을 활용한 초등돌봄 수요예측 사례연구 (The Case Study for Childcare Service Demand Forecasting Using Bigdata Reference Analysis Model)

  • 윤충식;정승렬
    • 인터넷정보학회논문지
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2022
  • 행정이 고도의 전문성과 설득력을 갖추기 위해서는 행정 영역에서 '빅데이터'를 활용하고 이러한 과학적 근거에 기반하여 정책의 수립·집행·평가가 이뤄져야 한다는 관점에서 데이터기반 행정에 대한 시대적 요구가 높아지고 있다. 본 연구는 신규 공동주택단지의 초등돌봄 수요예측을 위해 지역의 특성을 기계학습 기반으로 분석·예측하였다. 이를 위해 전용면적, 세대당 주차대수, 건폐율 등 아파트의 구조와 관련된 데이터, 초등학교까지의 거리 등 아파트 주변의 환경 데이터 및 행정구역의 인구 데이터 등 총 292종의 변수가 활용되었다. 다양한 변수의 활용에 큰 의의가 있으며 복합적인 분석에도 의미가 있다. 또한 실제 기초 지방자치단체의 실제값과 비교를 통해서 모델의 신뢰성을 높인 실증기반 사례연구이다.

Uncertainty Factors affecting Bid Price from Pre-bid Clarification Document of Transport Construction Projects

  • Jang, YeEun;Kim, HaYoung;Yi, June-Seong;Lee, Bum-Sik
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 9th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.238-244
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    • 2022
  • Civil projects are associated with many uncertainties because they involve a long duration, many resources, a large area, and many supply chains. Therefore, the price of a civil project is not simply proportional to the quantity and unit price of the item but has a variable value, including uncertainty risk. This study investigates the influence of the uncertainty factors in the pre-bid clarification document on bid price formation during the project bidding phase. To this end, civil projects from the California Department of Transportation (Caltrans) were used as research data. This study randomly selected fifty sample data from each of twelve counties from 2008-to 2020: six hundred. The authors observed that each project sample had 0 to n query cases due to uncertainty. Then, this study examined the project uncertainty cases and categorized them into the following four uncertainty factors: 'conflict' (UF1), 'impossibility' (UF2), 'lack' (UF3), and 'missing' (UF4). Under the extracting process, the cases are classified into four uncertainty factors. With the project not containing any uncertainty factors as a control group, the project containing these uncertainty factors was designated as an experimental group. After comparing the bidder's price, the experimental group's bid price was higher than the control group's. This result suggests that uncertainty factors in bid documents induce bidders to set a high bid price as a defense against uncertainty.

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CGE 모형을 활용한 농업 가뭄의 직간접적 파급효과 계측 - 쌀 생산성을 중심으로 - (Evaluation of Economic Effects of Agricultural Drought Using CGE Model - Focus on Rice Productivity -)

  • 김현웅;성재훈
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.93-104
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    • 2022
  • Agriculture is one of the most vulnerable sector to droughts, and drought damage on the agriculture sector could have effects on other sector. Droughts have different characteristics compared to other extreme events, which means more sophisticated methods considering the characteristics of droughts are required when measuring their damage. The purpose of this study is to analyze the damage of droughts based on limited computational general equilibrium model. To be specific, we constructed a CGE model focusing on the agriculture sector in Korea. Also, to limit changes in land use and labor, we limited them, and assume droughts only have effects on productivity of value-added. Lastly, we simulate drought effects on rice production in Korea based on several climate scenarios and GCM to identify the economic effects of droughts. The results show that 1) the cumulated damage of droughts during 2021~2040 is higher than other periods (2040~2061, 2081~2100), 2) the correlation between the damage of droughts and SSP scenarios is insignificant. This result implies the necessity of the effective drought risk management to prevent future droughts effects, irrespective of mitigation policies. 3) Due to increases in rice price, GDP of rice sector is increased. However, GDP of the other sector and consumer welfare are decreased. This result show that indirect effects of droughts would be more important when measuring drought effects on agriculture sector.

지하구조물건설 현장지원 통합관리시스템 도입을 위한 경제적 타당성 분석 (Economic Feasibility Analysis for Introducing Integrated Management System for Supporting Underground Construction)

  • 백현기;장용구;서종원
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제30권5D호
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    • pp.513-522
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    • 2010
  • 도시인구 과밀현상, 지상도로교통망 포화 등의 문제를 해결하기 위한 효율적 토지활용방안으로 지하도로교통망, 복합단지, 저장시설 등 다양한 형태의 지하구조물 건설이 증가하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 지하구조물 시공 시 열악한 환경에 적합한 작업자의 3차원 위치와 통신 연락을 위한 현장지원 통합관리시스템 개발의 경제적 타당성 분석을 수행하였다. 본 분석을 위해 터널 및 지하철건설을 대상으로 현장조사 및 작업자 설문조사를 수행하여 현행 지하구조물 건설 현장관리 프로세스 분석, 문제점 파악 및 시스템 도입을 통해 발생할 것으로 예상되는 편익의 정량적 도출을 실시하였으며, 본 시스템 도입으로 발생할 것으로 예상되는 사고감소, 현장관리비 절감, 생산성 향상을 편익으로 추정하고 경제성 분석기법인 편익/비용비(B/C), 순 현재가치(NPV), 내부수익률(IRR)을 활용하여 시스템 도입의 경제적 타당성 분석을 수행하였다. 분석 결과, 편익/비용비는 1.79로 도출되었으며, 순현재가치와 내부수익률은 각 103,423,797원, 47.01%로 산출되어, 본 시스템 도입의 경제성을 확보할 수 있는 것으로 분석되었으며, 변수들의 불확실성을 고려하여 민감도 분석을 실시하였다.

호주 태즈메이니아 유기농운동의 전개과정과 발전과제 (History of Organic Agricultural Movement and Perspective for Development of Organic Agriculture in Tasmania)

  • 김종숙
    • 현장농수산연구지
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.25-43
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    • 2013
  • Tasmania with its clean air, isolated from mainland Australia, has been producing high-quality agricultural products and has been continually developing organic farming since 1946 when the Living Soil Association of Tasmania(LSAT) was established. The organic farming movement in Tasmania has been actively advocated through three steps: the philosophical embryonic period, the movement diffusion period and the industrialised development period. The campaigns for informing about the connection between healthy soil and life unfolded during the embryonic period. This was followed by the birth of publicity of organic farming and the certification system through the dissemination of organic farming techniques and various events related to agriculture in the diffusion period when the Organic Gardening and Farming Society(OGFS) was established in 1972. In the industrialised development period, The Organic Coalition of Tasmania (OCT) which is representative of Tasmania was organised in 2000 and has been leading the organic farming industry. The organic farming movement in Tasmania not only limits the use of artificial agricultural chemical but pursues the quality of food, environment, the health of life including all animals and plants, the issue of development in rural society, social justice, and equity in understanding. It is far more holistic in its philosophy. The output of organic food accounts for 1 % of the total amount of agricultural production and 150 certified organic farms have managed with 5,000ha of land in 2010. The supply channels for organic foods vary from farmer's market, specialty stores, supermarket chains, local store to the cooperative community. Also the consumers' behaviour for organic foods has been establishing as an alternative life style. The education of the value and role of organic farming on the environment should be enlarged for the consumption of the organic food. In addition, organising for small farmers who act individually and the link with differentiated local food have still remained issues.

베이지안 예측모델을 활용한 농업 및 인공 인프라의 산사태 재해 위험 평가 (Landslide Risk Assessment of Cropland and Man-made Infrastructures using Bayesian Predictive Model)

  • 알-마문;장동호
    • 한국지형학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.87-103
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the risk of cropland and man-made infrastructures in a landslide-prone area using a GIS-based method. To achieve this goal, a landslide inventory map was prepared based on aerial photograph analysis as well as field observations. A total of 550 landslides have been counted in the entire study area. For model analysis and validation, extracted landslides were randomly selected and divided into two groups. The landslide causative factors such as slope, aspect, curvature, topographic wetness index, elevation, forest type, forest crown density, geology, land-use, soil drainage, and soil texture were used in the analysis. Moreover, to identify the correlation between landslides and causative factors, pixels were divided into several classes and frequency ratio was also extracted. A landslide susceptibility map was constructed using a bayesian predictive model (BPM) based on the entire events. In the cross validation process, the landslide susceptibility map as well as observation data were plotted with a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve then the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated and tried to extract a success rate curve. The results showed that, the BPM produced 85.8% accuracy. We believed that the model was acceptable for the landslide susceptibility analysis of the study area. In addition, for risk assessment, monetary value (local) and vulnerability scale were added for each social thematic data layers, which were then converted into US dollar considering landslide occurrence time. Moreover, the total number of the study area pixels and predictive landslide affected pixels were considered for making a probability table. Matching with the affected number, 5,000 landslide pixels were assumed to run for final calculation. Based on the result, cropland showed the estimated total risk as US $ 35.4 million and man-made infrastructure risk amounted to US $ 39.3 million.

농경지 양분수지 개선에 대한 소비자 지불의사 분석 (An Analysis of Consumer's Willingness to Pay for the Improvement of Agricultural Land's Nutrition Balance)

  • 조우영;이슬비;박혜진;김길원;김태영
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.167-189
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    • 2023
  • Korea has become the highest nitrogen balance (228 kg/ha) among 34 OECD member countries, and has the stigma of being a 'Nutrient overload country' as of 2019. Accordingly, research on the derivation and utilization of nutrient balance indicators and the 'regional nutrient management system' are being promoted to improve Korea's nutrient balance. It is necessary to support these policies and studies, form a public consensus on improving the nutrient balance, and evaluate the function of the public benefit. This paper aims to estimate the public benefit value of improving the nutrient balance based on an analysis of consumers' willingness to pay and recognition of Korea's nutrient excess for 600 consumers nationwide. As results, 21.2% of the respondents said they were aware of excessive nutrients in Korea, and 76.7% of the respondents said they were aware of the need for nutrient management. The average amount of intention to pay for the improvement of three pollution (soil, water quality, and air) that can occur due to a nutrient overload was ₩2,321.1 for soil pollution improvement, ₩2,391.2 for water pollution improvement, and ₩2,377.9 for air pollution improvement. The average willingness to pay for the three pollution reduction was ₩6,002.3. These results are expected to be used to form a public consensus on the balance of payments and to establish measures to enhance public interest values in the future.

Genetic Diversity of Finger Millet (Eleusine coracana (L.) Gaertn.) Landraces Based on EST-SSR

  • Myung Chul Lee;Yu-Mi Choi;Myoung-Jae Shin;Hyemyeong Yoon;Seong-Hoon Kim
    • 한국자원식물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국자원식물학회 2020년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.46-46
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    • 2020
  • Finger millet is more nutritious than other and millets and widely cultivate in tropical regions of the world. Furthermore, it is more tolerant against biotic and abiotic stresses such as pest, drought and salt. For this reason, finger millet is one of the putative crops to introduce and cultivate on reclaimed land and prepare the global climate exchange in Korea. In present study, genetic diversity and structure of different populations of finger millet from Africa and South Asia was examined at molecular level using newly developed EST-Simple Sequence Repeat (EST-SSR) markers. In total, 46 primers produced 292 alleles in a size range of 100-500 bp and mean Polymorphism Information Content (PIC) and Marker Index (MI) were 0.372 and 1.04, respectively. 46 primers showed polymorphism and 21 primers were identified as having a PIC value above 0.5. Principal coordinates analysis and the dendrogram constructed out of combined data of both markers showed grouping of finger millet accessions to their respective area of collection. The 156 accessions were more classified into four groups, such as three groups of Africa collection and one group of Asia. Results of present study can be useful in identifying diverse accessions and management of this plant resource. Moreover, the novel SSR markers developed can be utilized for various genetic analyses in this species in future.

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데이터 스케일링과 분할 방식에 따른 예측모델의 영향 분석 - 그라운드 앵커가 설치된 흙막이 벽체 대상 (Analysis of the Impact on Prediction Models Based on Data Scaling and Data Splitting Methods - For Retaining Walls with Ground Anchors Installed)

  • 신준우;한희수
    • 지질공학
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.639-655
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    • 2023
  • 최근 지하공간에 대한 수요가 많아지면서 대심도 굴착으로 흙막이 벽체가 활용되고 있다. 흙막이 벽체는 변위에 취약한 구조물로써 국토교통부에서 제시한 관리기준으로 계측관리를 수행하고 있으나 계측관리를 통한 대비는 후처리에 가깝다고 할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 머신러닝을 이용한 그라운드 앵커가 설치된 흙막이 벽체의 수평변위 예측뿐만 아니라 머신러닝으로 계측데이터를 학습하는 과정에서 데이터 스케일링과 분할 방법에 따른 예측모델의 영향을 분석하였다. 이 연구의 분석결과에 따르면 사용자 지정분할방법이 적합하지 않은 경우도 있었으나 일정 조건하에서 데이터 학습 및 출력에 가장 우수한 성능을 나타냈다. 데이터 스케일링은 앵커의 인장력, 수압을 표준화하였을 때 오차 1 이내, R-Squared 값이 0.77로 우수한 성능을 나타냈으며 스케일링을 적용하지 않은 모델 대비 음의 변위를 예측하는 결과를 보였다.

폐광산 토양개량‧복원사업 완료 농경지 안정화 효율 및 화학성 평가 (Assessment of the Feasibility of the Hydrochloric Acid Extraction Method and the Chemical Properties of Agricultural Soils in reclaimed mines)

  • 고주인;박미선;박관인;백승한;고일하
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.10-17
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    • 2024
  • In Korea, the common remedial process for reclamation of agricultural soils nearby abandoned mines involves chemical soil stabilization followed by covering with clean soil. This study investigated the chemical properties of cover soils and the validity of HCl extraction method in assessing the degree of As and heavy metal stabilization in stabilized soils collected from 14 plots where mine reclamation had been completed. The results revealed there were no major differences in contaminants extraction rate between the stabilized soils and contaminated soils, suggesting HCl extraction procedure is a less feasible method to determine the efficiency of the stabilization. Soil quality indicators including OM, SiO2, P2O5, etc. of the land-covering soils were generally lower than those of stabilized soils that used to be the cultivation layer before the stabilization. Nonetheless, the value of those indicators didn't meet the regulatry limits of agricultural soil. Therefore, future strategy for mine reclamation should concentrate not only on contaminant concentration but also on soil quality parameters for agricultural use of the reclaimed soil.