• 한국산학기술학회논문지
• /
• 제12권5호
• /
• pp.2261-2266
• /
• 2011

초음파 컬러 유동 사상에서 가장 많이 사용되는 Kasai 알고리듬은 래그-1 자기상관 방법으로서 적은 계산량으로 비교적 우수하게 도플러 평균주파수를 추정한다. 하지만 특히 깊은 곳을 영상화하는 경우 낮은 신호 대 잡음비로 인해 추정성능이 저하된다. 본 논문에서는 낮은 신호 대 잡음비에서도 Kasai 알고리듬보다 우수한 디에일리어스된 래그-2 자기상관방법을 제안하고 시뮬레이션을 통해 성능을 검증하였다. 제안한 방법은 잡음이 존재하는 경우 도플러 평균주파수 추정 성능을 평균 자승 오차 측면에서 전반적으로 약 2~3dB 정도 개선시켜줌을 확인하였다.

• 한국지하수토양환경학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국지하수토양환경학회 2004년도 총회 및 춘계학술발표회
• /
• pp.455-458
• /
• 2004

This study uses time series analyses to evaluate fluctuation of water levels in a geothermal water well due to pumping, in relation to rainfall at Dongrae hot-spring site on the southeastern coast of tile Korean peninsula. The volume of water pumped from the public study wells ranges from 542 to 993 m$^3$/month, and the minimum water level ranged from 35 to 144.7 m during the measured period. Autocorrelation analysis was conducted for the withdrawal rate at the public wells, water levels and rainfall. The autocorrelation of the withdrawal rate shows distinct periodicity with 3 months of lag time, the autocorrelation of rainfall shows weak linearity and short memory with 1 months of lag time, and the autocorrelation of water levels shows weak linearity and short memory with 2 months of lag time. The cross-correlation between the pumping volume and the minimum water level shows a maximum value 1 at a delayed time of 34 months. The cross-correlation between rainfall and the minimum water level shows a maximum value of 0.39 at a delayed time of 32 months.

• 한국산림과학회지
• /
• 제101권2호
• /
• pp.203-212
• /
• 2012

본 연구는 2011년 산불피해지인 울진과 영덕지역 산불피해지를 대상으로 산불 피해강도의 공간 자기상관성 검증에 목표를 두고 수행되었다. 자기상관성은 산불 피해지의 현장조사, 피해지 모니터링 등 샘플링의 적정 이격거리 설정과 자료의 독립성 검증 측면에서 매우 중요하다. 산불 피해강도 측정을 위해 SPOT영상을 이용하여 NDVI 값을 계산하였으며, 5000개의 지점들을 GIS상에서 랜덤으로 대상지에 분산 배치시키고 지점별 NDVI 값을 샘플링하였다. 공간 자기상관도는 Moran's I값과 Variogram 모형을 이용하여 분석하였다. 분석결과 Moran's I 값이 울진의 경우 0.7745, 영덕의 경우 0.7968로 나타나 강한 공간 자기상관이 존재하는 것으로 분석되었다. Variogram 및 Lag class 별 Moran's I값 변화에 기초하여 도출된 적정한 샘플링 이격거리는 울진의 경우 566-2,151 m, 영덕의 경우 272-402 m 범위에서 상관도의 정도에 따라 다른 이격거리를 적용하여야 할 것으로 분석되었다. 이격거리를 획일적으로 적용하는 것 보다 Anisotropic 분석결과를 기초로 하여 상관도가 높은 지역에서는 크게, 반면 낮은 지역은 상대적으로 작게 유동적으로 적용하여야 효과적일 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국환경보건학회지
• /
• 제14권1호
• /
• pp.39-45
• /
• 1988

The stochastic variations were analyzed periodicity by autocorrelation, variance spectrum and Fourier series. These time series included hourly and hourly mean observations on DO, water temperature and air temperature which measured by automatic recording instrument at Guii from 1, Jan., 1986 to 23, Feb., 1986. The results of study were as follows: l. Autocorrelation coef. (lag time 120) DO($\varrho_1$= 0.9705), WT($\varrho_1$ = 0.9890), and AT($\varrho_1$ = 0.9874) were deeply related. DO and AT clearly showedr 24-hour periodicities while WT showed 23-26 hour periodicity. 2. Spectral density showed high at 24 hour in eech item and all of them showed weak peak at 12 hour. 3. The explained variance, which was a measure of the contribution of periodic function to the original time series, varied high 90.8 - 94.7%. This results showed that water qualities at Guii were affected deterministic components.

• 한국지하수토양환경학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국지하수토양환경학회 2004년도 총회 및 춘계학술발표회
• /
• pp.447-450
• /
• 2004

This study was conducted to characterize groundwater and river-water fluctuations at a riverbank filtration site in Daesan-myeon adjacent to the Nakdong River, using time series analysis. Water levels from six observation wells from January 2003 to October 2003 were measured. The autocorrelation analysis indicates that the wells are divided into three groups: group 1 represents strong linearity and memory, group 2 intermediate linearity and memory, and group 3 weak linearity and memory. The analysis indicates that groundwater levels in different monitoring wells vary in response to river-water levels, groundwater withdrawal and seasonal rainfall. Cross-correlation was also divided into three groups. Group 1 shows the highest cross-correlation function (0.49 - 0.54) for a lag time of 0 hours, group 2 intermediate cross-correlation function (0.34 - 0.45), and group 3 the lowest cross-correlation function (0.23 - 0.25). Different cross-correlation functions among the 3 groups are interpreted as an effect of tile distance from the river to the pumping wells.

• Journal of Preventive Veterinary Medicine
• /
• 제41권2호
• /
• pp.79-83
• /
• 2017

In this study, we used a choropleth map to explore the spatial variation of the risk of cattle herds being bovine tuberculosis (BTB) positive in Gangwon-do in 2015. The map shows that the risk of being BTB-positive was lower in provinces located in the middle of Gangwon-do (Wonju, Youngwol, Peongchang, and Kangneung) than in other provinces. In addition, one province located in the north (Goseong) had a low risk of BTB. The estimate for the intercept of the spatial lag model was 0.66, and the spatial autocorrelation coefficient (lambda) was 0.20 (Table 1). The Moran's I was 0.33 with p-value of 0.02. In 2015, provinces located in the North West (Hwacheon) and East (Donghae) of Gangwon-do had a higher BTB risk. We identified some specific provinces at low BTB-positive risk, information that may prove useful for control of BTB in the study area.

• Environmental Engineering Research
• /
• 제22권3호
• /
• pp.302-311
• /
• 2017

Nowadays, with the burgeoning development of economy, $CO_2$ emissions increase rapidly in China. It has become a common concern to seek effective methods to forecast $CO_2$ emissions and put forward the targeted reduction measures. This paper proposes a novel hybrid model combined principal component analysis (PCA) with regularized extreme learning machine (RELM) to make $CO_2$ emissions prediction based on the data from 1978 to 2014 in China. First eleven variables are selected on the basis of Pearson coefficient test. Partial autocorrelation function (PACF) is utilized to determine the lag phases of historical $CO_2$ emissions so as to improve the rationality of input selection. Then PCA is employed to reduce the dimensionality of the influential factors. Finally RELM is applied to forecast $CO_2$ emissions. According to the modeling results, the proposed model outperforms a single RELM model, extreme learning machine (ELM), back propagation neural network (BPNN), GM(1,1) and Logistic model in terms of errors. Moreover, it can be clearly seen that ELM-based approaches save more computing time than BPNN. Therefore the developed model is a promising technique in terms of forecasting accuracy and computing efficiency for $CO_2$ emission prediction.

• Water Engineering Research
• /
• 제2권2호
• /
• pp.139-148
• /
• 2001

The teleconnections between El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and droughts in Korea and the continental United States(U.S.) are investigated using cross analysis. For this purpose, monthly ENSO data and Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) for Korea and for seven states in the U.S. are used. This study shows that there are significant statistical associations between ENSO indices and PDSI for Korea; however, the associations are very weak. It is found that dry conditions in Korea are positively correlated with El Nino, while wet conditions with La Nina. SOI, SSt in the Nino 4 and Ship track 6 regions among ENSO indices are more strongly correlated with PDSI than the other ENSO indices when using the original standardized data, but the SST Nino 3, SST Nino 4, and Darwin SSP exhibit abetter correlations with PDSI when using filtered data to be removed autocorrelation components of the original standardized data. The response time lag for maximum correlation between ENSO indices and PDSI appears to be affected by filtering the data. This is expecially true for Korea than for state analyzed in U.S. In addition, it is found that the PDSI in the continental U.S. is more strongly correlated wiht ENSO than in Korea. Furthermore, in analyzing the El Nino and La Nina aggregate composite data, it is found that the dry anomalies in Korea occur from the year following El Nino to about tow years after while the wet anomalies occur from La Nina year for a period of about two years.

• 한국BIM학회 논문집
• /
• 제11권2호
• /
• pp.43-53
• /
• 2021

The 'public agency oil joint purchase system' was introduced to lower public sector oil prices and contribute to the stability of the overall consumer oil market. The present study used spatial regression to analyze the factors affecting domestic gasoline price, focusing on the impact of potential implicit collusion among gas stations in determining domestic gasoline prices. Also, this study investigated the effect the location characteristics of the market convention gas stations and government offices on the pressure of price competition in the market and the gasoline price at general gas stations. To summarize the results of the spatial lag model (SLM), the individual characteristics of gas stations such as convenience stores (+), self-fuelling (-), commercial areas (+), subway stations (+), population density (-), and sales (-) are correlated to gasoline prices at gas stations, and the institutional location factors of gas stations (+) affected the average of 9 won per liter, 11 won per liter. In order to solve these problems, the establishment of a monitoring system reflecting the location characteristics of the region and the ongoing review of the system should be carried out. In addition, separate, expanded and promotional measures should be prepared for the convenience of general and public oil buyers.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
• /
• 제39권12호
• /
• pp.997-1012
• /
• 2006

본 연구에서는 조건부 핵밀도함수와 CAFPE(Corrected Asymptotic Final Prediction Error) 차수결정 방법에 근거한 비매개변수적 비선형 자기회귀 (Nonlinear AutoRegressive, NAR) 모형을 소개하고 이를 SOI(Southern Oscillation Index)에 적용하였다. SOI 자료에 대해서 선형 AR 모형을 적용하였으나 잔차에 대한 검정결과 이분산성(heteroscedasticity)을 나타내었다. 또한 BDS(Brock-Dechert-Sheinkman) 검정에서 비선형성이 존재함을 확인하였다. 따라서 NAR 모형에 SOI 자료를 적용시켰다. CAFPE를 이용하여 가장 적합한 모형으로 지체 1, 2와 4가 선택되었으며 조건부 평균함수를 추정하여 SOI 자료를 모의한 결과 잔차에 대해서 정규성과 이분산성 가정이 Jarque-Bera 검정과 ARCH-LM 검정에서 각각 기각되었으며 또한 조건부 표준편차함수의 최적 차수로 3, 8과 9가 CAPFE를 통해 선택되었다. 조건부 평균함수와 표준편차함수를 모두 고려한 모형에 대한 잔차 검정 결과 잔차의 I.I.D 가정을 만족하였으며 특히, BDS 검정에서 신뢰구간 95%와 99%에서 모두 만족한 결과를 나타내었다. 마지막으로 전체의 15%에 해당하는 SOI 자료에 대해서 One-Step 예측을 수행하였으며 선형 모형에 비해 평균제곱예측오차가 7% 적게 나타났다. 따라서, NAR 모형은 여타의 매개변수적 방법과 달리 모형 선택에 있어 자유로우며 비선형성을 고려할 수 있는 모형으로서 SOI 자료와 같은 비선형 자료를 위한 모의방법으로 선형 모형에 비해 많은 장점을 가지고 있다.