• Title/Summary/Keyword: LARS

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Estimation of Future Reference Crop Evapotranspiration using Artificial Neural Networks (인공신경망 기법을 이용한 장래 잠재증발산량 산정)

  • Lee, Eun-Jeong;Kang, Moon-Seong;Park, Jeong-An;Choi, Jin-Young;Park, Seung-Woo
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.52 no.5
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2010
  • Evapotranspiration (ET) is one of the basic components of the hydrologic cycle and is essential for estimating irrigation water requirements. In this study, artificial neural network (ANN) models for reference crop evapotranspiration ($ET_0$) estimation were developed on a monthly basis (May~October). The models were trained and tested for Suwon, Korea. Four climate factors, daily maximum temperature ($T_{max}$), daily minimum temperature ($T_{min}$), rainfall (R), and solar radiation (S) were used as the input parameters of the models. The target values of the models were calculated using Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) Penman-Monteith equation. Future climate data were generated using LARS-WG (Long Ashton Research Station-Weather Generator), stochastic weather generator, based on HadCM3 (Hadley Centre Coupled Model, ver.3) A1B scenario. The evapotranspirations were 549.7 mm/yr in baseline period (1973-2008), 558.1 mm/yr in 2011-2030, 593.0 mm/yr in 2046-2065, and 641.1 mm/yr in 2080-2099. The results showed that the ANN models achieved good performances in estimating future reference crop evapotranspiration.

Assessment of Climate Change Impacts from a Multi-purpose Dam Watershed Using SWAT Model (SWAT모형을 이용한 기후변화가 다목적 댐 유역에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Ha, Rim;Jeong, Hyeon-Gyo;Park, Jong-Yoon;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.421-421
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구의 목적은 SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) 모형을 이용하여 기후변화가 다목적 댐 유역의 방류량에 미치는 영향을 분석하는 것으로, 연구 대상 유역은 북동부 산악지역에 위치한 충주댐 및 충주조정지댐을 유역 출구로 하는 다목적댐유역(충주댐 유역: $8360km^2$)이다. 모형유역의 32개 AWS와 10개 기상관측소의 강우 및 기상자료를 입력 하였으며, 모형의 검보정을 위해 댐 상 하류 4개 지점(영월1, 영월2, 충주댐, 충주조정지댐) 수위, 방류량 측정자료를 이용하였다. 미래 기후변화가 댐유역에 미치는 영향 분석을 위하여 IPCC (Intergovermental Panel on Climate Change)에서 제공하는 SRES (Special Report on Emission Scenarios) MIROC3.2 hires 모델 AIB와 B1 시나리오를 사용하였으며, LARS-WG (Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator)를 사용하여 유역 규모의 기후자료를 상세화 하였다. 모형의 결과를 토대로 미래 2040s(2020년-2059년)와 2080s(2060년-2099년)의 환경유지유량을 추정하고, 미래 댐 유입량과 수위 관리의 시계열 변화를 예측하여 관리방안을 제시하고자 한다.

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Assessment of Future Climate Change Impact on Soil Water Storage in Watershed by using SWAT Model (SWAT 모형을 이용한 미래 기후변화에 따른 유역 토양수분 영향평가)

  • Jung, Hyuk;Park, Jong-Yoon;Ha, Rim;Park, Hye-Sun;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.83-83
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool) 모형을 이용하여 토양수분과 유출량을 이용한 미래 기후변화에 따른 유역수문에 미치는 영향평가를 실시하였다. 미래 기후변화 영향평가는 용담댐 유역 ($930km^2$)을 대상으로 수행하였다. 모형의 검보정은 유출 3개 지점(용담, 동향, 천천)에서 2004~2008년으로, 토양수분 5개 지점(장수, 안천, 천천, 계북, 부귀)에서 2004~2008년으로 실시하였다. 모형의 적합성과 상관성을 판단하기 위하여 Nash-Sutcliffe 모형효율을 사용하였다. 미래 기후변화 시나리오는 IPCC (Intergovermental Panel on Climate Change)에서 제공하는 SRES (Special Report on Emission Scenarios) A1B, B1 기후변화 시나리오의 MIROC3.2 hires 모델의 결과 값을 이용하였다. 유역 규모의 기후자료 생성을 위해 추계학적 일 기상자료 생성 모형인 LARS-WG (Long Ashton Research Station - Weather Generator)를 사용하여 2040s (2020~2059년)와 2080s (2060~2099년) 기간에 대하여 강수와, 최고온도, 최저온도에 대하여 상세화하였다. 추후 토양수분의 변화를 통한 수문 영향 평가와 미래 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 수문 거동을 알아 볼 수 있을 것이다.

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Fundamental investigation on process design for manufacturing of doubly curved plates using line array roll set (선형 배열 롤 셋을 이용한 이중 곡판 제작을 위한 공정 설계에 관한 기초 연구)

  • Shim, D.S.;Yang, D.Y.;Roh, H.J.;Kim, K.H.;Chung, S.W.;Han, M.S.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.400-403
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    • 2008
  • For the effective manufacture of doubly curved metal plates, a line array roll set (LARS) process is proposed. The suggested process utilizes a pair of upper and lower symmetric roll assemblies. In the process, the initial plate is progressed into the final shape in a stepwise or pathwise manner according to the basic principle of the incremental forming process. The deformation proceeds simultaneously in the longitudinal and transverse directions. Moreover, there is a close correlation between the deformation in the longitudinal direction and that in the transverse direction of the plates. Therefore, the finally formed shape in the incremental forming process is strongly dependent upon process conditions, such as the forming path and the forming increment. The manufacturing of arbitrary doubly curved plates with various curvatures is not an easy task because of such complicated behaviors of the plate; thus, the forming schedules for the desired shape should be carefully and accurately designed. In this study, several experiments with the LARS system were carried out for the fundamental investigation on process design for manufacturing of doubly curved plates.

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Analysis of Axial Mis-alignment After Wearing of Toric Soft Contact Lenses (토릭소프트콘택트렌즈의 착용 후 축 정렬 상태의 변화 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Yoeb;Lee, Dong Yeol;Lee, Sun-Haeng;Kim, Kun-Kyu;Song, Sop;Cho, Hyun Gug
    • Journal of Korean Ophthalmic Optics Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.213-217
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: To emphasize the necessity of post-fitting by follow-up test, the mis-alignment was analyzed after initial wearing of toric soft contact lenses (TSCL). Methods: After trial contact lenses were worn to 87 eyes with myopic astigmatism for 1 week, we observed the alignment of axis mark on trial contact lenses using slit lamp and corrected the rotated axis by method of LARS. After final fitting, rotation ratio, rotation degree and rotation position were analyzed compared to initial prescription divided to amount of cylinderical and spherical powers. Results: Rotation ratio of TSCL's axis was increased as increment of both cylinderical powers and (-)spherical powers. An average of rotation degree was $10^{\circ}{\sim}13^{\circ}$ which was not related to amount of their powers. Rotation position of TSCL's axis was more to temporal than to nasal. Conclusions: Because mis-alignment of axis after TSCL wearing induce the poor sight, adjustment of axial alignment as a result of follow-up must be performed.

Effective Radiologic Doses and Lifetime Attributable Risks in Patients with Trauma Critical Pathway Activation (중증외상환자의 전산화단층촬영 및 중재술에 의한 방사선 유효선량 및 생애 귀속위험도)

  • Lee, Wonhyo;Kong, Taeyoung;Kim, Seunghwan;You, Je Sung;Park, Yoo Seok;Lee, Jae Gil;Chung, Sung Phil
    • Journal of Trauma and Injury
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.198-206
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: This study was performed to calculate and analyze the effective radiation doses from computed tomography (CT) and radiologic intervention in patients in the emergency department (ED) with trauma critical pathway (CP) activation and further to estimate the lifetime attributable risks (LARs) for the incidence of and mortality from cancers induced by the radiation dose. Methods: Through a retrospective electrical chart review of 104 injured patients who trauma critical pathway were activated from November 2012 to March 2013, we calculated effective radiologic doses by taking the product of the dose-linear product of the scan and the conversion coefficient. After a determination of the image results, we divided the patients into two groups, negative or positive, and calculated the effective dose for each group. With these results, we estimated the LARs for the incidence of and the mortality from cancers by using the table in the Biologic Effects of Ionizing Radiation (BEIR)-VII report. Results: A total of 76 patients were enrolled. The mean age was $49.0{\pm}8.5$ years. The mean injury severity score (ISS) was $12.7{\pm}8.4$. The cumulative effective dose (CED) for individual patients varied from 2.8 mSv to 238.8 mSv, and the mean was $47.6{\pm}39.9$ mSv. The CED in patients with an $ISS{\geq}16$($63.2{\pm}26.6$ mSv) was higher than that of patients whose ISS<16($33.5{\pm}23.1$ mSv) (p<0.001). The CED in patients who were treated with surgery or intervention($69.0{\pm}45.2$ mSv) was higher than that of patients who were treated conservatively($33.6{\pm}22.4$ mSv) (p<0.001). The LARs for cancer incidence and mortality were $328.5{\pm}308.6$ and $189.0{\pm}159.3$ per 100,000 people, respectively. Conclusion: The CED and the LAR for trauma CP-activated patients in the ED were significant, so efforts should be made to decrease the effective dose received by severely injured patients.

Coping with Climage Change through Coordinated Operations of the Andong & Imha Dams (안동-임하댐 연계운영을 통한 미래 기후변화 대응)

  • Park, Junehyeong;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.12
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    • pp.1141-1155
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    • 2013
  • A number of studies have been performed to analyze climate change impacts of water resources system. In this study, a coordinated dam operation is compared with an existing operation strategy for coping with projected future runoff scenarios. GCMs (Global Circulation Models) and the LARS-WG downscaling method was used to project future climate scenarios. The water balance model called abcd was employed to estimate future runoff scenarios. The existing dam operation comes from the national dam construction guideline, which is called the "level-operation method." The alternative coordinated dam operation are constructed as a linear programming using New York City rule for refill and drawdown seasons. The results of annual total inflow in future is projected to decrease to 72.81% for Andong dam basin and 65.65% for Imha dam basin. As a result of applying future runoff scenarios into the dam operation model, the reliability of coordinated dam operation, 62.22%, is higher than the reliability of single dam operation, 46.55%. Especially, the difference gets larger as the reliability is low because of lack of water. Therefore, the coordinated operation in the Andong & Imha dams are identified as more appropriate alternative than the existing single operation to respond to water-level change caused by climate change.

Symptoms of the subject in a movie based on Lacan's work on psychosis - Focusing On Lars von Trier's film (라캉의 정신병 연구에 근거한 영화 속 주체의 증상 - 라스 폰 트리에의 <살인마 잭의 집>을 중심으로)

  • HAN JINGZHI
    • Trans-
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    • v.16
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    • pp.69-105
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    • 2024
  • The House that Jack Built (2018), a film about how the protagonist Jack is reborn as a "mad artist" with psychotic symptoms during a 12-year killing spree, provides an interesting opportunity to analyze the film in terms of psychoanalysis and religion. Jack, an engineer who suffers from OCD, finds pleasure in the accidental murder of a character and considers killing people as an art form, overcoming his OCD in the process. The question we are interested in is whether the symptoms of OCD are truly overcome by the act of repeated killing. The idea is that Jack's OCD is not overcome by killing, but rather that the symptoms disappear as he moves from neurosis to a stabilized psychotic state. According to the theory of the famous French psychoanalyst Lacan, the hallucinations or delusions that human subjects experience when they lose their realistic stability are a phenomenon that occurs when they are confronted with The Real, which penetrates through the cracks of the symbolic system. Phenomena such as Jack's illusory reality and delusions in the movie are pathological symptoms of the absence of a paternal figure in his life, causing the Name-of-the-Father to fail to take hold. This paper deciphers the psychotic structure of Jack, the protagonist of Lars von Trier's House of Jack, through Lacanian psychoanalysis.