• Title/Summary/Keyword: Kriging model

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Predicting the likelihood of impaired stream segments using Geographic Information System on Abandoned Mine Land in Gangwon Province

  • Lee, Ju-Young;Yang, Jung-Suk;Choi, Jae-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1081-1083
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    • 2007
  • The study in river basin has been performed for the identify water quality impaired stream segments, to create a priority ranking of those segments, and to calculate the heavy metal ion distribution for each impaired segment based on chemical and physical water quality standards. Two methods for modeling the potential area-specific heavy metal distribution are pursued in this study. First, a novel approach focuses on distance. Heavy metal distribution can be associated with a particular small geographic area. Based on the derived estimates an distribution map can be generated. Second, the approach is used the near watershed by means of kriging interpolation algorithm. These approaches provide an alternative distribution mapping of the area. The exposure estimates from both of these modeling methods are then compared with other environmental monitoring data. A GIS-based model will be used to mimic the hierarchical stream structure and processes found in natural watershed. Specifically, the relationship between landscape variables and reach scale habitat conditions most influential found in the Abandoned mine will be explored.

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A Study on Optimal Pole Design of Spoke type IPMSM with Concentrated Winding for Reducing the Torque Ripple by Experiment Design Method (실험계획법을 이용한 집중권 권선형 Spoke type IPMSM의 형상최적설계에 대한 연구)

  • Hwang, K.Y.;Kwon, B.I.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2009.04b
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    • pp.46-49
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    • 2009
  • An optimal design procedure is proposed to effectively reduce the torque ripple by optimizing the rotor pole shape of the spoke type IPMSM with concentrated winding. The procedure is composed of two steps. In step I, the steepest descent method (SDM) is used with only two design variables to rapidly approach the optimal shape. From the near optimal rotor shape as a result of the step I, the design variables are reselected and the drawing spline curves are utilized to explain more complex shape with the Kriging model in step II. By using an optimal design procedure, we show that the optimized rotor pole shape of the spoke type IPMSM effectively reduces the torque ripple while still maintaining the average torque.

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Sampling-Based Sensitivity Approach to Electromagnetic Designs Utilizing Surrogate Models Combined with a Local Window

  • Choi, Nak-Sun;Kim, Dong-Wook;Choi, K.K.;Kim, Dong-Hun
    • Journal of Magnetics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.74-79
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    • 2013
  • This paper proposes a sampling-based optimization method for electromagnetic design problems, where design sensitivities are obtained from the elaborate surrogate models based on the universal Kriging method and a local window concept. After inserting additional sequential samples to satisfy the certain convergence criterion, the elaborate surrogate model for each true performance function is generated within a relatively small area, called a hyper-cubic local window, with the center of a nominal design. From Jacobian matrices of the local models, the accurate design sensitivity values at the design point of interest are extracted, and so they make it possible to use deterministic search algorithms for fast search of an optimum in design space. The proposed method is applied to a mathematical problem and a loudspeaker design with constraint functions and is compared with the sensitivity-based optimization adopting the finite difference method.

Machine learning surrogate model for reliability analysis of RC columns with reverse curvature

  • Arthur de C. Preuss;Herbert M. Gomes
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.92 no.1
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    • pp.65-79
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    • 2024
  • This work aims to present an analysis of the structural reliability of reinforced concrete (RC) columns designed according to the general method outlined in Eurocode 2 (EN 1992-1-1 2004). Probabilistic analyses are conducted by integrating the Monte Carlo method with metamodels (or surrogate models) generated using Kriging and some machine learning techniques. The study was developed based on an algorithm that verifies the columns subject to biaxial bending, considering the physical and geometric nonlinearities. Columns were analyzed assuming sign inversion of end bending moments (with reverse curvature), which portray the typical situations in conventional structures of RC buildings. The probabilistic results reveal that the typical RC columns in buildings designed according to the design procedures of the studied standard, whether they are located at the center, corner, or edge, exhibit reliability levels surpassing those deemed acceptable within the technical community. Furthermore, the integration of surrogate models proves beneficial by alleviating the computational burden associated with evaluations while preserving accuracy.

SHAPE OPTIMIZATION OF THE AIRFOIL-GUIDE VANES IN THE TURNING REGION FOR A ROTATING TWO-PASS CHANNEL (곡관부 열전달 성능 강화를 위한 에어포일형 가이드 베인의 형상 최적설계)

  • Moon, M.A.;Kim, K.Y.
    • Journal of computational fluids engineering
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2012
  • This paper presents the numerical simulation results of heat transfer and friction loss for a rotating two-pass duct with the airfoil-guide vanes in the turning region. The Kriging model is used as an optimization technique with Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes analysis of flow field and heat transfer with shear stress transport turbulent model. To improve the heat transfer performance, angle and location of the airfoil-guide vanes have been selected as design variables. The optimization problem has been defined as a minimization of the objective function, which is defined as a linear combination of heat transfer related term and friction loss related term with a weight factor. The airfoil-guide vanes in the turning region keep the high level of heat transfer while the friction loss has a low value. By comparing the presence or absence of airfoil-guide vanes, it is shown that the airfoil-guide vanes exhibited the best heat transfer performance to improve the blade cooling except the first passage.

Comparative Study of Lumped Model and Semi Distributed Model for Flash Flood Index Estimation (돌발홍수지수 산정을 위한 집중형 및 준분포형모형의 유출해석)

  • Kwon, Young-Soo;Lee, Keon-Haeng;Kim, Soo-Jun;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.2258-2263
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    • 2008
  • 최근 이상기후로 인하여 국지성 집중호우의 형태를 띠는 강우가 많이 발생하고 있다. 이러한 강우는 돌발 홍수가 발생하는데 중요한 요소로 작용하게 된다. 이에 본 연구에서는 돌발홍수지수산정을 위한 강우-유출모형 적용시, 집중형모형과 분포형모형의 장단점을 비교하였다. 이를 위하여 안양천 유역을 대상으로 HEC-HMS모형의 Clark 및 ModClack방법을 이용하여 돌발홍수지수를 산정하여 보았다. 2003년, 2004년, 2005년 각 연도별로 하나씩의 호우를 선정하여 이들을 대상으로 분석을 하였다. 집중형 모형에 대해서는 유역면적평균강우량을, 준분포형 모형에 대해서는 Kriging 기법을 통하여 공간분포된 강우량을 이용하였다. 돌발홍수는 상대적으로 크기가 작은 유역에 많이 발생하므로 소유역 분할시 결정한 소유역의 크기가 돌발홍수 지수에 큰 영향을 줄 수 있다. 따라서 돌발홍수지수의 산정은 유역의 크기에 따라 집중형 모형, 준분포형 모형 모형을 적절하게 선택하여 강우-유출관계를 유도해야 할 것으로 판단된다. 또한 돌발홍수지수의 산정이 돌발홍수예보를 위한 기준이 되는 것을 감안할 때 준분포 모형이 강우레이더에 의한 강우예측자료를 활용하는 데에 유리할 것으로 생각된다.

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Prediction of rock fragmentation and design of blasting pattern based on 3-D spatial distribution of rock factor

  • Sim, Hyeon-Jin;Han, Chang-Yeon;Nam, Hyeon-U
    • 지반과기술
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2006
  • The optimum blasting pattern to excavate a quarry efficiently and economically can be determined based on the minimum production cost, which is generally estimated according to rock fragmentation. Therefore, it is a critical problem to predict fragment size distribution of blasted rocks over an entire quarry. By comparing various prediction models, it can be ascertained that the result obtained from Kuz-Ram model relatively coincides with that of field measurements. Kuz-Ram model uses the concept of rock factor to signify conditions of rock mass such as block size, rock jointing, strength and others. For the evaluation of total production cost, it is imperative to estimate 3-D spatial distribution of rock factor for the entire quarry. In this study, a sequential indicator simulation technique is adopted for estimation of spatial distribution of rock factor due to its higher reproducibility of spatial variability and distribution models than Kriging methods. Further, this can reduce the uncertainty of predictor using distribution information of sample data. The entire quarry is classified into three types of rock mass and optimum blasting pattern is proposed for each type based on 3-D spatial distribution of rock factor. In addition, plane maps of rock factor distribution for each ground level are provided to estimate production costs for each process and to make a plan for an optimum blasting pattern.

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Structural Reliability Analysis of Subsea Tree Tubing Hanger (Sub-sea 트리 튜빙 행어(tubing hanger)의 구조 신뢰성 해석)

  • Kim, Hyunjin;Yang, Youngsoon;Kim, Sunghee
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.212-219
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    • 2014
  • As subsea production has been revived up, the demand of subsea equipment has also been increased. Among the equipment, subsea tree plays a major role in safety. The tubing hanger is one of the most important components in subsea tree. In this study structural reliability analysis on dual bore tubing hanger of subsea tree is performed. The target reliability which is introduced in ISO regulation is used for judging whether tubing hanger is safe or not. The considered loads are working pressure, working temperature and suspended tubing weight. Thermal-stress analysis on tubing hanger is performed and kriging model is created based on the results of FEM analysis. According to von Mises criterion, limit state equation can be estimated. Reliability analysis is performed by using level 2 method and the result is verified by that of Monte Carlo Simulation. For finding most probable failure point, enhanced HL-RF method is adopted. Because the reliability of model doesn't reach target reliability, an improvement measure should be considered. Thus, it is suggested to change the material of tubing hanger main body to AISI 4140.

Bayesian Inversion of Gravity and Resistivity Data: Detection of Lava Tunnel

  • Kwon, Byung-Doo;Oh, Seok-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.15-29
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    • 2002
  • Bayesian inversion for gravity and resistivity data was performed to investigate the cavity structure appearing as a lava tunnel in Cheju Island, Korea. Dipole-dipole DC resistivity data were proposed for a prior information of gravity data and we applied the geostatistical techniques such as kriging and simulation algorithms to provide a prior model information and covariance matrix in data domain. The inverted resistivity section gave the indicator variogram modeling for each threshold and it provided spatial uncertainty to give a prior PDF by sequential indicator simulations. We also presented a more objective way to make data covariance matrix that reflects the state of the achieved field data by geostatistical technique, cross-validation. Then Gaussian approximation was adopted for the inference of characteristics of the marginal distributions of model parameters and Broyden update for simple calculation of sensitivity matrix and SVD was applied. Generally cavity investigation by geophysical exploration is difficult and success is hard to be achieved. However, this exotic multiple interpretations showed remarkable improvement and stability for interpretation when compared to data-fit alone results, and suggested the possibility of diverse application for Bayesian inversion in geophysical inverse problem.

Development of the parameter maps of the Modified Bartlett-Lewis Retangular Pulse Model for Han River Basin of Korea (한강유역에 대한 Modified Bartlett-Lewis Rectangular Pulse 모형의 매개변수 지도 작성)

  • Kim, Dong-Kyun;Lee, Seung-Oh;Jung, Young-Hoon;Kim, Soo-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.456-456
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    • 2012
  • 한강유역에 위치한 247개의 강우계에서 관측된 강우 자료를 분석하여 Modified Bartlett-Lewis Retangular Pulse Model (MBLRPM)의 매개변수들을 산정하고, 이들의 지도를 작성한 후, 이들의 정확도 및 매개변수들의 시/공간적 변화 유형을 분석하였다. 이를 위한 첫번째 과정으로, 각 강우 게이지에 대해 MBLRPM의 매개변수에 사용되는 통계치 (각 달에 대한 1, 3, 12, 24시간 누적 수준에서의 평균, 분산, 자기 상관계수, 무강우 확률)들을 계산한다. 이 후, 격자화된 한강유역의 각 셀에 대하여 앞서 계산된 강우 통계치를 Ordinary Kriging 공간 보간법을 통하여 할당한다. 이 후, 각 셀에 할당된 강우 통계치를 사용하여 MBLRPM의 매개변수들을 산정하여 각 매개변수들의 지도를 각 달에 대하여 얻는다. 매개변수 지도를 사용하여 MBLRPM에 의해 생성된 강우 데이터들은 관측치의 통계치를 정확성있게 재현하였으며, 시/공간적 경향성을 분석한 결과, 강우세포의 지속기간과 관련된 매개 변수를 제외한 나머지 5개의 매개변수들은 확연한 공간적 경향성을 보인 한 편, 시간적 경향성은 잘 나타나지 않았다. 본 연구 결과는 매개변수 산정이 힘든 MBLRPM의 특성을 극복하게 해주어 가상 강우 생성을 용이하게 함으로써 강우에 영향을 받는 여러 종류의 연구 주제에 대해 불확실성 분석을 할 수 있게 한다는 점에서 의미를 가질 수 있다.

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