• Title/Summary/Keyword: Kriging corrected

Search Result 7, Processing Time 0.018 seconds

Evaluation of GPM satellite and S-band radar rain data for flood simulation using conditional merging method and KIMSTORM2 distributed model (조건부합성 기법과 KIMSTORM2 분포형 수문모형을 이용한 GPM 위성 강우자료 및 Radar 강우자료의 홍수모의 평가)

  • Kim, Se Hoon;Jung, Chung Gil;Jang, Won Jin;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.52 no.1
    • /
    • pp.21-33
    • /
    • 2019
  • This study performed to simulate the watershed storm runoff using data of S-band dual-polarization radar rain, GPM (Global Precipitation Mission) satellite rain, and observed rainfall at 21 ground stations operated by KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) respectively. For the 3 water level gauge stations (Sancheong, Changchon, and Namgang) of NamgangDam watershed ($2,293km^2$), the KIMSTORM2 (KIneMatic wave STOrm Runoff Model2) was applied and calibrated with parameters of initial soil moisture contents, Manning's roughness of overland and stream to the event of typhoon CHABA (82 mm in watershed aveprage) in $5^{th}$ October 2016. The radar and GPM data was corrected with CM (Conditional Merging) method such as CM-corrected Radar and CM-corrected GPM. The CM has been used for accurate rainfall estimation in water resources and meteorological field and the method combined measured ground rainfall and spatial data such as radar and satellite images by the kriging interpolation technique. For the CM-corrected Radar and CM-corrected GPM data application, the determination coefficient ($R^2$) was 0.96 respectively. The Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) was 0.96 and the Volume Conservation Index (VCI) was 1.03 respectively. The CM-corrected data of Radar and GPM showed good results for the CHABA peak runoff and runoff volume simulation and improved all of $R^2$, NSE, and VCI comparing with the original data application. Thus, we need to use and apply the radar and satellite data to monitor the flood within the watershed.

On the Efficiency of Outlier Cleaners in Spatial Data Analysis (공간통계분석에서 이상점 수정방법의 효율성비교)

  • 이진희;신기일
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.327-336
    • /
    • 2004
  • Many researchers have used the robust variogram to reduce the effect of outliers in spatial data analysis. Recently it is known that estimating the variogram after replacing outliers is more efficient. In this paper, we suggest a new data cleaner for geostatistic data analysis and compare the efficiency of outlier cleaners.

Combining Bias-correction on Regional Climate Simulations and ENSO Signal for Water Management: Case Study for Tampa Bay, Florida, U.S. (ENSO 패턴에 대한 MM5 강수 모의 결과의 유역단위 성능 평가: 플로리다 템파 지역을 중심으로)

  • Hwang, Syewoon;Hernandez, Jose
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.14 no.4
    • /
    • pp.143-154
    • /
    • 2012
  • As demand of water resources and attentions to changes in climate (e.g., due to ENSO) increase, long/short term prediction of precipitation is getting necessary in water planning. This research evaluated the ability of MM5 to predict precipitation in the Tampa Bay region over 23 year period from 1986 to 2008. Additionally MM5 results were statistically bias-corrected using observation data at 33 stations over the study area using CDF-mapping approach and evaluated comparing to raw results for each ENSO phase (i.e., El Ni$\tilde{n}$o and La Ni$\tilde{n}$a). The bias-corrected model results accurately reproduced the monthly mean point precipitation values. Areal average daily/monthly precipitation predictions estimated using block-kriging algorithm showed fairly high accuracy with mean error of daily precipitation, 0.8 mm and mean error of monthly precipitation, 7.1 mm. The results evaluated according to ENSO phase showed that the accuracy in model output varies with the seasons and ENSO phases. Reasons for low predictions skills and alternatives for simulation improvement are discussed. A comprehensive evaluation including sensitivity to physics schemes, boundary conditions reanalysis products and updating land use maps is suggested to enhance model performance. We believe that the outcome of this research guides to a better implementation of regional climate modeling tools in water management at regional/seasonal scale.

Yongdam Dam Watershed Flood Simulation Using GPM Satellite Data and KIMSTORM2 Distributed Storm Runoff Model (GPM위성 강우자료와 KIMSTORM2 분포형 유출모형을 이용한 용담댐 유역 홍수모의)

  • KIM, Se-Hoon;KIM, Jin-Uk;CHUNG, Jee-Hun;KIM, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.22 no.4
    • /
    • pp.39-58
    • /
    • 2019
  • This study performed the dam watershed storm runoff modeling using GPM(Global Precipitation Measurement) satellite rain and KIMSTORM2(KIneMatic wave STOrm Runoff Model 2) distributed model. For YongdamDam watershed(930㎢), three heavy rain events of 25th August 2014, 11th September 2017, and 26th June 2018 were selected and tested for 4 cases of spatial rainfalls such as (a) Kriging interpolated data using ground observed data at 7 stations, (b) original GPM data, (c) GPM corrected by CM(Conditional Merging), and GPM corrected by GDA(Geographical Differential Analysis). For the 4 kinds of data(Kriging, GPM, CM-GPM, and GDA-GPM), the KIMSTORM2 was calibrated respectively using the observed flood discharges at 3 water level gauge stations(Cheoncheon, Donghyang, and Yongdam) with parameters of initial soil moisture contents, stream Manning's roughness coefficient, and effective hydraulic conductivity. The total average Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency(NSE) for the 3 events and 3 stations was 0.94, 0.90, 0.94, and 0.94, determination coefficient(R2) was 0.96, 0.92, 0.97 and 0.96, the volume conservation index(VCI) was 1.03, 1.01, 1.03 and 1.02 for Kriging, GPM, CM-GPM, and GDA-GPM applications respectively. The CM-GPM and GDA-GPM showed better results than the original GPM application for peak runoff and runoff volume simulations, and they improved NSE, R2, and VCI results.

A Study on the Improvement of the Accuracy of Photovoltaic Facility Location Using the Geostatistical Analysis (공간통계기법을 이용한 태양광발전시설 입지 정확성 향상 방안)

  • Kim, Ho-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.13 no.2
    • /
    • pp.146-156
    • /
    • 2010
  • The objective of this study was to improve the accuracy of calculation and estimation of solar radiation and duration of sunshine, which are the most important variables of photovoltaic power generation in deciding the location of photovoltaic facilities efficiently. With increasing interest in new and renewable energies, research on solar energy is also being conducted actively, but there have not been many studies on the location of photovoltaic facilities. Thus, this study calculated solar duration and solar radiation based on geographical factors, which have the most significant effect on solar energy in GIS environment, and corrected the results of analysis using diffuse radiation. Moreover, we performed ordinary kriging, a spatial statistical analysis method, for estimating values for parts deviating from the spatial resolution of input data, and used variogram, which can determine the spatial interrelation and continuity of data, in order to estimate accurate values. In the course, we compared the values of variogram factors and estimates from applicable variogram models, and selected the model with the lowest error rate. This method is considered helpful to accurate decision making on the location of photovoltaic facilities.

Development of bias correction scheme for high resolution precipitation forecast (고해상도 강수량 수치예보에 대한 편의 보정 기법 개발)

  • Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Kim, Ji-Sung;Kim, Kyu-Ho;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.51 no.7
    • /
    • pp.575-584
    • /
    • 2018
  • An increase in heavy rainfall and floods have been observed over South Korea due to recent abnormal weather. In this perspective, the high-resolution weather forecasts have been widely used to facilitate flood management. However, these models are known to be biased due to initial conditions and topographical conditions in the process of model building. Theretofore, a bias correction scheme is largely applied for the practical use of the prediction to flood management. This study introduces a new mean field bias correction (MFBC) approach for the high-resolution numerical rainfall products, which is based on a Bayesian Kriging model to combine an interpolation technique and MFBC approach for spatial representation of the error. The results showed that the proposed method can reliably estimate the bias correction factor over ungauged area with an improvement in the reduction of errors. Moreover, it can be seen that the bias corrected rainfall forecasts could be used up to 72 hours ahead with a relatively high accuracy.

Hydrologic Analysis of the September 1990 Extreme Flood Occurred on the Chungju Dam Basin (충주(忠州)댐 유역(流域) 1990년(年) 9월(月) 대홍수(大洪水)의 수문학적(水文學的) 분석(分析))

  • Ko, Seok Ku;Lee, Hee Sung;Jeong, Dong Kug;Jung, Jae Sung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.12 no.4_1
    • /
    • pp.107-119
    • /
    • 1992
  • A heavy storm hit the central part of the Korean Peninsula especially on the Chungju Dam Basin from the 9th to 12th of September 1990. The Chungju multipurpose dam is the largest water project in Korea completed in 1986. The storm recorded a peak inflow of about $21,000m^3/sec$ at the dam site which is equivalent to 500 to 1000 years recurring frequency according to the designed concept. Extensive hydrological analyses including field investigation were performed to identify the storm. The result of the field investigation showed that 6 gages among the 22 telemetering rain-gages located in the basin were proved to be out-of-normal operation during the storm. The corrected basin average rainfall was estimated to be 458.6 mm ranging from 206 to 665 mm. The correction of the rainfall depth included the adjustment of the rainfall depths of the 6 gages using the Kriging interpolation technique, and adjustment according to the heights of the gage mouths. For the maintenance and operation of the Chungju Dam, new design floods were suggested from the trend analysis which showed that the design flood have to be increased because of the increasing tendency of the annual flood peaks.

  • PDF