• Title/Summary/Keyword: Korea Agricultural Simulation Model(KASMO)

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Assessment & Implication on Ex-post Free Trade Agreements with respect to the Korean Agricultural Sector (기 체결 FTA 농업부문 사후영향평가와 시사점)

  • Han, Suk-Ho;Lee, Suhwan;Youm, Jung-Won;Ji, Seong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.9
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    • pp.377-385
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    • 2017
  • This study analyzed the impact of the implementation of 14 FTAs on the domestic agricultural sector through aneconomic post-impact assessment using the dynamic analysis method. As a result of the implementation of the FTAs, agricultural production decreased significantly, mainly in the livestock and fruit sectors. Most of the previous studieswere limited to the post-impact assessment of individual FTAs, which does not reflect the fact that the implementation of a number of FTAs results ina combinationof trade creation, trade transitions, and FTA accumulation effects. Therefore, this study provides amore objective and comprehensive evaluation of the effects of FTAs in the agricultural sector, and contributes to some extent to the evaluation of the policy directions necessary for revising and supplementing the domestic measures needed to supplement the FTAs. Of course, a more sophisticated analysis is needed to separate the impact of these complementary domestic measures and the performance of the general agricultural project.

Post-2020 Emission Projection and Potential Reduction Analysis in Agricultural Sector (2020년 이후 농업부문 온실가스 배출량 전망과 감축잠재량 분석)

  • Jeong, Hyun Cheol;Lee, Jong Sik;Choi, Eun Jung;Kim, Gun Yeob;Seo, Sang Uk;Jeong, Hak Kyun;Kim, Chang Gil
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.233-241
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    • 2015
  • In 2014, the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) agreed to submit the Intended Nationality Determined Contributions (INDCs) at the conference of parties held in Lima, Peru. Then, the South Korean government submitted the INDCs including GHGs reduction target and reduction potential on July, 2015. The goal of this study is to predict GHGs emission and to analyze reduction potential in agricultural sector of Korea. Activity data to estimate GHGs emission was forecast by Korea Agricultural Simulation Model (KASMO) of Korea Rural Economic Institute and estimate methodology was taken by the IPCC and guideline for MRV (Measurement, Reporting and Verification) of national greenhouse gases statistics of Korea. The predicted GHGs emission of agricultural sectors from 2021 to 2030 tended to decrease due to decline in crop production and its gap was less after 2025. Increasing livestock numbers such as sheep, horses, swine, and ducks did not show signigicant impact the total GHGs emission. On a analysis of the reduction potential, GHGs emission was expected to reduce $253Gg\;CO_{2-eq}$. by 2030 with increase of mid-season water drainage area up to 95% of total rice cultivation area. The GHGs reduction potential with intermittent drainage technology applied to 10% of the tatal paddy field area, mid-drainage and no organic matter would be $92Gg\;CO_{2-eq}$. by 2030.