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A Study on the Estimation of Click Through Rates from Internet Search Results and their Value in the Evaluation of the Attractiveness of a Business Idea (사업 아이디어 매력도 평가를 위한 인터넷 검색엔진 광고 클릭률 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Shim, Jae-Hu;Choi, Myeong-Gil
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.1468-1474
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    • 2010
  • The establishment of a successful business must be preceded by comprehensive entrepreneurial preparation and research, as well as the development of a truly attractive business idea. Research to-date has tended to be based solely on factors relating to entrepreneurial activity or business performance. Research into the development and evaluation of a business idea has been insufficient. The purpose of this research is to propose a methodology for evaluating the attractiveness of a business idea objectively. This research measures the attractiveness of a business idea by the click through rate (CTR) to a website generated by specific keyword entry into internet search engines. The attractiveness of a business idea can be presented by the formula: number of relevant keyword searches x CTR on search results. As the number of searches for individual keywords is published by the search engines and it is possible to estimate CTRs for specific search results, we can objectively evaluate the attractiveness of a business idea. By analyzing keyword search data and CTRs obtained from search engines over a one month period, 1124 keywords that relate to foreign language education have been identified. A regression formula has also been derived, predicting the click through rate for search results. This research and its findings can be used to raise the success rates of new businesses; proposing objective guidelines for business idea development and evaluation. It is particularly meaningful because it introduces a new methodology to the arena.

An Empirical Study on Statistical Optimization Model for the Portfolio Construction of Sponsored Search Advertising(SSA) (키워드검색광고 포트폴리오 구성을 위한 통계적 최적화 모델에 대한 실증분석)

  • Yang, Hognkyu;Hong, Juneseok;Kim, Wooju
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.167-194
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    • 2019
  • This research starts from the four basic concepts of incentive incompatibility, limited information, myopia and decision variable which are confronted when making decisions in keyword bidding. In order to make these concept concrete, four framework approaches are designed as follows; Strategic approach for the incentive incompatibility, Statistical approach for the limited information, Alternative optimization for myopia, and New model approach for decision variable. The purpose of this research is to propose the statistical optimization model in constructing the portfolio of Sponsored Search Advertising (SSA) in the Sponsor's perspective through empirical tests which can be used in portfolio decision making. Previous research up to date formulates the CTR estimation model using CPC, Rank, Impression, CVR, etc., individually or collectively as the independent variables. However, many of the variables are not controllable in keyword bidding. Only CPC and Rank can be used as decision variables in the bidding system. Classical SSA model is designed on the basic assumption that the CPC is the decision variable and CTR is the response variable. However, this classical model has so many huddles in the estimation of CTR. The main problem is the uncertainty between CPC and Rank. In keyword bid, CPC is continuously fluctuating even at the same Rank. This uncertainty usually raises questions about the credibility of CTR, along with the practical management problems. Sponsors make decisions in keyword bids under the limited information, and the strategic portfolio approach based on statistical models is necessary. In order to solve the problem in Classical SSA model, the New SSA model frame is designed on the basic assumption that Rank is the decision variable. Rank is proposed as the best decision variable in predicting the CTR in many papers. Further, most of the search engine platforms provide the options and algorithms to make it possible to bid with Rank. Sponsors can participate in the keyword bidding with Rank. Therefore, this paper tries to test the validity of this new SSA model and the applicability to construct the optimal portfolio in keyword bidding. Research process is as follows; In order to perform the optimization analysis in constructing the keyword portfolio under the New SSA model, this study proposes the criteria for categorizing the keywords, selects the representing keywords for each category, shows the non-linearity relationship, screens the scenarios for CTR and CPC estimation, selects the best fit model through Goodness-of-Fit (GOF) test, formulates the optimization models, confirms the Spillover effects, and suggests the modified optimization model reflecting Spillover and some strategic recommendations. Tests of Optimization models using these CTR/CPC estimation models are empirically performed with the objective functions of (1) maximizing CTR (CTR optimization model) and of (2) maximizing expected profit reflecting CVR (namely, CVR optimization model). Both of the CTR and CVR optimization test result show that the suggested SSA model confirms the significant improvements and this model is valid in constructing the keyword portfolio using the CTR/CPC estimation models suggested in this study. However, one critical problem is found in the CVR optimization model. Important keywords are excluded from the keyword portfolio due to the myopia of the immediate low profit at present. In order to solve this problem, Markov Chain analysis is carried out and the concept of Core Transit Keyword (CTK) and Expected Opportunity Profit (EOP) are introduced. The Revised CVR Optimization model is proposed and is tested and shows validity in constructing the portfolio. Strategic guidelines and insights are as follows; Brand keywords are usually dominant in almost every aspects of CTR, CVR, the expected profit, etc. Now, it is found that the Generic keywords are the CTK and have the spillover potentials which might increase consumers awareness and lead them to Brand keyword. That's why the Generic keyword should be focused in the keyword bidding. The contribution of the thesis is to propose the novel SSA model based on Rank as decision variable, to propose to manage the keyword portfolio by categories according to the characteristics of keywords, to propose the statistical modelling and managing based on the Rank in constructing the keyword portfolio, and to perform empirical tests and propose a new strategic guidelines to focus on the CTK and to propose the modified CVR optimization objective function reflecting the spillover effect in stead of the previous expected profit models.

Buyer Category-Based Intelligent e-Commerce Meta-Search Engine (구매자 카테고리 기반 지능형 e-Commerce 메타 서치 엔진)

  • Kim, Kyung-Pil;Woo, Sang-Hoon;Kim, Chang-Ouk
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.225-235
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we propose an intelligent e-commerce meta-search engine which integrates distributed e-commerce sites and provides a unified search to the sites. The meta-search engine performs the following functions: (1) the user is able to create a category-based user query, (2) by using the WordNet, the query is semantically refined for increasing search accuracy, and (3) the meta-search engine recommends an e-commerce site which has the closest product information to the user’s search intention by matching the user query with the product catalogs in the e-commerce sites linked to the meta-search engine. An experiment shows that the performance of our model is better than that of general keyword-based search.

User Category-Based Intelligent e-Commerce Meta-Search Engine

  • U, Sang-Hun;Kim, Gyeong-Pil;Kim, Chang-Uk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.346-355
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we propose a meta-search engine which provides distributed product information through a unified access to multiple e-commerce. The meta-search engine proposed in this paper performs the following functions: (I) The user is able to create a category-based user query, (2) by using the WordNet, the query is semantical refined fined for increasing search accuracy, and (3) the meta-search engine recommends an e-commerce site which has the closest product information to the user's search intention, by matching the user query with the product catalogs in the e-commerce sites linked to the meta-search engine. An experiment shows that the performance of our model is better than that of general keyword-based search.

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Intelligent Search System Providing The Various Conditional Product Search (다조건 상품 검색을 지원하는 지능형 검색 시스템)

  • 서양진;한상용
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.179-196
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    • 1999
  • A cyber shopping mall is a place where consumers acquire the product information and make purchase decision in the cyber space. Even though there are many advantages over traditional malls, there are still several limitations to do shopping in an existing cyber mall. One of them is the absence of efficient search tool to handle various products specifications. Existing search systems usually support the "keyword search only" with limited product information. Consumers spend lots of their time and efforts in searching products and comparing them. Recently, some web sites provide the shopping mall comparison service that supports the additional search conditions such as price and maker. These services improve the situation but it is not still acceptable. In this paper, we propose an intelligent product search system based on a mediator which supports various conditional search for each product. Our system provides consumers with search results that satisfy purchase specifications. Our system is implemented in Visual basic and pert and experimental results show satisfactory performance.

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Design and Implementation of the Specialized Internet Search Engine for Ship′s Parts Using Method of Mining for the Association Rule Discovery (연관 규칙 탐사 기법을 이용한 선박 부품 전문 검색 엔진의 설계 및 구현)

  • 하창승;윤병수;성창규;김종화;류길수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Marine Engineers Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.225-231
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    • 2002
  • A specialized web search engine is an internet tool for detecting information in finite cyber world. It helps to retrieve necessary information in internet sites quickly In this paper, we design and implement a prototype search engine using method of mining for the association rule discovery. It consists of a search engine part and a search robot part. The search engine uses keyword method and is considered as various user oriented interface. The search robot fetches information related to ship parts n world wide web. The experiments show that our search engine(AISE) is superior to other search engines in collecting necessary informations.

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온라인 목록 검색 행태에 관한 연구-LINNET 시스템의 Transaction log 분석을 중심으로-

  • 윤구호;심병규
    • Journal of Korean Library and Information Science Society
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    • v.21
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    • pp.253-289
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    • 1994
  • The purpose of this study is about the search pattern of LINNET (Library Information Network System) OPAC users by transaction log, maintained by POSTECH(Pohang University of Science and Technology) Central Library, to provide feedback information of OPAC system design. The results of this study are as follows. First, for the period of this analysis, there were totally 11, 218 log-ins, 40, 627 transaction logs and 3.62 retrievals per a log-in. Title keyword was the most frequently used, but accession number, bibliographic control number or call number was very infrequently used. Second, 47.02% of OPAC, searches resulted in zero retrievals. Bibliographic control number was the least successful search. User displayed 2.01% full information and 64.27% local information per full information. Third, special or advanced retrieval features are very infrequently used. Only 22.67% of the searches used right truncation and 0.71% used the qualifier. Only 1 boolean operator was used in every 22 retrievals. The most frequently used operator is 'and (&)' with title keywords. But 'bibliographical control number (N) and accessionnumber (R) are not used at all with any operators. The causes of search failure are as follows. 1. The item was not used in the database. (15, 764 times : 79.42%). 2. The wrong search key was used. (3, 761 times : 18.95%) 3. The senseless string (garbage) was entered. (324 times : 1.63%) On the basis of these results, some recommendations are suggested to improve the search success rate as follows. First, a n.0, ppropriate user education and online help function let users retrieve LINNET OPAC more efficiently. Second, several corrections of retrieval software will decrease the search failure rate. Third, system offers right truncation by default to every search term. This methods will increase success rate but should considered carefully. By a n.0, pplying this method, the number of hit can be overnumbered, and system overhead can be occurred. Fourth, system offers special boolean operator by default to every keyword retrieval when user enters more than two words at a time. Fifth, system assists searchers to overcome the wrong typing of selecting key by automatic korean/english mode change.

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Semantic Web based DQL Search System (시멘틱 웹 기반 DQL 검색 시스템 설계)

  • Kim Je-Min;Park Young-Tack
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.12B no.1 s.97
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    • pp.91-100
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    • 2005
  • It has been proposed diverse methods to use web information efficiently as the size of information is increasing. Most of search systems use a keyword-based method that mostly relies on syntactic information. They cannot utilize semantic information of documents and thus they could generate to users. To solve shortcoming in searching documents, a technique using the Semantic Web is suggested. A semantic web can find relevant information to users by employing metadata which are represented using standard ontologies. Each document is annotated with a metadata which can be reasoned by agents. In this paper, we propose a search system using semantic web technologies. Our semantic search system analyzes semantically questions that user input, and get resolution information that user want. To improve efficiency and accuracy of semantic search systems, this paper proposes DQL(DAML Query Language) engine that employs inference engine to execute reasoning and DQL converter that changes keyword form question of the user to DQL.

Internet Search Engine: Technological Mode that Draws User's Attention to Make Its Expertise Reinforce (인터넷 검색엔진: 사용자의 관심을 흡수하여 전문성을 강화하는 기술)

  • Kim, Ji Yeon
    • Journal of Science and Technology Studies
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.181-216
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    • 2013
  • This paper tries to analyze technologies of search engine generally, and reveal the additional modes of Korean search engine at the same time. Recently it said that search engine becomes a self-moving and is getting more strong power than the former one existed. There are many difference interpretative views from technological determination to instrumentalism surrounding this system. Search engine invents the technological mode that draws user's attention to make its own expertise reinforce. It is stemmed from the rationality of its own. Especially Korean search engine exposed unique mutation as self-proliferation of it during past a decade, as for example "related keyword" or "real-time popular keyword" service. Its automatic decision aroused democracy matter, now it is not only web guide. How we do make it to serve in democracy, accepting the independent expertise of it simultaneously? We might find new prospect when focusing on interactional modality between engine and human actor, instead counting both as a separate one.

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Automated networked knowledge map using keyword-based document networks (키워드 기반 문서 네트워크를 이용한 네트워크형 지식지도 자동 구성)

  • Yoo, Keedong
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.47-61
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    • 2018
  • A knowledge map, a taxonomy of knowledge repositories, must have capabilities supporting and enhancing knowledge user's activity to search and select proper knowledge for problem-solving. Conventional knowledge maps, however, have been hierarchically categorized, and could not support such activity that must coincide with the user's cognitive process for knowledge utilization. This paper, therefore, aims to verify and develop a methodology to build a networked knowledge map that can support user's activity to search and retrieve proper knowledge based on the referential navigation between content-relevant knowledge. This paper deploys keywords as the semantic information between knowledge, because they can represent the overall contents of a given document, and because they can play the role of semantic information on the link between related documents. By aggregating links between documents, a document network can be formulated: a keyword-based networked knowledge map can be finally built. Domain expert-based validation test was also conducted on a networked knowledge map of 50 research papers, which confirmed the performance of the proposed methodology to be outstanding with respect to the precision and recall.