• Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.139-149
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• 2013

As the importance of technology forecasting while countries and companies manage the R&D project is growing bigger, the methodology of technology forecasting has been diversified. One of the forecasting method is patent analysis. This research proposes quick forecasting process of emerging technology based on keyword approach using text mining. The forecasting process is following: First, the term-document matrix is extracted from patent documents by using text mining. Second, emerging technology keyword are extracted by analyzing the importance of word from utilizing mean values and standard deviation values of the term and the emerging trend of word discovered from time series information of the term. Next, association between terms is measured by using cosine similarity. finally, the keyword of emerging technology is selected in consequence of the synthesized result and we forecast the emerging technology according to the results. The technology forecasting process described in this paper can be applied to developing computerized technology forecasting system integrated with various results of other patent analysis for decision maker of company and country.

• Journal of Information Technology Services
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• v.19 no.4
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• pp.49-61
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• 2020

Prior studies on technology predictions attempted to predict the emergence and spread of emerging technologies through the analysis of correlations and changes between data using objective data such as patents and research papers. Most of the previous studies predicted future technologies only from the viewpoint of technology development. Therefore, this study intends to conduct technical forecasting from the perspective of the consumer by using keyword search frequency of search portals such as NAVER before and after the introduction of emerging technologies. In this study, we analyzed healthcare technologies into three types : measurement technology, platform technology, and remote service technology. And for the keyword analysis on the healthcare, we converted the classification of technology perspective into the keyword classification of consumer perspective. (Blood pressure and blood sugar, healthcare diagnosis, appointment and prescription, and remote diagnosis and prescription) Naver Trend is used to analyze keyword trends from a consumer perspective. We also used the ARIMA model as a technology prediction model. Analyzing the search frequency (Naver trend) over 44 months, the final ARIMA models that can predict three types of healthcare technology keyword trends were estimated as "ARIMA (1,2,1) (1,0,0)", "ARIMA (0,1,0) (1,0,0)", "ARIMA (1,1,0) (0,0,0)". In addition, it was confirmed that the values predicted by the time series prediction model and the actual values for 44 months were moving in almost similar patterns in all intervals. Therefore, we can confirm that this time series prediction model for healthcare technology is very suitable.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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• v.7 no.6
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• pp.1393-1401
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• 2012

In this study, we pick graphene research as a case study to demonstrate the importance of follow-up monitoring the emerging technology items. Graphene was selected as an emerging technology from MIT(2008) and KISTEP(2009). We analyze the growth, transition, and differentiation of graphene research by keyword mapping techniques. Specifically, we investigate the changing aspects of biosensor area within graphene field to predict that it will be highly promising.

• ETRI Journal
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• v.40 no.6
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• pp.745-758
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• 2018

A wide range of studies in various disciplines has focused on the Internet of Things (IoT) and cyber-physical systems (CPS). However, it is necessary to summarize the current status and to establish future directions because each study has its own individual goals independent of the completion of all IoT applications. The absence of a comprehensive understanding of IoT and CPS has disrupted an efficient resource allocation. To assess changes in the knowledge structure and emerging technologies, this study explores the dynamic research trends in IoT by analyzing bibliographic data. We retrieved 54,237 keywords in 12,600 IoT studies from the Scopus database, and conducted keyword frequency, co-occurrence, and growth-rate analyses. The analysis results reveal how IoT technologies have been developed and how they are connected to each other. We also show that such technologies have diverged and converged simultaneously, and that the emerging keywords of trust, smart home, cloud, authentication, context-aware, and big data have been extracted. We also unveil that the CPS is directly involved in network, security, management, cloud, big data, system, industry, architecture, and the Internet.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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• v.10 no.7
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• pp.813-818
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• 2015

IoT is the network of physical objects or things embedded with electronics, software, sensors and connectivity to enable it to achieve greater value and service by exchanging data with the manufacturer, operator or other connected devices. Until now many researches have been studied for centering keyword for detecting emerging technology of future and scientometric analysis among the papers. This paper propose searching method of emerging technology for the IOT (internet of things) which is recently interesting area via dynamic analysis for keyword mapping.

• International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.221-226
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• 2024

This study used text mining, a big data analysis technique, to explore XR trends in South Korea. For this research, I utilized a big data platform called BigKinds. I collected data focusing on the keyword 'XR', spanning approximately 14 years from 2010 to 2024. The gathered data underwent a cleansing process and was analyzed in three ways: keyword trend analysis, relational analysis, and word cloud. The analysis identified the emergence and most active discussion periods of XR, with XR devices and manufacturers emerging as key keywords.

• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.40 no.4
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• pp.49-63
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• 2015

Keyword indexed in multidisciplinary journals show trends about science and technology innovation. Nature and Science were selected as multidisciplinary journals for our analysis. In order to reduce the effect of plurality of keyword, stemming algorithm were implemented. After this process, we fitted growth curve of keyword (stem) following bass model, which is a well-known model in diffusion process. Bass model is useful for expressing growth pattern by assuming innovative and imitative activities in innovation spreading. In addition, we construct keyword co-occurrence network and calculate network measures such as centrality indices and local clustering coefficient. Based on network metrics and yearly frequency of keyword, time series analysis was conducted for obtaining statistical causality between these measures. For some cases, local clustering coefficient seems to Granger-cause yearly frequency of keyword. We expect that local clustering coefficient could be a supportive indicator of emerging science and technology.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.860-885
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• 2005

This study relates to develop a quantitative method through which promising technology-based business items can be discovered and selected. For this study, we utilized patent trend analysis, technology-industry concordance analysis, and keyword co-occurrence analysis of US patents. By analyzing patent trends and technology-industry concordance, we were able to find out the emerging industry trends : prevalence of bio industry, service industry, and B2C business. From the direct and co-occurrence analysis of newly discovered patent keywords in the year, 2000, 28 promising business item candidates were extracted. Finally, the promising item candidates were prioritized using 4 business attractiveness determinants; market size, product life cycle, degree of the technological innovation, and coincidence with the industry trends. This result implicates that reliable discovery and selection of promising technology-based business items can be performed by a quantitative, objective and low- cost process using knowledge discovery method from patent database instead of peer review.

• Korean Management Science Review
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• v.23 no.3
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• pp.77-93
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• 2006

In the highly competitive world, there has been a concomitant increase in the need for the research and planning methodology, which can perform an advanced assessment of technological opportunities and an early Perception of threats and possibilities of the emerging technology according to the nation's economic and social status. This research is aiming to provide indicators and visualization methods to measure the latest research trend and aspect underlying scientific and technological documents to researchers and policy planners using 'Co-word Analysis' Organic light emitting diodes(OLED) is an emerging technology in various fields of display and which has a highly prospective market value. In this paper, we presented an analysis on OLED. Co-word analysis was employed to reveal patterns and trends in the OLED fields by measuring the association strength of terms representatives of relevant publications or other texts produced in the OLED field. Data were collected from SCI and the critical keywords could De extracted from the author keywords. These extracted keywords were further standardized. In order to trace the dynamic changes in the OLED field, we presented a variety of technology mapping. The results showed that the OLED field has some established research theme and also rapidly transforms to embrace new themes.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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• v.10 no.6
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• pp.721-728
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• 2015

IOT has evolved from the internet for human oriented, therefore our life is more advanced growth smartly. IoT is the network of physical objects or things embedded with electronics, software, sensors and connectivity to enable it to achieve greater value and service by exchanging data with the manufacturer, operator or other connected devices. Until now many researches have been studied for centering keyword for detecting emerging technology of future and scientometric analysis among the papers. This paper propose searching method of emerging technology for the IOT (internet of things) and smart device which are recently interesting area via dynamic analysis for keyword mapping.