• Title/Summary/Keyword: KOSDAQ

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Development of a Detection Model for the Companies Designated as Administrative Issue in KOSDAQ Market (KOSDAQ 시장의 관리종목 지정 탐지 모형 개발)

  • Shin, Dong-In;Kwahk, Kee-Young
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.157-176
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this research is to develop a detection model for companies designated as administrative issue in KOSDAQ market using financial data. Administration issue designates the companies with high potential for delisting, which gives them time to overcome the reasons for the delisting under certain restrictions of the Korean stock market. It acts as an alarm to inform investors and market participants of which companies are likely to be delisted and warns them to make safe investments. Despite this importance, there are relatively few studies on administration issues prediction model in comparison with the lots of studies on bankruptcy prediction model. Therefore, this study develops and verifies the detection model of the companies designated as administrative issue using financial data of KOSDAQ companies. In this study, logistic regression and decision tree are proposed as the data mining models for detecting administrative issues. According to the results of the analysis, the logistic regression model predicted the companies designated as administrative issue using three variables - ROE(Earnings before tax), Cash flows/Shareholder's equity, and Asset turnover ratio, and its overall accuracy was 86% for the validation dataset. The decision tree (Classification and Regression Trees, CART) model applied the classification rules using Cash flows/Total assets and ROA(Net income), and the overall accuracy reached 87%. Implications of the financial indictors selected in our logistic regression and decision tree models are as follows. First, ROE(Earnings before tax) in the logistic detection model shows the profit and loss of the business segment that will continue without including the revenue and expenses of the discontinued business. Therefore, the weakening of the variable means that the competitiveness of the core business is weakened. If a large part of the profits is generated from one-off profit, it is very likely that the deterioration of business management is further intensified. As the ROE of a KOSDAQ company decreases significantly, it is highly likely that the company can be delisted. Second, cash flows to shareholder's equity represents that the firm's ability to generate cash flow under the condition that the financial condition of the subsidiary company is excluded. In other words, the weakening of the management capacity of the parent company, excluding the subsidiary's competence, can be a main reason for the increase of the possibility of administrative issue designation. Third, low asset turnover ratio means that current assets and non-current assets are ineffectively used by corporation, or that asset investment by corporation is excessive. If the asset turnover ratio of a KOSDAQ-listed company decreases, it is necessary to examine in detail corporate activities from various perspectives such as weakening sales or increasing or decreasing inventories of company. Cash flow / total assets, a variable selected by the decision tree detection model, is a key indicator of the company's cash condition and its ability to generate cash from operating activities. Cash flow indicates whether a firm can perform its main activities(maintaining its operating ability, repaying debts, paying dividends and making new investments) without relying on external financial resources. Therefore, if the index of the variable is negative(-), it indicates the possibility that a company has serious problems in business activities. If the cash flow from operating activities of a specific company is smaller than the net profit, it means that the net profit has not been cashed, indicating that there is a serious problem in managing the trade receivables and inventory assets of the company. Therefore, it can be understood that as the cash flows / total assets decrease, the probability of administrative issue designation and the probability of delisting are increased. In summary, the logistic regression-based detection model in this study was found to be affected by the company's financial activities including ROE(Earnings before tax). However, decision tree-based detection model predicts the designation based on the cash flows of the company.

A Graphical Improvement in Volatility Analysis for Financial Series (시계열 변동성 그래프의 개선)

  • Lee, Jeong Won;Yoon, Jae Eun;Hwang, Sun Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.785-796
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    • 2013
  • News Impact Curves(NIC) developed by Engle and Ng (1993) have been useful for graphically representing the volatilities arising from financial time series. Adding an improvement and refinement to the original NIC, this article proposes so called two dimensional NIC and principal component NIC. We illustrate the methodology via Kosdaq data.

Market Valuation of Technology Firms in KOSDAQ

  • Cho, Kee-Heon;Seol, Sung-Soo
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.172-192
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    • 2014
  • This study aims to analyze the valuation of technology firms in the stock market to answer how before-market entities should be valuated. This study analyzes 230 market reports of 2012 for technology firms in the KOSDAQ under several hypotheses. The results are as follows: 90% used the 3 multiples methods consisting of PER multiples with 80%, PBR multiples 8.7% and EBITDA multiples 1.7%. The average of PER multiples was 15 with the range of 6.9 to 83. That of PBR multiples is 2.27. Forecasting for cash flow is not applied over 4 years, but mainly 2-3 years. The accuracy of forecasting was 18.8%, 34.4% and 8% according to the different definitions. No differences were found in the accuracy of forecasting between valuation methods, between the industries having more intangible assets and the industries having less, and between startups and general companies and between ages and listed ages.

Prediction Value Estimation in Transformed GARCH Models (변환된 GARCH모형에서의 예측값 추정)

  • Park, Ju-Yeon;Yeo, In-Kwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.971-979
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we introduce the method that reduces the bias when the transformation and back-transformation approach is applied in GARCH models. A parametric bootstrap is employed to compute the conditional expectation which is the prediction value to minimize mean square errors in the original scale. Through the analyese of returns of KOSPI and KOSDAQ, we verified that the proposed method provides a bias-reduced estimation for the prediction value.

Cointegrated Relations between Foreign Ownership and Business Conditions in the Level of Korean Capital Market

  • Kim, Ju-Wan
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.127-163
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    • 2009
  • This paper examines the results of survey that the foreign ownership is cointegrated with capital market conditions in Korea using Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and how the mechanism of innovations and dynamics among the foreign ownership and capital market proxies in the VECM was described. Specifically, we find that the foreign ownership and capital market proxies follow I (1) process and there are cointegrated relations between the foreign ownership and capital market proxies. Adopting the impulse response function and variance decomposition in the VECM, we suggest, in turn, the default risk premia, liquidity of market and the rate of interest in long term business cycle take on a special function on the KSE and KOSDAQ. Finally, we also offer evidences of which there are differences of the mechanism of dynamics and innovations between on the KSE and on the KOSDAQ.

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VaR Estimation via Transformed GARCH Models (변환된 GARCH 모형을 활용한 VaR 추정)

  • Park, Ju-Yeon;Yeo, In-Kwon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.891-901
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we investigate the approach to estimate VaR under the transformed GARCH model. The time series are transformed to approximate to the underlying distribution of error terms and then the parameters and the one-sided prediction interval are estimated with the transformed data. The back-transformation is applied to compute the VaR in the original data scale. The analyses on the asset returns of KOSPI and KOSDAQ are presented to verify the accuracy of the coverage probabilities of the proposed VaR.

The Agency Costs and Ownership Structure of the companies listed on the KOSDAQ (코스닥기업의 소유구조와 대리비용)

  • Hwang Dong-Sub
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.105-113
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    • 2005
  • I investigate whether the efficient ratios used as the proxies of the agency costs maintained by Ang et al.(2000) is significant. Utilizing a sample of 77 manufacturing companies listed on the KOSDAQ from the TS2000 of the KSDA, The results are as follows. Agency costs are found to be decreasing with the ownership share of controlling shareholders and accounting performance becomes higher. But firm value measured by Tobin's Q ratio becomes lower according as the ownership of the controlling shareholders increases. If agency costs decrease in proportion to controlling shareholder's share, firm value should be higher according to the agency theory by Jensen and Meckling(I976). But the results of the empirical test of this study are inconsistent with Jensen and Meckling's(1976). Therefore the following study on the more useful proxies stand for agency costs should be needed.

A study on the influences of KOSDAQ listed venture firms' financing method on management accomplishments (코스닥등록 벤처기업의 자본조달방식이 경영성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Mo, Kang-Kyung;Yang, Hae-Sool
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.1625-1633
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, influences of financing method on management accomplishments for KOSDAQ listed venture firms has been objectively verified. The results of this study revealed that explanatory variable had significant influences on management outcomes of firms, and some part of pecking order theory has not gotten the supported result and other part has gotten the supported result. Also, it was analyzed that fixed asset investment had significant influences on management accomplishments.

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DASAN C & I

  • 윤승영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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    • 2000.02a
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    • pp.49-49
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    • 2000
  • 당사는 1991년 6월에 설립된 후 반도체 장비의 국산화 개발에 주력하고 있다. Thermoelectric module typer Chiller 및 Dry gas scrubber를 국산화 하였으며 THC(Temperature & Humidity Controller)를 개발하여 국내 및 미국에 특허를 출원중에 있으며 기업 부설연구소를 통해 계속하여 각종 제품을 연구 개발하고 있다. 이외 다수의 제품을 보유하고 있으며 기업 부설연구소를 통해 계속하여 각종 제품을 연구 개발하고 있다. 이외 다수의 제품을 보유하고 있으며 진공관련 제품으로는 미국 MDC사 Vacuum components, e-beam vaporation system. ISI사 electrical and optical components, US Inc. 사 Sputter system, SBC사 Bellows. 일본 IKC사 Bellows, Vacuum components, Vacuum system을 취급하고 있다. 1998년에 경기도 및 중소기업청으로부터 유망중소기업 및 벤처기업 인증을 획득하였으며 1999년 12월에 경기도 및 중소기업청으로부터 유망중소기업 및 벤쳐기업 인증을 획득하였으며 1999년 12월 KOSDAQ에 등록하였다. 중소기업 수출기업화 사업 대상기업으로 선정되었으며 1999년 12월 KOSDAQ에 등록하였다.

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Disclosure Effects of Korean Firms' Divestment from China

  • Chung, Chune Young;Morscheck, Justin;Park, Kyung Su
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.1-26
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - We examine the disclosures on foreign divestment from China by 77 Korean firms between 2007 and 2016 to identify the effects (and their determinants) on parent firm value. Design/methodology - We analyze how divestment affects firm value by examining the disclosure of divestment from China by Korean firms. Then, we examine the determinants of these disclosure effects using cross-sectional regression analyses. Findings - We find negative effects on parent firm value in the short and medium term, and both the KOSPI and KOSDAQ stock markets show negative correlations between foreign divestment and firm value. The parent firm's financial condition and profitability and the reason for divesting are statistically significant determinants. Practical implications - Most Korean firms in China belong to the manufacturing industry. As a result, divestment signifies a loss of important manufacturing bases and assets. Originality/value - We analyze foreign direct divestment, which has not been studied in detail previously owing to a lack of data. In addition, this research is the first to compare the disclosure effects in the KOSPI market with those in the KOSDAQ market for the same period.