• Title/Summary/Keyword: KMV model

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The Default Prediction Model using the Stock Price Data (주가정보를 활용한 부도예측모형에 관한 연구)

  • 송영래;김기흥;황성태;오형식
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.1059-1065
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    • 2002
  • 주가자료를 활용한 부도예측모형인 KMV EDF 모형을 기반으로 일별주가자료와 기업재무자료를 이용하여, 모형에 필요한 적절한 모수를 찾고 모델링을 하였으며, 적절성을 검증했다. 그리고, 기존의 연구에 따라 월평균주가자료를 이용한 경우, 모형에 왜곡이 가해질 수 있다는 점을 지적했다. 또한, 민감도 분석을 통하여 본 모형의 부도예측값에 미치는 주요한 검증하고, 실용적으로 사용할 수 있는 간단한 민감도분석 Tool을 설계하였다.

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An Empirical Analysis of the Effect of the Introduction of Korean equivalents of International Financial Reporting Standards (K-IFRSs) (한국채택국제회계기준(K-IFRS) 도입이 건설업체에 미치는 영향에 대한 실증분석)

  • Jang, Sewoong
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.104-111
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    • 2014
  • Due to the structure of advanced installment sales of houses which is a construction industrial structure unique to Korea and the Project Financing (PF) project structure that includes construction companies' debt guarantee agreements, the changes in accounting methods resulting from the introduction of K-IFRSs are expected to act in a direction to deteriorate construction businesses' financial statements. Therefore, K-IFRSs are an important issue that can seriously affect the entire domestic construction industry and construction businesses are conceiving strategies to respond to the introduction of K-IFRSs. From this viewpoint, this study was intended to empirically analyze the effect of the introduction of K-IFRSs on construction businesses utilizing financial data applied with the K-IFRSs recently announced. In the analysis, the EDFs were calculated by business using the existing accounting standards GAAP and using K-IFRSs and the results were compared with each other. The results of the analysis indicated that most construction businesses were adversely affected by the introduction of K-IFRSs. It is also considered that businesses with relatively good financial statements under the existing accounting standards GAAP would be affected more by the introduction of K-IFRSs than other businesses. In addition, the introduction of K-IFRSs is expected to have larger effects on large construction businesses that have been providing debt guarantees for PF projects than on small or medium sized construction businesses.

A Study on How Trust and Commitment in Airlines' Mileage Program Affects the Customers' Loyalty (항공사 마일리지 프로그램에 대한 고객의 신뢰와 결속이 브랜드 충성도에 미치는 영향)

  • Baek, Sun Hee;Lee, Seung Chang;Lee, Sanghak
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.95-107
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    • 2014
  • A customer loyalty program (i.e., FFP) has become more important to keep loyal customers especially for legacy airlines. Therefore, the researchers intended to examine the elements of an airline loyalty program and how these elements influenced the effects of the loyalty program. To set up the research framework, the commitment-trust model (i.e., KMV model) in the loyalty program was used in this study. Shared values, benefits, serviceabilities, and affiliated companies were considered as independent variables (i.e., elements of FFP). Trust and commitment added as mediating variables and customers' loyalty were examined as a dependent variable. A survey has been conducted. All independent variables had positive relationships with trust and commitment and trust influenced commitment. Lastly, the mediating variables had positive effects on customers' loyalty.

Analysis of Correlation between Construction Business and Insolvency of Construction Company (건설경기와 건설업체 부실화 간의 관계성 분석)

  • Seo, Jeong-Bum;Lee, Sang-Hyo;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.3-11
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    • 2013
  • The changes in construction business have impact on overall operation of construction companies. Poor business of construction companies following a s low industrial cycle could have broader implications and influences on the industry. Since a construction project involves various stakeholders including public organizations, financial institutions and households, a downturn in construction industry might lead to significant economic loss. In this regard, it is meaningful to examine the relationship between changes in construction business cycles and insolvency of construction companies. This study conducts an empirical analysis of the relationship between construction business cycles and how much they affect operation of construction companies. To this end, KMV model was used to estimate probability of bankruptcy, which represents business condition of a construction company. To examine construction business cycles, investment amount for different construction types-residential, non-residential, and construction work-was used as a variable. Based on the investment amount, VECM was applied and the analysis results suggested that construction companies should put priority on diversifying project portfolio. In addition, it was shown that once a construction company becomes unstable in business operation, it is hard to recover even when the market condition turns for the better. This suggests that, to improve business operation of a construction company, internal capacity-building is as important as the market condition and other external circumstances.