• Title/Summary/Keyword: KMA

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Predictability Study of Snowfall Case over South Korea Using TIGGE Data on 28 December 2012 (TIGGE 자료를 이용한 2012년 12월 28일 한반도 강설사례 예측성 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Min;Han, Sang-Un;Won, Hye Young;Ha, Jong-Chul;Lee, Jeong-Soon;Sim, Jae-Kwan;Lee, Yong Hee
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2014
  • This study compared ensemble mean and probability forecasts of snow depth amount associated with winter storm over South Korea on 28 December 2012 at five operational forecast centers (CMA, ECMWF, NCEP, KMA, and UMKO). And cause of difference in predicted snow depth at each Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) was investigated by using THe Observing system Research and Predictability EXperiment (THORPEX) Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) data. This snowfall event occurred due to low pressure passing through South Sea of Korea. Amount of 6 hr accumulated snow depth was more than 10 cm over southern region of South Korea In this case study, ECMWF showed best prediction skill for the spatio-temporal distribution of snow depth. At first, ECMWF EPS has been consistently enhancing the indications present in ensemble mean snow depth forecasts from 7-day lead time. Secondly, its ensemble probabilities in excess of 2~5 cm/6 hour have been coincided with observation frequencies. And this snowfall case could be predicted from 5-day lead time by using 10-day lag ensemble mean 6 hr accumulated snow depth distribution. In addition, the cause of good performances at ECMWF EPS in predicted snow depth amounts was due to outstanding prediction ability of forming inversion layer with below $0^{\circ}C$ temperature in low level (below 850 hPa) according to $35^{\circ}N$ at 1-day lead time.

Investigation of NESDIS's Calibration Algorithm of the Imagers for IR Channels on GOES-12

  • Chang, Ki-Ho;Oh, Tae-Hyung;Ahn, Myung-Hwan;Cho, Nam-Seo;Oh, Sung-Nam
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.55-58
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    • 2007
  • The prototype radiometric calibration algorithm of the imagers for IR channels has been developed according to the Weinreb's method. Applying the algorithm to the GOES-12 count data, we have shown that the calibration coefficients (slope and intercept) evaluated by the algorithm gives good agreement with the NESDIS's ones, and that the scanning error due to the scan mirror emissivity and stripe error are almost eliminated by the East/West angle dependent scan-mirror correction and the respective calculation of intercept for each North/South scan line, respectively.

Characteristics on the Variations of the Total Ozone over Pohang (1994-2004) using the Brewer Spectrophotometer and TOMS

  • Hong Gi-Man;Choi Byoung-Cheol;Goo Tae-Young;Lim Jae-Chul;Lim Byung-Sook;Baek Moon-Hee
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.388-391
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    • 2005
  • The characteristics of the total ozone variations measured by the ground-based Brewer Ozone Spectrophotometer and the Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) over Pohang are statistically examined from January 1994 to December 2004. First of all, in the correlation analysis of the total ozone measured from the Brewer Ozone Spectrophotometer and the TOMS, the correlation coefficient was 0.88 and the used data were 2190. The annual mean value of the total ozone is 311 DU with the standard deviation of 13 DU. The maximum and the minimum value were found in March (343 DU) and in September (282 DU), respectively. It was also revealed that the longest seasonal variation is in Spring (341 DU) and the smallest is in Autumn (283 DU). The time series data of the total ozone indicates that the annual variation is significant and the variations for three months and six months are relatively weak. Finally, the annual mean total ozones in Pohang (Brewer), Seoul (Brewer) and Busan (TOMS) are 312 DU, 324 DU and 304 DU, respectively.

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Wind Prediction with a Short-range Multi-Model Ensemble System (단시간 다중모델 앙상블 바람 예측)

  • Yoon, Ji Won;Lee, Yong Hee;Lee, Hee Choon;Ha, Jong-Chul;Lee, Hee Sang;Chang, Dong-Eon
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.327-337
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    • 2007
  • In this study, we examined the new ensemble training approach to reduce the systematic error and improve prediction skill of wind by using the Short-range Ensemble prediction system (SENSE), which is the mesoscale multi-model ensemble prediction system. The SENSE has 16 ensemble members based on the MM5, WRF ARW, and WRF NMM. We evaluated the skill of surface wind prediction compared with AWS (Automatic Weather Station) observation during the summer season (June - August, 2006). At first stage, the correction of initial state for each member was performed with respect to the observed values, and the corrected members get the training stage to find out an adaptive weight function, which is formulated by Root Mean Square Vector Error (RMSVE). It was found that the optimal training period was 1-day through the experiments of sensitivity to the training interval. We obtained the weighted ensemble average which reveals smaller errors of the spatial and temporal pattern of wind speed than those of the simple ensemble average.

Inhomogeneities in Korean Climate Data (II): Due to the Change of the Computing Procedure of Daily Mean (기상청 기후자료의 균질성 문제 (II): 통계지침의 변경)

  • Ryoo, Sang-Boom;Kim, Yeon-Hee
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.17-26
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    • 2007
  • The station relocations, the replacement of instruments, and the change of a procedure for calculating derived climatic quantities from observations are well-known nonclimatic factors that seriously contaminate the worthwhile results in climate study. Prior to embarking on the climatological analysis, therefore, the quality and homogeneity of the utilized data sets should be properly evaluated with metadata. According to the metadata of the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), there have been plenty of changes in the procedure computing the daily mean values of temperature, humidity, etc, since 1904. For routine climatological work, it is customary to compute approximate daily mean values for individual days from values observed at fixed hours. In the KMA, fixed hours were totally 5 times changed: at four-hourly, four-hourly interval with additional 12 hour, eight-hourly, six-hourly, three-hourly intervals. In this paper, the homogeneity in the daily mean temperature dataset of the KMA was assessed with the consistency and efficiency of point estimators. We used the daily mean calculated from the 24 hourly readings as a potential true value. Approximate daily means computed from temperatures observed at different fixed hours have statistically different properties. So this inhomogeneity in KMA climate data should be kept in mind if you want to analysis secular aspects of Korea climate using this data set.

Analysis of Quality Control Technique Characteristics on Single Polarization Radar Data (단일편파 레이더자료 품질관리기술 특성 분석)

  • Park, Sora;Kim, Heon-Ae;Cha, Joo Wan;Park, Jong-Seo;Han, Hye-Young
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2014
  • The radar reflectivity is significantly affected by ground clutter, beam blockage, anomalous propagation (AP), birds, insects, chaff, etc. The quality of radar reflectivity is very important in quantitative precipitation estimation. Therefore, Weather Radar Center (WRC) of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) employed two quality control algorithms: 1) Open Radar Product Generator (ORPG) and 2) fuzzy quality control algorithm to improve quality of radar reflectivity. In this study, an occurrence of AP echoes and the performance of both quality control algorithms are investigated. Consequently, AP echoes frequently occur during the spring and fall seasons. Moreover, while the ORPG QC algorithm has the merit of removing non-precipitation echoes, such as AP echoes, it also removes weak rain echoes and snow echoes. In contrast, the fuzzy QC algorithm has the advantage of preserving snow echoes and weak rain echoes, but it eliminates the partial area of the contaminated echo, including the AP echoes.

A Study on the Reduction Technique of Recoil Force for Soft Recoil System using Dynamic Behavior (동적 거동을 이용한 연식주퇴장치의 주퇴력 저감 기법 연구)

  • Yoo, Sam-Hyeon;Lee, Jae-Yeong;Lee, Jong-Woo;Jo, Seong-Sik;Kim, Ju-Hee;Kim, In-Su;Lim, Soo-Chul
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.5-11
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    • 2007
  • The future combat system is likely to be studied and developed in terms of enhancing both firepower and mobility simultaneously. Increased firepower often necessitates a heavier firing system. In return, the body of the vehicle needs to be light-weight in order to improve the mobility of the whole system. For this reason, in the areas of weapons systems such as the tank and self-propelled artillery, a number of studies attempting to develop designs that reduce recoil force against the body of the vehicle are being conducted. The current study proposes a tank construction that has a mass-spring-damper system with two degrees of freedom. A tank structure mounted with a specific soft recoil system that was implemented using a soft recoil technique and another tank structure based on a general recoil technique were compared to each other in order to analyze the recoil forces, the displacements of recoil, and the firing intervals when they were firing. MATLAB-Simulink was used as a simulating tool. In addition, the relationship between the movement of the recoil parts and the positions of the recoil latches in each of the two structures were analyzed. The recoil impact power, recoil displacement, firing interval, and so on were derived as functional formulas based on the position of the recoil latch.

Features on the Vertical Size Distribution of Aerosols using Ballon-borne Optical Particle Counter at Anmyeon (광학입자계수기를 이용한 안면도 연직 에어러솔 수농도 크기 분포 특성)

  • Choi, B.C.;Iwasaka, Y.;Lim, J.C.;Jeong, S.B.;Kim, Y.S.;Dmitri, T.;Nagatani, T.;Yamada, M.;Kim, S.B.;Hong, G.M.;Lee, Y.G.;Yoo, H.J.
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.149-153
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    • 2005
  • A balloon-borne Optical Particle Counter (hereafter "OPC Sonde"), which was developed by the atmospheric research group of Nagoya University, is used for getting the information of vertical profile of particle size and concentration in Anmyeon ($36^{\circ}32^{\prime}N$ $126^{\circ}19^{\prime}E$) on 18 March 2005. A range of five different particle sizes is shown in the vertical profile of aerosol number density estimated from the OPC Sonde. It was found that small size particles have vertically larger aerosol number density than relatively big ones. For all size ranges the vertical aerosol number density shows a decreased pattern as the altitude becomes higher. The aerosol number density of $0.3{\sim}0.5{\mu}m$, $0.5{\sim}0.8{\mu}m$, $0.8{\sim}1.2{\mu}m$ size ranges at the 10km height, which is the tropopause approximately, are $1,000,000ea/m^3$, $100,000ea/m^3$, $10,000ea/m^3$ respectively. The data of OPC Sonde are also compared with the data of PM10 $\beta$-ray) and Micro Pulse Lidar which are operating at Korea Global Atmosphere Watch Observatory in Anmyeon.

A Way for Establishing Tsunami Scenario Data Base (지진해일 시나리오 DB 구축방안)

  • Lee Duk Kee;Ryoo Yonggyu;Yang JunMo;Kim Sukyung;Youn YoungHoon;Lee Jun Hee;Park Jongchan
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.3-7
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    • 2005
  • Focal mechanism of the real and imaginary faults in the western coast of Japan has been assumed by examining the previous studies on the seismicity, seismic gap, fault behaviors, seismic zoning, and faults. In the area of no seismic information, the focal mechanism has been assumed to have the maximum influence on the tsunami height in the eastern coast of Korea. The tsunami height in a particular point of the eastern coast of Korea can vary up to 7 orders with the variation of the strike of the fault in a particular source point of the western coast of Japan with constant magnitude. Tsunami scenario DB including tile arrival times and tsunami heights has been constructing by using the assumed focal mechanism of the western coast of Japan. Tsunami warning system will be reinforced by using this tsunami scenario DB near future.

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Construction of the Regional Prediction System using a Regional Climate Model and Validation of its Wintertime Forecast (지역기후모델을 이용한 상세계절예측시스템 구축 및 겨울철 예측성 검증)

  • Kim, Moon-Hyun;Kang, Hyun-Suk;Byun, Young-Hwa;Park, Suhee;Kwon, Won-Tae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.17-33
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    • 2011
  • A dynamical downscaling system for seasonal forecast has been constructed based on a regional climate model, and its predictability was investigated for 10 years' wintertime (December-January-February; DJF) climatology in East Asia. Initial and lateral boundary conditions were obtained from the operational seasonal forecasting data, which are realtime output of the Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System (GDAPS) at Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). Sea surface temperature was also obtained from the operational forecasts, i.e., KMA El-Nino and Global Sea Surface Temperature Forecast System. In order to determine the better configuration of the regional climate model for East Asian regions, two sensitivity experiments were carried out for one winter season (97/98 DJF): One is for the topography blending and the other is for the cumulus parameterization scheme. After determining the proper configuration, the predictability of the regional forecasting system was validated with respect to 850 hPa temperature and precipitation. The results showed that mean fields error and other verification statistics were generally decreased compared to GDAPS, most evident in 500 hPa geopotential heights. These improved simulation affected season prediction, and then HSS was better 36% and 11% about 850 hPa temperature and precipitation, respectively.