• Title/Summary/Keyword: Jeffreys 사전분포

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Bayesian Analysis for the Error Variance in a Two-Way Mixed-Effects ANOVA Model Using Noninformative Priors (무정보 사전분포를 이용한 이원배치 혼합효과 분산분석모형에서 오차분산에 대한 베이지안 분석)

  • 장인홍;김병휘
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.405-414
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    • 2002
  • We consider the problem of estimating the error variance of in a two-way mixed-effects ANOVA model using noninformative priors. First, we derive Jeffreys' prior, a reference prior, and matching priors. We then provide marginal posterior distributions under those noninformative priors. Finally, we provide graphs of marginal posterior densities of the error variance and credible intervals for the error variance in two real data set and compare these credible intervals.

Reference Prior and Posterior in the AR(1) Model

  • Lee, Yoon-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2005
  • Recently an important issue in Bayesian methodology is determination of noninformative prior distributions, often required when there is no idea of prior information. In this thesis attention is focused on the development of noninformative priors for stationary AR(1) model. The noninformative priors primarily discussed are the Jeffreys prior, and the reference priors. The remarkable points in the result are that the Jeffreys prior coincides with the reference prior for the case that $\rho$ is the parameter of interest.

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Bayesian Testing for the Shape Parameter of Gamma Distribution : An Encompassing Approach

  • Moon, Gyoung-Ae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.861-870
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    • 2005
  • The Bayesian model selection procedures for the shape parameter of gamma distribution are proposed in order to test that the failure rate of gamma distribution is constant, increasing or decreasing. The encompassing intrinsic Bayes factor by Beger and Pericchi (1996) based on Jeffreys prior for shape parameter is used to investigate the usefulness of the proposed Bayesian model selection procedures via both real data and pseudo data.

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Radiological Risk Assessment for the Public Under the Loss of Medium and Large Sources Using Bayesian Methodology (베이지안 기법에 의거한 중대형 방사선원의 분실 시 일반인에 대한 방사선 위험도의 평가)

  • Kim, Joo-Yeon;Jang, Han-Ki;Lee, Jai-Ki
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2005
  • Bayesian methodology is appropriated for use in PRA because subjective knowledges as well as objective data are applied to assessment. In this study, radiological risk based on Bayesian methodology is assessed for the loss of source in field radiography. The exposure scenario for the lost source presented in U.S. NRC is reconstructed by considering the domestic situation and Bayes theorem is applied to updating of failure probabilities of safety functions. In case of updating of failure probabilities, it shows that 5 % Bayes credible intervals using Jeffreys prior distribution are lower than ones using vague prior distribution. It is noted that Jeffreys prior distribution is appropriated in risk assessment for systems having very low failure probabilities. And, it shows that the mean of the expected annual dose for the public based on Bayesian methodology is higher than the dose based on classical methodology because the means of the updated probabilities are higher than classical probabilities. The database for radiological risk assessment are sparse in domestic. It summarizes that Bayesian methodology can be applied as an useful alternative lot risk assessment and the study on risk assessment will be contributed to risk-informed regulation in the field of radiation safety.