• Title/Summary/Keyword: Investor

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Deep Learning-Based Stock Fluctuation Prediction According to Overseas Indices and Trading Trend by Investors (해외지수와 투자자별 매매 동향에 따른 딥러닝 기반 주가 등락 예측)

  • Kim, Tae Seung;Lee, Soowon
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.10 no.9
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    • pp.367-374
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    • 2021
  • Stock price prediction is a subject of research in various fields such as economy, statistics, computer engineering, etc. In recent years, researches on predicting the movement of stock prices by learning artificial intelligence models from various indicators such as basic indicators and technical indicators have become active. This study proposes a deep learning model that predicts the ups and downs of KOSPI from overseas indices such as S&P500, past KOSPI indices, and trading trends by KOSPI investors. The proposed model extracts a latent variable using a stacked auto-encoder to predict stock price fluctuations, and predicts the fluctuation of the closing price compared to the market price of the day by learning an LSTM suitable for learning time series data from the extracted latent variable to decide to buy or sell based on the value. As a result of comparing the returns and prediction accuracy of the proposed model and the comparative models, the proposed model showed better performance than the comparative models.

Comparative Study of the Korea and America Accelerator - With Focusing on the Accelerator Process Model - (한·미 액셀러레이터 비교연구 - Accelerator process 모형 중심으로 -)

  • Sung, So Young;kim, nam hun;Kim, Kyong Hwan
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.167-186
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    • 2018
  • In this paper try to derive some implications through comparative studies of accelerator in Korea and US centering on accelerator process model. In addition, the concept of accelerator is defined comprehensively through the existing literature study, and the accelerator program is focused on the accelerator process model. In the study, three Korea and America accelerators were selected and analyzed as follows. First, we discussed the definition of the accelerator, the configuration program, and the differences with existing organizations. Second, after selecting three representative companies among Korean and American accelerators, history, programs, achievements, characteristics, and limitations were derived. Third, based on the existing literature research, we compared the differences in appearance and performance between the six Korean and US accelerator companies using the table. Finally, the limitations and implications of domestic accelerators are described.

Study on the Applicability of Most-Favored-Nation clause in Investor-State Dispute Settlement under China's BIT (중국 BIT상 최혜국대우조항의 투자자-국가 간 분쟁해결절차에 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Zhang, Man;Ha, Hyun-Soo
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.117-133
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    • 2019
  • This paper examines the most-favored-nation treatment clause on the BITs concluded by China and examines the attitudes of China on the application of the most-favored-nation treatment clause to the ISDs by period as the scope of arbitration increases. Moreover, this study pointed out the problems that would be exposed if the most-favored-nation treatment clause applies to ISDs and then also suggested solutions. The conclusions of this study are as follows; if the Chinese government strictly restricts the applicable expansion of the most-favored-nation treatment clause to the dispute settlement procedure by considering only the position of the capital importing country, it implies a contradiction against the development trend of the arbitration system related to international investment disputes. Of course, in order to protect the rights of Chinese investors investing abroad, expanding the applicability of the most-favored-nation treatment clause to the ISDs procedure unconditionally may have a negative impact under China's dual status of being a capital-importing country and a capital-exporting country. Therefore, China should clearly define the scope of application of the most-favored-nation treatment clause, the completion of the local remedy for the host country in cases of BIT to be concluded in the future or amended, and also clearly define that the most-favored-nation treatment clause should not be retroactively applied into BITs already concluded as an exception of applicability of the most-favored-nation treatment.

Improvement about Regulatory System of KRX Derivatives Trading: Focusing on Financial Consumer Protection (장내파생상품거래의 제도개선: 소비자보호를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Chisoo;Cheong, Kiwoong
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.239-266
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this paper is to suggest desirable improvement for KRX derivatives market plagued with many problems in spite of its world level of quantitative growth. In order to try to find desirable improvement for KRX derivatives market which has many problems like that, I suggest various ways of improvement for regulatory system in the future in terms of behavioral regulation for investor protection. First of all, in order to relieve speculative tendency of trading, KOSPI200 option market with ATM-oriented option trading needs to be induced from the market in which OTM-oriented option is now trading. So discount or exemption of brokerage fee for ATM trading and the introduction of market-maker for ATM type can be considered. For the protection of individual investors, we suggest feasible plans such as differential regulation between professional and individual investors, consolidation of basic deposit management, and enlargement of opportunities for risk management education & simulation trading.

A Comparative Study on the Prohibition of Performance Requirements in International Investment Agreements (국제투자협정에서 「이행요건」 부과금지에 관한 비교연구)

  • Hong, Sung-Kyu
    • Journal of Arbitration Studies
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.35-63
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    • 2019
  • Since imposing Performance Requirements (PRs) on investors have been conducted as a means to protect a host state's domestic industry in the short run, with its effect on improving the international balance of payments, it has been implemented mostly in developing countries. From the viewpoint of investors, however, PRs hinder free competition and investment activities and have the effect of distorting international trade activities; therefore, they are expected to bring detrimental effects on the host state's economic development in the long run. PRs provided by International Investment Agreements (IIAs) and WTO-TRIMs, too, included many abstract regulations which are grounded on the host state's economic efficiency in the past; however, those PRs are gradually being more concretely specified, shifting to a form of prohibition with the goals of increasing the protection on investors and realizing investment liberalization. Accordingly, when Korea freshly concludes IIAs or revises them afterwards, one should focus more on following the points regarding PRs. First, to protect Korean companies' investment activities, it is advantageous to list the contents of prohibited PRs extensively and concretely and create a stipulation. Second, it is necessary to list the contents of the PRs prohibited and add the phrases for prohibiting "any other similar requirements" explicitly, as well so as to cover the PRs that can appear newly. Third, as in the cases associated with PRs, issuable matters are mostly either the range of applying PRs or the conditions of applying them (relevance or detrimental effects); therefore, it is necessary to classify the cases accumulated by issues and analyze them thoroughly. In conclusion, as this study has analyzed the theoretical characteristics of PRs provided in IIAs and related cases and suggests exquisite theory regarding PRs, it not only lays fundamental grounds for follow-up research but also gives useful and practical guidelines for the parties concerned and the arbitrators according to the ISDS procedure.

Utilizing On-Chain Data to Predict Bitcoin Prices based on LSTM (On-Chain Data를 활용한 LSTM 기반 비트코인 가격 예측)

  • An, Yu-Jin;Oh, Ha-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.25 no.10
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    • pp.1287-1295
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    • 2021
  • During the past decade, it seems apparent that Bitcoin has been the best performing asset class. Even without a centralized authority that takes control over, Bitcoin, which started off with basically no value at all, reached around 65000 dollars in 2021, showing a movement that will definitely go down in history. Thus, even those who were skeptical of Bitcoin's intangible nature are stacking bitcoin as a huge part of their portfolios. Bitcoin's exponential growth in value also caught the attention of traditional banking and investment firms. Along with the spotlight Bitcoin is getting from the investment world, research using macro-economic variables and investor sentiment to explain Bitcoin's price movement has shown progress. However, previous studies do not make use of On-Chain Data, which are data processed using transaction data in Bitcoin's blockchain network. Therefore, in this paper, we will be utilizing LSTM, a method widely used for time-series data prediction, with On-Chain Data to predict the price of Bitcoin.

COVID-19 Fear Index and Stock Market (COVID-19 공포지수와 주식시장)

  • Kim, Sun Woong
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.11 no.9
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    • pp.84-93
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze whether the spread of COVID-19 infectious diseases acts as a fear to investors and affects the direction and volatility of stock returns. The investor fear index was proposed using the domestic confirmed patient information of COVID-19, and the influence on stock prices was empirically analyzed. The direction and volatility models of stock prices used the Granger causality and GARCH models, respectively. The results of empirical analysis using the KOSPI index from February 20, 2020 to June 30, 2021 are as follows: First, the COVID-19 fear index showed causality to future stock prices. Second, the COVID-19 fear index has a negative effect on the volatility of KOSPI index returns. In future studies, it is necessary to document the cause by using individual business performance and stock price instead of the stock index.

Dynamic Glide Path using Retirement Target Date and Forecast Volatility (은퇴 시점과 예측 변동성을 고려한 동적 Glide Path)

  • Kim, Sun Woong
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.82-89
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    • 2021
  • The objective of this study is to propose a new Glide Path that dynamically adjusts the risky asset inclusion ratio of the Target Date Fund by simultaneously considering the market's forecast volatility as well as the time of investor retirement, and to compare the investment performance with the traditional Target Date Fund. Forecasts of market volatility utilize historical volatility, time series model GARCH volatility, and the volatility index VKOSPI. The investment performance of the new dynamic Glide Path, which considers stock market volatility has been shown to be excellent during the analysis period from 2003 to 2020. In all three volatility prediction models, Sharpe Ratio, an investment performance indicator, is improved with higher returns and lower risks than traditional static Glide Path, which considers only retirement date. The empirical results of this study present the potential for the utilization of the suggested Glide Path in the Target Date Fund management industry as well as retirees.

Feasibility Study on Small-scale A/R CDM Pilot Project in Mongolia (몽골 소규모 A/R CDM 시범사업 타당성 평가연구)

  • Cha, Junhee;Park, DongKyun;Lee, Jong-Hak;YOUN, Yeo-Chang;Choi, Jun-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.100 no.4
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    • pp.698-707
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    • 2011
  • Over the past 10 years, South Korea has implemented various plantation projects including the Pine Restoration Project in Tujiin Nars and the desertification prevention forestation in Lun soum. This study has evaluated the implementation feasibility on the small-scale A/R CDM projects in Mongolia through which carbon emission credits can be secured. Characteristics, pros and cons, economic feasibility, and project execution feasibility were compared among three possible sites, Khyalganat, Tujiin Nars, and Lun soum. Among the three evaluated sites, Tujiin Nars has the better condition in tree growth, economic feasibility, and the applicability of experience than the other two sites. A/R CDM project in Mongolia, which has a great environmental benefit of combating desertification, is expected to have some effectiveness such as lowering costs from credit benefit, sustainable management by villagers, contribution to communities, investor's contribution to society and achievement of green image, and strengthening forestry cooperation between Korea and Mongolia.

The Impact of Foreign Ownership on the Dividend and Investment Behaviors of Korean Firms (한국기업의 배당과 투자에 대한 외국인 투자자의 영향력 연구)

  • Kang, Shin Ae;Min, Sang Kee
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.79-105
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    • 2010
  • This paper investigates empirically the impact of foreign investors on a firm's dividend and investment decision making in Korean stock market. Empirical results using the sample firms in non-financial firms listed in Korean stock market whose settlement month are December, we find that foreign investors who declared participation in management didn't exert significant impact on dividend increase. In the case of investment, foreign investors exerts significant impact on R&D investments. Using Hausman-Taylor Instrumental Variable method, we controlled endogeneity problem related with foreign ownership and dividend and investment policy. The contribution of this paper is that the purpose of foreign investors whether or not participate in management is the most critical point and the impacts of foreign investors on dividends and investment are different whether they participate in management or not.