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Level Shifts and Long-term Memory in Stock Distribution Markets (주식유통시장의 층위이동과 장기기억과정)

  • Chung, Jin-Taek
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - The purpose of paper is studying the static and dynamic side for long-term memory storage properties, and increase the explanatory power regarding the long-term memory process by looking at the long-term storage attributes, Korea Composite Stock Price Index. The reason for the use of GPH statistic is to derive the modified statistic Korea's stock market, and to research a process of long-term memory. Research design, data, and methodology - Level shifts were subjected to be an empirical analysis by applying the GPH method. It has been modified by taking into account the daily log return of the Korea Composite Stock Price Index a. The Data, used for the stock market to analyze whether deciding the action by the long-term memory process, yield daily stock price index of the Korea Composite Stock Price Index and the rate of return a log. The studies were proceeded with long-term memory and long-term semiparametric method in deriving the long-term memory estimators. Chapter 2 examines the leading research, and Chapter 3 describes the long-term memory processes and estimation methods. GPH statistics induced modifications of statistics and discussed Whittle statistic. Chapter 4 used Korea Composite Stock Price Index to estimate the long-term memory process parameters. Chapter 6 presents the conclusions and implications. Results - If the price of the time series is generated by the abnormal process, it may be located in long-term memory by a time series. However, test results by price fixed GPH method is not followed by long-term memory process or fractional differential process. In the case of the time-series level shift, the present test method for a long-term memory processes has a considerable amount of bias, and there exists a structural change in the stock distribution market. This structural change has implications in level shift. Stratum level shift assays are not considered as shifted strata. They exist distinctly in the stock secondary market as bias, and are presented in the test statistic of non-long-term memory process. It also generates an error as a long-term memory that could lead to false results. Conclusions - Changes in long-term memory characteristics associated with level shift present the following two suggestions. One, if any impact outside is flowed for a long period of time, we can know that the long-term memory processes have characteristic of the average return gradually. When the investor makes an investment, the same reasoning applies to him in the light of the characteristics of the long-term memory. It is suggested that when investors make decisions on investment, it is necessary to consider the characters of the long-term storage in reference with causing investors to increase the uncertainty and potential. The other one is the thing which must be considered variously according to time-series. The research for price-earnings ratio and investment risk should be composed of the long-term memory characters, and it would have more predictability.

An Effect of FDI and Human Capital on Economic Growth Using VECM in Korea (VECM을 이용한 한국 외국인직접투자와 인적자본의 경제성장 효과)

  • Jung, Young-Chul;Kim, Seong-Ki;Seo, Min-Kyo;Kang, Han-Gyoun
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.87-114
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyze the economic effects of Foreign Direct Investment(FDI) and human capital using VECM in Korea from 1970 to 2009. Empirical results through VECM show that the coefficients of GDP, GFO(gross fixed capital), LAB(total labor), EXO(export), PCDB(public and commercial loan) and FDI have had a positive impact on Korean economic growth. In contrast, the effects of PCDB and FDI were not as significant as the other variables. In particular, the interaction effect, $FDI^*EDU$(the college graduation variable), was more important than that of the FDI alone. However, the coefficient of $FDI^*EDU$ was not so big. Korean government needs to attract more FDI to enhance Korean economic growth rate by the improvement of investment environment. There are a big amount gap between notification FDI and arrival FDI in Korea. So Korean government and companies should actively persuade foreign investors to invest after their investment notification. Also the Korean college authorities should emphasize more on curriculum which adapts to company skill in the field work.

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Forecasting Economic Impacts of Construction R&D Investment: A Quantitative System Dynamics Forecast Model Using Qualitative Data (건설 분야 정부 R&D 투자의 사업별 경제적 파급효과 분석 - 정성적 자료 기반의 시스템다이내믹스 예측모형 개발 -)

  • Hwang, Sungjoo;Park, Moonseo;Lee, Hyun-Soo;Jang, Youjin;Moon, Myung-Gi;Moon, Yeji
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 2013
  • Econometric forecast models based on past time-series data have been applied to a wide variety of applications due to their advantages in short-term point estimating. These models are particularly used in predicting the impact of governmental research and development (R&D) programs because program managers should assert their feasibility due to R&D program's huge amount of budget. The construction governmental R&D programs, however, separately make an investment by dividing total budget into five sub-business area. It make R&D program managers difficult to understand how R&D programs affect the whole system including economy because they are restricted with regard to many dependent and dynamic variables. In this regard, system dynamics (SD) model provides an analytic solution for complex, nonlinear, and dynamic systems such as the impacts of R&D programs by focusing on interactions among variables and understanding their structures. This research, therefore, developed SD model to capture the different impacts of five construction R&D sub-business by considering different characteristics of sub-business area. To overcome the SD's disadvantages in point estimating, this research also proposed the method for constructing quantitative forecasting model using qualitative data. Understanding the different characteristics of each construction R&D sub-business can support R&D program managers to demonstrate their feasibility of capital investment.

A study on Improvement and Invigoration of Cooperation Charge on Conservation Ecosystem Fund (생태계보전협력금 제도 활성화를 위한 부과금 개선 방안 연구)

  • Kim, Gyung-Ho;Lee, Sang-Houck
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.97-109
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    • 2011
  • Korea introduced the cooperation charge on conservation of ecosystem for minimizing damage of ecosystem due to development projects and their effects and for preparing resources for natural environment conservation projects. Advanced countries have made efforts by expanding investment in natural environment conservation and restoring projects to promote prevention of global warming and improvement of biological diversity, are establishing nationwide strategies and plans. To examine the reality of projects by returns of the cooperation charge on conservation of ecosystem, microsite projects in schools and public facilities take the largest share while their project budgets are only about 100~300 KRW, relatively small, which might be attributable to budget restrictions in accordance with the calculating method of levying cooperation charge on conservation of ecosystem and problems of project proceeding in the system of returning fund for projects in general. The conclusion which this study suggests on invigoration of cooperation charge on conservation of ecosystem and its operation are as followings. First, although the cooperation charge on conservation of ecosystem has been introduced in 2001, the amount of imposition per unit area remains unchanged. It is desirable to increase the amount into $1,400KRW/m^2$ as of August, 2011 as the price index has been continuously rising for the past 10 years and the upward adjustment of imposition per unit area should be notified by the decree of the Ministry of Environment every January. Second, the ceiling amount of the cooperation charge on conservation of ecosystem should be abolished. Now the ceiling amount is defined as 1 billion KRW but it was found that there was not any ceiling amount specified according to the comparative analysis of similar systems with the Korean environmental improvement fund. The ceiling should be abolished so that medium level businesses are carried out and ecosystem recovering projects in the true sense of the word can be made smoothly. Third, weight should be introduced in calculating amounts in accordance with ecologic and economic values. Harmony between development and environment can be achieved by applying differentiated weights of constant regional coefficient by use zone and ecologic and economic values. Continuous efforts of improving cooperation charge on conservation of ecosystem should be made more than anything else so that projects by returns of cooperation charge on conservation of ecosystem get effectiveness.

The Welfare Investment of the National Pension Funds: Its Necessity and Policy Development (국민연금기금의 복지사업 당위성과 정책방향 연구)

  • Kim, Jin-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.58 no.3
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    • pp.295-312
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    • 2006
  • The use of the national pension funds to welfare has been criticized due to its low profitability, with concern about financial instability and the lack of funds. Despite the small amount of the funds employed to the welfare, therefore, it has been decreasing so far. It is resulted from the fact that the use of funds to the welfare sector failed to provide its valid reasons, and take the policy direction firmly. There are three main logical reasons for the welfare investment of national pension funds: Firstly, no state is capable to take the full responsibility for the entire social welfare, and therefore, the funds can be used for social welfare. Secondly, the funded system, contrasted with the case of pay-as-you-go system, has inevitably caused discriminations to the present elderly through excluding them institutionally from pension participation. At last, so as to its selective system, the minimum contribution period of 10 years brings about the equity problem between the people who can afford it and the people who hardly can. Therefore, investing a proportion of funds to the welfare is entirely reasonable in that it can alleviate the discriminations to the present elderly generation and the marginal participants, rather than to meet their social welfare needs. With regard to the policy decision, the profitability of the investment, and the choice of the welfare work, on the other hand, the policy direction should be given a sufficient consideration of a various policy factors such as the necessity of social consensus, independence of the welfare work in relations with other national welfare work, policy identity to judge whether the work is worth long-run or short-run, and the reliance of direct-operated work and indirect-operated work. As a result of all these efforts above mentioned, an investment to the welfare of the national pension funds could be vitalized, and gain public confidence.

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A Study on the Extracting the Core Input and Output Variables in Korean Seaports by DEA and PCA Approach (DEA와 PCA에 의한 항만의 핵심 투입-산출변수의 추출방법)

  • Park, Ro-Kyung
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.30 no.10 s.116
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    • pp.793-800
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this paper is to show a way for extracting the core input and output variable in Korean seaports by using principal component analysis and DEA(data envelopment analysis). Two inputs(birthing capacity, and cargo handling capacity) and three outputs(export cargo handling amount, import cargo handling amount, and number of ship calls), and three cross sectional data(1995, 2000, and 2004) for 26 Korean seaports are considered for measuring the efficiencies of 21 DEA models. 21 models can be treated as variables and efficiencies as observations for extracting the core inputs and outputs variables by using principal component analysis. An empirical main result indicates that core input variable is cargo handling capacity, and core output is the number of ship calls. The Korean seaport authority can adopt the DEA and principal component analysis for deciding the development and investment to each seaport.

Factors affecting particle breakage of calcareous soil retrieved from South China Sea

  • Wang, Xinzhi;Shan, Huagang;Wu, Yang;Meng, Qingshan;Zhu, Changqi
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.173-185
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    • 2020
  • Calcareous soil is originated from marine biogenic sediments and weathering of carbonate rocks. The formation history for calcareous sediment includes complex physical, biological and chemical processes. It is preferably selected as the major fill materials for hydraulic reclamation and artificial island construction. Calcareous sands possess inter pores and complex shape are liable to be damaged at normal working stress level due to its fragile nature. Thus, the engineering properties of calcareous soil are greatly affected by its high compressibility and crushability. A series of triaxial shear tests were performed on calcareous sands derived from South China Sea under different test conditions. The effects of confining pressure, particle size, grading, compactness, drainage condition, and water content on the total amount of particle breakage for calcareous soil were symmetrically investigated. The test results showed that the crushing extent of calcareous sand with full gradation was smaller than that a single particle group under the same test condition. Large grains are cushioned by surrounding small particles and such micro-structure reduces the probability of breakage for well-graded sands. The increasing tendency of particle crushing for calcareous sand with a rise in confining pressure and compactness is confirmed. It is also evident that a rise in water content enhances the amount of particle breakage for calcareous sand. However, varying tendency of particle breakage with grain size is still controversial and requires further examination.

Research for High Quality Ingot Production in Large Diameter Continuous Czochralski Method (대구경 연속성장 초크랄스키법에서 고품질 잉곳 생산을 위한 연구)

  • Lee, Yu Ri;Jung, Jae Hak
    • Current Photovoltaic Research
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.124-129
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    • 2016
  • Recently industry has voiced a need for optimally designing the production process of low-cost, high-quality ingots by improving productivity and reducing production costs with the Czochralski process. Crystalline defect control is important for the production of high-quality ingots. Also oxygen is one of the most important impurities that influence crystalline defects in single crystals. Oxygen is dissolved into the silicon melt from the silica crucible and incorporated into the crystalline a far larger amount than other additives or impurities. Then it is eluted during the cooling process, there by causing various defect. Excessive quantities of oxygen degrade the quality of silicone. However an appropriate amount of oxygen can be beneficial. because it eliminates metallic impurities within the silicone. Therefore, when growing crystals, an attempt should be made not to eliminate oxygen, but to uniformly maintain its concentration. Thus, the control of oxygen concentration is essential for crystalline growth. At present, the control of oxygen concentration is actively being studied based on the interdependence of various factors such as crystal rotation, crucible rotation, argon flow, pressure, magnet position and magnetic strength. However for methods using a magnetic field, the initial investment and operating costs of the equipment affect the wafer pricing. Hence in this study simulations were performed with the purpose of producing low-cost, high-quality ingots through the development of a process to optimize oxygen concentration without the use of magnets and through the following. a process appropriate to the defect-free range was determined by regulating the pulling rate of the crystals.

The Relationship Between English Language Proficiency and the National Economic Performance: Focusing on non-English-Speaking OECD Countries (영어능력과 국가 경제성장과의 관계: OECD 비영어권 국가들을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Seon-Jae;Lee, Young-Hwa
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.329-339
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    • 2011
  • This study aims at investigating how English proficiency affects economic development of a country by analyzing the relationships among English proficiency, economic activities (amount of trade, R&D investment, etc), and the rate of economic growth, focusing on twenty-one non-English-speaking OECD countries. Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Seemingly Unrelated Regression Estimation (SURE) were used for the data analysis in the study. The findings reveals that there existed little statistical significance to support the fact that English proficiency was directly related to the economic development in a positive way in many countries except Mexico, the Czech Republic, Finland, and Poland. However, English proficiency indirectly influenced the economic development in the way of increasing the amount of trade. These results can lead to the conclusion that English proficiency is not a sufficient element but a necessary one. Furthermore, it is expected that English proficiency can positively affect the economic development when it plays a part as sufficient complementary goods which make up for physical capital, technology accumulation, political stability, and worthy government.

A Way of Improving Merger-related Taxation Systems (합병관련 과세제도의 개선방안)

  • Park, Sang-Bong;Park, Myung-Hi
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.23
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    • pp.157-174
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    • 2007
  • Concerning this nation's M&A system, it is expected that standards of limitation on ownership is considerably modified and alleviated. This would allow companies to freely merge with each other, raising the efficiency of the whole national economy and ultimately benefiting all economic subjects. Another goal of business merger lies in adjusting net income or reducing tax amount. The income and the amount are to be financially reported. If merger between companies does not create any synergy effect, but just contributes to net income increase or tax reduction for the purpose of the parties' financial reporting, it might distort a rational distribution of wealth over all facets of economy. Merger whose goal is to create the most desirable synergy effect should be positively encouraged, but that whose goal lies in tax avoidance needs to be strongly restricted. Thus the purpose of this study was to find how to improve this nation's merger-related taxation system. For the purpose, this researcher investigated problems of existing tax supports to merger, which meets related taxation requirements, especially in terms of liquidation income, appraisal profit from merger, fictitious dividend and requirements for taxation. Among the problems, the study found, the biggest thing was that liquidation income or deficit carried forward, if any, is subject to be prior deducted from surplus, so the income is likely to generate. To raise the consistency of this nation's taxation on business restructuring, existing local systems in regard to merger, division, investment in kind and dividend-exclusion method need to be reconsidered following the introduction of consolidated taxation system.

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