• 한국가스학회지
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.21-28
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• 2018

최근 셰일가스 생산량의 급증에 따른 유 가스 가격 하락이 셰일가스 생산의 채산성 악화를 초래하여 셰일가스 개발 시 신뢰성 있는 경제성 평가가 중요해졌다. 따라서 이 연구에서는 확률론적 분석 기법 중 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 적용하여 셰일가스 개발 시 수반되는 불확실성을 고려한 경제성 분석을 수행하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 주요 변수들의 범위를 설정한 후 난수를 발생시켜 순현재가치(Net Present Value, NPV)와 내부수익률(Internal Rate of Return, IRR)의 확률분포를 도출하였고, 연구대상지역에서의 셰일가스 개발 시 사업 타당성이 긍정적으로 판단되는 확률을 추정하였다. 또한 셰일가스 개발 시 경제성에 영향을 미치는 주요 변수에 대한 민감도 분석을 수행하여 상업적인 생산을 위한 경제성 평가 시 주요 변수들의 영향을 파악하였다. 향후 대상지역의 경제성 지표 변동범위와 확률 값을 도출하는 이 연구의 결과는 셰일가스 생산을 위한 의사결정에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제43권3호
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• pp.31-41
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• 2012

This paper was conducted to study the economic valuation for Nursery-Phase production of the tidal flat oyster in Korea. Benefit-cost(B/C) model used to indicate the effects of economic valuation. Using discounting rates(i.e., 4.5%, 6.5% and 8.5%), the model compared revenues and costs that occur at different times from 2012 to 2018. This study also estimated various submodels, which are Benefit Cost Ratio(B/C ratio), Net Present Value(NPV), Internal Ration of Return(IRR), to compare profit of Nursery-Phase production styles and analyzed returns to evaluate the scenarios. Sensitivity analysis were conducted for various scenarios. The results suggest as follows. First, the oyster spat to the shell height of 3~5cm was more profit than the shell height of 1~3cm. Second, all of sensitivity analysis with submodels were economic valuation such that B/C ratio > 1, NPV > 0 and IRR > discounting rate. Third, the payback period was about 3years after installed Nursery-Phase production system.

• 한국위성정보통신학회논문지
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.13-20
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• 2012

지구환경감시 위성개발에 관한 관심이 날로 증가하고 있음에도 불구하고, 위성으로부터의 정보를 빠른 시간 내에 가공하여 활용할 수 있는 영상처리기술에 대한 투자는 미미한 실정이다. 본 논문에서는 한국형 위성영상처리 기본체계 구축에 필요한 각 요소기술과 관련 산업의 관계를 정성적으로 고찰하였으며, 시스템 구축비용을 추정하여 관련 산업이외의 산업파급효과를 정량적으로 도출하였다. 또한, 한국형 위성영상처리 기본체계 구축에 소요되는 비용과 이에 수반되는 혜택에 대한 내부수익률을 산출하여 경제적 타당성을 계량적으로 분석하였다. 분석결과, 농수산업, 관광레저산업, 운송업 등이 본 체계 개발과 관련성이 높았으며, 이로 인하여 직접관련 산업을 제외하고 91억 원의 생산유발효과, 33억 원의 부가가치유발효과, 그리고 54명의 고용유발효과가 있을 것으로 분석되었다. 한편 비관적 시나리오에서도 최저수익률 5.5%을 상회하는 7%의 수익률을 보일 것으로 예측되어 투자타당성을 확보하는 것으로 확인되었다.

• 환경정책연구
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.61-92
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• 2011

제조업을 중심으로 분석한 환경관련투자 효율성의 주요 연구 결과는 다음과 같다. 내부수익률과 편익의 현재가치를 가변비용절감부문, 투자비용절감부문, 임대수입부문으로 분해함으로써 기존 연구의 범위를 확장했다. 그리고 단기총비용과 임대수입의 역할을 탐구하여 편익의 현재가치는 편익의 크기만을 나타내는 반면, 내부수익률은 효율성의 존재여부를 나타냄을 발견했다. 그리고 내부수익률과 시장이자율을 비교하는 투자효율성 방법론으로 환경관련투자와 관련된 투자효율성과 편익을 분석함으로써 사후 비용편익분석을 수행했다. 그 결과 환경투자, 공해방지투자 모두 비효율적인데, 공해방지투자가 환경투자보다 더 비효율적임을 발견했다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.53-62
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• 1979

A widely accepted indicator of a project's economic potential is the internal rate of return (IRR). The primary objective of feasibility analysis for any project is to measure the economic potential for the project, normally defined as the expected return on capital investment. The analysis should be designed to determine whether a project is technically and economically sound, and under what conditions. Therefore, there are factors other than economic potential that must be taken into account in the reasonable composition of an investment program. These kinds of factors can be given proper consideration in project selection after the economic feasibility of alternative projects has been determined. The primary reason for having to choose among different projects is that capital resources are scare : the investment budget is limited. The case project, casting facilities investment project, treated in this paper were selected for their value in illustrating the methods of feasibility analysis. This case project an actual potential project and is analyzed on the basis of the best available data for the specific conditions for that project.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제40권1호
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• pp.39-48
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• 2012

An early detection system for warranty issues periodically collects customers' claim data and automatically reports alarms about emerging issues based on statistical algorithms. It helps companies to reduce an issue definition time and save the handling cost of warranty claims. This paper provides an evaluation framework to validate the economic effect of an early detection system project. For this purpose, we present economical index of a project with explicit formulas such as ROI(return on investment), PP(payback period), NPV(net present value), PI(profitability index) and IRR(internal rate of return) and analyze the sensitivities of the index according to the variation of project input parameters. The proposed analysis framework is expected to be used for evaluating economic values of various system integration projects.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.251-258
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• 2005

Statistical analysis between operating parameters and effluent quality on advanced wastewater treatment plant was performed. Through factor analysis four factors derived varimax rotation were selected each plant. Four components explained $80\%,\;82\%$ of the total variance of the process, respectively. The components on MLE plant were identified in the following order: 1) HRT increase and BOD load decrease by influent decrease, 2) Biomass, 3) SVI increase by internal return increase, 4) Microbial diversity by SRT increase. On $A_2O$ plant, we defined them as follows: factor 1, high MLSS by return rate increase, HRT increase by influent decrease; factor 2, biomass; factor 3, BOD of influent; factor 4 was relate to DO.

• 산업공학
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• 제1권2호
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• pp.1-12
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• 1988

A justification methodology which evaluates the tactical aspects of an FMS project is proposed. For evaluation of quantifiable tactical costs/savings a method of internal rate of return on incremental investment is developed while for the tactical ones which are difficult to quantify a weighted factor scoring model is proposed.

• 농촌지도와개발
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• 제28권4호
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• pp.167-174
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• 2021

This study analyzed the feasibility of custom work service to deal with the imbalance of farm labor supply due to population aging. The economic feasibility analysis is based on the case of Bonghwang-myeon in Naju-si, where the majority of farm work is entrusted to local agricultural cooperative. To assess the project profitability and economic feasibility based on the projected cash flow for the next ten years, Return On Investment (ROI), Net Present Value (NPV), and Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of the projects were calculated. The results showed that ROI is estimated at 13.7%, and NPV and IRR are KRW 1,504,932,000 and 15.6%, respectively, with a discount rate of 4.5%, indicating a good enough profitability. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis with government support as part of an assumption showed that without the support, NPV turns negative, implying that the project is not profitable, and that government support for at least 30% of the cost is needed to secure the economic feasibility of a project. Hence, to promote agricultural work entrustment, it is necessary for the government to partly support the agricultural machinery and facility costs, which require a considerable amount of initial investment.

• 환경정책연구
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.41-63
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• 2003

CDM(Clean Development Mechanism) project is said to be a mechanism, which profits both the investing country and the host country, while additionally contributing to the reduction of greenhouse gases of the earth as a whole. However in reality, most of the proposed projects do not end up in agreement because of the problems related to differences in recognition between the investing country and the host country of the CDM project. This outlines the background for this research which proposes a new design of institutional arrangements of CDM projects in the Northeast Asian region, mainly Japan, China and Korea. In addition, we investigate the feasibility of the proposed design. The research firstly focuses on the reduction in transaction costs that the participation of Korea will have on a Japan-China CDM project. This paper further emphasizes the potential gains that would materialize if a CDM project involved the whole Northeast Asian region, and not only one country. Our research suggests that an approximate reduction of 23% in transaction costs, and about 4% reduction in the total costs of a CDM project can be expected to follow the Korean participation. In addition to decreasing costs we find that a Korean involvement in a CDM project with Japan will lead to efficiency gains illustrated by a higher increase in the IRR(Internal rate of return) in a Japan-Korea project(11.45% to 12.21%) compared to an IRR incresement of 10.57% to 11.27% for a pure Japanese CDM project. Similar results of a rise in the IRR is found for the whole investment period of 20 years. We can hence conclude that Korean participation in a Japan-China CDM project would improve the implementation possibilities of CDM project in the Northeast Asia region.