• Title/Summary/Keyword: Intelligent prediction

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Development of the Drop-outs Prediction Model for Intelligent Drop-outs Prevention System

  • Song, Mi-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2017
  • The student dropout prediction is an indispensable for many intelligent systems to measure the educational system and success rate of all university. Therefore, in this paper, we propose an intelligent dropout prediction system that minimizes the situation by adopting the proactive process through an effective model that predicts the students who are at risk of dropout. In this paper, the main data sets for students dropout predictions was used as questionnaires and university information. The questionnaire was constructed based on theoretical and empirical grounds about factor affecting student's performance and causes of dropout. University Information included student grade, interviews, attendance in university life. Through these data sets, the proposed dropout prediction model techniques was classified into the risk group and the normal group using statistical methods and Naive Bays algorithm. And the intelligence dropout prediction system was constructed by applying the proposed dropout prediction model. We expect the proposed study would be used effectively to reduce the students dropout in university.

A novel regression prediction model for structural engineering applications

  • Lin, Jeng-Wen;Chen, Cheng-Wu;Hsu, Ting-Chang
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.693-702
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    • 2013
  • Recently, artificial intelligence tools are most used for structural engineering and mechanics. In order to predict reserve prices and prices of awards, this study proposed a novel regression prediction model by the intelligent Kalman filtering method. An artificial intelligent multiple regression model was established using categorized data and then a prediction model using intelligent Kalman filtering. The rather precise construction bid price model was selected for the purpose of increasing the probability to win bids in the simulation example.

Vehicle - to - Vehicle Distance Control using a Vehicle Trajectory Prediction Method (차량 궤적 예측기법을 이용한 차간 거리 제어)

  • 조상민;이경수
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.123-129
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    • 2002
  • This paper proposes a vehicle trajectory prediction method far application to vehicle-to-vehicle distance control. This method is based on 2-dimensional kinematics and a Kalman filter has been used to estimate acceleration of the object vehicle. The simulation results using the proposed control method show that the relative distance characteristics can be improved via the trajectory prediction method compared to the customary intelligent cruise control algorithm.

Forecasting High-Level Ozone Concentration with Fuzzy Clustering (퍼지 클러스터링을 이용한 고농도오존예측)

  • 김재용;김성신;왕보현
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.191-194
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    • 2001
  • The ozone forecasting systems have many problems because the mechanism of the ozone concentration is highly complex, nonlinear, and nonstationary. Also, the results of prediction are not a good performance so far, especially in the high-level ozone concentration. This paper describes the modeling method of the ozone prediction system using neuro-fuzzy approaches and fuzzy clustering. The dynamic polynomial neural network (DPNN) based upon a typical algorithm of GMDH (group method of data handling) is a useful method for data analysis, identification of nonlinear complex system, and prediction of a dynamical system.

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Neuro-Fuzzy Approaches to Ozone Prediction System (뉴로-퍼지 기법에 의한 오존농도 예측모델)

  • 김태헌;김성신;김인택;이종범;김신도;김용국
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.616-628
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we present the modeling of the ozone prediction system using Neuro-Fuzzy approaches. The mechanism of ozone concentration is highly complex, nonlinear, and nonstationary, the modeling of ozone prediction system has many problems and the results of prediction is not a good performance so far. The Dynamic Polynomial Neural Network(DPNN) which employs a typical algorithm of GMDH(Group Method of Data Handling) is a useful method for data analysis, identification of nonlinear complex system, and prediction of a dynamical system. The structure of the final model is compact and the computation speed to produce an output is faster than other modeling methods. In addition to DPNN, this paper also includes a Fuzzy Logic Method for modeling of ozone prediction system. The results of each modeling method and the performance of ozone prediction are presented. The proposed method shows that the prediction to the ozone concentration based upon Neuro-Fuzzy approaches gives us a good performance for ozone prediction in high and low ozone concentration with the ability of superior data approximation and self organization.

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Fast Depth Video Coding with Intra Prediction on VVC

  • Wei, Hongan;Zhou, Binqian;Fang, Ying;Xu, Yiwen;Zhao, Tiesong
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.14 no.7
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    • pp.3018-3038
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    • 2020
  • In the stereoscopic or multiview display, the depth video illustrates visual distances between objects and camera. To promote the computational efficiency of depth video encoder, we exploit the intra prediction of depth videos under Versatile Video Coding (VVC) and observe a diverse distribution of intra prediction modes with different coding unit sizes. We propose a hybrid scheme to further boost fast depth video coding. In the first stage, we adaptively predict the HADamard (HAD) costs of intra prediction modes and initialize a candidate list according to the HAD costs. Then, the candidate list is further improved by considering the probability distribution of candidate modes with different CU sizes. Finally, early termination of CU splitting is performed at each CU depth level based on the Bayesian theorem. Our proposed method is incorporated into VVC intra prediction for fast coding of depth videos. Experiments with 7 standard sequences and 4 Quantization parameters (Qps) validate the efficiency of our method.

Electricity Price Prediction Model Based on Simultaneous Perturbation Stochastic Approximation

  • Ko, Hee-Sang;Lee, Kwang-Y.;Kim, Ho-Chan
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.14-19
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    • 2008
  • The paper presents an intelligent time series model to predict uncertain electricity market price in the deregulated industry environment. Since the price of electricity in a deregulated market is very volatile, it is difficult to estimate an accurate market price using historically observed data. The parameter of an intelligent time series model is obtained based on the simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation (SPSA). The SPSA is flexible to use in high dimensional systems. Since prediction models have their modeling error, an error compensator is developed as compensation. The SPSA based intelligent model is applied to predict the electricity market price in the Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland (PJM) electricity market.

A Movie Rating Prediction System of User Propensity Analysis based on Collaborative Filtering and Fuzzy System (협업적 필터링 및 퍼지시스템 기반 사용자 성향분석에 의한 영화평가 예측 시스템)

  • Lee, Soo-Jin;Jeon, Tae-Ryong;Baek, Gyeong-Dong;Kim, Sung-Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.242-247
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    • 2009
  • Recently an intelligent system is developed for the service what users want not a passive system which just answered user's request. This intelligent system is used for personalized recommendation system and representative techniques are content-based and collaborative filtering. In this study, we propose a prediction system which is based on the techniques of recommendation system using a collaborative filtering and a fuzzy system to solve the collaborative filtering problems. In order to verify the prediction system, we used the data that is user's rating about movies. We predicted the user's rating using this data. The accuracy of this prediction system is determined by computing the RMSE(root mean square error) of the system's prediction against the actual rating about the each movie and is compared with the existing system. Thus, this prediction system can be applied to base technology of recommendation system and also recommendation of multimedia such as music and books.

Multi-modal Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction based on Pedestrian Intention for Intelligent Vehicle

  • Youguo He;Yizhi Sun;Yingfeng Cai;Chaochun Yuan;Jie Shen;Liwei Tian
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1562-1582
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    • 2024
  • The prediction of pedestrian trajectory is conducive to reducing traffic accidents and protecting pedestrian safety, which is crucial to the task of intelligent driving. The existing methods mainly use the past pedestrian trajectory to predict the future deterministic pedestrian trajectory, ignoring pedestrian intention and trajectory diversity. This paper proposes a multi-modal trajectory prediction model that introduces pedestrian intention. Unlike previous work, our model makes multi-modal goal-conditioned trajectory pedestrian prediction based on the past pedestrian trajectory and pedestrian intention. At the same time, we propose a novel Gate Recurrent Unit (GRU) to process intention information dynamically. Compared with traditional GRU, our GRU adds an intention unit and an intention gate, in which the intention unit is used to dynamically process pedestrian intention, and the intention gate is used to control the intensity of intention information. The experimental results on two first-person traffic datasets (JAAD and PIE) show that our model is superior to the most advanced methods (Improved by 30.4% on MSE0.5s and 9.8% on MSE1.5s for the PIE dataset; Improved by 15.8% on MSE0.5s and 13.5% on MSE1.5s for the JAAD dataset). Our multi-modal trajectory prediction model combines pedestrian intention that varies at each prediction time step and can more comprehensively consider the diversity of pedestrian trajectories. Our method, validated through experiments, proves to be highly effective in pedestrian trajectory prediction tasks, contributing to improving traffic safety and the reliability of intelligent driving systems.

Development of Highway Traffic Information Prediction Models Using the Stacking Ensemble Technique Based on Cross-validation (스태킹 앙상블 기법을 활용한 고속도로 교통정보 예측모델 개발 및 교차검증에 따른 성능 비교)

  • Yoseph Lee;Seok Jin Oh;Yejin Kim;Sung-ho Park;Ilsoo Yun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2023
  • Accurate traffic information prediction is considered to be one of the most important aspects of intelligent transport systems(ITS), as it can be used to guide users of transportation facilities to avoid congested routes. Various deep learning models have been developed for accurate traffic prediction. Recently, ensemble techniques have been utilized to combine the strengths and weaknesses of various models in various ways to improve prediction accuracy and stability. Therefore, in this study, we developed and evaluated a traffic information prediction model using various deep learning models, and evaluated the performance of the developed deep learning models as a stacking ensemble. The individual models showed error rates within 10% for traffic volume prediction and 3% for speed prediction. The ensemble model showed higher accuracy compared to other models when no cross-validation was performed, and when cross-validation was performed, it showed a uniform error rate in long-term forecasting.