• Title/Summary/Keyword: Integrated Assessment Model

Search Result 322, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Modeling Domestic Transportation Sector Using Global Change Assessment Model (GCAM을 이용한 국내 수송부문 모델링)

  • JEON, Seungho;KIM, Suduk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.35 no.2
    • /
    • pp.91-104
    • /
    • 2017
  • In this study, we discuss the modeling of domestic transport sector using GCAM(Global Change Assessment Model). The GCAM is one of integrated assessment models widely used in internationally modeling community, and applied for the evaluation of IPCC 5th Report. Nevertheless, it is noted that there are a considerable number of problems in its application to domestic transport sector. First, the base year information of GCAM for detailed transportation service demand is found not consistent with national statistics. Second, the transportation sector simulation results do not properly reflect the past trends of service demand. Thus, the base year service demand is carefully matched with the detailed national statistics. In addition, the existing models were checked and modified so that the simulation results of service demand can accurately reflect past trends of national statistics. As a result, it is reported in detail how the current GCAM simulation results are corrected and how the trend of past transportation sector service demands is properly reflected. This study is expected to be useful as a basic tool for future scenario analysis for transportation policy, technology evaluation and greenhouse gas reduction measures.

AN INTEGRATED APPROACH TO RISK-BASED POST-CLOSURE SAFETY EVALUATION OF COMPLEX RADIATION EXPOSURE SITUATIONS IN RADIOACTIVE WASTE DISPOSAL

  • Seo, Eun-Jin;Jeong, Chan-Woo;Sato, Seichi
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
    • /
    • v.35 no.1
    • /
    • pp.6-11
    • /
    • 2010
  • Embodying the safety of radioactive waste disposal requires the relevant safety criteria and the corresponding stylized methods to demonstrate its compliance with the criteria. This paper proposes a conceptual model of risk-based safety evaluation for integrating complex potential radiation exposure situations in radioactive waste disposal. For demonstrating compliance with a risk constraint, the approach deals with important exposure scenarios from the viewpoint of the receptor to estimate the resulting risk. For respective exposure situations, it considers the occurrence probabilities of the relevant exposure scenarios as their probability of giving rise to doses to estimate the total risk to a representative person by aggregating the respective risks. In this model, an exposure scenario is simply constructed with three components:radionuclide release, radionuclide migration and environment contamination, and interaction between the contaminated media and the receptor. A set of exposure scenarios and the representative person are established from reasonable combinations of the components, based on a balance of their occurrence probabilities and the consequences. In addition, the probability of an exposure scenario is estimated on the assumption that the initiating external factors influence release mechanisms and transport pathways, and its effect on the interaction between the environment and the receptor may be covered in terms of the representative person. This integrated approach enables a systematic risk assessment for complex exposure situations of radioactive waste disposal and facilitates the evaluation of compliance with risk constraints.

Study on Improvement of Frost Occurrence Prediction Accuracy (서리발생 예측 정확도 향상을 위한 방법 연구)

  • Kim, Yongseok;Choi, Wonjun;Shim, Kyo-moon;Hur, Jina;Kang, Mingu;Jo, Sera
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.295-305
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this study, we constructed using Random Forest(RF) by selecting the meteorological factors related to the occurrence of frost. As a result, when constructing a classification model for frost occurrence, even if the amount of data set is large, the imbalance in the data set for development of model has been analyzed to have a bad effect on the predictive power of the model. It was found that building a single integrated model by grouping meteorological factors related to frost occurrence by region is more efficient than building each model reflecting high-importance meteorological factors. Based on our results, it is expected that a high-accuracy frost occurrence prediction model will be able to be constructed as further studies meteorological factors for frost prediction.

Review on Theoretical Background and Components of Dental Hygiene Process (치위생과정의 이론적 배경과 구성요소에 관한 고찰)

  • Lee, Su-Young;Cho, Young-Sik
    • Journal of dental hygiene science
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.25-32
    • /
    • 2005
  • The dental hygiene process of care is a model for providing integrated dental hygiene care. It was developed by Mueller-Joseph and Petersen in 1995. The purpose of the dental hygiene process is to provide a framework within which the individualized needs of the client can be met. This model enables the dental hygienist to focus on patient need. The process is composed of five components: assessment, diagnosis, planning, implementation and evaluation. The process of dental hygiene has to move from simple clinical procedure to comprehensive and systemic dental hygiene care. The dental hygiene diagnostic model broadens the biomedical dental model to the behavioral model to include health behavior and health function of individuals. The dental hygiene process will provide a mechanism to develop dental hygienist's role and scope of practice in Korea.

  • PDF

Strategic Management Process in Hospitals (병원의 전략경영과정)

  • Lee, Key-Hyo
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
    • /
    • v.1 no.1
    • /
    • pp.203-247
    • /
    • 1996
  • This article reviews the art and practice of strategic management process in hospitals today, in order to help hospital administrators for managing strategic management system in their hospitals. The strategic management process model in this article is based on an integrated approach combining traditional environmental model with resource-based model of strategy. The components of the model are consisted of five steps: (1)formulating objectives, strategic assessment by external environmental analysis, internal capability analysis, TOWS analysis and marketing audit, (3)strategy choice considering context and criteria of choice, (4)program implementation through operational planning, resource allocation, and conversion, and (5)control by monitoring and evaluating hospital outputs. This article deals with many aspects of issues inherent in every step on this strategic management process.

  • PDF

A system model for reliability assessment of smart structural systems

  • Hassan, Maguid H.M.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • v.23 no.5
    • /
    • pp.455-468
    • /
    • 2006
  • Smart structural systems are defined as ones that demonstrate the ability to modify their characteristics and/or properties in order to respond favorably to unexpected severe loading conditions. The performance of such a task requires a set of additional components to be integrated within such systems. These components belong to three major categories, sensors, processors and actuators. It is wellknown that all structural systems entail some level of uncertainty, because of their extremely complex nature, lack of complete information, simplifications and modeling. Similarly, sensors, processors and actuators are expected to reflect a similar uncertain behavior. As it is imperative to be able to evaluate the impact of such components on the behavior of the system, it is as important to ensure, or at least evaluate, the reliability of such components. In this paper, a system model for reliability assessment of smart structural systems is outlined. The presented model is considered a necessary first step in the development of a reliability assessment algorithm for smart structural systems. The system model outlines the basic components of the system, in addition to, performance functions and inter-relations among individual components. A fault tree model is developed in order to aggregate the individual underlying component reliabilities into an overall system reliability measure. Identification of appropriate limit states for all underlying components are beyond the scope of this paper. However, it is the objective of this paper to set up the necessary framework for identifying such limit states. A sample model for a three-story single bay smart rigid frame, is developed in order to demonstrate the proposed framework.

A Study on Importance of Assessment Factors and Indicators of Natural Ecosystem for Environmentally Friendly Land Conservation (환경친화적 국토보전을 위한 자연생태계 평가요인 및 평가지표의 중요도에 관한 연구)

  • You, Ju-Han;Park, Kyung-Hun;Jung, Sung-Gwan
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
    • /
    • v.14 no.4
    • /
    • pp.165-177
    • /
    • 2005
  • This study was carried out to offer the basic methodology of the system and model to objectively assess the natural ecosystem for environmentally friendly land conservation and present the alternative plan on establishing the environmental policy. The results of this study were as follows. We selected four assessment factors associated with biotic, abiotic, qualitative, and functional factors. Also, there were extracted fifty-six indicators including density, total nitrogen, hemeroby degree, and goods production. The assessment factor showed that biotic one was very important. The importance of indicators were analyzed that rare and endangered plant was important in biotic factor, in case of abiotic, qualitative, and functional factors, organic matter, landscape diversity, and conservation of ecosystem were greatly important. The results of factor analysis on the characteristics of indicators, classified biotic factor into six factors including a structural one, abiotic factor as a soil and physical one, qualitative factor as five ones including hierarchical one, and functional factor as public and conservational one. In the results of analysis on assessment model, R-square of biotic factor was 51.7%, those of abiotic, qualitative, and functional one were each 58.4%, 44.2%, and 39.3%, and statistical problem was no existence. In future, to develop the assessement model and methodology of sustainable natural ecosystem, we will have to achieve the integrated model and grouping by assessment factor.

Developing a Multi-purpose Ecotoxicity Database Model and Web-based Searching System for Ecological Risk Assessment of EDCs in Korea (웹 기반 EDCs 생태 독성 자료베이스 모델 및 시스템 개발)

  • Kwon, Bareum;Lee, Hunjoo
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
    • /
    • v.43 no.5
    • /
    • pp.412-421
    • /
    • 2017
  • Objectives: To establish a system for integrated risk assessment of EDCs in Korea, infrastructure for providing toxicity data of ecological media should be established. Some systems provide soil ecotoxicity databases along with aquatic ecotoxicity information, but a well-structured ecotoxicity database system is still lacking. Methods: Aquatic and soil ecotoxicological information were collected by a toxicologist based on a human readable data (HRD) format for collecting ecotoxicity data that we provided. Among these data, anomalies were removed according to database normalization theory. Also, the data were cleaned and encoded to establish a machine-readable data (MRD) ecotoxicity database system. Results: We have developed a multi-purpose ecotoxicity database model focusing on EDCs, ecological species, and toxic effects. Also, we have constructed a web-based data searching system to retrieve, extract, and download data with greater availability. Conclusions: The results of our study will contribute to decision-making as a tool for efficient ecological risk assessment of EDCs in Korea.

A Study of Computer Models Used in Environmental Impact Assessment II : Hydrologic and Hydraulic Models (환경영향평가에 사용되는 컴퓨터 모델에 관한 연구 II : 수리수문 모델)

  • Park, Seok-Soon;Na, Eun-Hye
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
    • /
    • v.9 no.1
    • /
    • pp.25-37
    • /
    • 2000
  • This paper presents a study of hydrological and hydraulic model applications in environmental impact statements which were submitted during recent years in Korea. In many cases (almost 70 %), the hydrological and hydraulic changes were neglected from the impact identification processes, even if the proposed actions would cause significant impacts on those environmental items. In most cases where the hydrological and hydraulic impacts were predicted, simple equations were used as an impact prediction tool. Computer models were used in very few cases(5%). Even in these few cases, models were improperly applied and thus the predicted impacts would not be reliable. The improper applications and the impact neglections are attributed to the fact that there are no available model application guidelines as well as no requirements by the review agency. The effects of mitigation measures were not analyzed in most cases. Again, these can be attributed to no formal guidelines available for impact predictions until now. A brief guideline is presented in this paper. This study suggested that the model application should be required and guided in detail by the review agency. It is also suggested that the hydrological and hydraulic items shoud be integrated with the water quality predictions in future, since the non-point source pollution runoff is based on the hydrologic phenomena and the water quality reactions on the hydraulic nature.

  • PDF

A modularized numerical framework for the process-based total system performance assessment of geological disposal systems

  • Kim, Jung-Woo;Jang, Hong;Lee, Dong Hyuk;Cho, Hyun Ho;Lee, Jaewon;Kim, Minjeong;Ju, Heejae
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.54 no.8
    • /
    • pp.2828-2839
    • /
    • 2022
  • This study developed a safety assessment tool for geological disposal systems called APro, a systemically integrated modeling system based on modularizing and coupling the processes which need to be considered in a geological disposal system. Thermal, hydraulic, chemical, canister failure, radionuclide release and transport processes were considered in the current version of APro. Each of the unit processes in APro consists of a single Default Module, and several Alternative Modules which can increase the flexibility of the model. As an initial stage of developing the modularization concept and modeling interface, the Default Modules of each unit process were described, with one Alternative Module of chemical process. The computation part of APro is mainly a MATLAB workspace controlling COMSOL and PHREEQC, which are coupled by an operator splitting scheme. The APro model domain is a stylized geological disposal system employing the Swedish disposal concept (KBS-3 type), but the repository layout can be freely adjusted. In order to show the applicability of APro to the total system performance assessment of geological disposal system, some sample simulations were conducted. From the results, it was confirmed that coupling of the thermal and hydraulic processes and coupling of the canister failure and the radionuclide release processes were well reflected in APro. In addition, the technical connectivity between COMSOL and PHREEQC was also confirmed.