• Title/Summary/Keyword: Input Variable Selection

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The Effect of Selection Attribute of HMR Product on the Consumer Purchasing Intention of an Single Household - Centered on the Regulation Effect of Consumer Online Reviews - (HMR 상품의 선택속성이 1인 가구의 소비자 구매의도에 미치는 영향 - 소비자 온라인 리뷰의 조절효과 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Hee-Yeon
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.109-121
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed the effect of five sub-variables' attribute of HMR: features of information, diversity, promptness, price and convenience, on the consumer purchasing intention. In addition, the regulation effect of positive reviews and negative reviews of consumers' online reviews between HMR selection attribute and purchasing intention was also tested. Results are following. First, convenience feature (B=.577, p<.001) and diversity feature (B=.093, p<.01) among the effect of HMR selection attribute had a positive (+) effect on purchasing intention. On the other hand, promptness feature (B=.235, p<.001) and price feature (B=.161, p<.001), and information feature (B=.288, p<.001) were not significant effect on purchasing intention. Second, result of regulation effect of the positive reviews of consumer's online review between the selection attribute of the HMR product and consumers' purchasing intention, in the first-stage model in which the selection attribute of the HMR product is input as an independent variable, there was a significant positive (+) effect on all the features of convenience, diversity, promptness, price, and information. In addition, there was significant positive (+) main effect (B=.472, p<.001) in the second step model in which the consumers' positive reviews, that is a regulation variable. Furthermore, the feature of price (B=.068, p<.05) had a significant positive (+) effect in the third stage in which the selection attribute of the HMR product that is an independent variable and the interaction of the positive review. However, the feature of information (B=-.063, p<.05) showed negative (-) effect, and there was no effect on the features of convenience, diversity, and promptness. Third, as a result of testing the regulation effect of the negative reviews of consumers' online reviews between HMR product selection attribute and consumers' purchasing intention, in the first-stage model in which the selection attribute of the HMR product was a positive (+) effect on all the features of convenience, diversity, promptness, price, and information. In the second-stage model in which consumers' negative reviews (B=-.113, p<.001) had negative (-) effect. In the third-stage in which the selection attribute of the HMR product and the interactions of the negative reviews was a positive (+) effect with the feature of price (B=.113, p<.01). Last, there was no effect at all on the features of convenience, promptness, and information.

A Survival Prediction Model of Rats in Uncontrolled Acute Hemorrhagic Shock Using the Random Forest Classifier (랜덤 포리스트를 이용한 비제어 급성 출혈성 쇼크의 흰쥐에서의 생존 예측)

  • Choi, J.Y.;Kim, S.K.;Koo, J.M.;Kim, D.W.
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.148-154
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    • 2012
  • Hemorrhagic shock is a primary cause of deaths resulting from injury in the world. Although many studies have tried to diagnose accurately hemorrhagic shock in the early stage, such attempts were not successful due to compensatory mechanisms of humans. The objective of this study was to construct a survival prediction model of rats in acute hemorrhagic shock using a random forest (RF) model. Heart rate (HR), mean arterial pressure (MAP), respiration rate (RR), lactate concentration (LC), and peripheral perfusion (PP) measured in rats were used as input variables for the RF model and its performance was compared with that of a logistic regression (LR) model. Before constructing the models, we performed 5-fold cross validation for RF variable selection, and forward stepwise variable selection for the LR model to examine which variables were important for the models. For the LR model, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC-AUC) were 0.83, 0.95, 0.88, and 0.96, respectively. For the RF models, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and AUC were 0.97, 0.95, 0.96, and 0.99, respectively. In conclusion, the RF model was superior to the LR model for survival prediction in the rat model.

Generating Firm's Performance Indicators by Applying PCA (PCA를 활용한 기업실적 예측변수 생성)

  • Lee, Joonhyuck;Kim, Gabjo;Park, Sangsung;Jang, Dongsik
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.191-196
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    • 2015
  • There have been many studies on statistical forecasting on firm's performance and stock price by applying various financial indicators such as debt ratio and sales growth rate. Selecting predictors for constructing a prediction model among the various financial indicators is very important for precise prediction. Most of the previous studies applied variable selection algorithms for selecting predictors. However, the variable selection algorithm is considered to be at risk of eliminating certain amount of information from the indicators that were excluded from model construction. Therefore, we propose a firm's performance prediction model which principal component analysis is applied instead of the variable selection algorithm, in order to reduce dimensionality of input variables of the prediction model. In this study, we constructed the proposed prediction model by using financial data of American IT companies to empirically analyze prediction performance of the model.

An Application of Case-Based Reasoning in Forecasting a Successful Implementation of Enterprise Resource Planning Systems : Focus on Small and Medium sized Enterprises Implementing ERP (성공적인 ERP 시스템 구축 예측을 위한 사례기반추론 응용 : ERP 시스템을 구현한 중소기업을 중심으로)

  • Lim Se-Hun
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.77-94
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    • 2006
  • Case-based Reasoning (CBR) is widely used in business and industry prediction. It is suitable to solve complex and unstructured business problems. Recently, the prediction accuracy of CBR has been enhanced by not only various machine learning algorithms such as genetic algorithms, relative weighting of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) input variable but also data mining technique such as feature selection, feature weighting, feature transformation, and instance selection As a result, CBR is even more widely used today in business area. In this study, we investigated the usefulness of the CBR method in forecasting success in implementing ERP systems. We used a CBR method based on the feature weighting technique to compare the performance of three different models : MDA (Multiple Discriminant Analysis), GECBR (GEneral CBR), FWCBR (CBR with Feature Weighting supported by Analytic Hierarchy Process). The study suggests that the FWCBR approach is a promising method for forecasting of successful ERP implementation in Small and Medium sized Enterprises.

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A Study on Implementation of Emotional Speech Synthesis System using Variable Prosody Model (가변 운율 모델링을 이용한 고음질 감정 음성합성기 구현에 관한 연구)

  • Min, So-Yeon;Na, Deok-Su
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.8
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    • pp.3992-3998
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    • 2013
  • This paper is related to the method of adding a emotional speech corpus to a high-quality large corpus based speech synthesizer, and generating various synthesized speech. We made the emotional speech corpus as a form which can be used in waveform concatenated speech synthesizer, and have implemented the speech synthesizer that can be generated various synthesized speech through the same synthetic unit selection process of normal speech synthesizer. We used a markup language for emotional input text. Emotional speech is generated when the input text is matched as much as the length of intonation phrase in emotional speech corpus, but in the other case normal speech is generated. The BIs(Break Index) of emotional speech is more irregular than normal speech. Therefore, it becomes difficult to use the BIs generated in a synthesizer as it is. In order to solve this problem we applied the Variable Break[3] modeling. We used the Japanese speech synthesizer for experiment. As a result we obtained the natural emotional synthesized speech using the break prediction module for normal speech synthesize.

Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Multiple Time-Series Model Including Dummy Variables (더미변수(Dummy Variable)를 포함하는 다변수 시계열 모델을 이용한 단기부하예측)

  • 이경훈;김진오
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.52 no.8
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    • pp.450-456
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    • 2003
  • This paper proposes a multiple time-series model with dummy variables for one-hour ahead load forecasting. We used 11 dummy variables that were classified by day characteristics such as day of the week, holiday, and special holiday. Also, model specification and selection of input variables including dummy variables were made by test statistics such as AIC(Akaike Information Criterion) and t-test statistics of each coefficient. OLS (Ordinary Least Squares) method was used for estimation and forecasting. We found out that model specifications for each hour are not identical usually at 30% of optimal significance level, and dummy variables reduce the forecasting error if they are classified properly. The proposed model has much more accurate estimates in forecasting with less MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error).

Homogenized limit analysis of masonry structures with random input properties: polynomial Response Surface approximation and Monte Carlo simulations

  • Milani, G.;Benasciutti, D.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.417-447
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    • 2010
  • The uncertainty often observed in experimental strengths of masonry constituents makes critical the selection of the appropriate inputs in finite element analysis of complex masonry buildings, as well as requires modelling the building ultimate load as a random variable. On the other hand, the utilization of expensive Monte Carlo simulations to estimate collapse load probability distributions may become computationally impractical when a single analysis of a complex building requires hours of computer calculations. To reduce the computational cost of Monte Carlo simulations, direct computer calculations can be replaced with inexpensive Response Surface (RS) models. This work investigates the use of RS models in Monte Carlo analysis of complex masonry buildings with random input parameters. The accuracy of the estimated RS models, as well as the good estimations of the collapse load cumulative distributions obtained via polynomial RS models, show how the proposed approach could be a useful tool in problems of technical interest.

Scale Factor Tuning of the Fuzzy Controller Using Continuous Fuzzy Input Variables (연속형 퍼지 입력변수를 사용하는 퍼지 제어기의 환산계수 동조)

  • Lim, Young-Cheol;Park, Jong-Gun;Wi, Seog-Oh;Jung, Hyun-Cheol
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1996.07b
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    • pp.1359-1361
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    • 1996
  • This paper describes a design of real time fuzzy controller using Minimum fuzzy control Rule Selection Method(MRSM). The control algorithm of dynamic systems needs less computation time and memory. To reduce the computation time of fuzzy logic controller, minimum number of rules are to be selected for the fuzzy input variable. The universe of discourse is divided by the number of linguistic labels to allocate the assigned membership function to the fuzzy input variables. In this case, since fuzzy input variables are continuous, scale factor SU is tuned independently. According to increment of SU control surface is improved to adapt the change of system parameter. At this, crisp control surface is increased. With the increament of crisp control surface, fuzzy control surface is reduced. When error state deviates from desirable error state, crisp control surface is more useful than fuzzy control surface for obtaining fast rising time.

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Characteristics of Gas Furnace Process by Means of Partition of Input Spaces in Trapezoid-type Function (사다리꼴형 함수의 입력 공간분할에 의한 가스로공정의 특성분석)

  • Lee, Dong-Yoon
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.277-283
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    • 2014
  • Fuzzy modeling is generally using the given data and the fuzzy rules are established by the input variables and the space division by selecting the input variable and dividing the input space for each input variables. The premise part of the fuzzy rule is presented by selection of the input variables, the number of space division and membership functions and in this paper the consequent part of the fuzzy rule is identified by polynomial functions in the form of linear inference and modified quadratic. Parameter identification in the premise part devides input space Min-Max method using the minimum and maximum values of input data set and C-Means clustering algorithm forming input data into the hard clusters. The identification of the consequence parameters, namely polynomial coefficients, of each rule are carried out by the standard least square method. In this paper, membership function of the premise part is dividing input space by using trapezoid-type membership function and by using gas furnace process which is widely used in nonlinear process we evaluate the performance.