• 농촌계획
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.19-25
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• 2008

Settlement problems in rural area are gradually becoming more intense due to decreasing agricultural income led by market globalization. Rural tourism is considered as one of alternatives for complementing agricultural income. In this study, we analyzed the relation of rural development project and the influx of population on green tourism villages. Results show that the influx of population in rural area is related with project cost, tourism income, visiting numbers, and ratio of labor population. With these results, we modified rural population model for estimating future rural population. Adapted result to Buraemi village by modified model showed that estimation error can be decreased from 7.23% to 0.95%.

• 한국인구학
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.20-46
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• 1985

The increase of the population has an effect on the increase of students. The high birthrate, which means the extension of enrollments in the future, requires preparation of enough facilities and equipment for education. However, the educational conditions of Korea are not yet developed, and in such a situation the increase of enrollments makes the improvement of educational conditions difficult. Besides, the influx of students into the large cities has made complex educational problems such as a decrease of students in the rural area and a change for the worse of the educational conditions in the urban area. For the development of education in such a situation, an emphasis should be put not only on security of a stable educational finance but also on activation of family planning project and curb of population influx into large cities in the realm of population policy. In addition, population education for the youth should be strengthened in order that they can have sound view of family life, married life, children, and sex moral. For the way the young married live has relationship with the number and quality of children in the future of our nation.

• 한국농촌건축학회논문집
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.11-18
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• 2008

The Geumsan is contiguous to Daejeon and population is decreasing every year. Consequently, the population influx, and securing source of revenue dimensional geographic and environmental benefits of the establishment of a pensions plan for the rural life style pensions research. The result is that Geumsan has a convenient traffic circumstance geographically and is a clean area as the high-level area of solid water system. Also, Geumsan forms the mountainous area whose sea-level elevation reaches to 2.5 times of the Chungcheongnam-do. Consequently, Geumsan has a suitable environment for locating many kinds of pensions like the riverside village style, the mountain village style and the villa style, the country style, the cafe style, experience style, theme style etc. So, Geumsan is found to be a suitable area to host 'rural life style' pensions, because it has wide area, small population and nice environmental conditions.

• 지역연구
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• 제40권2호
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• pp.21-38
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• 2024

지역 인구와 경지면적 간의 상호작용을 이해하는 것은 지역 경제 활성화와 농업의 지속가능성 향상을 위해 중요하다. 기존의 연구들은 지역의 인구이동이나 경지면적 변화 각각의 주제에 중점을 두었으며, 이들의 상호작용에 관한 연구는 미흡했다. 또한, 새로운 노동 공급원인 외국인 근로자의 증가를 대상으로 한 지역 단위의 정량적 연구도 부족했다. 이에 본 연구에서는 지역의 인구 변화, 경지면적, 그리고 외국인 근로자 수 변화의 상호작용을 패널 자기 상관 모형(Panel Vector Auto Regression Model)을 활용하여 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 지역의 인구유입률과 경지면적은 서로에게 부정적인 영향을 발생시키지만, 농업부문의 외국인 근로자 증가는 경지면적을 증가시키는 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 밭 면적의 증가는 외국인 근로자를 증가시키는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 지역의 인구감소와 경지면적 감소 현상이 상호영향을 미치고 있으며 외국인 근로자의 유입이 농촌지역의 구조적 문제해결에 긍정적인 영향을 미칠 가능성이 있음을 시사한다.

• 농촌계획
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.99-107
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• 2019

This paper analyzed the characteristics of population change from 2000 to 2018 in 466 mountainous areas using resident registration data from the Ministry of the Interior and Safety, and projected the population in those areas through 2050 with the cohort change ratio method. The population had dramatically decreased from 2000 to 2009. With the slowing population decrease after 2010, the population has increased gradually since 2014. Especially the population of ages over 65 in 2018 had increased 34% compared to 2000, while the working age population had decreased 29%. This shows that population aging becomes serious problems in the mountainous area. Assuming the cohort change ratios from 2010 to 2015 and child-woman ratio in 2015 remain constant, it appeared that the projected population of the mountainous area dropped to 1.26 million in 2030 and 820,000 in 2050. It is expected to have a population with an inverted pyramid structure showing a gender imbalance with more females in 60's and 70's. Although it continues to show the recent population growth in mountainous area, population in mountainous area is expected to consistently decrease. Therefore, it is required to develop policies and strategies to promote an influx of people into mountainous area for maintaining functionality and sustainability of mountainous areas.

• 무역학회지
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• 제45권4호
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• pp.137-152
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• 2020

The increase in national income, the expansion of transportation network, the increase in leisure time, and the influx of foreign tourists in the era of internationalization, the influx of the outside population of Jeju region increased rapidly until 2020. However, the corona 19 (Covid-19) incident that began in January 2020 has hit the entire industry, and the tourism industry in Jeju has also been greatly damaged. However, in the second half of 2020, with some calming of the Corona 19 situation and difficult to leave overseas, the number of visitors to Jeju Island is increasing again as Koreans choose Jeju Island as their domestic tourism. This study analyzed the capacity of Jeju's external population based on the Contingent Valuation Method, and based on this, attempted to suggest policy recommendations for Jeju. The size of accommodations such as the density of visitors, toilets, and rest areas were excluded from consideration, and the level of securing the parking lot already exceeded the capacity, and the rate of securing the parking lot was 93.4%. In the case of accommodation, the total number of available rooms is 88,691, even if one guest per room is assumed, which is 32,372,215 per year, which is sufficient in terms of visitor capacity. To analyze the aspects of psychological capacity, this study analyzed whether the residents are feeling psychological discomfort through three methods of road congestion, garbage disposal, and sewage treatment through Contingent Valuation Method. However, the inconvenience caused by the increase of visitors and the effect of continuous population influx is working in combination, and it has the limitation that the effects of these independent factors cannot be specifically separated. As a result of the study, discomfort has already been recognized in terms of psychological capacity among the factors of capacity, and it was estimated that a cost of about 45 billion won per year was incurred as a result of deriving psychological costs through Contingent Valuation Method. In the future, a policy review is needed to resolve or maintain the perception of this discomfort through continuous management. Accordingly, it is necessary to recognize that the increase of visitors leads to the psychological discomfort of the residents, and to seek a policy alternative that can simultaneously increase the number of visitors and the comfort of the residence.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제17권9호
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• pp.737-744
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• 2016

본 연구는 지역간 인구이동보다는 내부 인구이동이 증가하고 있는 수도권을 대상으로 전출입 인구현황을 파악하고, 도시유형을 분석한 후 유형별 인구이동 영향요인을 분석하였다. 수도권 시 군 구별 전출입 인구를 분석한 결과, 서울시는 송파구, 인천시는 서구, 남동구, 경기도는 용인시, 화성시 등으로 인구가 집중하였다. 수도권 시 군 구간 전출입 현황에서는 수원시에서 화성시, 성남시에서 용인시로 이동하는 인구가 많았다. 고용밀도와 인구밀도를 변수로 한 도시유형분석에서는 4개의 도시유형(도심형, 자족형, 주거형, 도농형)으로 분류되었다. 도심형인 유형1은 전세가격, 도로연장, 지하철역 수, 자족형인 유형2는 총소득 증가율, 주택보급률, 도로연장, 주거형인 유형3은 주택보급률, 도시공원면적, 전세가격, 인구밀도, 도농형인 유형4는 사업체밀도, 주택보급률, 주택공급, 지하철역 수, 교육시설 등이 인구이동에 영향을 주는 것으로 분석되었다. 이중 주택보급률은 전입인구에 긍정적인 영향을 미쳤으나 인구밀도의 경우 전출인구에 영향을 주었다. 도로, 지하철역 수의 경우 도심형은 전출인구에 영향을 주었으나, 자족형과 도농형에서는 전입인구에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타나 유형별로 각기 다른 영향을 보였다.

• 농촌계획
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.203-212
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• 2013

The aging of farm households has caused serious problems such as productivity slowdown and aggravated income polarization in South Korea. Urban-to-rural migration has been recently suggested as a measure to attenuate the aging of rural population and other related problems. The inflow of migrants for farming can have a substantial effect on agriculture and rural communities while the natural adjustment of rural population caused by birth and death is slow. This paper forecasts population distribution of different provinces using the Origin-Destination (OD) analysis, taking into account both the size and directions of migration. In the analysis, nodes where the migration takes place are divided by the industrial sectors (agriculture and non-agriculture), regions, and ages. The results of a ten-year forecast shows that the aging of total population in most provinces will be intensified, but the portion of people over sixty will decrease in the agricultural sector. This finding implies that migration into rural areas, when occurring by a large extent, can mitigate the aging process and attendant problems.

• 농촌계획
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• 제30권2호
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• pp.79-96
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• 2024

The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors affecting residential mobility between urban and rural. After classifying urban and rural region based on discriminatory attributes of the regions, we applied a multinomial logistic model, using the sample data of 2020 Korea Population and Housing Census. The major findings are as follows. The young highly educated in cities avoided rural. The young less educated in rural engaged in 2, 3th industries as well as agricultural industry, but remained in low-paying and unstable jobs. In addition, various classes moved to rural and rising house prices in cities pushed people to rural. Therefore, it is necessary to develop diversified regional industry models and provide opportunities for high quality and stable jobs in rural by linking industrial demand, education and jobs. Also, preserving the rural environment, settlement conditions and residential environment are needed for satisfying various needs of urban residents who migrate to rural areas. While regional policies so far have focused on maintaining the population size and promoting a population influx, rural development and population policies should be established in a way that responds to diverse population classes in an era of population decline.

• KIEAE Journal
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.29-36
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• 2017

Purpose: Residential differentiation is often considered to be one of the social problems that intensify urban inequality. The purpose of the study was to analyze the changes in the Gwangju urban landscape due to foreign inflows after reviewing the different frameworks about the causes of residential segregation and verifying compliance through case analysis. Method: This study analyzed the increase of Gwangju Foreign Population based on the data of the Statistics Korea and derived the concentrated areas of foreign population using GIS program. Then through the field research around the target areas, the changes of urban landscape by the foreign residents was analyzed. The foreign population in Korea recently surpassed 1.5 million is expected to increase further, and has already raised numerous social issues especially in urban area. Result: Therefore, basic and systematic analyses on foreign population and its impacts on urban residential landscape are necessary to resolve the issues. Since Gwangju is also in a similar situation, this research is first, to address the current situation and identify the problem, and then to suggest the directions for resolving them. It is also expected to be helpful provide a basic reference for related further researches.