• 제목/요약/키워드: Inference and Uncertainty

검색결과 109건 처리시간 0.026초

효율적인 공기압축기 운영을 위한 이상진단모델 연구 (Development of Diagnosis of Trouble Model for Effective Operation of Air-compressor)

  • 임상돈;정영득;김종래
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.239-248
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    • 2014
  • Most systems used in industrial sites, actually have non-linearity and uncertainty. Therefore there are a lot of difficulties in evaluating conditions of these systems. Generally, the quantitative analysis and expression are found hard because the general public cannot easily make an accurate interpretation on the systems. Thus development of a system that utilizes an expertise from skilled analysts is required. In this research, a real-time sensor signal conditioning system and Fuzzy-expert system have been separately set up into an inference algorithm. So that it ensures a fast, accurate, objective and quantitative operational condition value provided to the manager. Therefore, FE_AFCDM is suggested in this literature, as an effective system for diagnosing the problems related to the air compressor. It can quantify the uncertain and absurd condition to operate the air compressor facilities safely and financially.

Operational Availability Improvement through Online Monitoring and Advice For Emergency Diesel Generator

  • Lee, Jong-Beom;Kim, han-Gon;Kim, Byong-Sub;M. Golay;C.W. Kang;Y. Sui
    • 한국원자력학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국원자력학회 1998년도 춘계학술발표회논문집(1)
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    • pp.264-270
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    • 1998
  • This research broadens the prime concern of nuclear power plant operations from safe performance to both economic and safe performance. First emergency diesel generator is identified as one of main contributors for the lost plant availability through the review of plants forced outage records. The framework of an integrated architecture for performing modern on-line condition for operational availability improvement is configured in this work. For the development of the comprehensive sensor networks for complex target systems, an integrated methodology incorporating a structural hierarchy, a functional hierarchy, and a fault-system matrix is formulated. The second part of our research is development of intelligent diagnosis and maintenance advisory system, which employs Bayesian Belief networks (BBNs) as a high level reasoning tool incorporating inherent uncertainty use in probabilistic inference. Our prototype diagnosis algorithms are represented explicitly through topological symbols and links between them in a causal direction. As new evidence from sensor network development is entered into the model especially, our advisory of system provides operational advice concerning both availability and safety, so that the operator is able to determine the likely modes, diagnose the system state, locate root causes, and take the most advantageous action. Thereby, this advice improves operational availability

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퍼지집합과 러프집합을 이용한 계층 구조 가스 식별 시스템의 설계 (Design of a Hierarchically Structured Gas Identification System Using Fuzzy Sets and Rough Sets)

  • 방영근;이철희
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제67권3호
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    • pp.419-426
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    • 2018
  • An useful and effective design method for the gas identification system is presented in this paper. The proposed gas identification system adopts hierarchical structure with two level rule base combining fuzzy sets with rough sets. At first, a hybrid genetic algorithm is used in grouping the array sensors of which the measured patterns are similar in order to reduce the dimensionality of patterns to be analyzed and to make rule construction easy and simple. Next, for low level identification, fuzzy inference systems for each divided group are designed by using TSK fuzzy rule, which allow handling the drift and the uncertainty of sensor data effectively. Finally, rough set theory is applied to derive the identification rules at high level which reflect the identification characteristics of each divided group. Thus, the proposed method is able to accomplish effectively dimensionality reduction as well as accurate gas identification. In simulation, we demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed methods by identifying five types of gases.

메타-인퍼런스와 퍼지추론을 이용한 송변전 설비의 통합 고장진단 전문가 시스템 (An Integrated Fault Diagnosis System for Power System Devices using Meta-inference and Fuzzy Reasoning)

  • 이흥재;임찬호;김광원
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.38-44
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    • 1998
  • 본 논문에서는 변전설비 운용의 자동화를 실현하기 위하여 변전설비에서 발생하는 다양한 사고를 판정할 수 있고, 변전설비 사고가 송전설비로 확산되는 경우에 대비하기 위하여 송전설비의 진단기능을 부가시킨 지역급전분소의 운전자 지원을 위한 지능적 통합 고장진단 시스템을 개발하였다. 본 논문에서 제안한 전문가 시스템은 변전설비와 송전설비에서 발생하는 다양한 사고를 진단할 수 있으며, 데이터 이중화 장치를 통하여 감시제어 시스템의 데이터 베이스를 공유하게 함으로서 최소한의 부담으로 기존의 감시제어 시스템에 설치할 수 있도록 하였다. 또한 지식에 포함된 불확실성을 처리하기 위하여 퍼지추론을 수행하였고, 모듈라 프로그래밍 기법과 메타-인퍼런스 기법을 사용하고 있으며, 저가의 개인용 컴퓨터로 구현하였다.

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Neuro-Fuzzy 기법을 이용한 부분방전 패턴인식에 대한 연구 (A Study on Partial Discharge Pattern Recognition Using Neuro-Fuzzy Techniques)

  • 박건준;김길성;오성권;최원;김정태
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제57권12호
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    • pp.2313-2321
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    • 2008
  • In order to develop reliable on-site partial discharge(PD) pattern recognition algorithm, the fuzzy neural network based on fuzzy set(FNN) and the polynomial network pattern classifier based on fuzzy Inference(PNC) were investigated and designed. Using PD data measured from laboratory defect models, these algorithms were learned and tested. Considering on-site situation where it is not easy to obtain voltage phases in PRPDA(Phase Resolved Partial Discharge Analysis), the measured PD data were artificially changed with shifted voltage phases for the test of the proposed algorithms. As input vectors of the algorithms, PRPD data themselves were adopted instead of using statistical parameters such as skewness and kurtotis, to improve uncertainty of statistical parameters, even though the number of input vectors were considerably increased. Also, results of the proposed neuro-fuzzy algorithms were compared with that of conventional BP-NN(Back Propagation Neural Networks) algorithm using the same data. The FNN and PNC algorithms proposed in this study were appeared to have better performance than BP-NN algorithm.

패턴 인식을 위한 Interval Type-2 퍼지 집합 기반의 최적 다중출력 퍼지 뉴럴 네트워크 (Optimized Multi-Output Fuzzy Neural Networks Based on Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Set for Pattern Recognition)

  • 박건준;오성권
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제62권5호
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    • pp.705-711
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we introduce an design of multi-output fuzzy neural networks based on Interval Type-2 fuzzy set. The proposed Interval Type-2 fuzzy set-based fuzzy neural networks with multi-output (IT2FS-based FNNm) comprise the network structure generated by dividing the input space individually. The premise part of the fuzzy rules of the network reflects the individuality of the division space for the entire input space and the consequent part of the fuzzy rules expresses three types of polynomial functions with interval sets such as constant, linear, and modified quadratic inference for pattern recognition. The learning of fuzzy neural networks is realized by adjusting connections of the neurons in the consequent part of the fuzzy rules, and it follows a back-propagation algorithm. In addition, in order to optimize the network, the parameters of the network such as apexes of membership functions, uncertainty factor, learning rate and momentum coefficient were automatically optimized by using real-coded genetic algorithm. The proposed model is evaluated with the use of numerical experimentation.

상황인식 기술을 이용한 운전자 선호도 기반 교통상세정보 추천 시스템 (Driver Preference Based Traffic Information Recommender Using Context-Aware Technology)

  • 심재문;권오병;강지욱
    • 지식경영연구
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.75-93
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    • 2010
  • Even though there have been many efforts on driver's route recommendation, driver still should get involved to choose the driving path in a manual manner. Uncertain traffic information provided to the driver delays his arrival time and hence may cause diminished economic values. One of the solutions of reducing the uncertainty is to provide various kinds of traffic information, rather than send real-time information. Therefore, as the wireless communication technology improves and at the same time volume of utilizable traffic contents increases in geometrical progression, selecting traffic information based on driver's context in a timely and individual manner will be needed. Hence, the purpose of this paper is to propose a methodology that efficiently sends the rich traffic contents to the personal in-vehicle navigation. To do so, driver preference is modeled and then the recommendation algorithm of traffic information contents was developed using the preference model. Secondly, ontology based traffic situation analyzation method is suggested to automatically inference the noticeable information from the traffic context on driver's route. To show the feasibility of the idea proposed in this paper, an open API service is implemented in consideration of ease of use.

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A New Approach to the Design of An Adaptive Fuzzy Sliding Mode Controller

  • Lakhekar, Girish Vithalrao
    • International Journal of Ocean System Engineering
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.50-60
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents a novel approach to the design of an adaptive fuzzy sliding mode controller for depth control of an autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV). So far, AUV's dynamics are highly nonlinear and the hydrodynamic coefficients of the vehicles are difficult to estimate, because of the variations of these coefficients with different operating conditions. These kinds of difficulties cause modeling inaccuracies of AUV's dynamics. Hence, we propose an adaptive fuzzy sliding mode control with novel fuzzy adaptation technique for regulating vertical positioning in presence of parametric uncertainty and disturbances. In this approach, two fuzzy approximator are employed in such a way that slope of the linear sliding surface is updated by first fuzzy approximator, to shape tracking error dynamics in the sliding regime, while second fuzzy approximator change the supports of the output fuzzy membership function in the defuzzification inference module of fuzzy sliding mode control (FSMC) algorithm. Simulation results shows that, the reaching time and tracking error in the approaching phase can be significantly reduced with chattering problem can also be eliminated. The effectiveness of proposed control strategy and its advantages are indicated in comparison with conventional sliding mode control FSMC technique.

퍼지추론을 적용한 교통 신호 제어 시스템 (The Traffic Signal control System Applying Fuzzy Reasoning)

  • 김미경;이윤배
    • 한국정보처리학회논문지
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.977-987
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    • 1999
  • 현행 교통 신호 제어기는 사전에 계획된 신호 시간 체계 또는 시간대별로 선택되는 방법을 취하고 있다. 이와 같은 신호 체계는 교통 상황 변화에 적절하게 대응하기 어려운 문제점을 갖고 있다. 특히, 혼잡 상황과 같은 문제들은 이진 논리로써 해결하기 어렵다. 따라서, 본 논문에서는 교통 혼잡 상황에 신속하게 대처할 수 있는 신호기 제어 시스템을 제안하였다. 본 논문에서 제안한 제어기는 불확실성 및 퍼지환경에서 작동한다. 따라서, 도로의 혼잡 상황을 퍼지 논리를 사용하여 표현하고 퍼지 추론기에 의해 신호 시간을 결정하도록 하였다. 본 논문에서 제안한 신호기 제어 시스템의 타당성을 검증하고자 페트리네트를 이용하여 모델링 하였다.

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Hierarchical Bayesian 기법을 통한 강우-유출모형 매개변수의 최적화 및 불확실성 분석 (Parameter Optimization and Uncertainty Analysis of the Rainfall-Runoff Model Coupled with Hierarchical Bayesian Inference Scheme)

  • 문영일;권현한
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2007년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.1752-1756
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    • 2007
  • 정교한 강우-유출 모의를 위해서는 적절한 매개변수의 추정이 필수적이며, 매개변수 추정 방법은 시행착오(trial and error)에 의한 수동보정법과 최적화방법을 사용한 자동보정법으로 구분할 수 있다. 모형의 매개변수의 수가 많은 경우 수동보정법에 의한 매개변수 추정은 매우 어렵다. 자동 보정법에 사용되는 최적화방법은 Rosenbrock 알고리즘, patten search, 컴플렉스(complex) 방법, Powell 방법 등과 같은 지역최적화 방법과 전역최적화 방법으로 나눌 수 있다. 그러나 기존 방법론들은 매개변수의 최적화를 추적하기 위한 알고리즘이 대부분이며 이들 매개변수에 관련된 불확실성을 평가하는데는 미흡한 단접이 있다. 이러한 점에서 본 연구에서는 강우-유출모형의 매개변수 추정에 있어서 불확실성을 평가할 수 있는 새로운 방법론을 검토하고자 한다. 매개변수와 관련된 불확실성을 평가하기 위한 방법은 여러 가지가 있으나 통계적으로 매우 우수한 능력을 보이는 Hierarchical Bayesian 알고리즘을 Probability-Distributed 강우-유출 모형에 적용하였다. 본 방법론은 최적화와 동시에 각 매개변수에 관련된 사후분포(posterior distribution)의 추정이 가능하므로 모형이 갖는 불확실성을 효과적으로 평가할 수 있다. 따라서, 수자원 관리에 있어서 불확실성을 고려할 수 있으므로 보다 수리수문학적 위험도를 저감할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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