• Title/Summary/Keyword: Industrial Stock Market

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A Study on Industries's Leading at the Stock Market in Korea - Gradual Diffusion of Information and Cross-Asset Return Predictability- (산업의 주식시장 선행성에 관한 실증분석 - 자산간 수익률 예측 가능성 -)

  • Kim Jong-Kwon
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.355-380
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    • 2004
  • I test the hypothesis that the gradual diffusion of information across asset markets leads to cross-asset return predictability in Korea. Using thirty-six industry portfolios and the broad market index as our test assets, I establish several key results. First, a number of industries such as semiconductor, electronics, metal, and petroleum lead the stock market by up to one month. In contrast, the market, which is widely followed, only leads a few industries. Importantly, an industry's ability to lead the market is correlated with its propensity to forecast various indicators of economic activity such as industrial production growth. Consistent with our hypothesis, these findings indicate that the market reacts with a delay to information in industry returns about its fundamentals because information diffuses only gradually across asset markets. Traditional theories of asset pricing assume that investors have unlimited information-processing capacity. However, this assumption does not hold for many traders, even the most sophisticated ones. Many economists recognize that investors are better characterized as being only boundedly rational(see Shiller(2000), Sims(2201)). Even from casual observation, few traders can pay attention to all sources of information much less understand their impact on the prices of assets that they trade. Indeed, a large literature in psychology documents the extent to which even attention is a precious cognitive resource(see, eg., Kahneman(1973), Nisbett and Ross(1980), Fiske and Taylor(1991)). A number of papers have explored the implications of limited information- processing capacity for asset prices. I will review this literature in Section II. For instance, Merton(1987) develops a static model of multiple stocks in which investors only have information about a limited number of stocks and only trade those that they have information about. Related models of limited market participation include brennan(1975) and Allen and Gale(1994). As a result, stocks that are less recognized by investors have a smaller investor base(neglected stocks) and trade at a greater discount because of limited risk sharing. More recently, Hong and Stein(1999) develop a dynamic model of a single asset in which information gradually diffuses across the investment public and investors are unable to perform the rational expectations trick of extracting information from prices. Hong and Stein(1999). My hypothesis is that the gradual diffusion of information across asset markets leads to cross-asset return predictability. This hypothesis relies on two key assumptions. The first is that valuable information that originates in one asset reaches investors in other markets only with a lag, i.e. news travels slowly across markets. The second assumption is that because of limited information-processing capacity, many (though not necessarily all) investors may not pay attention or be able to extract the information from the asset prices of markets that they do not participate in. These two assumptions taken together leads to cross-asset return predictability. My hypothesis would appear to be a very plausible one for a few reasons. To begin with, as pointed out by Merton(1987) and the subsequent literature on segmented markets and limited market participation, few investors trade all assets. Put another way, limited participation is a pervasive feature of financial markets. Indeed, even among equity money managers, there is specialization along industries such as sector or market timing funds. Some reasons for this limited market participation include tax, regulatory or liquidity constraints. More plausibly, investors have to specialize because they have their hands full trying to understand the markets that they do participate in

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The Great Depression in High School Social Science Textbooks : Critiques and Suggestions (대공황에 대한 고등학교 사회과 교과서 서술의 문제점과 개선방안)

  • Kim, Duol
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.171-209
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    • 2008
  • The Great Depression is one of the most important economic incidents in the twentieth century. A significant and long-lasting impact of this event is the rise of the government intervention to the economy. Under the catastrophic downturn of the economic condition worldwide, people required their government to play an active role for economic recovery, and this $mentalit{\acute{e}}$ prolonged even after the Second World War. Social science textbooks taught at Korean high schools mostly referred to the Great Depression for explaining the reason of government intervention in economy. However, the mainstream view commonly found in the textbooks provides a misleading theological interpretation. It argues that inherent flaws of the market economy causes over-production/under-consumption, and that this mismatch ends up with economic crisis. The chaotic situation was resolved by substitution of the governments for the market, and the New Deal was introduced as the monumental example ('laissez-faire economy ${\rightarrow}$over-production${\rightarrow}$the Great Depression${\rightarrow}$government intervention${\rightarrow}$economic recovery'). Based on economic historians' researches for past three decades, I argue that this mainstream view commits the fallacy of ex-post justification. Unlike what the mainstream view claims, the Great Depression was neither the result of the 'market failure', nor the recovery from the Great Depression but was due to successful government policies. For substantiating this claim, I suggest three points. First, blaming the weakness or instability of the market economy as the cause of the Great Depression is groundless. Unlike what the textbooks describe, the rise of the U.S. stock price during the 1920s cannot be said as a bubble, and there was no sign of under-consumption during the 1920s. On the contrary, a new consensus emerging from the 1980s among economic historians illustrates that the Great Depression was originated from 'the government failure' rather than from the 'market failure'. Policymakers of European countries tried to return to the gold standard regime before the First World War, but discrepancies between this policy and the reality made the world economy vulnerable. Second, the mainstream view identifies the New Deal as Keynesian interventionism and glorifies it for saving the U.S. economy from the crisis. However, this argument is not true. The New Deal was not Keynesian at all. What the U.S. government actually tried was not macroeconomic stabilization but price and quantity control. In addition, New Deal did not brought about economic recovery that people generally believe. Even after the New Deal, industrial production or employment level remained quite low until the late 1930s. Lastly, studies on individual New Deal policies show that they did not work as they were intended. For example, the National Industrial Recovery Act increased unemployment, and the Agricultural Adjustment Act expelled tenants from their land. Third, the mainstream view characterizes the economic order before the Great Depression as laissez-faire, and it tends to attribute all the vice during the Industrial Revolution era to the uncontrolled market economy. However, historical studies show that various economic and social problems of the Industrial Revolution period such as inequality problems, child labor, or environmental problems cannot be simply ascribed to the problems of the market economy. In conclusion, the remedy for all these problems in high school textbooks is not to use the Great Depression as an example showing the weakness of the market economy. The Great Depression should be introduced simply as a historical momentum that had initiated the growth of government intervention. This reform of high school textbooks is imperative for enhancing the right understanding of economy and history.

The Ownership Choice of Leveraged Buyout Company (차입 인수합병기업의 소유구조 선택)

  • Gong, Jai-Sik;Kim, Choong-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.1151-1156
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    • 2011
  • Leveraged buyouts (LBO) means the acquisition of a company using bonds and loans. There are the prolific volumes of LBO transactions in the international M&A markets, and its influence to the financial market is increasingly huge. However, there are very few LBO transaction in the domestic M&A market and there are also few researches in this field due to the private nature of LBO transactions. Once a company is privatized through a LBO transaction, it is not so long before it is relisted on the stock exchange or it is resold to a third-party investor. In order to repay the borrowed money, an LBO investor may decide to end a company's private status through an exit via an initial public offering (IPO) or a takeover. In this paper, we expand Kaplan's study on the organizational status of post leveraged buyout (LBO) transaction. We find that there is a significant change starting 1986. Most notably, fewer LBOs remain private, the median holding period of the LBO was cut in half to 3.2 years and of those that exit, IPO exits had significantly shorter holding periods. Regression analysis shows that good market conditions lengthen the holding period of a LBO investment whereas the size of the transaction shortens it.

The Effect of Trade Credit on Corporate Profitability according to the degree of Corporate Market Share (기업의 시장점유율에 따른 신용거래와 기업수익성간 연관성)

  • Yi, Kayoun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.207-214
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to analyze the effect of the level of accounts receivable on firm profitability. It is possible to find the optimal level of accounts receivable that maximizes profitability. In this study, 6,632 samples were selected from manufacturing companies listed on the Korean Stock Exchange from 2001 to 2018. We used the fixed effect panel model to analyze the model equation. There is a positive (+) relationship between the profitability of a company, the Return on Assets (ROA), and accounts receivable (AR). Also, this relationship has a nonlinear relationship or a reverse-U shape. There is an optimal level of accounts receivables, which results in profitability increase up to a certain extent, but subsequently, profitability decreases when accounts receivables exceed this level. In the case of monopoly companies with a higher-than-average market share, the coefficient between accounts receivable and firm profitability is greater than that for competitors with a lower market share than average. It supports the hypothesis that Titman (1984) suggested, that trade credit is important for enhancing corporate profitability. It is confirmed that accounts receivables play an important role in enhancing firm profitability and it is necessary to understand this well from the corporate standpoint.

A Transaction Data Study of the Day-of-the-Week Clustering Patterns Induced by the Discreteness of Observed Stock Prices - Further Evidence : The Case of the Stock Market in Korea (이산성으로 인한 요일별 관찰주가의 군집현상에 관한 거래자료 연구 - 한국 주식시장에서의 일별주가변동을 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Don-Il
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.7
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    • pp.165-196
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    • 1994
  • Harris(1986)[22]는 주식가격에 있어서의 요일효과(曜日效果)(day-of-the-week effect)의 증거는 광범위한 시장지수에서의 일별(日別) 종가(終價) 대 종가(終價)수익률(收益率)에 대한 연구들에서 나타난다고 한다. 이러한 연구들은 결론적으로 체계적 수익률 행태를, 특히 음(陰)의 월요일 수익률을 증명한다. Harris(1990)[24]는 군집현상(群集現象)은 가격이산성(價格離散性)이 추정량(推定量)에 미치는 영향을 분석할 때 고려되어야 한다고 주장한다. 특히, 군집현상(群集現象)이 거래자가 규정된 최소가격변동에 기초한 집합보다 더 큰 이산적(離散的)가격집합(價格集合)을 사용하기 때문에 결과한다면, Gottlieb 와 Kalay(1985)[21] 및 Harris(1990)[24]에서 확인된 분산(分散)과 시계열공분산(時系列共分散) 추정량(推定量) 편의(偏倚)는 훨씬 더 심각할 것이라고 한다. 또한 모든 연구들은 이산성(離散性)이 거래가격의 유의한 특성이기 때문에 군집현상(群集現象)을 고려하여야 한다고 한다. 주식시장의 경우 요일효과가 존재한다면, 관찰주가의 이산성(離散性)으로 인한 요일별 주가의 끝자리가격의 분포가 월요일과 다른 요일에 있어 차이가 있는지와 요일별 가격결정의 정도가 (1) 주가의 수준, (2) 주가수익률의 기복 및 (3) 시장에서의 주식거래량에 있어 차이가 있는지 둥에 대하여 의문을 갖게 한다. 따라서 본 연구는 이산성으로 인한 요일별 관찰주가의 군집현상에 관한 거래자료를 연구하기 위하여 한국 주식시장에서의 입수가능한 최근년도인 1990년 1월 4일에서 1994년 6월 30일까지의 4년 6개월 동안의 일별주가변동(日別株價變動) 거래자료(去來資料)를 조사하고 실증분석을 수행하였다. 본 연구의 결과에 의하면 주식가격에 있어서의 요일효과는 관찰가격의 이산성 특히, 호가(呼價)의 가격단위(價格單位)에 기인하는 것 같지는 않다. 그러나 본 연구의 결과에 의하면 최돈일(1993)[7]의 연구 결과에서와 같이 Gottlieb 와 Kalay(1985) [21] 및 Ball(1988)[9]의 주장을 받아들이기 어렵다. 최돈일(1993)[7]의 연구를 확장한 본 연구의 결과는 최돈일(1993)의 연구 결과와도 상이하다.

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Characteristic Analysis of Kospi Index Using Deep Learning (심층학습을 이용한 한국종합주가지수의 특성분석)

  • Snag-Il Han
    • Journal of Practical Engineering Education
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    • v.16 no.1_spc
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 2024
  • This paper examines the differences between the Korean and American stock markets using the Kospi and S&P 500 indices and discusses policy implications through them. To this end, in addition to the existing time series analysis method, a deep learning method was used to compare markets, and the comparison was made in terms of stock price forecasting ability and data generation ability. In monthly data, the difference between time series was not large, and in daily data, the difference in terms of stability was weak, and there was no significant difference in predictive power or simulation data generation. As shown in the results of this study, if there is not much difference in market price movement patterns between Korea and the United States, tax benefits for long-term stocks investment will be effective against the side effects of short selling.

Financial Flexibility on Required Returns: Vector Autoregression Return Decomposition Approach

  • YIM, Sang-Giun
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: Prior studies empirically examine how financial flexibility is related to required returns by using realized returns and considering cash holdings as net debts, but they fail to find consistent results. Conjecturing that inappropriate proxy of required returns and aggregation of cash and debts caused the inconsistent results, this study revisits this topic by using a refined proxy of required returns and separating cash holdings from debts. Research design, data and methodology: This study uses a multivariate regression model to investigate the relationship between required returns on cash holdings and financial leverage. The required returns are estimated using the return decomposition method by vector autoregression model. Empirical tests use US stock market data from1968 to 2011. Results: Empirical results reveal that both cash holdings and leverage are positively related to required returns. The positive relation is stronger in economic downturns than in economic upturns. Conclusions: Three major findings are drawn. First, risky firms prefer large cash balance. Second, information shocks in the realized returns caused failure of prior studies to find consistent positive relationship between leverage and realized returns. Third, cash and leverage are related to required returns in the same direction; therefore, cash cannot be considered as negative debts.

Empirical Study of Dynamic Chinese Corporate Governance Based on Chinese-listed Firms with A Panel VAR Approach

  • Shao, Lin;Zhang, Li;Yu, Xiaohong
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.5-13
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    • 2017
  • Purpose - In this article, a dynamic model like a VAR is an appropriate choice for estimating the possible interrelationship between ownership structure and firm performance as a dynamic process. Research design, data, and methodology - Data of this work are collected from Chinese stock exchange including 350 Chinese-listed firms during the period of 1999-2012. We hypothesize that this interrelationship dynamically exists between ownership structure and firm performance. To examine the correlation, a panel Vector Auto-regression (PVAR) approach generated by GMM method is utilized to test the possible dynamic relation embedded in corporate governance. Another two dynamic analysis solutions such as orthogonalized impulse-response function and variance decomposition are also used simultaneously. Results - Findings of this study indicate the evidence that dynamically endogenous relationship exists between ownership structure and firm performance. Further, there is a dynamical correlation between investment and performance. Impulse response and variance decomposition illustrate that impact of a shock to variables themselves is the main source for their variability. Conclusions - The conclusion in this study is that there is a bidirectional and inter-temporal effect between proportion of ownership and corporate performance for a long run in accordance with impulse response function. Overall, our results suggest that corporate governance in China is more market oriented.

The Relationship between Ownership Control Disparity and Firm Value: Empirical Evidence from High-Technology Firms in Korea

  • KIM, Su-In;SHIN, Hyejeong
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.749-759
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    • 2021
  • We investigate the relationship between ownership control disparity and future firm value in high-technology industries, and whether the effect of ownership control disparity on future firm value is differentiated when high-tech industry firms belong to chaebol groups. Using 11,848 firm-year observations of Korean firms listed on the stock market from 2006 to 2019, we employ univariate analysis and Heckman 2 stage analysis to test our hypotheses. We define high-technology industries as ICT industries based on the Korean Standard Industrial Classification. We measure future firm value using average Tobin's q for the next three years and ownership control disparity using the shareholding ratio of affiliated companies. Our univariate test results show that mean of Tobin's q is higher in ICT firms than non-ICT firms and firms largely owned by affiliates. In multivariate test, we find that the ICT firms with higher ownership control disparity are positively associated with future firm value. However, this association is lessened when firms belong to a chaebol group. Based on our findings, we suggest ownership control disparity has an additional positive effect on future firm in high-technology industries. The negative impact of chaebol groups on the association suggests the possibility of diversification discount in business group.

How Businessmen Improve Their Economic Stability and Quality of Life after Retirement

  • SEO, Kyeong-Sook;KIM, Jae-Tae
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.13 no.12
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This research is to answer the following research questions because of the importance of learning how retired businesspeople increase their financial security and quality of life. (1) how does an entrepreneur contribute to economic development? (2) what types of investments are performed by businesspeople after retirement? (3) how entrepreneurial financial attainment capacity and anticipated net income after retirement are related? Research design, data and methodology: This research has conducted the qualitative analysis (QCA) using the current literature review. In the traditional positivist research paradigm, the quality of research is evaluated based on issues of validity, reliability, and objectivity. Contrary to the positivist approach, QCA focuses on the underlying meaning of the data. Results: This research found that finance management is increasingly challenging for businesspeople. The solutions based on the literature investigation suggest four categories. (1) Planned spending and revenue allocation, (2) Investing in the stock market, (3) Create a culture of saving, (4) Get Informed. Conclusions: This research puts forth a model to describe the connection between an investor's financial achievement potential and their desired net profits in retirement. The results of this study support the idea that the ability to achieve financial success as an entrepreneur has a salutary effect on the amount of money saved for retirement.