• Title/Summary/Keyword: Industrial Stock Market

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A Study on the Strategy for Optimizing Investment Portfolios (최적 투자 포트폴리오 구성전략에 관한 연구)

  • Gu, Seung-Hwan;Jang, Seong-Yong
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.300-310
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    • 2010
  • This paper is about an optimal investment portfolio strategy. Financial data of stocks, bonds, and savings from January 2. 2001 through October 30. 2009 were utilized in order to suggest the optimal portfolio strategies. Fundamental analysis and technical analysis were used in stocks-related strategy, whereas passive investment strategy and active investment strategy were used in bond-related strategy. The score is assigned to each stock index according to the suggested strategies and set trading rules are based on the scores. The simulation has been executed about each 29,400-portfolios and we figured out with the simulation result that 26.75% of 7,864 portfolios are more profitable than average stock market profit (22.6%, Annualized). The outcome of this research is summarized in two parts. First, it's the rebalancing strategy of portfolio. The result shows that value-oriented investment(long-term investment) strategy yields much higher than short-term investment strategies of stocks or active investment of bonds. Second, it's about the rebalancing cycle forming the portfolios. The result shows that the rate of return for the portfolio is the best when rebalancing cycle is 12 or 18 months.

Research on Stock price prediction system based on BLSTM (BLSTM을 이용한 주가 예측 시스템 연구)

  • Hong, Sunghyuck
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.11 no.10
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2020
  • Artificial intelligence technology, which is the core of the 4th industrial revolution, is making intelligent judgments through deep learning techniques and machine learning that it is impossible to predict if it is applied to stock prediction beyond human capabilities. In US fund management companies, artificial intelligence is replacing the role of stock market analyst, and research in this field is actively underway. In this study, we use BLSTM to reduce errors that occur in unidirectional prediction of the existing LSTM method, reduce errors in predictions by predicting in both directions, and macroscopic indicators that affect stock prices, namely, economic growth rate, economic indicators, interest rate, analyze the trade balance, exchange rate, and volume of currency. To help stock investment by accurately predicting the target price of stocks by analyzing the PBR, BPS, and ROE of individual stocks after analyzing macro-indicators, and by analyzing the purchase and sale quantities of foreigners, institutions, pension funds, etc., which have the most influence on stock prices.

A Study on Efficient Stock Arrangement of Distribution Center Using MBA Analysis and Simulation in Retail Business (유통업에서 MBA분석과 시뮬레이션을 이용한 물류센타 재고배치 효율화에 관한 연구)

  • Yeo, Sung-Joo;Seong, Kil-Young;Wang, Gi-Nam
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.234-242
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    • 2009
  • It is most important for distribution center in retail business to delivery commodities in a timely manner. Accordingly, many companies try to make distribution center effective using the Warehouse Management System(WMS) integrated legacy system. Also, the Customer Relationship Management(CRM) is the most typical paradigm in management lately. Even though the WMS and CRM are independent system of each other, WMS, coupled with CRM makes customer satisfied more effectively. In this paper, we proposed the methodology for inventory location after analyzing and applying customer buying pattern data in the CRM through the MBA(Market Basket Analysis), which is part of data mining. We used an example modeling a real distribution center in retail through a 3D simulation tool and examined correlation between commodities using customer buying pattern. After that, we applied it to the inventory location system through the MBA in an example. Finally, we identified decrease in the time for picking, which is the majority of distribution center. Besides, we proposed a simulation methodology before applying new methodology. Consequently, it removes potential errors in advance and makes a optimized inventory location system.

A Methodology for Efficient Portfolio Management Using Inventory Control Technique (재고통제기법을 이용한 효율적 포트폴리오 관리 방안)

  • Ryu, Jae-Pil;Shin, Hyun-Joon
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.163-169
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    • 2012
  • This paper proposes an efficient portfolio management methodology named sSPPM with consideration of risk and required return. sSPPM employs Markowitz's portfolio model to select securities and adopts ($s$, $S$) policy that is a well-known technique in the inventory control area to revise the current portfolio. Computational experiments using virtual stock prices generated by monte carlo simulation method as well as real stock ones of KOSPI for recent 4 years are conducted to show the excellence of the portfolio management under ($s$, $S$) policy framework. The result shows that sSPPM is remarkably superior to both 6 or 12 months based periodic portfolio revision method and market (KOSPI index).

Revitalization plan for Korean's Venture Business (우리 나라 벤처기업의 활성화 방안)

  • Lee Kyoung-Oh
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.7
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    • pp.381-400
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    • 2001
  • Our country has been encountered with severe economic depression since IMF loan(1997). Korean economic system should be reformed according to the globalization and the world industrial trends based on adavanced technologies and skills. Todays the venture business should be considered to be the alternative of recovering Korean economy and increasing highly estimated values. Generally speaking, the venture business is defined as a new business with high risk-high return with new technical entrepreneurship. This treatise suggests the activating alternatives of the venture business in Korea. These alternatives are suggested as follows. First, several measures to incruit excellent technicians are suggested. These measures includes incruitment of parttime technicians, application of cooperative program of education training unemployees, the stock option system, a stock-sharing plan for the employees, etc. Second, in the financial aspect, activation of the foundation investment company, activation of the COSDAQ market, strengthening of technology security are suggested. Third, in the technical development aspect, amplification of inauguration assistant center, construction of technology accumulative network, etc. These measures will contribute to the development of Korean economy and the welfare of Korean people.

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The Financial Impact Generated by Shifts in Value Strategic Emphasis (가치전략 중점의 변화가 재무성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Hong, Kichul;Park, Kwangho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.26-39
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    • 2016
  • Korea's main manufacturing industries, which have led its economy for the past three decades, are faced with a serious downturn and loss of competitive advantages due to the current economic depression, China's rise, and the drop of oil prices. Korean business firms must adopt the paradigm shift in their value strategies, along with a government-led industrial restructuring in order to gain sustainable competitive advantages. Business firms allocate their limited resources between value creation and value appropriation, however, what effect does strategic emphasis on value creation versus value appropriation have on a business firm's financial performance? This paper empirically addresses this issue by examining the effect of shifts in strategic emphasis on stock return. Furthermore, this study examines appropriate choices of strategic emphasis to gain differential financial performance. The data set used in this regression analysis comes from the KISLINE database of NICE Information Service. The variables that form the basis of this analysis are stock return, ROA, and Strategic Emphasis [(advertising expenditures-R&D expenditures)/assets]. The interactive effect with situational factors regarding the firm and the type of technological environment in which the firm is operating was also analyzed. Our results show that investors acknowledge a shift of strategic emphasis as a sign of stock valuation. In comparison to US, Korean business firms have weak value creation capabilities in high-technology industries, and weak value appropriation capabilities in low-technology industries. This proves Korean firms are fast followers in the global market. Our findings suggest that Korean firms have to adopt a balanced value strategy, nurturing value creation and developing value appropriation for overcoming the current economic downturn and becoming a first mover in the dawn of "Industry 4.0."

The Impact of COVID-19 on Stock Price: An Application of Event Study Method in Vietnam

  • PHUONG, Lai Cao Mai
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.523-531
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    • 2021
  • Vietnam's Oil and gas industry make a significant contribution to the Gross Domestic Product of Vietnam. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has hit every industry hard, but perhaps the one industry which has taken the biggest hit is the global oil and gas industry. The purpose of this article is to examine how the COVID-19 pandemic affects the share price of the Vietnam Oil and Gas industry. The event study method applied to Oil and Gas industry index data around three event days includes: (i) The date Vietnam recognized the first patient to be COVID-19 positive was January 23, 2020; (ii) The second outbreak of COVID-19 infection in the community began on March 6, 2020; (iii) The date (30/3/2020) when Vietnam announced the COVID-19 epidemic in the whole territory. This study found that the share price of the Vietnam Oil and Gas industry responded positively after the event (iii) which is manifested by the cumulative abnormal return of CAR (0; 3] = 3.8% and statistically significant at 5 %. In the study, event (ii) has the most negative and strong impact on Oil and Gas stock prices. Events (i) favor negative effects, events (iii) favor positive effects, but abnormal return change sign quickly from positive to negative after the event date and statistically significant shows the change on investors' psychology.

The Role of Overconfident CEO to Dividend Policy in Industrial Enterprises

  • HOANG, Lam Xuan;DANG, Duong Quy;TRAN, Thuan Duc
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.361-367
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    • 2020
  • Researching the influence and role of CEO overconfidence to dividend policy is important for stock market investors. Therefore, this study was conducted to find out the relationship between CEO overconfidence and dividend policy in industrial enterprises in Vietnam. Data collected from 222 industry enterprises listed on the Vietnam Stock Exchange from 2012 to 2018. Data is collected on financial statements of listed companies. GLS model with panel data is used to analyze regression results. The results show that CEO overconfidence has dividend yield higher than CEO non-overconfidence. At the same time, the dividend payout ratio of enterprises has no difference between CEO overconfidence and CEO non-overconfidence. The results also showed that revenue growth has a positive impact on dividend yield in small enterprises, but negative impact on dividend payout in large enterprises. Research results by firm size have similar results with the general analysis for all enterprises. At the same time, the analysis of ownership type shows that CEO overconfidence has a positive impact on dividend yield of non-state enterprises without affecting other types of enterprises. From these results, the authors also made a number of recommendations to help investors choose businesses to invest in accordance with their strategies.

An Analysis of the Dynamics between Media Coverage and Stock Market on Digital New Deal Policy: Focusing on Companies Related to the Fourth Industrial Revolution (디지털 뉴딜 정책에 대한 언론 보도량과 주식 시장의 동태적 관계 분석: 4차산업혁명 관련 기업을 중심으로)

  • Sohn, Kwonsang;Kwon, Ohbyung
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.33-53
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    • 2021
  • In the crossroads of social change caused by the spread of the Fourth Industrial Revolution and the prolonged COVID-19, the Korean government announced the Digital New Deal policy on July 14, 2020. The Digital New Deal policy's primary goal is to create new businesses by accelerating digital transformation in the public sector and industries around data, networks, and artificial intelligence technologies. However, in a rapidly changing social environment, information asymmetry of the future benefits of technology can cause differences in the public's ability to analyze the direction and effectiveness of policies, resulting in uncertainty about the practical effects of policies. On the other hand, the media leads the formation of discourse through communicators' role to disseminate government policies to the public and provides knowledge about specific issues through the news. In other words, as the media coverage of a particular policy increases, the issue concentration increases, which also affects public decision-making. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to verify the dynamic relationship between the media coverage and the stock market on the Korean government's digital New Deal policy using Granger causality, impulse response functions, and variance decomposition analysis. To this end, the daily stock turnover ratio, daily price-earnings ratio, and EWMA volatility of digital technology-based companies related to the digital new deal policy among KOSDAQ listed companies were set as variables. As a result, keyword search volume, daily stock turnover ratio, EWMA volatility have a bi-directional Granger causal relationship with media coverage. And an increase in media coverage has a high impact on keyword search volume on digital new deal policies. Also, the impulse response analysis on media coverage showed a sharp drop in EWMA volatility. The influence gradually increased over time and played a role in mitigating stock market volatility. Based on this study's findings, the amount of media coverage of digital new deals policy has a significant dynamic relationship with the stock market.

An intelligent early warning system for forecasting abnormal investment trends of foreign investors (외국인 투자자의 비정상적 중·장기매도성향패턴예측을 위한 지능형 조기경보시스템 구축)

  • Oh, Kyong Joo;Kim, Young Min
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.223-233
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    • 2013
  • At local emerging stock markets such as Korea, Hong Kong, Singapore and Taiwan, foreign investors (FI) are recognized as important investment community due to the globalization and deregulation of financial markets. Therefore, it is required to monitor the behavior of FI against a sudden enormous selling stocks for the concerned local governments or private and institutional investors. The main aim of this study is to propose an early warning system (EWS) which purposes issuing a warning signal against the possible massive selling stocks of FI at the market. For this, we suggest machine learning algorithm which predicts the behavior of FI by forecasting future conditions. This study is empirically done for the Korean stock market.