• Title/Summary/Keyword: Improvement of prediction performance

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Development of Integrated Design System for Automotive Rubber Components (자동차 방진고무부품 통합설계시스템 개발)

  • Woo, Chang-Su;Kim, Wan-Doo;Park, Hyung-Sung;Shin, Wae-Gi
    • Elastomers and Composites
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.188-193
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    • 2012
  • The fatigue analysis and lifetime evaluation are very important in design procedure to assure the safety and reliability of the rubber components. Recently, the design, analysis and evaluation technology was required to achieve the high quality, fidelity, reliability of rubber products. However, rubber manufacturing companies of our country have uesd the method of trial and error and experience in the process of a compound mixing, manufacturing and improvement of rubber properties. The objectives of this study are to establish the test methods of rubber material and to make the database of rubber material properties and to evaluate the performance of rubber components and to construct the prediction system of fatigue life. Fatigue lifetime prediction methodology of the rubber component was proposed by incorporating the finite element analysis and fatigue damage parameter from fatigue test.

Assessment and Improvement of Monthly Coefficients of Kajiyama Formular on Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 가지야마 공식 월별 보정계수 개선 및 평가)

  • Seo, Jiho;Lee, Dongjun;Lee, Gwanjae;Kim, Jonggun;Kim, Ki-sung;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.60 no.5
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    • pp.81-93
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    • 2018
  • The Kajiyama formula, which is an empirical formula based on the maximum flood data at Korean watersheds, has been widely used for the design of hydraulic structures and management of watersheds. However, this formula was developed based on meteorological data and flow measured during early 1900s so that it could not consider the recently changed rainfall pattern due to climate changes. Moreover, the formula does not provide the monthly coefficients for 5 months including July and August (flood season), which causes the uncertainty to accurately interpret runoff characteristics at a watershed. Thus, the objective of this study is to enhance the monthly coefficients based on the recent meteorological data and flow data expanding the range of rainfall classification. The simulated runoff using the enhanced monthly coefficients showed better performance compared to that using the original coefficients. In addition, we evaluated the applicability of the enhanced monthly coefficient for future runoff prediction. Based on the results of this study, we found that the Kajiyame formula with the enhanced coefficients could be applied for the future prediction. Hence, the Kajiyama formula with enhanced monthly coefficient can be useful to support the policy and plan related to management of watersheds in Korea.

Object Detection and Post-processing of LNGC CCS Scaffolding System using 3D Point Cloud Based on Deep Learning (딥러닝 기반 LNGC 화물창 스캐닝 점군 데이터의 비계 시스템 객체 탐지 및 후처리)

  • Lee, Dong-Kun;Ji, Seung-Hwan;Park, Bon-Yeong
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.58 no.5
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    • pp.303-313
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    • 2021
  • Recently, quality control of the Liquefied Natural Gas Carrier (LNGC) cargo hold and block-erection interference areas using 3D scanners have been performed, focusing on large shipyards and the international association of classification societies. In this study, as a part of the research on LNGC cargo hold quality management advancement, a study on deep-learning-based scaffolding system 3D point cloud object detection and post-processing were conducted using a LNGC cargo hold 3D point cloud. The scaffolding system point cloud object detection is based on the PointNet deep learning architecture that detects objects using point clouds, achieving 70% prediction accuracy. In addition, the possibility of improving the accuracy of object detection through parameter adjustment is confirmed, and the standard of Intersection over Union (IoU), an index for determining whether the object is the same, is achieved. To avoid the manual post-processing work, the object detection architecture allows automatic task performance and can achieve stable prediction accuracy through supplementation and improvement of learning data. In the future, an improved study will be conducted on not only the flat surface of the LNGC cargo hold but also complex systems such as curved surfaces, and the results are expected to be applicable in process progress automation rate monitoring and ship quality control.

Changes in the Characteristics of Wintertime Climatology Simulation for METRI AGCM Using the Improved Radiation Parameterization (METRI AGCM의 복사 모수화 개선에 따른 겨울철 기후모의의 특징적 변화)

  • Lim, Han-Cheol;Byun, Young-Hwa;Park, Suhee;Kwon, Won-Tae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.127-143
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    • 2009
  • This study investigates characteristics of wintertime simulation conducted by METRI AGCM utilizing new radiation parameterization scheme. New radiation scheme is based on the method of Chou et al., and is utilized in the METRI AGCM recently. In order to analyze characteristics of seasonal simulation in boreal winter, hindcast dataset from 1979 to 2005 is produced in two experiments - control run (CTRL) and new model's run (RADI). Also, changes in performance skill and predictability due to implementation of new radiation scheme are examined. In the wintertime simulation, the RADI experiment tends to reduce warm bias in the upper troposphere probably due to intensification of longwave radiative cooling over the whole troposphere. The radiative cooling effect is related to weakening of longitudinal temperature gradient, leading to weaker tropospheric jet in the upper troposphere. In addition, changes in vertical thermodynamic structure have an influence on reduction of tropical precipitation. Moreover, the RADI case is less sensitive to variation of tropical sea surface temperature than the CTRL case, even though the RADI case simulates the mean climate pattern well. It implies that the RADI run does not have significant improvement in seasonal prediction point of view.

Defect Prediction and Variable Impact Analysis in CNC Machining Process (CNC 가공 공정 불량 예측 및 변수 영향력 분석)

  • Hong, Ji Soo;Jung, Young Jin;Kang, Sung Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.185-199
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: The improvement of yield and quality in product manufacturing is crucial from the perspective of process management. Controlling key variables within the process is essential for enhancing the quality of the produced items. In this study, we aim to identify key variables influencing product defects and facilitate quality enhancement in CNC machining process using SHAP(SHapley Additive exPlanations) Methods: Firstly, we conduct model training using boosting algorithm-based models such as AdaBoost, GBM, XGBoost, LightGBM, and CatBoost. The CNC machining process data is divided into training data and test data at a ratio 9:1 for model training and test experiments. Subsequently, we select a model with excellent Accuracy and F1-score performance and apply SHAP to extract variables influencing defects in the CNC machining process. Results: By comparing the performances of different models, the selected CatBoost model demonstrated an Accuracy of 97% and an F1-score of 95%. Using Shapley Value, we extract key variables that positively of negatively impact the dependent variable(good/defective product). We identify variables with relatively low importance, suggesting variables that should be prioritized for management. Conclusion: The extraction of key variables using SHAP provides explanatory power distinct from traditional machine learning techniques. This study holds significance in identifying key variables that should be prioritized for management in CNC machining process. It is expected to contribute to enhancing the production quality of the CNC machining process.

Double Talk Detection before the Convergence of Echo Canceller (반향제거기의 수렴전 동시통화검출)

  • Yoo, Jae-Ha;Kim, Soo-Chan;Kim, Dong-Yon
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.203-208
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we proposed a performance improvement method of the double talk detector which can operate before the echo canceller converges. Microphone input signal is filtered by the linear prediction filter and this filtered signal is used for detection. The coefficients of the linear prediction filter are given by the far-end talker signal. During single talk, filtered signal has low power since the characteristics of the echo signal is similar with those of the far-end talker signal. But, during double talk, the filtered signal does not have low power because the signal of different characteristics is included in the microphone signal. Double talk is detected by this difference. Simulations using real speech signals verified that the proposed method outperformed the conventional methods.

A Study on the Traffic Volume Correction and Prediction Using SARIMA Algorithm (SARIMA 알고리즘을 이용한 교통량 보정 및 예측)

  • Han, Dae-cheol;Lee, Dong Woo;Jung, Do-young
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2021
  • In this study, a time series analysis technique was applied to calibrate and predict traffic data for various purposes, such as planning, design, maintenance, and research. Existing algorithms have limitations in application to data such as traffic data because they show strong periodicity and seasonality or irregular data. To overcome and supplement these limitations, we applied the SARIMA model, an analytical technique that combines the autocorrelation model, the Seasonal Auto Regressive(SAR), and the seasonal Moving Average(SMA). According to the analysis, traffic volume prediction using the SARIMA(4,1,3)(4,0,3) 12 model, which is the optimal parameter combination, showed excellent performance of 85% on average. In addition to traffic data, this study is considered to be of great value in that it can contribute significantly to traffic correction and forecast improvement in the event of missing traffic data, and is also applicable to a variety of time series data recently collected.

Improvement of Position Estimation Based on the Multisensor Fusion in Underwater Unmanned Vehicles (다중센서 융합 기반 무인잠수정 위치추정 개선)

  • Lee, Kyung-Soo;Yoon, Hee-Byung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.178-185
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we propose the position estimation algorithm based on the multisensor fusion using equalization of state variables and feedback structure. First, the state variables measured from INS of main sensor with large error and DVL of assistance sensor with small error are measured before prediction phase. Next, the equalized state variables are entered to each filter and fused the enhanced state variables for prediction and update phases. Finally, the fused state variables are returned to the main sensor for improving the position estimation of UUV. For evaluation, we create the moving course of UUV by simulation and confirm the performance of position estimation by applying the proposed algorithm. The evaluation results show that the proposed algorithm is the best for position estimation and also possible for robust position estimation at the change period of moving courses.

A Study on the Application of Machine Learning to Improve BIS (Bus Information System) Accuracy (BIS(Bus Information System) 정확도 향상을 위한 머신러닝 적용 방안 연구)

  • Jang, Jun yong;Park, Jun tae
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.42-52
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    • 2022
  • Bus Information System (BIS) services are expanding nationwide to small and medium-sized cities, including large cities, and user satisfaction is continuously improving. In addition, technology development related to improving reliability of bus arrival time and improvement research to minimize errors continue, and above all, the importance of information accuracy is emerging. In this study, accuracy performance was evaluated using LSTM, a machine learning method, and compared with existing methodologies such as Kalman filter and neural network. As a result of analyzing the standard error for the actual travel time and predicted values, it was analyzed that the LSTM machine learning method has about 1% higher accuracy and the standard error is about 10 seconds lower than the existing algorithm. On the other hand, 109 out of 162 sections (67.3%) were analyzed to be excellent, indicating that the LSTM method was not entirely excellent. It is judged that further improved accuracy prediction will be possible when algorithms are fused through section characteristic analysis.

Bypass Generation Mechanism using Mobility Prediction for Improving Delay of AODV in MANET (AODV의 전송 지연 향상을 위한 이동성 예측을 이용한 우회 경로 생성 기법)

  • Youn, Byungseong;Kim, Kwangsoo;Kim, Hakwon;Roh, Byeong-Hee
    • KIISE Transactions on Computing Practices
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    • v.20 no.12
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    • pp.694-699
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    • 2014
  • In mobile ad-hoc networks (MANET), the network topology and neighboring nodes change frequently, since MANET is composed of nodes that have mobility without a fixed network infrastructure. The AODV routing protocol is advantageous for MANET, but AODV has a delay in the transmission of data packets because AODV can not transmit data during route recovery. This paper proposes solving the above problem of AODV by using a bypass generation mechanism for data transmission during route recovery. For further improvement, additional mechanisms that coordinate the reception threshold of a hello packet are proposed in order to improve the accuracy of the information obtained from the neighboring nodes when the bypass is generated due to a link failure and the immediacy of the route recovery. Simulation results show that the proposed technique improves the performance in terms of the delay in transmission compared to traditional AODV.