• 통상정보연구
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• 제12권4호
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• pp.49-65
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• 2010

We have analyzed the trade effect of Korea-EU FTA on the Korean fishery sector, after reviewing the trade pattern and the tariff barriers of fishery sector between Korea-EU. For the trade effects, we have categorized into three cases: 1) the complete tariff elimination of all items, 2) the half tariff reduction on top ten valued items, with complete tariff elimination of other items, and 3) the complete tariff elimination, except unbinding top three valued items. The effect of the complete tariff elimination of all items implies the effect of the full achievement of FTA. For other two cases, these effects imply the effects of the transitional phenomenon of FTA since the complete tariff elimination happens gradually over more than ten years. For the complete elimination of tariff, we found that imports are increased by 1.1 billion dollars which is 12.9% increase in average imports during years 2006-2009. Also, exports are increased by 1.3 billion dollars which is 14.5% increase in average exports during same years.

• 무역학회지
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• 제47권4호
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• pp.125-135
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• 2022

This study is to analyze the economic effects of tariff reduction using computable general equilibrium(CGE) model. We set up the social accounting matrix for five-base equilibrium year. Our main findings are as follows. First, the impact of tariff reduction on GDP was different from time to time. It meas that the differentiated economics structure was affected by tariff reduction. As our economic grew up, the impact of tariff reduction was measured much higher. Second, until 1995 the impact of tariff reduction on total export and import was increased, then while 1995 the increase was dropped. This is because we reduced the tariff by the WTO negotiations. Third, the tariff reduction affected the price of imported goods, so it contributed to substitute effects between domestic and imported goods. According to these results, we found out the importance of the linkage between the tariff reduction and economic structure.

• 농업과학연구
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• 제47권2호
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• pp.337-347
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• 2020

Since 2012, despite the fact that tariff rate quotas (TRQ) in the form of dried peppers has not been imported, the imports of pepper-related items such as low- tariff frozen peppers (27%) and other sauces (45%) have increased, there has been a problem in the domestic pepper industry, in which the domestic self-sufficiency rate has declined. The purpose of this study was to find out whether the operation of chili pepper TRQ has the effect of suppressing the imports of pepper-related items from China. We analyzed the import substitution effect (import suppression effect) through causal analysis of the imports of red pepper TRQ, frozen peppers, and other sauces using the structural equation model analysis method. As a result of the hypothetical scenario analysis, when the government imports and releases 7,185 tons of pepper TRQ in 2019/20 (scenario), private imports were estimated to decrease by only 3,060 tons. In other words, the import substitution effect between imported items was estimated to decrease about 2,079 tons of private dried peppers, and about 981 tons of imported pepper-related items. There was an effect of suppressing the imports of pepper-related items such as frozen peppers, but it was analyzed to be insignificant. That reason was that the replacement substitution elasticity of the pepper-related items for TRQ import was less than 1 (inelastic). Therefore, it is judged that the government's operation of the pepper TRQ is preferably focused on stabilizing domestic prices rather than focusing on import control of pepper-related items.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제18권4호
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• pp.715-744
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• 2009

본 연구는 세계무역기구의 비농산물시장접근(NAMA)협상에 따른 관세감축이 한국에 미치는 영향 중 국내 수산물 수입증가변화를 중심으로 분석하였다. NAMA 협상의 스위스공식을 기준으로 네 가지 관세감축 시나리오 분석이 이루어졌으며, 수입수요함수를 통하여 가격탄력성을 추정하였다. 선진국 계수와 개발도상국 계수를 이용한 수입수산물 품목에 대한 시나리오별 파급영향 분석에서 mark up 20%를 감안할 때, 선진국계수에 신축성을 적용하지 않는 경우에는 약 4,392억 원~4,045억 원이, 신축성을 적용(해당 계수 50% 감축률 적용시)할 경우에는 약 2,542억 원~2,318억 원 규모의 수입증가액이 발생하는 것으로 추정되었다. 한편, 개도국 계수에 신축성을 미적용하는 것으로 가정할 경우에는 약 3,556억 원~3,111억 원이, 신축성을 감안할 경우에는 약 2,010억 원~1,735억 원 정도의 수입증가액이 늘어나는 것으로 분석되었다. 또한 수입품목 중 가장 수입증가액이 큰 품목은 명태로 나타났다.

• 한국의류학회지
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• 제22권1호
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• pp.108-115
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• 1998

The objective of this study was to estimate the quantitative loss of the consumer surplus due to the tariffs on clothing imports during the WTO starting periods. For 1984-1996, the import price elasticity of the clothing was estimated from the regression of pet capita clothing imports on Per capita GNP, import price index and domestic producer price index. Then the quantitative losses of the consumer surplus in clothing were obtained from the simplified formula for 1990-1995. In spite of the decrease in textiles St clothing tariff rates, consumer costs were increasing, which was caused by the tremendous increase in clothing imports during the same period. The loss of the consumer surplus was 7131 billion wonts in 1995, which accounted for 6.4% of the total clothing expenditure.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.121-129
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• 2021

본 연구에서는 데이터마이닝(Data Mining) 기법 중 하나인 연관관계분석(Association Rule Mining)을 적용하여 위험화물 선별모델을 구축함으로써 관세위험을 최소화하고자 한다. 이를 위해 관세청 수입신고서 빅데이터를 활용하여 연관관계분석 알고리즘인 어프라이어리 알고리즘(Apriori Algorithm)을 적용하고 공급망 간의 위험정도를 계산한다. 대규모의 수입신고 데이터로부터 해외공급자와 수입업체 간의 세율관련(과세가격, 품목, 중수량 등), 원산지표시 위반 등에 관련한 적발결과 관한 규칙셋(Rule Set)과 이 규칙들의 신뢰도(Confidence)을 확보하여 우범공급망 간의 거래패턴을 예측할 수 있는 선별모델을 구축한다. 총 2년 6개월 치의 수입신고 데이터를 활용하여 5-겹 교차검증(5-fold cross validation)을 수행한 결과 16.6%의 Precision과 33.8%의 Recall을 보였다. 이는 빈도기반 방법보다 Precision 기준 약 3.4배 Recall 기준 약 1.5배 높은 결과이다. 이로써 논문에서 제안하고 있는 방법이 관세위험을 줄일 수 있는 효과적인 방법임을 확인하였다.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제9권5호
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• pp.313-324
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• 2022

We investigate the impacts of tariff, tariff-rate quota, conformity assessment, and traceability requirements set by the rice importers using panel data of 17 rice exporters exporting to 119 countries in two years 2015 and 2018, using both Ordinary least square (OLS) and Poisson pseudo maximum likelihood (PPLM) methods. Results from our gravity models strongly indicate that tariff and tariff rate quota remain significantly detrimental to the world's rice exporters because these measures place downward pressure on the rice exporters' prices and the importers' import quantity, creating barriers to market participation. Our study also provides strong evidence about the role of origin certificates in allowing rice exporters to gain access to foreign markets. Meanwhile, regulatory standards such as traceability requirements and logistical and distributional requirements imposed by the rice importers are found to be major obstacles to rice importation from less-developed countries. Our study provides insights into tariff and non-tariff barriers existing in the global rice market, which is likely to assist policymakers operating in developing countries to help shape their policies and bolster rice competitiveness.

• 무역학회지
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• 제44권1호
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• pp.301-319
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• 2019

This study is to review the Joseon government's attempt to recover the tariff autonomy lost in the course of entering into the unequal treaty with then-Japan government, as well as the practical effort to realize such an attempt. Among other attempts, the Joseon government ① began imposing tariffs starting September 1878 by establishing Dumopo Customs Office in Busan, ② dispatched on April 1881 a group of investigators to the competent authorities to review and look back the Joseon's tariff system against Japan and ③ entered into a tariff negotiation with then-Japan government on September 1881 with the emissary (Susinsa) Byeong-ho Jo representing the Joseon government. A series of these attempts, in line with each other, represents the Joseon government's ceaseless, constant effort to recover the tariff autonomy, which is what this study intends to review from the modern-day perspectives. Authored by Byeong-ho Jo to capture an advantageous position in the 1881's tariff negotiation against then-Japan government, 「Joilseui」 successfully represented the Joseon government's position on matters of ① the Japanese tax-autonomous district in Korea, ② defining tariff rates, ③ use of Japanese Yen for payment of tariffs, ④ effective period of the treaty and ⑤ export restrictions on grains. Failure of the Joseon government's attempt to recover the Tariff autonomy was attributable not only to, as 「Joilseui」 defined, ① governments' non-cooperative attitudes on the negotiation table, ② lack of authorities that the entrusted bodies had, ③ import tariffs defined high and ④ export restrictions on grains and red ginseng, but also to loss of the tariff autonomy in 1876 and the 1881's negotiation broken down that were plotted by then-Japan government's invasive policy.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.69-91
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• 1990

본고(本稿)에서는 1989년 1월에 시행된 관세율(關稅率) 조정(調整)이 산업별(産業別) 생산(生産), 수출입(輸出入), 물가지수(物價指數), 고용(雇傭) 등에 미치는 영향을 한국경제(韓國經濟)의 다부문(多部門) 일반균형(一般均衡)을 통하여 분석하였다. 분석결과에 의하면 관세율(關稅率)의 조정(調整)은 대부분의 산업(産業)에서 수입(輸入)과 수출(輸出)을 동시에 증가(增加)시키나 수입(輸入)의 증대가 수출(輸出)의 증대보다 더 커서 국제수지(國際收支)는 악화된다. 또한 관세율(關稅率) 조정(調整)은 명목국민(名目國民) 총생산(總生産)을 증대시키고 물가(物價)를 하락(下落)시킨다. 수입(輸入)의 증가율이 큰 산업(産業)으로는 의복, 혁제품, 나무제품 산업(産業)을 들 수 있으며 수출(輸出)은 대부분의 산업(産業)에서 증가하나 특히 수입(輸入)된 원자재(原資材)를 많이 사용하는 비철금속 1차제품, 혁제품, 석탄제품, 고무제품산업의 수출증가율(輸出增加率)이 높다. 산업별생산(産業別生産)을 보면 혁제품, 비철금속 1차제품, 화학제품, 종이 지제품, 목제품 등 일부 수입경쟁산업(輸入競爭産業)에서는 생산(生産)이 감소(減少)되나 기타의 산업(産業)에서는 생산(生産)이 증가된다. 일반적으로 수출(輸出)의 비중이 높은 산업(産業)에서 생산(生産) 및 고용(雇傭)의 증가율이 높다.

• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제97권1호
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• pp.102-112
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• 2008

이 연구의 목적은 한-중 임산물 관세구조를 비교분석하여 향후 예상되는 양국간 FTA 협상을 대비하기 위한 기초 자료를 제공하는데 있다. 중국은 우리나라의 최대 임산물 교역국으로 2007년 전체 임산물 교역액의 33%에 달한다. 그러나 대중 교역액의 대부분은 수입이며, 지속적으로 늘어나고 있는 추세여서 FTA 협상 결과에 따라 국내임산업에 미칠 영향은 매우 클 것으로 보인다. 관세구조를 비교분석해본 결과 중국은 우리나라보다 품목이 더 세분화되어 있고 무관세 품목이 많으며 석재류를 제외하고는 단기소득임산물과 목재류에서 모두 우리나라보다 관세가 낮은 것으로 나타났다. 또한 중국은 가공도가 낮을수록 무관세 또는 저율 관세를 부과하는 한편 가공도가 높을수록 높아지는 누진관세 체계를 가지고 있으나 동일부류 내에서도 다시 가공도에 따라 차등 관세를 부과하는 등 복잡한 관세구조를 가지고 있다. 특히 합판, 보드류의 경우 한국은 자국 산업을 보호하기 위해 양허하지 않고 조정관세를 적용하고 있으나 중국은 모두 양허하였으며 대신 가공도에 따라 차등 관세를 부과하여 자국 산업을 보호하는 특징이 있다. FTA체결을 위해 예외 없는 관세철폐 원칙이 적용될 경우 실행관세 세율이 높은 한국의 수입 증가폭이 더 클 것으로 예상되며, 관세철폐에 따른 충격은 무관세 품목이 적은 한국이 상대적으로 더 클 것으로 보인다.