• Title/Summary/Keyword: IIA 가정

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Estimating the Attribute Values of 4 Major River Estuaries in Korea -Focusing on Testing for the IIA Assumption in MNL Model and the Alternative Models- (4대강 하구의 속성 가치 추정 -다항로짓모형에서 IIA가정의 검토와 대안 모형을 중심으로-)

  • Shin, Youngchul
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.521-545
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    • 2013
  • This study applied choice experiment(CE) method(which is included in the stated preference method) to estimate values of some important attributes(i.e. type of estuary, water quality of river in estuary, water quality of sea in estuary, biodiversity level of estuary) of 4 major river(Hangang, Guemgang, Yeongsangang, Nakdonggang) estuaries in Korea. Although the multinomial logit model(MNL) is generally applied to analyse the CE data, testing for IIA assumption with the Hausman and McFadden test in MNL model shows that the IIA assumption in our data is rejected. Therefore, the heteroscedastic extreme value model(HEV) and the multinomial probit model(MNP) which are not based on the IIA assumption are used to analyse our CE data. As results, the coefficients and the elicited economic values of MNL model are seriously distorted if the IIA assumption is not satisfied in MNL model. The estimation results of MNP model show that the economic values are elicited as 352.3 billion won(95% C.I. 261.1 - 477.8 billion won) for natural estuary, 411.5 billion won(95% C.I. 338.5 - 525.5 billion won) for one grade improvement of river water quality in estuary, 358.9 billion won(95% C.I. 292.5 - 457.0 billion won) for one grade improvement of sea water quality in estuary, and 151.9 billion won(95% C.I. 99.0 - 218.6 billion won) for one grade improvement of biodiversity level of estuary. Therefore, the value of estuary is reached to 2,197.0 billion won(95% C.I. 1,721.0 - 2,879.9 billion won) if any natural estuary in 4 major rivers has good water quality of river in estuary(i.e. 2nd grade), good water quality of sea in estuary(i.e. 1st grade), and good biodiversity level of estuary.

A Store Choice Model for an Entry Strategy of New Stores: An Application of the Mother Logit Model (신규점포의 진입전략을 위한 점포선택모형: mother 로짓모형의 적용)

  • 김근배;박동준;서봉철
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.47-64
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    • 2000
  • This study introduces the mother logit model to predict consumer's store choices. The model is not based on the IIA assumptions and thus accounts for substitution among similar alternatives. The choice data as an input to the model is obtained through the conjoint-type choice experiment. The model is applied to consumer's choice of fastfood stores in the context where new store enters the market. The analysis shows that the substitution effects are significant and therefore the mother logit model predicts better than the IIA model. The mother logit model will be useful as well for the market structure analysis in capturing cannibalization among several brands.

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Formulating the Landscape Preference Model Using a Mixed Conditional Logit (조건부 로짓함수를 이용한 경관선호 모델: 지리산 국립공원 방문자를 대상으로)

  • Lee, Deokjae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.95 no.6
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    • pp.768-777
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study lies in formulating the landscape preference model using a conditional logit that involves the effect of visual elements as well as landscape itself on landscape preferences. To measure landscape preferences, a photo-questionnaire composed of paired photographs of the Cairngorms National Park of Scotland and the Jirisan National Park of Korea was distributed to visitors to the Jirisan National Park of Korea. Visual elements of landscape quantitatively measured by photogrammetry were reduced to orthogonal principal components that were subsequently used as explanatory variables in a conditional logit. As a result, the mixed conditional logit including the effect of landscape itself satisfied the Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives (IIA) property and showed reliable goodness of fit (${\rho}^2=0.25$). It was concluded that the mixed conditional logit including the effect of landscape itself was appropriate for landscape preference model rather than usual conditional logit excluding the effect.

Research Issues on embedded DBMS for IIA (Internet Information Appliances) (정보가전용 내장형 DBMS 제작에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Zin-O;Kang, Sung-Il;Jang, Woo-Seog;Jung, Byong-Dae;Oh, Seung-Jun;Woo, Seung-Teak;Kim, Yeon-Sook
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2001.04b
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    • pp.929-932
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    • 2001
  • 인터넷 정보 가전(IIA; Internet Information Appliance)내에 내장형 DBMS 의 개발은 다양한 이종 네트워크의 통신을 지원하기 위한 미들웨어(Middleware, i.e. OSGi)의 지원이라는 문제를 해결해야만 하기 때문에, 이들 미들웨어와의 인터페이스라는 문제가 기존의 데이터베이스 엔진을 개발하는 문제와 가장 큰 차이점이라 할 수 있다. 이외에는 일반적인 메모리 상주 데이터베이스 엔진 (nain memory DBMS)을 개발하는 것과는 별다른 큰 차이점이 아직까지는 연구되지 않고 있다. 하지만, 가정이라는 지역적인 특성을 고려한 데이터 서비스를 먼저 염두에 두어야 하며, 이에 따라 다양한 응용 소프트웨어를 쉽게 개발할 수 있는 방향으로 제작이 되어야 한다는 점을 늘 고려해야 한다. 본 논문에서는 이와 같은 인터넷 정보가전용 내장형 DBMS 개발 사업에 관하여 현재까지 본 과제에서 논의되고 있는 요구사항을 분석한 결과를 정리하고, 이에 관한 토론을 하고자 한다.

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An Analysis on the Long-Term Variation of the GPS Broadcast Ephemeris Errors (GPS 방송궤도력 오차의 장기간 변화 분석)

  • Kim, Mingyu;Kim, Jeongrae
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.421-428
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    • 2014
  • GPS satellite positions can be obtained from the navigation message transmitted from the GPS satellite. In this paper, the accuracy of broadcast orbit and clock are analyzed by comparing with the NGA precise ephemeris. For analyzing global and local orbit errors in 2004 to 2013, GPS satellite visibilities are calculated in Korea. Local RMS of 3D orbit error and SISRE are 4 cm and 3 cm less than global RMS of 3D orbit errors and SISRE. Orbit and clock errors are calculated for each GPS satellite Block for 10 years. SISRE of Block IIA satellites are 2.8 times greater than Block IIF satellites. The correlation between orbit errors and shadow condition is analyzed. The orbit errors in shadow is 2.1% higher than that in sunlight. Correlation analysis between the orbit errors and solar/geomagnetic index shows that orbit errors has a high correlation with from 2004 to 2008. However, the correlation became low since 2009.

A Study on Preference Heterogeneity of Economic Valuation for the Washland of Upo Wetland - Development of Waterfront Resources - (우포늪 천변저류지의 경제적 가치평가에 대한 선호이질성 연구 - 수변관광자원의 선택적 개발 -)

  • Yoo, Byong Kook;Kim, Hung Soo;Ju, Dug
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.357-366
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    • 2013
  • This study investigates to explain preference heterogeneity of respondents for economic valuation in washland of Upo wetland using Mixed Logit Model and Latent Class Model. Mixed Logit Model showed respondent heterogeneity in the attributes of wetland area and funds as well as some alternatives violated IIA assumption. 2-class Latent Class Model for respondents were used to explain the sources of the heterogeneity. Class 1 respondents who are located relatively close to Upo wetland had more experience and knowledge of Upo wetland and better understood the information suggested in the questionnaire than class 2 respondents in mostly metropolitan area of Seoul, Incheon.

A Study on Interactions of Competitive Promotions Between the New and Used Cars (신차와 중고차간 프로모션의 상호작용에 대한 연구)

  • Chang, Kwangpil
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.83-98
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    • 2012
  • In a market where new and used cars are competing with each other, we would run the risk of obtaining biased estimates of cross elasticity between them if we focus on only new cars or on only used cars. Unfortunately, most of previous studies on the automobile industry have focused on only new car models without taking into account the effect of used cars' pricing policy on new cars' market shares and vice versa, resulting in inadequate prediction of reactive pricing in response to competitors' rebate or price discount. However, there are some exceptions. Purohit (1992) and Sullivan (1990) looked into both new and used car markets at the same time to examine the effect of new car model launching on the used car prices. But their studies have some limitations in that they employed the average used car prices reported in NADA Used Car Guide instead of actual transaction prices. Some of the conflicting results may be due to this problem in the data. Park (1998) recognized this problem and used the actual prices in his study. His work is notable in that he investigated the qualitative effect of new car model launching on the pricing policy of the used car in terms of reinforcement of brand equity. The current work also used the actual price like Park (1998) but the quantitative aspect of competitive price promotion between new and used cars of the same model was explored. In this study, I develop a model that assumes that the cross elasticity between new and used cars of the same model is higher than those amongst new cars and used cars of the different model. Specifically, I apply the nested logit model that assumes the car model choice at the first stage and the choice between new and used cars at the second stage. This proposed model is compared to the IIA (Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives) model that assumes that there is no decision hierarchy but that new and used cars of the different model are all substitutable at the first stage. The data for this study are drawn from Power Information Network (PIN), an affiliate of J.D. Power and Associates. PIN collects sales transaction data from a sample of dealerships in the major metropolitan areas in the U.S. These are retail transactions, i.e., sales or leases to final consumers, excluding fleet sales and including both new car and used car sales. Each observation in the PIN database contains the transaction date, the manufacturer, model year, make, model, trim and other car information, the transaction price, consumer rebates, the interest rate, term, amount financed (when the vehicle is financed or leased), etc. I used data for the compact cars sold during the period January 2009- June 2009. The new and used cars of the top nine selling models are included in the study: Mazda 3, Honda Civic, Chevrolet Cobalt, Toyota Corolla, Hyundai Elantra, Ford Focus, Volkswagen Jetta, Nissan Sentra, and Kia Spectra. These models in the study accounted for 87% of category unit sales. Empirical application of the nested logit model showed that the proposed model outperformed the IIA (Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives) model in both calibration and holdout samples. The other comparison model that assumes choice between new and used cars at the first stage and car model choice at the second stage turned out to be mis-specfied since the dissimilarity parameter (i.e., inclusive or categroy value parameter) was estimated to be greater than 1. Post hoc analysis based on estimated parameters was conducted employing the modified Lanczo's iterative method. This method is intuitively appealing. For example, suppose a new car offers a certain amount of rebate and gains market share at first. In response to this rebate, a used car of the same model keeps decreasing price until it regains the lost market share to maintain the status quo. The new car settle down to a lowered market share due to the used car's reaction. The method enables us to find the amount of price discount to main the status quo and equilibrium market shares of the new and used cars. In the first simulation, I used Jetta as a focal brand to see how its new and used cars set prices, rebates or APR interactively assuming that reactive cars respond to price promotion to maintain the status quo. The simulation results showed that the IIA model underestimates cross elasticities, resulting in suggesting less aggressive used car price discount in response to new cars' rebate than the proposed nested logit model. In the second simulation, I used Elantra to reconfirm the result for Jetta and came to the same conclusion. In the third simulation, I had Corolla offer $1,000 rebate to see what could be the best response for Elantra's new and used cars. Interestingly, Elantra's used car could maintain the status quo by offering lower price discount ($160) than the new car ($205). In the future research, we might want to explore the plausibility of the alternative nested logit model. For example, the NUB model that assumes choice between new and used cars at the first stage and brand choice at the second stage could be a possibility even though it was rejected in the current study because of mis-specification (A dissimilarity parameter turned out to be higher than 1). The NUB model may have been rejected due to true mis-specification or data structure transmitted from a typical car dealership. In a typical car dealership, both new and used cars of the same model are displayed. Because of this fact, the BNU model that assumes brand choice at the first stage and choice between new and used cars at the second stage may have been favored in the current study since customers first choose a dealership (brand) then choose between new and used cars given this market environment. However, suppose there are dealerships that carry both new and used cars of various models, then the NUB model might fit the data as well as the BNU model. Which model is a better description of the data is an empirical question. In addition, it would be interesting to test a probabilistic mixture model of the BNU and NUB on a new data set.

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A Stochastic User Equilibrium Transit Assignment Algorithm for Multiple User Classes (다계층을 고려한 대중교통 확률적사용자균형 알고리즘 개발)

  • Yu, Soon-Kyoung;Lim, Kang-Won;Lee, Young-Ihn;Lim, Yong-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.7 s.85
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    • pp.165-179
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    • 2005
  • The object of this study is a development of a stochastic user equilibrium transit assignment algorithm for multiple user classes considering stochastic characteristics and heterogeneous attributes of passengers. The existing transit assignment algorithms have limits to attain realistic results because they assume a characteristic of passengers to be equal. Although one group with transit information and the other group without it have different trip patterns, the past studies could not explain the differences. For overcoming the problems, we use following methods. First, we apply a stochastic transit assignment model to obtain the difference of the perceived travel cost between passengers and apply a multiple user class assignment model to obtain the heterogeneous qualify of groups to get realistic results. Second, we assume that person trips have influence on the travel cost function in the development of model. Third, we use a C-logit model for solving IIA(independence of irrelevant alternatives) problems. According to repetition assigned trips and equivalent path cost have difference by each group and each path. The result comes close to stochastic user equilibrium and converging speed is very fast. The algorithm of this study is expected to make good use of evaluation tools in the transit policies by applying heterogeneous attributes and OD data.