• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hydrological drought

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Development of a surrogate model based on temperature for estimation of evapotranspiration and its use for drought index applicability assessment (증발산 산정을 위한 온도기반의 대체모형 개발 및 가뭄지수 적용성 평가)

  • Kim, Ho-Jun;Kim, Kyoungwook;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.11
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    • pp.969-983
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    • 2021
  • Evapotranspiration, one of the hydrometeorological components, is considered an important variable for water resource planning and management and is primarily used as input data for hydrological models such as water balance models. The FAO56 PM method has been recommended as a standard approach to estimate the reference evapotranspiration with relatively high accuracy. However, the FAO56 PM method is often challenging to apply because it requires considerable hydrometeorological variables. In this perspective, the Hargreaves equation has been widely adopted to estimate the reference evapotranspiration. In this study, a set of parameters of the Hargreaves equation was calibrated with relatively long-term data within a Bayesian framework. Statistical index (CC, RMSE, IoA) is used to validate the model. RMSE for monthly results reduced from 7.94 ~ 24.91 mm/month to 7.94 ~ 24.91 mm/month for the validation period. The results confirmed that the accuracy was significantly improved compared to the existing Hargreaves equation. Further, the evaporative demand drought index (EDDI) based on the evaporative demand (E0) was proposed. To confirm the effectiveness of the EDDI, this study evaluated the estimated EDDI for the recent drought events from 2014 to 2015 and 2018, along with precipitation and SPI. As a result of the evaluation of the Han-river watershed in 2018, the weekly EDDI increased to more than 2 and it was confirmed that EDDI more effectively detects the onset of drought caused by heatwaves. EDDI can be used as a drought index, particularly for heatwave-driven flash drought monitoring and along with SPI.

Mapping of Drought Index Using Satellite Imagery (위성영상을 활용한 가뭄지수 지도제작)

  • Chang, Eun-Mi;Park, Eun-Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.12 no.4 s.31
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2004
  • It is necessary to manage water resources in rural areas in order to achieve proper development of new water resources, sustainable usage and reasonable distribution. This paper aims to analyze multi-temporal Landsat-7 ETM+data for soil moisture that is essential for crops in Ahnsung area. The ETM data was also fused with KOMPSAT-1 images in order to be used as backdrop watershed maps at first. Multi-temporal Images showed also the characteristics of soil moisture distribution. Images taken in April showed that rice paddy had as low reflectance as artificial features. Compared with April scenes, those taken in Hay and June showed wetness index increased in the rice paddies. The mountainous areas have almost constant moisture index, so the difference between the dates was very low while reservoirs and livers had dramatic changes. We can calculate total potential areas of distribution of moisture content within the basin and estimate the areas being sensitive to drought. Finally we can point out the sites of small rice paddies lack of water and visualize their distribution within the same basin. It can be said that multi-temporal Landsat-7 ETM+ and KOMPSAT data can be used to show broad drought with quick and simple analysis. Drought sensitiveness maps may enable the decision makers on rural water to evaluate the risk of drought and to measure mitigation, accompanied with proper data on the hydrological and climatic drought.

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An Evaluation of the Palmer Drought Severity Index in Korea (우리나라에서 Palmer 가뭄지수의 평가)

  • Lee, Dong-Ryul;Moon, Jang-Won;Choi, Si-Jung;Kang, Seong-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.352-356
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    • 2008
  • 가뭄관리에서 가장 중요한 요소는 1) 강수량, 지표수, 지하수, 댐수, 토양수분 등 물 공급량의 시 공간적 모니터링과 2) 이용가능한 물 공급량 약화 정도에 따라 적시적소에 물 이용자가 취해야할 행동요령을 제시하는 것이다. 가뭄지수는 가뭄관리에서 종합적인 물 공급량 정보를 하나의 수치로 정량화하여 가용 수자원의 악화정도를 나타내어 가뭄경보의 기준으로 활용된다. 현재까지 개발된 대표적인 가뭄지수들은 PDSI(Palmer Drought Severity Index), SPI(Standardized Precipitation Index), SWSI(Surface Water Supply Index) 등이 있다. PDSI는 여러 가지 제한점을 가지고 있지만 가뭄지수 개발의 시발점이 되었다는 점에서 전세계적으로 이용하고 있고 국내에서도 기상청의 공식적인 가뭄지수로 발표되고 있다. PDSI는 복잡한 물수지 모형에 의해 산정되며, 이용되는 매개변수는 지역의 기후상황, 보정자료기간 등에 민감하게 작용하고 있으나 이들에 대한 국내기후 환경에서의 평가가 선행되어 있지 않고 있다. PDSI는 가뭄과 습윤 기간의 시작과 종료 시점을 확률적으로 산정하여 이를 기반으로 가뭄경보에 활용하고 있다. 또한, 이들 확률은 기상학적 가뭄상황을 나타내는 PDSI에 후행하는 하천유출, 저수지 수위, 지하수 등의 수문학적 가뭄을 표현하는 PHDI(Palmer Hydrological Drought Index)를 산정하는 데 이용된다. Z-지수 역시 PDSI에서 얻을 수 있는 가뭄지수로 단기간의 가뭄특성에 의한 농업가뭄을 표현하는 데 적합한 지수로 알려져 있다. 본 연구에서는 PDSI의 제한점들을 살펴보고 우리나라의 기후상황, 자료보정기간 등에 따른 PDSI의 제매개변수들을 재산정하여 계산된 PDSI의 변동성을 검토한 후 이를 Palmer(1965)가 제시한 PDSI 산정식과 비교 평가하였다. 또한 가뭄의 시작과 종료 확률 개념에 의하여 산정된 PDSI를 기상청에서 제공하고 있는 PDSI와 비교 분석하여 개선점을 도출하였다.

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Analysis of Groundwater Recharge in Anseong River Basin under Urbanization and Future Climate Change (도시화 및 기후변화에 의한 안성천 유역의 지하수 함양량 변화 분석)

  • Woo, Soyoung;Kim, Wonjin;Chang, Sunwoo;Choi, Sijung;Kim, Chul-Gyum
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.483-493
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    • 2024
  • This study analyzed changes in groundwater recharge due to urbanization and future climate change using the SWAT hydrological model in the Anseong river basin (1,647 km2) adjacent to the west sea of Korea. The urbanization scenario was constructed based on increasing urban density and expansion, resulting in a decrease in groundwater recharge and recharge rate by 19.9 mm and 1.77 %, respectively. Future climate change scenarios were simulated using two models representing extreme rainfall and drought, with the drought model indicating that maintaining an average recharge rate of 21.6 % would be challenging. Results from the combined scenario of urbanization and extreme drought suggest that groundwater recharge during the spring season in urban areas would be most significantly affected.

Assessment of Small Mountainous Catchment Runoff at Yongdam-dam Guryang (산지 소규모 유역의 유출 특성 평가-용담 구량천)

  • Kim, Seong-Goo;Chang, Hyung-Joon;Lee, Hyo-Sang
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.633-641
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    • 2018
  • The risk of disasters, such as floods and drought, has increased. Reliable hydrological data is important for analyzing the water resource and designing hydraulic structure to manage these risks. The Yongdam Guryang river catchment located in the central of Korea is the research catchment of K-water and UNESCO IHP, and the hydrological data, such as rainfall, runoff, evapotranspiration, etc. has been observed at the catchment. The aim of this study was to assess the runoff characteristics of the small mountainous catchment of Korea based on the observed hydrological data, and the Probability Distributed Model was applied as the Rainfall-Runoff Model at the Yongdam Guryang river catchment. The hydrological data was divided into the wet period from June to September and dry period from October to May according to data analysis. The runoff ratio was 0.27~0.41 in the wet period and 0.30~0.45 in the dry period. The calibration result by the Probability Distributed Model showed a difference in the calibrated model parameters according to the periods. In addition, the model simulated the runoff accurately except for the dry period of 2015, and the result revealed the applicability of the PDM. This study showed the runoff characteristics of the small mountainous catchment by dividing the hydrological data into dry and wet periods.

Development of Semi-Distributed Hydrological Drought Assessment Method Based on SWSI (Surface Water Supply Index) (SWSI 기반의 준분포형 수문학적 가뭄평가기법 개발)

  • Kwon Hyung-Joong;Kim Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2006.03a
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    • pp.261-266
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    • 2006
  • 전국의 수문학적인 가뭄평가를 위하여 SWSI 가뭄지수를 보완한 MSWSI 개발하였다. MSWSI의 적용을 위하여 가뭄에 영향을 미치는 수문인자가 동일한 지역 즉, 댐, 하천, 지하수, 강수 유역으로 전국을 32개 및 112개의 유역으로 분할하여 적용함으로서 준분포형으로 수문학적 가뭄을 평가하는 동시에 개발된 가뭄평가 기법의 유역분할 개수에 따른 적용성을 검토하였다. 각 유역에 MSWSI를 적용하여 공간적으로 준분포형의 수문학적 가뭄 정보를 획득하였으며, 시간적으로 1974년부터 2001년까지의 1개월 및 1주 간격으로 평가하여 가뭄평가 분석시간 단위에 따른 적용성을 검토하였다. 과거 가뭄사상년도(1994, 1995, 2001년)의 가뭄조사 기록에 대하여 본 연구 결과를 검증하였으며, 기상학적 가뭄지수인 PDSI와 개발된 수문학적인 가뭄평가지수의 결과에 대하여 비교, 분석하였다.

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THE PHYSICALLY-BASED SOIL MOISTURE BALANCE MODEL DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATIONS ON PADDY FIELDS

  • Park, Jae-Young;Lee, Jae-Hyoung
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.243-256
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    • 2000
  • This physically-based hydrologic model is developed to calculate the soil-moisture balance on paddy fields. This model consists of three modules; the first is the unsaturated module, the second is the rice evapotranspiration module with SPAC(soil-plant-atmospheric-continuum), and the third is the groundwater and open channel flows based upon the interrehtionship module. The model simulates the hydrlogical processes of infiltration, soil water storage, deep perocolation or echarge to the shallow water table, transpiration and evaporation from the soil surface and also the interrelationship of the groundwater and river flow exchange. To verify the applicability of the developed model, it was applied to the Kimjae Plains, located in the center of the Dongjin river basin in Korea, during the most serious drought season of 1994. The result shows that the estimated water net requirement was 757mm and the water deficit was about 5.9% in this area in 1994. This model can easily evaluate the irrigated water quantity and visualize the common crop demands and soil moisture conditions.

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A Study on A Fuzzy System to Predict Irrigation Reservoirs Storage Rate (관개용 저수지에서의 저수율 퍼지 예측시스템에 관한 연구)

  • 정건배;박민용
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics B
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    • v.31B no.12
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    • pp.132-136
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    • 1994
  • Presented is the study on design and implementation of a fuzzy system to approximately reason using measured actual storage rate in irrigation reservoirs. To design Fuzzy reasoning systems. Minimum Operation Rule by Mamdani was applied. Fuzzy variable and membership functions are determined after identifying storage-rate affecting factor and followed simulation. Hydrological model to express actual situation within drought areal boundary is generally too complex. Hereby, considering irregularity of time-rate storage change during irrigation, this system uses irrigation water and meteorological data as a IN-data. It was abvious the results were closely corresponding to the actual data observed.

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A development of stochastic simulation model based on vector autoregressive model (VAR) for groundwater and river water stages (벡터자기회귀(VAR) 모형을 이용한 지하수위와 하천수위의 추계학적 모의기법 개발)

  • Kwon, Yoon Jeong;Won, Chang-Hee;Choi, Byoung-Han;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.12
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    • pp.1137-1147
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    • 2022
  • River and groundwater stages are the main elements in the hydrologic cycle. They are spatially correlated and can be used to evaluate hydrological and agricultural drought. Stochastic simulation is often performed independently on hydrological variables that are spatiotemporally correlated. In this setting, interdependency across mutual variables may not be maintained. This study proposes the Bayesian vector autoregression model (VAR) to capture the interdependency between multiple variables over time. VAR models systematically consider the lagged stages of each variable and the lagged values of the other variables. Further, an autoregressive model (AR) was built and compared with the VAR model. It was confirmed that the VAR model was more effective in reproducing observed interdependency (or cross-correlation) between river and ground stages, while the AR generally underestimated that of the observed.

Analysis the Effects of Curtain Weir on the Control of Algal Bloom according to Installation Location in Daecheong Reservoir (대청호 수류차단막 설치 위치에 따른 녹조제어 효과 분석)

  • Lee, Heung Soo;Chung, Se Woong;Jeong, Hee Young;Min, Byeong Hwan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.231-242
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    • 2010
  • The objective of study was to determine an optimal location of a float-type curtain weir in Daecheong Reservoir and to assess its effectiveness for the control of algal blooms in the reservoir. CE-QUAL-W2, a laterally averaged two-dimensional hydrodynamic and eutrophication model, was modified to accommodate vertical displacement of the weir according to water surface fluctuation and applied to simulate the reservoir hydrodynamics and water quality changes for the reservoir. The model calibrated in a previous study was updated and validated for different hydrological conditions representing drought year (2008) and normal year (2006) for the study, and adequately simulated the temporal and spatial variations of water temperature, nutrients and algal (Chl-a) concentrations. The effectiveness of curtain weir on the control of algal bloom was evaluated by applying the validated model to 2001 and 2006 assuming 9 scenarios for different installation locations. The reduction rates of algal concentration were placed in the range of 11.2~40.3% and 20.3~56.7% for 2001 and 2006, respectively. Although, the performance of curtain weir was slightly varied for different locations and different hydrological years, overall, the performance was improved as the weir was installed further downstream.