• 제목/요약/키워드: Hurricane

검색결과 98건 처리시간 0.023초

Effective Leadership in Public Organizations: The Impact of Organizational Structure in Asian Countries

  • Valero, Jesus N.
    • Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.69-79
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    • 2015
  • Among public organizations, does variation in organizational structure explain variation in public managers' leadership styles (e.g., transformational and transactional leadership)? The study of leadership in public organizations is increasingly an area of scholarly interest partly sparked by movements to reform public organizations, particularly in the context of emergency management. There is, for example, a need for effective leadership that can help organizations respond to disasters (Kapucu et al. 2010; Van Wart and Kapucu 2011; Stern 2013). There are numerous documented cases where the lack of leadership skills has been linked to major social and economic losses as a result of poor disaster response (e.g., Hurricane Katrina in the U.S.). Yet, leadership is a complex concept and numerous theoretical frameworks have been developed to help explain it (Van Wart 2005). Practically speaking, the existence of different theories of leadership suggests that public managers can decide to exercise various styles of leadership. The style of leadership that a public manager exhibits matters because some styles are perceived to be more effective than others (Trottier et al. 2008). While the effects of leadership have been extensively studied, antecedents or predictors of leadership style have received little scholarly attention (Wright and Pandey 2009; Nielsen and Cleal 2011). The purpose of this research note then is to explore the potential causal relationship between the structure of an organization and the ability of a public manager to exercise transformational leadership in the context of emergency management in two Asian countries: South Korea and Japan. This research note consists of three main sections. The following section explores the relationship between leadership and organizational structure. The second section examines how certain concepts of leadership and organizational structure were applied in two case studies of disaster response. The final section presents some directions for future research.

신재생에너지 도입에 따른 시설재배의 경제성 분석 -목재팰릿, 지열과 경유의 비교분석을 중심으로- (Economical Feasibility of Cultivation under Structure Due to the Introduction of New and Renewable Energy -Comparative Analysis of Wood-Pellet, Geothermal Heat and Diesel-)

  • 김형우;윤성이
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.255-268
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    • 2014
  • We are now currently facing serious climate changes such as super typhoon, flood, intense heat, severe cold, super hurricane, drought, desertification, destruction of ecosystem, marine pollution, reduction of food production, destruction of tropical forests, exhaustion of water resources, climate refugees, etc. All of the above mainly derive from greenhouse gas exhaustion. Such harmful consequence might directly affect mankind's sustainable development. If we keep using resources that emits greenhouse gases, the global temperature will rise about $3.2^{\circ}C$ by year 2050. In case of $3^{\circ}C$ rise in temperature, it will result in abnormal climate which will bring about severe property damage. Moreover, 20~50% of the ecosystem will become extinct. As Korea's economy increasingly expands, so do our energy consumption rises. And because of the consequences that can be driven by increasing rate of resource use, not just Korea itself, but also the whole world should seriously concern about greenhouse gases. Although agricultural division only takes up about 3.2% of total greenhouse gas emission, the ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs are taking voluntary actions to gradually reduce $CO_2$ and so does each and every related organizations. In order to reduce $CO_2$, introduction of new and renewable energy in farm house warming is crucial. In other words, implementing wood-pellet boiler and geothermal heat boiler can largly reduce $CO_2$ emission compared to diesel boiler. More importantly, not only wood-pellet and geothermal heat is pollution-free but they also have economic advantages some-what. In this thesis, the economic advantage and sustainablity will be introduced and proved through comparing practical analysis of surveyed farm house under structure employing wood-pellet boiler and geothermal heat boiler with Agriculture-Economic Statistic of 2012 who uses diesel boiler.

북서태평양 태풍 강도 가이던스 모델 성능평가 (Validations of Typhoon Intensity Guidance Models in the Western North Pacific)

  • 오유정;문일주;김성훈;이우정;강기룡
    • 대기
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2016
  • Eleven Tropical Cyclone (TC) intensity guidance models in the western North Pacific have been validated over 2008~2014 based on various analysis methods according to the lead time of forecast, year, month, intensity, rapid intensity change, track, and geographical area with an additional focus on TCs that influenced the Korean peninsula. From the evaluation using mean absolute error and correlation coefficients for maximum wind speed forecasts up to 72 h, we found that the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting model (HWRF) outperforms all others overall although the Global Forecast System (GFS), the Typhoon Ensemble Prediction System of Japan Meteorological Agency (TEPS), and the Korean version of Weather and Weather Research and Forecasting model (KWRF) also shows a good performance in some lead times of forecast. In particular, HWRF shows the highest performance in predicting the intensity of strong TCs above Category 3, which may be attributed to its highest spatial resolution (~3 km). The Navy Operational Global Prediction Model (NOGAPS) and GFS were the most improved model during 2008~2014. For initial intensity error, two Japanese models, Japan Meteorological Agency Global Spectral Model (JGSM) and TEPS, had the smallest error. In track forecast, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and recent GFS model outperformed others. The present results has significant implications for providing basic information for operational forecasters as well as developing ensemble or consensus prediction systems.

재해연보기반 풍랑피해예측함수 개발 : 서해연안지역 (Development of the Wind Wave Damage Estimation Functions based on Annual Disaster Reports : Focused on the Western Coastal Zone)

  • 추태호;조현민;심상보;박상진
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.154-163
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    • 2018
  • 우리나라뿐만 아니라 전 지구적으로 호우발생 빈도의 증가, 태풍이나 허리케인 세기의 강화 등에 따라 대규모 자연재해의 발생횟수와 피해액은 지속적으로 증가하는 추세이다. 태풍, 홍수, 호우, 강풍, 풍랑, 해일, 조수, 대설, 가뭄, 지진, 황사 등과 같은 자연재해는 발생지점과 규모를 예측하기 어려우며, 전조현상이 명확하게 나타나지 않아 대응에 많은 어려움이 존재한다. 그러나 자연재해의 피해규모를 예측할 수 있다면, 조기대응을 통해 피해를 저감할 수 있을 것이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 국민안전처에서 발간하는 재해연보('91년~'15년)를 기반으로 서해연안지역의 풍랑피해함수를 개발하였다. 풍랑피해함수는 지역별, 시설별로 구분하여 개발하였으며, NRMSE는 1.94%~26.07%로 분석되었다. 개발된 식을 통해 피해규모를 예측하고, 그에 대한 적절한 대응이 이루어진다면, 피해를 저감할 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

자연 재해로 인하여 낙과된 무채색 배 봉지 검출 (Detection of Fallen Pear Bags caused by Natural Disaster)

  • 최두현
    • 전자공학회논문지
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    • 제53권1호
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    • pp.153-158
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    • 2016
  • 본 논문에서는 집중호우, 태풍, 허리케인과 같은 자연재해로 인한 낙과된 배 봉지를 자동으로 검출할 수 있는 알고리즘을 구현하였다. 검출 대상인 배 봉지는 글자가 인쇄된 회색 계열로, 수출용 배를 대량으로 생산하는 상주와 나주의 대규모 농원들에서 주로 사용한다. 제안한 알고리즘은 먼저 영상에서 관심영역을 설정하고, 설정한 관심 영역에 대해 유채색 영역을 제거한 후 형태학적 연산을 사용하여 잡음이나 이상 영역을 제거하여 낙과 영역을 검출한다. 이 낙과 영역을 분석하고 계수하여 낙과 피해 규모를 산정한다. 실험영상으로는 2014년 상주와 나주 배농원에서 촬영한 영상을 사용하였다. 제안한 기법은 실험영상에 대해 90% 이상의 검출 성능을 얻었으며, 알고리즘 구성이 간단해서 실시간 하드웨어 적용 및 모바일 디바이스를 활용한 구현도 가능하다.

A proposed technique for determining aerodynamic pressures on residential homes

  • Fu, Tuan-Chun;Aly, Aly Mousaad;Chowdhury, Arindam Gan;Bitsuamlak, Girma;Yeo, DongHun;Simiu, Emil
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.27-41
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    • 2012
  • Wind loads on low-rise buildings in general and residential homes in particular can differ significantly depending upon the laboratory in which they were measured. The differences are due in large part to inadequate simulations of the low-frequency content of atmospheric velocity fluctuations in the laboratory and to the small scale of the models used for the measurements. The imperfect spatial coherence of the low frequency velocity fluctuations results in reductions of the overall wind effects with respect to the case of perfectly coherent flows. For large buildings those reductions are significant. However, for buildings with sufficiently small dimensions (e.g., residential homes) the reductions are relatively small. A technique is proposed for simulating the effect of low-frequency flow fluctuations on such buildings more effectively from the point of view of testing accuracy and repeatability than is currently the case. Experimental results are presented that validate the proposed technique. The technique eliminates a major cause of discrepancies among measurements conducted in different laboratories. In addition, the technique allows the use of considerably larger model scales than are possible in conventional testing. This makes it possible to model architectural details, and improves Reynolds number similarity. The technique is applicable to wind tunnels and large scale open jet facilities, and can help to standardize flow simulations for testing residential homes as well as significantly improving testing accuracy and repeatability. The work reported in this paper is a first step in developing the proposed technique. Additional tests are planned to further refine the technique and test the range of its applicability.

해안선 횡방향의 표사이동 예측모형 (Numerical Model for Cross-Shore Sediment Transport)

  • 이철응;김무현
    • 한국해안해양공학회지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.57-69
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    • 1995
  • 폭풍해일에 의한 쇄파대내에서의 표사이동을 예측할 수 있는 유한차분 수치모형을 개발하였다. 이동 경계조건을 가지는 비제차 확산방정식을 사용하여 개발된 수치모형은 Kriebel과 Dean(1985)의 수치모형이 가지고 있는 많은 제약성을 해결할 수 있었다. 임의의 초기단면과, 시간에 따른 폭풍해일의 스펙트럼을 이용하여 계산된 수치모형의 결과는 표사량의 보존 및 해안선이 후퇴나 쇄파점의 이동을 잘 나타내 주며, 해석해 및 관측자료 그리고 실험자료와 매우 잘 일치한다. 수치모형과 관련된 제반 변수들의 민감도를 분석하여 수치모형 적용의 편의를 도모하였으며, 해안선 단면을 따른 표사의 입경변화 효과를 부여할 수 있음을 알았다.

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해상교통을 위한 국지정밀 해상풍 예측 (Local Fine Grid Sea Wind Prediction for Maritime Traffic)

  • 박광순;전기천;권재일;허기영
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2009년도 공동학술대회
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    • pp.449-451
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    • 2009
  • 지구온난화에 따른 해수면 상승과 태풍 강도의 증가는 연안역에 밀집한 주거 및 산업공간을 위협하는 요소로 최근 그 연구가 활발하게 진행되어 오고 있다. 본 연구에서는 안전한 해상교통 및 폭풍해일과 파랑예측을 위해서 반드시 필요한 해상풍에 대한 연구이다. 해상풍은 연안역에서의 자연재해를 유발하는 여러 요소 중에서 중요한 연구과제이나, 현재 가상수치모델에 의한 해상풍 및 해면기압은 시 공간적으로 불충분하다. 따라서, 중규모 기상 모형인 Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)을 사용하여 우리나라 주변해역을 모두 포함하며, 약 9km 격자로 매일 두 번씩 72시간을 예보하는 해상풍을 산출하는 시스템을 구축하였다. 이어도 해양과학기지와 황해중부부이에서 실측한 해상풍과 검증한 결과 상당히 유의할 만한 결과를 얻었으며, 자료동화을 이용하여 향후에는 보다 정확한 해상풍을 산출할 계획이다.

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Nonlinear modeling of roof-to-wall connections in a gable-roof structure under uplift wind loads

  • Enajar, Adnan F.;Jacklin, Ryan B.;El Damatty, Ashraf A.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.181-190
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    • 2019
  • Light-frame wood structures have the ability to carry gravity loads. However, their performance during severe wind storms has indicated weakness with respect to resisting uplift wind loads exerted on the roofs of residential houses. A common failure mode observed during almost all main hurricane events initiates at the roof-to-wall connections (RTWCs). The toe-nail connections typically used at these locations are weak with regard to resisting uplift loading. This issue has been investigated at the Insurance Research Lab for Better Homes, where full-scale testing was conducted of a house under appropriate simulated uplift wind loads. This paper describes the detailed and sophisticated numerical simulation performed for this full-scale test, following which the numerical predictions were compared with the experimental results. In the numerical model, the nonlinear behavior is concentrated at the RTWCs, which is simulated with the use of a multi-linear plastic element. The analysis was conducted on four sets of uplift loads applied during the physical testing: 30 m/sincreased by 5 m/sincrements to 45 m/s. At this level of uplift loading, the connections exhibited inelastic behavior. A comparison with the experimental results revealed the ability of the sophisticated numerical model to predict the nonlinear response of the roof under wind uplift loads that vary both in time and space. A further component of the study was an evaluation of the load sharing among the trusses under realistic, uniform, and code pressures. Both the numerical model and the tributary area method were used for the load-sharing calculations.

Integrating physics-based fragility for hierarchical spectral clustering for resilience assessment of power distribution systems under extreme winds

  • Jintao Zhang;Wei Zhang;William Hughes;Amvrossios C. Bagtzoglou
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제39권1호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2024
  • Widespread damages from extreme winds have attracted lots of attentions of the resilience assessment of power distribution systems. With many related environmental parameters as well as numerous power infrastructure components, such as poles and wires, the increased challenge of power asset management before, during and after extreme events have to be addressed to prevent possible cascading failures in the power distribution system. Many extreme winds from weather events, such as hurricanes, generate widespread damages in multiple areas such as the economy, social security, and infrastructure management. The livelihoods of residents in the impaired areas are devastated largely due to the paucity of vital utilities, such as electricity. To address the challenge of power grid asset management, power system clustering is needed to partition a complex power system into several stable clusters to prevent the cascading failure from happening. Traditionally, system clustering uses the Binary Decision Diagram (BDD) to derive the clustering result, which is time-consuming and inefficient. Meanwhile, the previous studies considering the weather hazards did not include any detailed weather-related meteorologic parameters which is not appropriate as the heterogeneity of the parameters could largely affect the system performance. Therefore, a fragility-based network hierarchical spectral clustering method is proposed. In the present paper, the fragility curve and surfaces for a power distribution subsystem are obtained first. The fragility of the subsystem under typical failure mechanisms is calculated as a function of wind speed and pole characteristic dimension (diameter or span length). Secondly, the proposed fragility-based hierarchical spectral clustering method (F-HSC) integrates the physics-based fragility analysis into Hierarchical Spectral Clustering (HSC) technique from graph theory to achieve the clustering result for the power distribution system under extreme weather events. From the results of vulnerability analysis, it could be seen that the system performance after clustering is better than before clustering. With the F-HSC method, the impact of the extreme weather events could be considered with topology to cluster different power distribution systems to prevent the system from experiencing power blackouts.