• Title/Summary/Keyword: Housing Supply Model

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A Study on the Construction of Housing Geospatial Information for the Integrated use of Housing Supply Model (주택공급모형과의 연계활용을 위한 주택공간정보 구축방안 연구)

  • Choi, Jun Young;Kim, Taek Geun
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2012
  • To solve the housing supply problems which are combined with economic, social, environmental and urban spatial structural aspects, it is needed to analyze housing supply based on the analysis model. This study aims to draw the construction of the housing geospatial information for housing supply model. For these purposes, we construct the housing geospatial information and draw case studies on information utilization based on the precedent studies and relevant systems about housing geospatial information. From the result, we construct the geospatial information according to spatial unit and draw standardization of connected information between housing supply information and housing geospatial information. Also we found that it is essential to use a building and parcel level housing geospatial information for housing supply. In the future, it will be needed to construct the housing supply information from qualitative aspect for dwelling and to establish a utilization strategy.

A System Dynamics Model for Analyzing the Effect of Housing Supply Policies (주택공급전략 타당성 검토를 위한 시스템다내믹스 모델 개발)

  • Hwang, Sung-Joo;Park, Moon-Seo;Lee, Hyun-Soo;Kim, Hyun-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.35-45
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    • 2011
  • Establishing housing supply strategies in Korean housing market is a crucial issue due to contradictory but concurrent two problems in market; one is the unstable working-class residential and the other is the high vacancy rate by the low-level of sales rate. Although government has been continuously implementing various supply policies in an attempt to evenly distribute houses as well as to keep supply and demand in balance, it is difficult to satisfy all of stakeholders, such as housing consumers, housing owners and housing suppliers. This paper, therefore, applies a system dynamics methodology and offers a dynamic and integrated model encompassing for-profit behaviors of each market participants. The proposed model simulates the future trends of house prices, the balances between supply and demand, construction companies earnings and vacancy rate when applying various housing supply scenarios. From the simulation result, recent governmental small-size rental housing supplies in bulks should utilize private construction companies to stabilize housing distribution rate and private supply system as well as the supply and demand are well balanced.

Development of the Housing Business Model to Minimize the Fluctuation Risk of the Housing Market (주택시장 변동리스크를 최소화하기 위한 주택사업모델 개발)

  • Lee, Younghoon;Lee, Sanghyo;Kim, Jaejun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.10
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    • pp.635-646
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    • 2016
  • This paper proposes a housing business model, where the presale and Chonsei housing are supplied under a presale system at the same time based on the characteristic correlation between the housing presale market and Chonsei market in Korea. Markowitz portfolio theory was used to review the risk diversification effects from the changes in the ratio between the presale housing supply and the Chonsei housing supply. The housing sale price indicator was used as a proxy variable to determine the presale housing supply. The housing Chonsei price indicator was used as a proxy variable to determine the Chonsei housing supply. The proposed housing business model was applied to major areas in Korea to examine the risk diversification effect. Comparisons of the regional portfolio analyses showed that the flexibility of the proposed housing business model can be quite effective because each regional housing market exhibits different characteristics. Market participants, such as developers, construction companies, consumers, and government, can expect various effects through the proposed housing business model. Nevertheless, policy support is necessary for practical applications of the proposed housing business model. In particular, public funds from the government need to be introduced.

Market Equilibrium and Spatial Variability in the Value of Housing Attributes (주택특성 변수의 시장 균형과 공간 변이성)

  • Cho, Seong-Hoon;Kim, Seung Gyu
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.311-344
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    • 2009
  • The hypothesis that the common market equilibria for housing attributes are attained within distinctive submarkets was tested. Markets for housing attributes with greater supply flexibility, i.e., structural variables, were found to be closer to their common equilibria than markets with less supply flexibility, i.e., neighborhood and distance variables. In addition, submarkets with greater mobility were found to achieve common market equilibria for more housing attributes with greater supply flexibility, but not for housing attributes with lower degree of supply flexibility. Results suggest supply flexibility and occupier mobility are both necessary conditions for achieving common market equilibria for housing attributes.

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A Study on the Application of the Two Step Supply System of Public Rental Housing - Focused on the cases of SI housing with skeleton rental in Japan - (공공임대주택의 2단계 공급방식 적용 방안에 관한 연구 - 일본 스켈레톤 임대형 SI주택 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Yi, Yong-Kyu;Park, Ji-Young
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Planning & Design
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    • v.35 no.7
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 2019
  • In recent years, there has been a demand for a residential supply model that can actively and flexibly cope with various housing demands in the changing paradigm of public rental housing. This study focuses on the two-step supply system that has been studied in Japan. It was used to examine and analyze cases to recommend a supply plan that can be used for domestic public rental housing. In more detail, the literature review of the two-step supply system discloses that four types by supply methods (A-1, A-2, B-2, and C-2) and four types of relationship (construction and management combine entities type, management entity type, construction entity type, a separated entity type) can be categorized. In addition, from the actual case study, it revealed that the way of linking and supplying activities among the entity can have a great influence on "ease of supply (supply)", "diversity of housing demand (diversity)," and "quality of construction (construction)". "Ease of supply (supply)" refers to whether the construction entity is separated, and the owner is a manager. "Diversity" refers to whether the management subject is separated, and if the owner is also the constructor or the manager. "Construction" is whether the management entity is connected and managed by the management entity and can be evaluated in "Good", "Middle", and "Bad" level. As a summary, even if the existing public rental housing in Korea can be separated into a skeleton and infill system, the result suggested that it has a limitation on response to residential demand. In addition, the paper was able to propose an improved plan to make the infill as a secondary operator.

Analysis on the Satisfaction Factors of Housing Performance and Residential Environment of Public Housing in Seoul (서울시 공공임대주택 주택성능과 주거환경 만족도에 미치는 영향요인)

  • Sung, Jin-Uk;Nam, Jin
    • Journal of Korea Planning Association
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.49-62
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    • 2019
  • In order to balance with supply policy, public housing management and operation policies have been implemented in terms of housing welfare, but citizens have not yet achieved the results that the citizens are experiencing. The purpose of this study is to analysis the residential satisfaction of the including the housing performance through the characteristics of the public housing residents in Seoul. The data used in this study is based on the survey data of public housing panel survey in Seoul (2016). The study method used ordered logistic regression analysis based on the fact that dependent variables appeared as ordered responses. Major research results are as follows. Firstly, housing performance and residential satisfaction may not match. Even though the satisfaction of housing area, type, and management fee is high, satisfaction with residential environment is low if commuting distance, the number of small libraries, and hospitals are small. Secondly, it showed different characteristics of residential environment factors among types of public housing. Rather than focusing on supply, customized supply is needed considering characteristics of public housing types. Thirdly, the policy for public housing needs to be realized by a fair policy on the residential environment. It is necessary to contribute to better housing stability as a customized policy considering the local residential environment.

Development of a Simulation Model for Housing Market Policy Considering Demand-Supply Shift between Sales and Rental Market

  • Yoon, In-Seok;Lee, Hyun-Soo;Park, Moonseo;Lee, Seulbi;Kwon, Byung-Ki
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2017.10a
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    • pp.176-182
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    • 2017
  • The housing market is divided into several sub-markets that operate independently. One of them is the distinction between rental and sales markets. Simultaneously, since the housing is a commodity as well as an asset, it has a close relationship between the rental market and the sales market. Due to the unique structure of Korea, it is difficult to apply the general method to analyze the housing market. This means there is a great deal of concern about side effects from the policy. Actually, the government's subsequent regulation of speculative demand in the future may be necessary to prevent market overheating, but at the same time, there is a fear that the rent will rise. Although changes in policy direction may be inevitable due to changes in market conditions, frequent and sudden changes in policy cause confusion in market participants, causing unrest in the housing market. This study aims to derive main factors and correlation with other housing market factor. These factors will be a base of qualitative housing market model to analyze the market effect of the demand-supply shift. Modeling is based on the system dynamics methodology, which is useful for identifying interactions between variables reflecting various variables in the housing market. The model discussed in this study is expected to provide integrated insight into the key variables of the housing market, away from the monopolistic thinking. It can also be useful as a means of assessing the effectiveness of policies.

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A Study on Car Ownership Forecasting Model using Category Analysis at High Density Mixed Use District in Subway Area

  • Kim, Tae-Gyun;Byun, Wan-Hee;Lee, Young-Hoon
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.217-226
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    • 2011
  • The Seoul Metropolitan Government is striving to minimize the amount of traffic according to the supply of apartment houses along with the solution of housing shortage for the low income people through high density development near the subway area. Therefore, a stronger policy is necessary to control the traffic of the passenger cars in a subway area for the successful high density development focusing on public transportation, and especially, the estimation of the demand of cars with high reliability is necessary to control the demand of parking such as the limited supply of parking lot. Accordingly, this study developed car ownership forecasting model using Look-up Table among category analyses which are easy to be applied and have high reliability. The estimation method using Look-up-Table is possible to be applied to both measurable and immeasurable types, easy to accumulate data, and features the flexible responding depending on the changes of conditions. This study established Look-up-Table model through the survey of geographical location, the scale of housing, the accessible distance to a subway station and to a bus station, the number of bus routes, and the number of car owned with data regarding 242 blocks in Seoul City as subjects.

Minimum Floor Area Ratio Estimation Model for Reconstruction Projects to Compensate for Loss of the Aged Long-term Public Rental Housing (노후 장기공공임대주택 손실보전을 위한 재건축사업의 최소용적률 수리모델)

  • Joe, Wongoog;Na, Seunguk;Cho, Jeaho;Chae, MyungJin;Son, Bosik;Kim, Hyunsoo;Chun, JaeYoul
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.108-116
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    • 2022
  • Started in 1989 as Public Permanent Rental Housing scheme, public rental housing lease policy is increasing target residents and supply in each government by introducing new supply types. However, public housing business entities have difficulties in expanding the supply due to cumulated deficit. The research suggested long-term public rental housing reconstruction business as a method to preserve the cumulated deficit from the previous. Minimum floor area ratio mathematical model was suggested by defining the floor area ratio of reconstruction business as minimum, since housing sales profit after reconstruction could preserve aggregated deficit, and mathematically approached by considering the traits of long-term public rental housing reconstruction. The determinant for minimum floor area ratio mathematical model comprise cumulated deficit of the existing long-term public rental housing, land size of reconstructed sale housing, housing sales price per unit area, and business cost per unit area. Minimum floor area ratio mathematical model is expected to be the milestone for supporting decision making regarding the economic part of old long-term public lease housings' reconstruction scale, and expanding housing supply within urban area.

An Exploratory Study on Role of Community in Supply System of Housing Welfare Service (주거복지 전달체계에서 커뮤니티의 역할에 대한 탐색적 연구)

  • Park, Keun-Suk;Joo, Kwan-Soo
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.103-111
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    • 2016
  • The paradigm of the housing policy has been transformed from housing supply to housing welfare, from the policy of housing quantity expansion to the policy of customized housing welfare. The Housing Act was newly enacted to realize the new paradigm of the housing policy. The Act establishes the role of the Housing Welfare Centers in the housing welfare delivery system, but they have some difficulties in doing their role because of limited amount of centers and their manpower. The desirable and efficient model of housing welfare delivery system, therefore, is that the demand of housing welfare is discovered on local base, and that demanders can be provided housing welfare service connected to local governments or neighborhood housing welfare centers. To do so local communities should be established and activated, and the needs of housing welfare service also be discovered. This study is a exploratory one on communities' role in housing welfare delivery system in spite of some limitations based on existing theories and studies, and is significant as a new trial.