• 제목/요약/키워드: High Impact Weather

검색결과 203건 처리시간 0.023초

높은 체감온도가 서울의 여름철 질병 사망자 증가에 미치는 영향, 1991-2000 (The Impact of High Apparent Temperature on the Increase of Summertime Disease-related Mortality in Seoul: 1991-2000)

  • 최광용;최종남;권호장
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제38권3호
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    • pp.283-290
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    • 2005
  • Objectives : The aim of this paper was to examine the relationship between the summertime (June to August) heat index, which quantifies the bioclimatic apparent temperature in sultry weather, and the daily disease-related mortality in Seoul for the period from 1991 to 2000. Methods : The daily maximum (or minimum) summertime heat indices, which show synergetic apparent temperatures, were calculated from the six hourly temperatures and real time humidity data for Seoul from 1991 to 2000. The disease-related daily mortality was extracted with respect to types of disease, age and sex, etc. and compared with the time series of the daily heat indices. Results : The summertime mortality in 1994 exceeded the normal by 626 persons. Specifically, blood circulation-related and cancer-related mortalities increased in 1994 by 29.7% (224 persons) and 15.4% (107 persons), respectively, compared with those in 1993. Elderly persons, those above 65 years, were shown to be highly susceptible to strong heat waves, whereas the other age and sex-based groups showed no significant difference in mortality. In particular, a heat wave episode on the 22nd of July 2004 ($>45^{\circ}C$ daily heat index) resulted in double the normal number of mortalities after a lag time of 3 days. Specifically, blood circulation-related mortalities, such as cerebral infraction, were predominant causes. Overall, a critical mortality threshold was reached when the heat index exceeded approximately $37^{\circ}C$, which corresponds to human body temperature. A linear regression model based on the heat indices above $37^{\circ}C$, with a 3 day lag time, accounted for 63% of the abnormally increased mortality (${\geq}+2$ standard deviations). Conclusions : This study revealed that elderly persons, those over 65 years old, are more vulnerable to mortality due to abnormal heat waves in Seoul, Korea. When the daily maximum heat index exceeds approximately $37^{\circ}C$, blood circulation-related mortality significantly increases. A linear regression model, with respect to lag-time, showed that the heat index based on a human model is a more dependable indicator for the prediction of hot weather-related mortality than the ambient air temperature.

겨울철 ESSAY (Experiment on Snow Storms At Yeongdong) 기간 동안 수증기량과 강수량의 연관성 분석 (Analysis of the Relationship of Water Vapor with Precipitation for the Winter ESSAY (Experiment on Snow Storms At Yeongdong) Period)

  • 고아름;김병곤;은승희;박영산;최병철
    • 대기
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.19-33
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    • 2016
  • Water vapor in the atmosphere is an important element that generates various meteorological phenomena and modifies a hydrological cycle. In general, the Yeongdong region has a lot of snow compared to the other regions in winter due to the complex topography and an adjacent East Sea. However, the phase change from water vapor to ice cloud and further snowfall has little been examined in detail. Therefore, in this study, we investigated phase change of liquid water in terms of a quantitative budget as well as time lag of water vapor conversion to snowfall in the ESSAY (Experiment on Snow Storms At Yeongdong) campaign that had been carried out from 2012 to 2015. First, we classified 3 distinctive synoptic patterns such as Low Crossing, Low Passing, and Stagnation. In general, the amount of water vapor of Low Crossing is highest, and Low Passing, Stagnation in order. The snowfall intensity of Stagnation is highest, whereas that of Low Crossing is the lowest, when a sharp increase in water vapor and accordingly a following increase in precipitation are shown with the remarkable time lag. Interestingly, the conversion rate of water vapor to snowfall seems to be higher (about 10%) in case of the Stagnation type in comparison with the other types at Bukgangneung, which appears to be attributable to significant cooling caused by cold surge in the lower atmosphere. Although the snowfall is generally preceded by an increase in water vapor, its amount converted into the snowfall is also controlled by the atmosphere condition such as temperature, super-saturation, etc. These results would be a fundamental resource for an improvement of snowfall forecast in the Yeongdong region and the successful experiment of weather modification in the near future.

우주날씨 관측을 위한 큐브위성 도요샛 임무 (SNIPE Mission for Space Weather Research)

  • 이재진;손종대;박재흥;양태용;송호섭;황정아;곽영실;박원기
    • 우주기술과 응용
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.104-120
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    • 2022
  • 도요샛(Small Scale magNetospheric and Ionospheric Plasma Experiment, SNIPE)의 과학임무는 전리권 상층부 소규모 플라즈마 구조의 공간적 시간적 변화를 관찰하는 것이다. 이를 위해 4개의 6U 큐브위성(10 kg)이 고도 약 500 km 극궤도로 발사될 예정이며, 상호 위성 간 거리는 편대 비행 알고리즘에 의해 수 10 km에서 수 1,000 km 이상으로 제어된다. 운영 초기에는 4기의 위성이 같은 궤도 평면에 위치하는 종대비행을 하다가 경도상에서 나란히 배치되는 횡대비행으로 전환하여 4기의 서로 다른 지점에서 공간적인 변화를 관측하게 된다. 도요샛에는 입자 검출기, 랑뮈어 탐침, 자력계로 구성된 우주날씨 관측 장비가 각 위성에 탑재된다. 모든 관측기는 10 Hz 이상의 높은 시간 분해능을 가지며 큐브위성에 최적화 설계되었다. 이 외에도 이리디듐 통신 모듈은 지자기 폭풍이 발생할 때 작동 모드를 변경하기 위한 명령을 업로드할 수 있는 기회를 제공한다. 도요샛은 극 지역 플라즈마 밀도 급상승, 필드 정렬 전류, 고에너지 전자의 국소 영역 침투, 적도 및 중위도 플라즈마 거품의 발생 및 시공간적 진화에 대한 관찰을 수행할 예정이며, 이를 통해 태양풍이 우주날씨에 어떠한 영향을 미치는지 탐구하게 된다. 도요샛은 2023년 상반기 러시아 소유즈-2에 의해 카자흐스탄 바이코누르에서 발사될 예정이다.

무인세일드론의 트윈커브세일 형상에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Shapes of Twin Curvy Sail for Unmanned Sail Drone)

  • 류인호;김부기;양창조
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제27권7호
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    • pp.1059-1066
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    • 2021
  • 우리나라는 해상활동의 중요성이 크며, 산업화에 따른 이상기후 현상 등을 규명하기 위해 육상에 많은 자동기상 관측설비를 운영 중이지만 해상에서는 그 수가 매우 부족하다. 또한, 해양안전정보 구축 등을 위해 해양조사선을 운영 중이나 접근이 어려운 곳이 많고 높은 운영비용이 요구된다. 따라서 다양한 해양관측 등이 가능한 소형무인화선박의 개발이 필요하다. 한편 소형 무인화 선박에서 세일(Sail)은 항해 성능에 큰 영향을 미치므로 이에 대한 많은 연구가 진행되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기존 에어포일 형상보다 높은 공기역학적 성능을 갖는 것으로 알려진 트윈커브세일(Twin curvy sail)의 설계변수인 캠버(Camber)효과에 대해 검토하였다. 5 종류의 캠버에 대해 유동해석 결과, 캠버 크기가 9 %일 때 가장 높은 양력계수를 나타내었다. 트윈커브세일의 경우 Port sail과 Starboard sail의 상호작용에 의해 받음각 23°에서 가장 높은 양력계수를 갖고, Port sail의 경우 받음각 20°에서 가장 높은 양력계수를 Starboard sail의 경우 받음각 15°에서 가장 낮은 양력계수를 나타내었다. 또한, 트윈커브세일은 모든 받음각에서 에어포일 형상인 NACA 0018보다 높은 양력계수를 나타내었다.

소아의 열성경련에 날씨가 미치는 영향 (Impact of Weather on Prevalence of Febrile Seizures in Children)

  • 우정희;오석빈;임정혁;변정혜;은백린
    • 대한소아신경학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.227-232
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    • 2018
  • 목적: 열성 경련은 생후 6개월부터 만 5세 사이 발생하는 가장 흔한 유형의 경련으로 직계 가족에서 가족력이 존재할 때 더 발생률이 높다. 열성 경련의 발생률과 외부 환경과의 영향에 대하여 아직 정확히 알려진 바가 없다. 본 연구는 열성 경련의 발생과 날씨의 연관성을 파악하기 위해 시행되었다. 방법: 본 연구는 건강보험심사평가원 자료를 바탕으로 진행되었다. 2009년 1월부터 2013년 12월까지 서울 소재 병원에서 첫 번째 열성경련으로 내원하여 진단받은 29,240명의 환아들을 대상으로 시행하였다. 동일기간 동안 기상청에서 수집한 4개의 기상인자(해면기압, 강수량, 습도, 기온) 들과의 연관성을 알아보았다. 포아송 일반화 부가모형(Poisson Generalized Addictive Model)을 이용하였다. 바이러스 감염이 열성 경련의 발생률에 기여하는 영향도 논의되었다. 결과: 강수량은 두 가지 그룹(5 mm 미만과 5 mm 이상)으로 나뉘어 분석되었다. 포아송 분석 결과 열성경련의 발생률은 강수량이 적을수록 증가하였다. 해면기압, 습도, 기온 등 3가지 변수들을 분석하는데 있어서 평활 함수가 사용되었고 그 결과 열성 경련 발생률은 해면기압이 낮을수록, 습도가 낮을수록 증가하였고, 기온이 $-7--1^{\circ}C$$18-21^{\circ}C$ 일 때 높았다. 결론: 본 연구는 열성경련과 날씨와의 연관성을 파악하기 위하여 시행되었고, 그 결과 강수량이 적을수록, 해면기압이 낮을수록, 습도가 낮을수록 열성경련의 발생률이 증가하였다. 그러므로, 날씨는 열성경련 발생에 영향을 주는 요인 중 하나이다.

광주 지역에서 2015년 10월에 발생한 PM2.5 고농도 사례 특성 분석 (Investigation on Characteristics of High PM2.5 Pollution Occurred during October 2015 in Gwangju)

  • 유근혜;박승식;정선아;조미라;임용재;신혜정;이상보;김영성
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.567-587
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    • 2018
  • A severe haze event occurred in October 2015 in Gwangju, Korea. In this study, the driving chemical species and the formation mechanisms of $PM_{2.5}$ pollution were investigated to better understand the haze event. Hourly concentrations of $PM_{2.5}$, organic and elemental carbon, water-soluble ions, and elemental constituents were measured at the air quality intensive monitoring station in Gwangju. The haze event occurred was attributed to a significant contribution (72.3%) of secondary inorganic species concentration to the $PM_{2.5}$, along with the contribution of organic aerosols that were strongly attributed to traffic emissions over the study site. MODIS images, weather charts, and air mass backward trajectories supported the significant impact of long-range transportation (LTP) of aerosol particles from northeastern China on haze formation over Gwangju in October 2015. The driving factor for the haze formation was stagnant atmospheric flows around the Korean peninsula, and high relative humidity (RH) promoted the haze formation at the site. Under the high RH conditions, $SO{_4}^{2-}$ and $NO_3{^-}$ were mainly produced through the heterogenous aqueous-phase reactions of $SO_2$ and $NO_2$, respectively. Moreover, hourly $O_3$ concentration during the study period was highly elevated, with hourly peaks ranging from 79 to 95ppb, suggesting that photochemical reaction was a possible formation process of secondary aerosols. Over the $PM_{2.5}$ pollution, behavior and formation of secondary ionic species varied with the difference in the impact of LTP. Prior to October 19 when the influence of LTP was low, increasing rate in $NO_3{^-}$ was greater than that in $NO_2$, but both $SO_2$ and $SO{_4}^{2-}$ had similar increasing rates. While, after October 20 when the impact of haze by LTP was significant, $SO{_4}^{2-}$ and $NO_3{^-}$ concentrations increased significantly more than their gaseous precursors, but with greater increasing rate of $NO_3{^-}$. These results suggest the enhanced secondary transformation of $SO_2$ and $NO_2$ during the haze event. Overall, the result from the study suggests that control of anthropogenic combustion sources including vehicle emissions is needed to reduce the high levels of nitrogen oxide and $NO_3{^-}$ and the high $PM_{2.5}$ pollution occurred over fall season in Gwangju.

2012년 겨울철 특별관측자료를 이용한 강수현상 시 대기 연직구조와 민감도 실험 (Vertical Atmospheric Structure and Sensitivity Experiments of Precipitation Events Using Winter Intensive Observation Data in 2012)

  • 이상민;심재관;황윤정;김연희;하종철;이용희;정관영
    • 대기
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.187-204
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    • 2013
  • This study analyzed the synoptic distribution and vertical structure about four cases of precipitation occurrences using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and upper level data of winter intensive observation to be performed by National Institute of Meteorological Research at Bukgangneung, Incheon, Boseong during 63days from 4 JAN to 6 MAR in 2012, and Observing System Experiment (OSE) using 3DVAR-WRF system was conducted to examine the precipitation predictability of upper level data at western and southern coastal regions. The synoptic characteristics of selected precipitation occurrences were investigated as causes for 1) rainfall events with effect of moisture convergence owing to low pressure passing through south sea on 19 JAN, 2) snowfall events due to moisture inflowing from yellow sea with propagation of Siberian high pressure after low pressure passage over middle northern region on 31 JAN, 3) rainfall event with effect of weak pressure trough in west low and east high pressure system on 25 FEB, 4) rainfall event due to moisture inflow according to low pressures over Bohai bay and south eastern sea on 5 MAR. However, it is identified that vertical structure of atmosphere had different characteristics with heavy rainfall system in summer. Firstly, depth of convection was narrow due to absence of moisture convergence and strong ascending air current in middle layer. Secondly, warm air advection by veering wind with height only existed in low layer. Thirdly, unstable layer was limited in the narrow depth due to low surface temperature although it formed, and also values of instability indices were not high. Fourthly, total water vapor amounts containing into atmosphere was small due to low temperature distribution so that precipitable water vapor could be little amounts. As result of OSE conducting with upper level data of Incheon and Boseong station, 12 hours accumulated precipitation distributions of control experiment and experiments with additional upper level data were similar with ones of observation data at 610 stations. Although Equitable Threat Scores (ETS) were different according to cases and thresholds, it was verified positive influence of upper level data for precipitation predictability as resulting with high improvement rates of 33.3% in experiment with upper level data of Incheon (INC_EXP), 85.7% in experiment with upper level data of Boseong (BOS_EXP), and 142.9% in experiment with upper level data of both Incheon and Boseong (INC_BOS_EXP) about accumulated precipitation more than 5 mm / 12 hours on 31 January 2012.

지형 강제력과 하층제트 변화가 한반도 남동 지역 국지 강수에 미치는 영향 분석 연구 (Impact of Topographic Forcing and Variation of Lower-level Jet on Local Precipitation in Southeast Region of Korean Peninsula)

  • 채다은;김은지;김지선;이순환
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2020
  • Recently, a heavy rainfall with high spatial variation occurred frequently in the Korean Peninsula. The meteorological event that occurred in Busan on 3 May 2016 is characterized by heavy rain in a limited area. In order to clarify the reason of large spatial variation associated with mountain height and location of low level jet, several numerical experiments were carried out using the dynamic meteorological Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. In this case study, the raised topography of Mount Geumjeong increased a barrier effect and air uplifting due to topographic forcing on the windward side. As a result, wind speed reduced and precipitation increased. In contrast, on the downwind side, the wind speed was slightly faster and since the total amount of water vapor is limited, the precipitation on the downwind side reduced. Numerical experiments on shifting the location of the lower jet demonstrated that if the lower jet is close to the mountain, its core becomes higher due to the effect of friction. Additionally, the water vapor convergence around the mountain increased and eventually the precipitation also increased in the area near the mountain. Hence, the location information of the lower jet is an important factor for accurately predicting precipitation.

Evaluating Tropical Night by Comparing Trends of Land cover and Land Surface Temperature in Seoul, Korea

  • Sarker, Tanni;Huh, Jung Rim;Bhang, Kon Joon
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2020
  • The impact of urbanization on LST (Land Surface Temperature) and TN (Tropical Night) was observed with the analyses of land cover change and LST by associating with the frequency of TN during the period of 1996 to 2016. The analyses of land cover and LST was based on the images of Landast 5 and 8 for September in 1996, 2006, and 2016 at a 10 year interval. The hourly-collected atmospheric temperatures for the months of July and August during the period were collected from AWSs (Automatic Weather Stations) in Seoul for the frequency analysis of TN. The study area was categorized into five land cover classes: urban or built-up area, forest, mixed vegetation, bare soil and water. It was found that vegetation (-7.71%) and bare soil (-9.04%) decreased during the period while built-up (17.29%) area was expanded throughout the whole period (1996-2016), indicating gradual urbanization. The changes came along with the LST rise in the urban area of built-up and bare soil in Seoul. In addition, the frequency of TN has increased in 4.108% and 7.03% for July and August respectively between the two periods of the 10 year interval, 1996-2006 and 2006-2016. By comparing the increasing trends of land cover, LST, and TN, we found a high probability that the frequency of TN had a relationship with land cover changes by the urbanization process in the study area.

영동 지역의 극한 대설 사례와 관련된 종관 환경 (Synoptic Environment Associated with Extreme Heavy Snowfall Events in the Yeongdong Region)

  • 권태영;조영준;서동희;최만규;한상옥
    • 대기
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.343-364
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    • 2014
  • This study presents local and synoptic conditions associated with extreme heavy snowfall events in the Yeongdong region, as well as the temporal and spatial variability of these conditions. During the last 12 years (2001~2012), 3 extreme snowfall events occurred in the Yeongdong region, which recorded daily snowfall greater than 50 cm, respectively. In these events, one of the noticeable features is the occurrence of heavy hourly snowfall greater than 10 cm. It was reported from satellite analysis that these heavy snowfall may be closely related to mesoscale convective clouds. In this paper the 3 extreme events are examined on their synoptic environments associated with the developments of mesoscale convective system using numerical model output. These 3 events all occurred in strongly forced synoptic environments where 500 and 300 hPa troughs and 500 hPa thermal troughs were evident. From the analysis of diagnostic variables, it was found in all 3 events that absolute vorticity and cold air advection were dominant in the Yeongdong region and its surrounding sea at upper levels, especially at around 500 hPa (absolute vorticity: $20{\sim}60{\times}10^{-5}s^{-1}$, cold air advection: $-10{\sim}-20^{\circ}C$ $12hr^{-1}$). Moreover, the spatial distributions of cold advection showed mostly the shape of a narrow band along the eastern coast of Korea. These features of absolute vorticity and cold advection at 500 hPa were sustained for about 10 hours before the occurrence of maximum hourly snowfall.