• 제목/요약/키워드: Hedging Performance

검색결과 17건 처리시간 0.023초

Aircraft CAS Design with Input Saturation Using Dynamic Model Inversion

  • Sangsoo Lim;Kim, Byoung-Soo
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • 제1권3호
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    • pp.315-320
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a control augmentation system (CAS) based on the dynamic model inversion (DMI) architecture for a highly maneuverable aircraft. In the application of DMI not treating actuator dynamics, significant instabilities arise due to limitations on the aircraft inputs, such as actuator time delay based on dynamics and actuator displacement limit. Actuator input saturation usually occurs during high angles of attack maneuvering in low dynamic pressure conditions. The pseudo-control hedging (PCH) algorithm is applied to prevent or delay the instability of the CAS due to a slow actuator or occurrence of actuator saturation. The performance of the proposed CAS with PCH architecture is demonstrated through a nonlinear flight simulation.

Constrained Adaptive Backstepping Controller Design for Aircraft Landing in Wind Disturbance and Actuator Stuck

  • Yoon, Seung-Ho;Kim, You-Dan;Park, Sang-Hyuk
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.74-89
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    • 2012
  • An adaptive backstepping controller is designed for the automatic landing of a fixed-wing aircraft. The backstepping control scheme is adopted by using the nonlinear six degree-of-freedom dynamics of the aircraft during the landing phase. The adaptive law is integrated along with the backstepping controller in order to estimate the aircraft modeling errors as well as the external disturbance. The dynamic constraints of the states and the actuator inputs are taken into account in the parameter adaptation. This is done to prevent an aggressive adaptation and to provide reliable control commands. Numerical simulations were performed to verify the performance of the proposed control law for the landing of the aircraft with the presence of gust and actuator stuck.

A Relationship of Managing Impacts of FOREX Fluctuations and Organizational Capabilities in Construction Business

  • Mohamed, Mohd Amizan Bin;Teo, Melissa;Kajewski, Stephen;Trigunarsyah, Bambang
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 6th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.477-480
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    • 2015
  • Construction projects are high-risk activities. When undertaking such projects in an international setting, it can be complicated by foreign exchange (FOREX) fluctuation risk. This affects the construction business performance in various ways, namely its progress due to delays, which in turn create further problems, specifically cost overruns as a result of price increase in raw materials, disputes, arbitration, litigation and even, total abandonment. Thus, the effective management of FOREX fluctuations is crucial. Previous studies have focused on the need for contract safeguards, adequate insurance, careful planning and management, as well as foreign exchange futures hedging to address some of the risks triggered by FOREX fluctuations. An analysis of FOREX fluctuations in the international construction industry revealed that more often it was focused on project-specific issues. Currently, there is a relative lack of awareness on Organizational Capabilities (OC), the abilities that owned by the organization, which is essential in managing the impact of FOREX fluctuations. Where research has focused on OC, these are viewed in isolation. Therefore, this study attempts to close the gap by proposing a framework on managing the impact of FOREX fluctuations in the international construction industry, employing the OC perspective.

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코스피 200 주가지수선물을 이용한 교차헤지 (cross-hedge) (A Study on the Cross Hedge Performance of KOSPI 200 Stock Index Futures)

  • 홍정효;문규현
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.243-266
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구는 한국종합주가지수, 코스피200 주가지수, 코스닥종합주가지수 및 코스닥50 주가지수의 현물포지션(spot position) 보유에 따른 자산가격변동 위험을 헤지하기 위하여 코스피200 주가지수선물을 이용한 최적헤지비율(optimal hedge ratio) 및 헤지성과(hedge performance)를 추정하는데 있다. 연구모형으로는 이변량 GARCH 및 EGARCH모형을 사용하였으며 주요 분석결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 국내 주식시장의 경우 모형에 상관없이 직접헤지(교스피200 현/선물)의 성과가 교차헤지(종합주가지수, 코스닥종합주가지수, 코스닥50 주가지수/코스피200 지수선물)의 성과보다 뛰어난 결과를 보였다. 둘째, 교차헤지의 성과에서는 현/선물의 기초자산이 비슷한 종합주가지수와 코스피200 지수선물과의 결과가 다른 결과들에 비해 월등히 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 셋째 모형별 헤지성과에서는 외표본기간(out-of-sample period)동안 헤지비율이 일정한 것으로 가정하는 최소분산헤지모형의 헤지성과가 헤지비율이 시간이 경과함에 따라 변화하는 GARCH모형과 EGARCH모형의 성과보다 뛰어난 결과를 보였다. 이러한 분석결과는 우리나라 주식시장의 위험을 감소시키기 위한 헤지전략으로는 직접헤지가 교차헤지에 비해 유리하지만 교차헤지의 성과도 미국 주식시장의 성과보다 월등히 나은 결과를 보여 교차헤지의 유용성을 보여주었다. 또한 헤지모델은 시계열 특성이나 헤지비율의 시간가변성 등을 고려하지 않은 단순한 최소분산모형을 헤지전략에 사용하여도 큰 무리가 없는 것으로 나타났다. 특히 본 분석은 동일한 현물포트폴리오에 대한 동일한 선물포트폴리오를 가지지 못하는 지수현물에 대한 위험축소 방안으로 교차헤지가 도움이 될 수 있다는 점에서 그 의미를 제공해 줄 수 있다.부터, 외국인지분율과 기업가치 간에 통계적으로 유의한 선형적인(+) 관계가 관찰되었다. 이는 기존의 외국인투자자의 적극적 감시가설을 지지하는 결과와 부합하는 것이다.af) 그리고 flower) 추출물의 $SC_{50}$ 값 측정 결과 각각 $53.21{\pm}1.83ppm,\;50.12{\pm}2.12ppm,\;5.59{\pm}0.84ppm,\;41.60{\pm}8.93ppm,\;20.19{\pm}0.97ppm,\;15.19{\pm}1.66ppm,\;21.20{\pm}1.88ppm,\;15.71{\pm}0.91ppm,\;55.48{\pm}2.42ppm,\;52.12{\pm}2.44ppm,\;23.80{\pm}1.98ppm$ 그리고 $11.14{\pm}0.51ppm$인 것으로 나타났다(비타민 C의 $SC_{50}$ 값:$9.61{\pm}0.93ppm$). 특히 마테 추출물과 솔잎 추출물은 총 페놀 함량이 높으면서 DPPH 라디칼과 superoxide anion 라디칼을 동시에 효율적으로 포착하는 효능을 지니고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 결론적으로 마테와 솔잎의 상업적인 추출물은 기능성 항산화제로서 유용한 소재로 사용 가능 할 것으로 사료된다.트폴리오보다 약 5배정도의 높은 1개월 평균초과수익률을 실현하였고, 반전거래전략의 유용성을 충분히 발휘하기 위하여 장단기의 투자기간을 설정할 경우에 6개월에서 36개월로 이동함에 따라 6개월부터 24개월까지는 초과수익률이 상승하지만, 이후로는 감소하므로, 반전거래전략을 활용하는 경우 주식투자기간은 24개월이하의 중단기가 적합함을 발견하였다. 이상의 행태적 측면과 투자성과측면의 실증결과를 통하여 한국주식시장에 있어서 시장수익률을 평균적으로 초과할 수

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Block Trading Based Volatility Forecasting: An Application of VACD-FIGARCH Model

  • TU, Teng-Tsai;LIAO, Chih-Wei
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.59-70
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to construct the ACD model for the block trading volume duration. The ACD model based on the block trading volume duration is referred to as Volume ACD (VACD) in this study. By integrating with GARCH-type models, the VACD based GARCH type models, which include VACD-GARCH, VACD-IGARCH and VACD-FIGARCH models, are set up. This study selects Chunghwa Telecom (CHT) Inc., offering the America Depository Receipt (ADR) in NYSE, to investigate the block trading volume duration in Taiwanese equity market. The empirical results indicate that the long memory in volume duration series increases dependence at level of volatility clustering by VACD (2,1)-FIGARCH (3,d,1) model. Moreover, the VACD (2,1)-IGARCH (1,1) exhibits relatively better performance of prediction on capturing block trading volume duration. This volatility model is more appropriate in this study to portray the change of the CHT Inc. prices and provides more information about the volatility process for investment strategy, which can be a reference indicator of financial asset pricing, hedging strategy and risk management.

한국 주식시장에서 총수익성 프리미엄에 관한 분석 및 펀드 유통산업에 주는 시사점 (Gross Profitability Premium in the Korean Stock Market and Its Implication for the Fund Distribution Industry)

  • 윤보현;유원석
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제13권9호
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - This paper's aim is to investigate whether or not gross profitability explains the cross-sectional variation of the stock returns in the Korean stock market. Gross profitability is an alternative profitability measure proposed by Novy-Marx in 2013 to predict cross-sectional variation of stock returns in the US. He shows that the gross profitability adds explanatory power to the Fama-French 3 factor model. Interestingly, gross profitability is negatively correlated with the book-to-market ratio. By confirming the gross profitability premium in the Korean stock market, we may provide some implications regarding the well-known value premium. In addition, our empirical results may provide opportunities for the fund distribution industry to promote brand new styles of funds. Research design, data, and methodology - For our empirical analysis, we collect monthly market prices of all the companies listed on the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) of the Korea Exchanges (KRX). Our sample period covers July1994 to December2014. The data from the company financial statementsare provided by the financial information company WISEfn. First, using Fama-Macbeth cross-sectional regression, we investigate the relation between gross profitability and stock return performance. For robustness in analyzing the performance of the gross profitability strategy, we consider value weighted portfolio returns as well as equally weighted portfolio returns. Next, using Fama-French 3 factor models, we examine whether or not the gross profitability strategy generates excess returns when firmsize and the book-to-market ratio are controlled. Finally, we analyze the effect of firm size and the book-to-market ratio on the gross profitability strategy. Results - First, through the Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regression, we show that gross profitability has almost the same explanatory power as the book-to-market ratio in explaining the cross-sectional variation of the Korean stock market. Second, we find evidence that gross profitability is a statistically significant variable for explaining cross-sectional stock returns when the size and the value effect are controlled. Third, we show that gross profitability, which is positively correlated with stock returns and firm size, is negatively correlated with the book-to-market ratio. From the perspective of portfolio management, our results imply that since the gross profitability strategy is a distinctive growth strategy, value strategies can be improved by hedging with the gross profitability strategy. Conclusions - Our empirical results confirm the existence of a gross profitability premium in the Korean stock market. From the perspective of the fund distribution industry, the gross profitability portfolio is worthy of attention. Since the value strategy portfolio returns are negatively correlated with the gross profitability strategy portfolio returns, by mixing both portfolios, investors could be better off without additional risk. However, the profitable firms are dissimilar from the value firms (high book-to-market ratio firms); therefore, an alternative factor model including gross profitability may help us understand the economic implications of the well-known anomalies such as value premium, momentum, and low volatility. We reserve these topics for future research.

옵션 내재 변동성곡선의 정보효과와 금융 유통산업에의 시사점 (Information in the Implied Volatility Curve of Option Prices and Implications for Financial Distribution Industry)

  • 김상수;유원석;손삼호
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to shed light on the importance of the slope and curvature of the volatility curve implied in option prices in the KOSPI 200 options index. A number of studies examine the implied volatility curve, however, these usually focus on cross-sectional characteristics such as the volatility smile. Contrary to previous studies, we focus on time-series characteristics; we investigate correlation dynamics among slope, curvature, and level of the implied volatility curve to capture market information embodied therein. Our study may provide useful implications for investors to utilize current market expectations in managing portfolios dynamically and efficiently. Research design, data, and methodology - For our empirical purpose, we gathered daily KOSPI200 index option prices executed at 2:50 pm in the Korean Exchange distribution market during the period of January 2, 2004 and January 31, 2012. In order to measure slope and curvature of the volatility curve, we use approximated delta distance; the slope is defined as the difference of implied volatilities between 15 delta call options and 15 delta put options; the curvature is defined as the difference between out-of-the-money (OTM) options and at-the-money (ATM) options. We use generalized method of moments (GMM) and the seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) method to verify correlations among level, slope, and curvature of the implied volatility curve with statistical support. Results - We find that slope as well as curvature is positively correlated with volatility level, implying that put option prices increase in a downward market. Further, we find that curvature and slope are positively correlated; however, the relation is weakened at deep moneyness. The results lead us to examine whether slope decreases monotonically as the delta increases, and it is verified with statistical significance that the deeper the moneyness, the lower the slope. It enables us to infer that when volatility surges above a certain level due to any tail risk, investors would rather take long positions in OTM call options, expecting market recovery in the near future. Conclusions - Our results are the evidence of the investor's increasing hedging demand for put options when downside market risks are expected. Adding to this, the slope and curvature of the volatility curve may provide important information regarding the timing of market recovery from a nosedive. For financial product distributors, using the dynamic relation among the three key indicators of the implied volatility curve might be helpful in enhancing profit and gaining trust and loyalty. However, it should be noted that our implications are limited since we do not provide rigorous evidence for the predictability power of volatility curves. Meaning, we need to verify whether the slope and curvature of the volatility curve have statistical significance in predicting the market trough. As one of the verifications, for instance, the performance of trading strategy based on information of slope and curvature could be tested. We reserve this for the future research.