• Earthquakes and Structures
• /
• 제8권3호
• /
• pp.681-697
• /
• 2015

Iran as one of the countries located on the Alpine-Himalayan seismic belt has recently experienced a few number of catastrophic earthquakes. A well-known index of how buildings are affected by earthquakes is through assessment of probable Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) and structures' response spectra. In this research, active faults around Kerman and Birjand, two major cities in eastern parts of Iran, have been considered. Seismic catalogues are gathered to categorize effects of surrounding faults on seismicity of the region. These catalogues were further refined with respect to time and space based on Knopoff-Gardner algorithm in order to increase statistical independency of events. Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) has been estimated for each of cities regarding 50, 100, 200 and 500 years of structures' effective life-span. These results subsequently have been compared with Deterministic Seismic Hazard Analysis (DSHA). It has been observed that DSHA not necessarily suggests upper bound of PSHA results. Furthermore, based on spectral Ground Motion Prediction Equations (GMPEs), Uniform Hazard Spectra (UHS) and spectral acceleration were provided for 2% and 10% levels of probability of exceedance. The results show that increasing source-to-site distance leads to spectral acceleration reduction regarding each fault. In addition, the spectral acceleration rate of variation would increase if the source-to-site distance decreases.

• 한국환경보건학회지
• /
• 제48권5호
• /
• pp.272-281
• /
• 2022

Background: The constant consumption of chemical products owing to expanding industrialization has led to an increase in public interest in chemical substances. As the production and disposal processes for these chemical products cause environmental problems, regional information on the hazard level of chemical substances is required considering their effects on humans and in order to ensure environmental safety. Objectives: This study aimed to identify hazard contribution and spatiotemporal characteristics by region and chemical by calculating a hazard-based result score using pollutant release and transfer register (PRTR) data. Methods: This study calculated the chemical discharge and hazard-based result score from the Risk-Screening Environmental Indicators (RSEI) model, analyzed their spatiotemporal patterns, and identified hotspot areas where chemical discharges and high hazard-based scores were concentrated. The amount of chemical discharge and hazard-based risk scores for 250 cities and counties across South Korea were calculated using PRTR data from 2011 to 2018. Results: The chemical discharge (high densities in Incheon, Daegu, and Busan) and hazard-based result scores (high densities in Incheon, Chungcheongnam-do, and some areas of Gyeongsangnam-do Province) showed varying spatial patterns. The chemical discharge (A, B) and hazard-based result score (C, D) hotspots were identified. Additionally, identification of the hazard-based result scores revealed differences in the type of chemicals contributing to the discharge. Ethylbenzene accounted for ≥80% of the discharged chemicals in the discharge hotspots, while chromium accounted for >90% of the discharged chemicals in the hazard-based result score hotspots. Conclusions: The RSEI hazard-based result score is a quantitative indicator that considers the degree of impact on human health as a toxicity-weighted value. It can be used for the management of industries discharging chemical substances as well as local environmental health management.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 제어로봇시스템학회 1992년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국제학술편); KOEX, Seoul; 19-21 Oct. 1992
• /
• pp.430-435
• /
• 1992

Hazard identification is one of the most important task in process design and operation. This work has focused on the development of a knowledge-based expert system for HAZOP (Hazard and Operability) studies which are regarded as one of the most systematic and logical qualitative hazard identification methodologies but which require a multidisciplinary team and demand much time-consuming, repetitious work. The developed system enables design engineers to implement existing checklists and past experiences for safe design. It will increase efficiency of hazard identification and be suitable for educational purposes. This system has a frame-based knowledge structure for equipment failures/process material properties and rule networks for consequence reasoning which uses both forward and backward chaining. To include wide process knowledge, it is open-ended and modular for future expansion. An application to LPG storage and fractionation system shows the efficiency and reliability of the developed system.

• 한국지리정보학회지
• /
• 제13권3호
• /
• pp.91-101
• /
• 2010

전세계적으로 지구온난화에 따른 기상이변으로 자연재해의 발생빈도가 증가하고 있는 가운데 최근 한반도에서는 게릴라성 집중호우 및 태풍에 의한 대규모 홍수 및 산사태로 인하여 많은 피해가 발생하였다. 해마다 반복되는 이들 자연재해에 대해 예방 대비 및 대응을 위해서는 기존의 재해정보에 대한 체계적 관리 및 고도화와 함께 재해관리 전반의 개선이 요구되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 자연재해에 대한 지역별 특성을 고려한 재해관리 및 대응기능 강화와 재해 현장에 필요한 정보를 효과적으로 제공하기 위한 방안으로 수치영상 기반의 다목적 재해정보지도를 구축 하였다. 최신의 지형공간정보와 재해속성정보의 융합을 통해 구축된 새로운 개념의 다목적 재해정보지도는 피해현황 및 상황의 가독성을 높여 피난활용 및 신속한 의사결정지원 등에 활용할 수 있어 향후, 재해정보관 리시스템 및 피해조사시스템 개발시 유용한 정보로 사용될 것이다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
• /
• 제19권5호
• /
• pp.379-393
• /
• 2020

The purpose of this study is to first evaluate the seismic behavior of ageing arch bridges by using the Intensity Measure - based demand and DCFD format, which is referred to as the fragility-hazard format. Then, an investigation is performed for their seismic vulnerability. Analytical models are created for bridges concerning different features and these models are subjected to Incremental Dynamic Analysis (IDA) analysis using a set of 22 earthquake records. The hazard curve and results of IDA analysis are employed to evaluate the return period of exceeding the limit states in the IM-based probabilistic performance-based context. Subsequently, the fragility-hazard format is used to assess factored demand, factored capacity, and the ratio of the factored demand to the factored capacity of the models with respect to different performance objectives. Finally, the vulnerability curves are obtained for the investigated bridges in terms of the loss ratio. The results revealed that decreasing the span length of the unreinforced arch bridges leads to the increase in the return period of exceeding various limit states and factored capacity and decrease in the displacement demand, the probability of failure, the factored demand, as well as the factored demand to factored capacity ratios, loss ratio, and seismic vulnerability. Finally, it is derived that the probability of the need for rehabilitation increases by an increase in the span length of the models.

• Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
• /
• 제42권6호
• /
• pp.732-739
• /
• 2014

본 연구는 최근의 기후변화가 국내 목재부후위험지수(Scheffer Index)에 미치는 영향을 파악하기 위하여 수행되었다. 국내 58개 장소에서 40년(1973~2012) 동안 축적된 기후자료를 활용하여 목재부후위험지수를 계산하였으며 기후 변화의 영향을 살펴보기 위하여 10년 간격으로 목재부후위험지수를 계산하였다. 제주도를 제외한 국내 대부분의 지역에서 목재부후지수는 35에서 65 사이로 목재부후위험이 중간 정도인 것으로 판명되었다. 그러나 최근 10년(2003~2012)의 경우 목재부후위험이 높은 곳(${\geq}65$)으로 구분할 수 있는 지역이 지난 30년(1973~2012)에 비하여 상당히 많아졌으며 전반적으로 목재부후위험지수가 급격히 증가한 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 경향은 국내 기후가 아열대성 기후와 비슷하게 변하는 과정에서 목재부후와 밀접하게 관련된 기후인자인 온도, 강우량 및 강우일수 등이 증가한 것에 의해 설명할 수 있다.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
• /
• 제13권5호
• /
• pp.2219-2231
• /
• 2012

본 연구에서는 우리나라 30세 이상 성인들의 허혈성심장질환(ischemic heart disease, IHD) 발생률을 계산하고, 지질지표(콜레스테롤, 중성지방, 고밀도지단백콜레스테롤, 저밀도지단백콜레스테롤)가 허혈성심장질환 발생에 미치는 위험도를 파악하고자 19개 대학 및 종합병원의 건강검진센터에서 검진을 받은 417,642명을 대상으로 1993년 9월부터 2009년 6월까지 평균 8.5년동안 허혈성심장질환의 발생을 추적관찰하였다. 자료수집은 검진자들에 대한 설문조사지를 이용하였고, 허혈성심장질환의 발생여부는 국민건강보험공단의 데이터베이스에서 확인하였다. 발생률은 발생밀도로 계산하였고, 혈청지질 지표에 따른 허혈성심장질환의 발생 위험도는 콕스의 비례위험 회귀모형을 이용하여 연령, BMI, 생활양식을 보정한 상태에서 성별에 따른 위험요인별 위험비와 95% 신뢰구간을 계산하였다. 연구결과 TC/HDL 비의 증가에 따라 IHD의 발생 위험비는 남자에서 1.21배에서 1.84배까지, 여자는 1.26배에서 1.86배까지 증가하였으며, TG/HDL 비의 증가에 따른 IHD의 발생 위험비는 남자에서 1.17배에서 1.49배까지, 여자는 1.42배에서 1.97배까지, LDL/HDL 비에 따라 IHD의 발생 위험비는 남자에서 1.26배에서 1.82배까지, 여자는 1.26배에서 1.68배까지 증가하였다. 결론적으로 혈청지질지표는 심혈관질환의 중요한 위험요인으로 총콜레스테롤, 저밀도지단백콜레스테롤, 중성지방은 혈중 농도가 높을수록, 고밀도지단백콜레스테롤은 낮을수록 IHD의 위험이 높아지는 것으로 나타났고, TC/HDL 비, TG/HDL 비, LDL/HDL 비에서 단독의 지질지표보다 위험도가 더 높게 나타나는 경향이 있었다. 따라서 추후 허혈성 심장질환의 예방 및 관리에는 혈청지질지표의 비도 감안하여야 한다.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
• /
• 제69권3호
• /
• pp.317-326
• /
• 2019

This research aims to assess the tight seismic risk curve of the intake tower at Geumgwang reservoir by considering the recorded historical earthquake data in the Korean Peninsula. The seismic fragility, a significant part of risk assessment, is updated by using Bayesian inference to consider the uncertainties and computational efficiency. The reservoir is one of the largest reservoirs in Korea for the supply of agricultural water. The intake tower controls the release of water from the reservoir. The seismic risk assessment of the intake tower plays an important role in the risk management of the reservoir. Site-specific seismic hazard is computed based on the four different seismic source maps of Korea. Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) method is used to estimate the annual exceedance rate of hazard for corresponding Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA). Hazard deaggregation is shown at two customary hazard levels. Multiple dynamic analyses and a nonlinear static pushover analysis are performed for deriving fragility parameters. Thereafter, Bayesian inference with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is used to update the fragility parameters by integrating the results of the analyses. This study proves to reduce the uncertainties associated with fragility and risk curve, and to increase significant statistical and computational efficiency. The range of seismic risk curve of the intake tower is extracted for the reservoir site by considering four different source models and updated fragility function, which can be effectively used for the risk management and mitigation of reservoir.

• Asian Journal of Business Environment
• /
• 제14권2호
• /
• pp.11-18
• /
• 2024

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to empirically evaluate the unintended welfare losses induced by paid sick leave, examine the severity of the unintended moral hazard loss caused by paid sick leave, and evaluate how much moral hazard cost society can accept to obtain paid sick leave benefits. Research Design, Data and Methodology: We examine the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey data collected in 2013 and 2014 by employing a panel probit analysis to control for individual heterogeneity. Results: The estimation result shows that the probability of absence due to paid sick leave increases from 4.91% to 7.84%. Among them, excluding the probability of increasing absence from 1.29% to 2.69% due to the actual disease, the probability of absence due to the moral hazard was estimated to be 2.41% to 6.49% in the proposed models. Based on the result, if we evaluate the increase in absence caused by moral hazard as a social cost, the estimated cost is approximately $174 to $297 per worker per year. Conclusion: Considering these expected costs, our society can obtain the access benefit from paid sick leave if we are willing to accept the moral hazard cost.

• 한국콘텐츠학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국콘텐츠학회 2015년도 춘계 종합학술대회 논문집
• /
• pp.11-12
• /
• 2015

This paper describes development of a system that can create a hazard map by residents in order to prepare for disaster in daily life. This system make a hazard map by displaying the community-based disaster information on the map. Residents register information about the spot (a disaster type, a risk level, a photo, comments, positional information) that can be dangerous in case disaster. We think that residents can share information while having fan and increase disaster prevention consciousness by resident participation activities.