• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hazard assessment

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Research on the Prevention of Major Industrial Accident By Integrated Risk Management System (중대산업사고 예방을 위한 종합위험관리체제(IRMS) 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Hyuck-Myun;Seong, Dae-Hyun;Kim, Jae-Hyun;Yim, Dae-Sik;Kim, Gi-Young;Pyeon, Mu-Wook;Moon, Il;Ko, Jae-Wook;Lee, Young-Soon;Yoon, En-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.88-93
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    • 2003
  • The Process Safety Management (PSM) by the Law of Industry, Safety and Health has been performed for preventing major accidents of chemical plants since 1996. In terms of preventing chemical accidents more precisely, it is essential to develop a tool for quantitative risk assessment. For this, KOSHA (Korea Occupational Safety and Health Agency) developed an Integrated Risk Management System (IRMS). The system is designed to assimilate data on chemical plant hazards from external database, to integrate these data with location information(topographic and demographic), and to make them user-friendly accessible. The system consists of several main functions: display of five major Korean petrochemical complex layout display of equipment layout with its information utilizing the external database, zonation of the hazard effected area with consequence analyses, the most probable accident scenario generation, accident/incident database and calculation of frequency of accident using equipment reliability database, etc. The highlight of IRMS is to provide the risk contours using GIS(Geographical Information System) technology. IRMS is intended to manage hazardous installation more systematically and effectively, to reduce the number of accident remarkably, further minimizing production loss in the plant. The system is now under application to about 500 PSM sites as well as and emergency authorities in Korea by KOSHA (Korea Occupational Safety and Health Agency)

Hazard Assessment of Explosion in Suspended Dust of Wood (목재 부유분진의 폭발 위험성 평가)

  • Lee, Keun Won;Lee, Su-Hee;Han, Ou-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.81-86
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    • 2013
  • Accidents of dust explosion has been occurred in various industries as a plastics, pharmaceuticals, timber, grain storage, solid fuels and chemicals. In this study, the silo dust, hammer mill dust and Nyusong dust in the manufacturing process of the particle board to utilize west wood, which were selected for this experiment and were evaluated the characteristics of dust explosion. The explosion characteristics such as a maximum explosion pressure, explosion index, lower explosive limit, and minimum ignition energy in suspended dust of the wood by Siwek 20 L apparatus were measured and evaluated for the experiment. The results of this study can be used the process safety measures to prevent accidents of fire and explosion in the suspended dust of wood.

Application of Remote Sensing and GIS to Flood Monitoring and Mitigation

  • Petchprayoon, Pakorn;Chalermpong, Patiwet;Anan, Thanwarat;Polngam, Supapis;Simking, Ramphing
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.962-964
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    • 2003
  • In 2002 Thailand was faced with severe flooding in the North, Northeast and Central parts of the country caused by heavy rainfall of the monsoonal depression which brought about significant damages. According to the report by the Ministry of Interior and the Ministry of Agricultural and Co-operatives, the total damages were estimated to be about 6 billion bath. More than 850,000 farmers and 10 million livestock were effected. An area of 1,450,000 ha of farmland in 59 Provinces were put under water for a prolonged period. Satellite imageries were employed for mapping and monitoring the flood-inundated areas, flood damage assessment, flood hazard zoning and post-flood survey of river configuration and protection works. By integrating satellite data with other updated spatial and non-spatial data, likely flood zones can be predicted beforehand. Some examples of satellite data application to flood dis aster mitigation in Thailand during 2002 using mostly Radarsat-1 data and Landsat-7 data were illustrated and discussed in the paper. The results showed that satellite data can clearly identify and give information on the status, flooding period, boundary and damage of flooding. For comprehensive flood mitigation planning, other geo-informatic data, such as the elevation of topography, hydrological data need to be integrated. Ground truth data of the watershed area, including the water level, velocity, drainage pattern and direction were also useful for flood forecasting in the future.

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From Airborne Via Drones to Space-Borne Polarimetric- Interferometric SAR Environmental Stress- Change Monitoring ? Comparative Assessment of Applications

  • Boerner, Wolfgang-Martin;Sato, Motoyuki;Yamaguchi, Yoshio;Yamada, Hiroyoshi;Moon, Woo-Il;Ferro-Famil, Laurent;Pottier, Eric;Reigber, Andreas;Cloude, Shane R.;Moreira, Alberto;Lukowski, Tom;Touzi, Ridha
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.1433-1435
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    • 2003
  • Very decisive progress was made in advancing fundamental POL-IN-SAR theory and algorithm development during the past decade. This was accomplished with the aid of airborne & shuttle platforms supporting single -to-multi-band multi-modal POL-SAR and also some POL-IN-SAR sensor systems, which will be compared and assessed with the aim of establishing the hitherto not completed but required missions such as tomographic and holographic imaging. Because the operation of airborne test-beds is extremely expensive, aircraft platforms are not suited for routine monitoring missions which is better accomplished with the use drones or UAVs. Such unmanned aerial vehicles were developed for defense applications, however lacking the sophistic ation of implementing advanced forefront POL-IN-SAR technology. This shortcoming will be thoroughly scrutinized resulting in the finding that we do now need to develop most rapidly POL-IN-SAR drone-platform technology especially for environmental stress-change monitoring with a great variance of applications beginning with flood, bush/forest-fire to tectonic-stress (earth-quake to volcanic eruptions) for real-short-time hazard mitigation. However, for routine global monitoring purposes of the terrestrial covers neither airborne sensor implementation - aircraft and/or drones - are sufficient; and there -fore multi-modal and multi-band space-borne POL-IN-SAR space-shuttle and satellite sensor technology needs to be further advanced at a much more rapid phase. The existing ENVISAT with the forthcoming ALOSPALSAR, RADARSAT-2, and the TERRASAT will be compared, demonstrating that at this phase of development the fully polarimetric and polarimetric-interferometric modes of operation must be viewed and treated as preliminary algorithm verification support modes and at this phase of development are still not to be viewed as routine modes.

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Zolpidem Use and Risk of Fracture in Elderly Insomnia Patients

  • Kang, Dong-Yoon;Park, So-Young;Rhee, Chul-Woo;Kim, Ye-Jee;Choi, Nam-Kyong;Lee, Joong-Yub;Park, Byung-Joo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.219-226
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: To evaluate the risk of fractures related with zolpidem in elderly insomnia patients. Methods: Health claims data on the entire South Korean elderly population from January 2005 to June 2006 were extracted from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service database. We applied a case-crossover design. Cases were defined as insomnia patients who had a fracture diagnosis. We set the hazard period of 1 day length prior to the fracture date and four control periods of the same length at 5, 10, 15, and 20 weeks prior to the fracture date. Time independent confounding factors such as age, gender, lifestyle, cognitive function level, mobility, socioeconomic status, residential environment, and comorbidity could be controlled using the case-crossover design. Time dependent confounding factors, especially co-medication of patients during the study period, were adjusted by conditional logistic regression analysis. The odds ratios and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated for the risk of fracture related to zolpidem. Results: One thousand five hundred and eight cases of fracture were detected in insomnia patients during the study period. In our data, the use of zolpidem increased the risk of fracture significantly (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.72; 95% CI, 1.37 to 2.16). However, the association between benzodiazepine hypnotics and the risk of fracture was not statistically significant (aOR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.83 to 1.21). Likewise, the results were not statistically significant in stratified analysis with each benzodiazepine generic subgroup. Conclusions: Zolpidem could increase the risk of fracture in elderly insomnia patients. Therefore zolpidem should be prescribed carefully and the elderly should be provided with sufficient patient education.

Geographic Information Systems(GIS) Use in Forest Pest Management : A Simulated Study on Mountain Pine Beetle Infestation (지리정보(地理情報)시스템(GIS) 이용(利用)과 산림(山林) 병충해(病蟲害) 관리(管理) : 소나무 좀벌레의 모형적(模型的) 예(例))

  • Lee, Kyu Sung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.78 no.2
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    • pp.168-176
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    • 1989
  • Recent development of geographic information systems(GIS) provides a great deal of potential in handling a variety of spatial data required by forest resource managers. This study is designed to identify a possible GIS application in forest pest management. Several mountain pine beetle risk assessment parameters(stand characteristics, weather conditions, and topographic factor) were spatially analyzed through computer map overlaying operations in order to estimate the hazard level of the pest damage. In addition, the expected infestation route from an initially infected forest stand was located through further may analysis operations(distance measurement and connectivity analysis). Although current GIS technology may have a few limitations in operational situations, the computer based GIS has been proven as an invaluable tool to resource managers by providing flexible spatial data handing capabilities.

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Assessment of flood hazard using 1D and 2D modeling in Rio Narcea, Spain (스페인 Rio Narcea 유역에서의 1D 및 2D 모델링을 이용한 홍수범람 평가)

  • Kim, Woo-Jin;Han, Hyeong-Jun;Choi, Gye-Woon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.431-431
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    • 2011
  • Rio Narcea 는 스페인 북부에 위치한 Astuias 지역을 흐르는 Nalon River 의 한 지류로서 총연장 102km 유역 면적 1,135 m이며. 사행천으로 홍수 시 범람하기 쉬운 곡류천의 특성상 잦은 홍수피해를 받고 있는 지역이다. 특히 2010년 6월에는 일주일 사이에 홍수 피해가 두 번씩이나 발생함에 따라 수많은 인명피해가 발생하였고 사회 SOC 시설이 큰 타격을 입는 등 상당한 피해를 야기하였다. 이에 1D 및 2D 수리 모델링 프로그램을 이용하여 사행천에 수리특성을 분석하고, 그에 따른 홍수범람도를 작성하여 1D와 2D 모델링을 비교분석하였고 이를 이용하여 홍수 피해 방지 대책을 마련하는데 도움이 되고자 한다. 1D 모델링은 HEC-GeoRAS 및 HEC-RAS를 이용하였으며, 2D 모델링에는 IBER를 이용하였다. Arc-GIS 툴을 이용한 HEC-GeoRAS 기능을 사용하여 강의 단면을 구성하고 HEC-RAS를 이용하여 1차원 모델링을 수행하였으며, 2D 모델링에는 스페인의 CIMNE에서 개발한 2차원 수리해석 프로그램인 IBER를 사용하였는데, 이 프로그램은 부정류 해석과 난류 해석, 유사이동 및 Dam-break 등의 해석이 가능하다. 1D 및 2D 모델링의 결과 값으로 얻어진 수심 및 유속을 토대로 1D는 Arc-GIS를 이용, 2D는 IBER 프로그램 내에 기능을 이용하여 바르셀로나에서 주로 사용되는 Catalan Water Agency 기준에 의한 홍수범람도를 작성하였다. 각각의 1D 와 2D 모델링으로 작성한 홍수범람도를 비교분석해 본 결과 거의 유사하게 표현됨을 알 수 있었으며, 두 모델링 기법 모두 홈수범람도를 표현함에 있어서 유용하게 사용될 수 있을 것이라 생각된다. 대상지역의 관련 자료의 유무에 따라 구분하여 1D 혹은 2D 모델링 기법을 선택 사용할 수 있으며. 유역의 홍수발생시 인명과 재산 피해에 대비한 홍수범람 지도 및 홍수재해지도 제작에 도움이 될 것으로 판단된다.

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Earthquake risk assessment of concrete gravity dam by cumulative absolute velocity and response surface methodology

  • Cao, Anh-Tuan;Nahar, Tahmina Tasnim;Kim, Dookie;Choi, Byounghan
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.511-519
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    • 2019
  • The concrete gravity dam is one of the most important parts of the nation's infrastructure. Besides the benefits, the dam also has some potentially catastrophic disasters related to the life of citizens directly. During the lifetime of service, some degradations in a dam may occur as consequences of operating conditions, environmental aspects and deterioration in materials from natural causes, especially from dynamic loads. Cumulative Absolute Velocity (CAV) plays a key role to assess the operational condition of a structure under seismic hazard. In previous researches, CAV is normally used in Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) fields, but there are no particular criteria or studies that have been made on dam structure. This paper presents a method to calculate the limitation of CAV for the Bohyeonsan Dam in Korea, where the critical Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) is estimated from twelve sets of selected earthquakes based on High Confidence of Low Probability of Failure (HCLPF). HCLPF point denotes 5% damage probability with 95% confidence level in the fragility curve, and the corresponding PGA expresses the crucial acceleration of this dam. For determining the status of the dam, a 2D finite element model is simulated by ABAQUS. At first, the dam's parameters are optimized by the Minitab tool using the method of Central Composite Design (CCD) for increasing model reliability. Then the Response Surface Methodology (RSM) is used for updating the model and the optimization is implemented from the selected model parameters. Finally, the recorded response of the concrete gravity dam is compared against the results obtained from solving the numerical model for identifying the physical condition of the structure.

Assessment of Linear Binary Classifiers and ROC Analysis for Flood Hazard Area Detection in North Korea (북한 홍수위험지역 탐지를 위한 선형이진분류법과 ROC분석의 적용성 평가)

  • Lee, Kyoung Sang;Lee, Dae Eop;Try, Sophal;Lee, Gi Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.370-370
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    • 2017
  • 최근 기후변화와 이상기후의 영향으로 인하여 홍수재해의 시 공간적 패턴은 보다 복잡해지고, 예측이 어려워지고 있다. 이러한 기상이변에 따른 홍수피해를 예방하기 위한 비구조적 대책으로 홍수위험등급 및 범람범위 등의 정보를 포함하고 있는 홍수위험지도의 작성이 필요하다. 실제로 고정밀도 홍수위험지도를 작성하기 위해서는 지형, 지질, 기상 등의 디지털 정보 및 사회 경제와 관련된 다양한 DB를 필요로 하며, 강우-유출-범람해석 모델링을 통해 범람면적 및 침수깊이 등의 정보를 획득하게 된다. 하지만 일부지역, 특히 개발도상국에서는 이러한 계측 홍수 데이터가 부족하거나 획득할 수가 없어 홍수위험지도 제작이 불가능하거나 그 정확도가 매우 낮은 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 ASTER 또는 SRTM과 같은 범용 DEM 등 지형자료만을 기반으로 한 선형이진분류법(Liner binary classifiers)과 ROC분석(Receiver Operation Characteristics)을 이용하여 미계측 유역 (DB부재 또는 부족으로 강우-유출-범람해석 모델링이 불가능한 북한지역)의 홍수위험지역을 탐지하고, 적용성을 평가하고자 한다. 5개의 단일 지형학적 지수와 6개의 복합 지형학적 지수를 이용하여 Area Under the Curve (AUC)를 계산하고, Sensitivity (민감도)와 Specificity (특이도)가 가장 높은 지수를 선별하여 홍수위험지도를 작성하고, 실제 홍수범람 영상(2007년 북한 함경남도지역 용흥강 홍수)과 비교 분석하였다. 본 연구에서 제시하는 선형이진분류법과 ROC분석 방법은 홍수범람해석을 위한 다양한 기초정보를 필요로 하지 않고, 지형정보만을 사용하기 때문에 관측 데이터가 없거나 부족한 지역에 대해서 우선적으로 홍수위험지역을 탐지하고, 선별하는데 유용할 것으로 판단된다.

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Assessment of Rainfall Runoff and Flood Inundation in the Mekong River Basin by Using RRI Model

  • Try, Sophal;Lee, Giha;Yu, Wansik;Oeurng, Chantha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.191-191
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    • 2017
  • Floods have become more widespread and frequent among natural disasters and consisted significant losses of lives and properties worldwide. Flood's impacts are threatening socio-economic and people's lives in the Mekong River Basin every year. The objective of this study is to identify the flood hazard areas and inundation depth in the Mekong River Basin. A rainfall-runoff and flood inundation model is necessary to enhance understanding of characteristic of flooding. Rainfall-Runoff-Inundation (RRI) model, a two-dimensional model capable of simulating rainfall-runoff and flood inundation simultaneously, was applied in this study. HydoSHEDS Topographical data, APPRODITE precipitation, MODIS land use, and river cross section were used as input data for the simulation. The Shuffled Complex Evolution (SCE-UA) global optimization method was integrated with RRI model to calibrate the sensitive parameters. In the present study, we selected flood event in 2000 which was considered as 50-year return period flood in term of discharge volume of 500 km3. The simulated results were compared with observed discharge at the stations along the mainstream and inundation map produced by Dartmouth Flood Observatory and Landsat 7. The results indicated good agreement between observed and simulated discharge with NSE = 0.86 at Stung Treng Station. The model predicted inundation extent with success rate SR = 67.50% and modified success rate MSR = 74.53%. In conclusion, the RRI model was successfully used to simulate rainfall runoff and inundation processes in the large scale Mekong River Basin with a good performance. It is recommended to improve the quality of the input data in order to increase the accuracy of the simulation result.

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