• 제목/요약/키워드: Hazard Risk Index

검색결과 258건 처리시간 0.022초

중금속 오염 논토양에서 재배된 벼 품종간 위해성평가 비교 (Risk Assessment of As, Cd, Cu and Pb in Different Rice Varieties Grown on the Contaminated Paddy Soil)

  • 김원일;김진경;류지혁;백민경;박상원;권오경;홍무기;양재의;김정규
    • 한국토양비료학회지
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    • 제42권1호
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    • pp.53-57
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    • 2009
  • 휴폐광산 인근 주민에 대한 위해영향을 평가하는데 있어서 벼 품종에 따른 변이를 파악하기 위하여 농경지 토양 및 쌀의 비소, 카드뮴, 구리 및 납의 함량을 분석하였다. 중금속 오염농경지에서 조사된 잠재적인 인체노출 경로로서 오염된 농경지 및 쌀을 통한 경구섭취 및 피부접촉을 통한 품종간 일일평균 인체노출량(ADD)을 산정하였다. 비발암성 위해도 평가로 노출경로별 중금속의 위험비율인 HQ 지수와 모든 노출경로를 총합한 중금속의 위험지수인 HI 값을 US-EPA D/B를 활용하였다. 벼 품종간 HI 지수는 23.6~34.3으로 전품종에서 높은 잠재적 위해성으로 평가되었는데 DA 품종이 가장 낮은 반면 TB 품종이 가장 높은 HI 값을 보였다. 쌀 소비에 따른 비소의 발암성 위해도 평가는 품종간 2.0E-03~3.5E-03을 보여 미국 EPA에서 정한 위해성 기준인 만명 중 한명 이상으로 높게 나타났다. 발암성 위해도에 대한 품종간 비교에서 DA 품종이 가장 낮은 반면 TB 품종이 가장 높은 HI 값을 보였다. 이러한 결과는 위해성 평가가 중금속 오염에 안전한 품종을 선발하는데 유용한 도구로서 활용할 수 있음을 보여준다.

국내 유통 버섯 중 중금속 함량 조사 및 위해성 평가 (Monitoring and Risk Assessment of Heavy Metals in Edible Mushrooms)

  • 김지영;류지혁;이지호;김민지;강대원;고현석;홍수명;임건재;김두호;정구복;김원일
    • 한국환경농학회지
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 버섯류 5품목에 대한 중금속 (As, Cd, Pb, Hg)의 함량을 조사하고 확률론적 방법을 적용하여 버섯류의 위해성 평가를 수행하였다. 분석결과에 대한 유효성 검증을 위하여 표준인증물질을 분석한 결과 98.03~104.06%의 회수율을 얻었다. 주산지역의 버섯류 5종을 각 품목당 30종씩 모니터링한 결과, 비소의 평균함량은 0.035 mg/kg, 카드뮴은 0.017 mg/kg, 납은 0.043 mg/kg, 수은은 0.004 mg/kg으로 기준이 설정되어 있는 항목에 대해서는 EU 기준 (Cd 0.2 mg/kg, Pb 0.3 mg/kg) 대비 모두 기준 이하였다. 버섯류 중 중금속 노출 기여도가 높은 버섯은 표고>느타리>양송이 순이었으며, 버섯류 5종 모두 위해성 평가 결과 위해지수 1.0 이하로 위해성이 없는 것으로 평가되었다. 비소, 카드뮴, 납, 수은을 모두 합산하여 위해지수를 분석한 결과 일반인의 경우 0.003, 고섭취군인 경우 0.008로 인체 위해성이 없는 것으로 확인하였으며, 모든 식품 중 중금속 노출량에 대한 버섯류의 기여도를 감안하면 식이를 통한 안전에는 문제가 없는 것으로 판단된다.

지역회귀분석을 이용한 홍수피해위험도 산정 (Flood Risk Estimation Using Regional Regression Analysis)

  • 장옥재;김영오
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2009
  • 오늘날 재해의 위험으로부터 안전하게 살고자 하는 대중들의 욕구는 증가하고 있지만 최근의 기후변화와 이상홍수의 사례에서 볼 때 현재 우리가 처해 있는 자연재해로부터의 위협은 과거와는 상이하다는 것을 알 수 있다. 이렇게 변화하는 상황에 대처하기 위해서는 우리가 노출된 재해의 특성을 평가하는 과정이 선행되어져야 한다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 지역회귀분석을 적용하여 가능 피해금액을 추산하고, 이를 통해 각 지역별 홍수위험도를 평가하는 방법을 제안하였다. 홍수로 인한 피해는 인명이나 재산피해가 주를 이루기 때문에 홍수 위험도평가 결과도 홍수에 취약한 인명이나 재산으로 표현되는 것이 적절하다고 판단된다. 지역회귀분석은 강우-유출모형이나 확률분포모형의 매개변수들을 유역특성인자들로 표현하기 위해 수문학(水文學) 분야에서 널리 사용되어져 왔으며 본 연구에서는 이 방법을 홍수 피해금액 추정에 응용하였다. 지역회귀방법의 절차로는 먼저 계측지역(과거 홍수 피해금액 자료가 충분한 지역)에서는 홍수 피해금액과 시강우량 자료를 바탕으로 비선형 회귀분석을 실시하였고, 다음으로 이 회귀식의 계수를 다시 해당 지역의 인문.사회 경제학적 인자들로 표현하였다. 이러한 방법으로 지역적 인자들이 홍수 피해에 미치는 영향을 정량적으로 분석할 수 있었으며 궁극적으로 미계측지역(과거 자료가 충분하지 않은 지역)에서도 지역적 인자들을 통해 특정 빈도에 발생 가능한 홍수 피해금액을 추정할 수 있었다. 또한 추정된 홍수 피해금액과 지역 총 자산의 비를 Flood Vulnerability Index (FVI)라 하였으며 이를 통해 특정빈도 강우로 인해 도시 내에서 피해를 입을 수 있는 재산의 범위를 추정하고, 홍수위험지도로도 나타내었다. 본 연구 결과를 수자원장기종합계획에서 홍수위험도 평가를 위해 사용된 홍수피해 잠재능(Potential Flood Damage; PFD)과 비교해 보면 PFD에서는 각 인자들의 가중치 산정에서 전문가의 오판이 부분적으로 개입될 수 있다는 단점이 있었으나 지역회귀에 근거한 본 연구에서는 이러한 단점을 극복할 수 있었다. 또한 FVI는 과거 재해피해와 높은 상관관계를 나타냈지만 PFD는 실제 지역별 취약도를 잘 반영하지 못하는 것으로 나타났다.

노인의 재난시 대처행동에 관한 연구 (A Study on Coping Behavior of Elderly in the Disaster)

  • 정순둘;박현주;최여희;이지현
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.389-392
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    • 2008
  • Warning phase of disaster is a critical period in determining the likely survival of threatened citizens. Elderly requires special attention primarily because they tend to be uncompliant and less likely to cooperate with authorities. But there is much less research on how elderly respond to disaster warnings, while there is a strong consistent empirical literature on older citizen in the recovery periods of disaster. The purpose of this study is to examine coping behavior of elderly when they are at risk of disaster. Data were collected from 130 senior citizens aged over 60 who are residing in Pyungchang and Injae in Kangwon province which had damaged due to heavy rain in 2006. Perry & Lindell(1997)'s index, a series of six categories that represent coping behaviors which progressively approximate the action of evacuating was used : do nothing(1), check environmental cues for evidence of a threat(2), engage in threat-specific property protection(3), engage in protective action for personal safety(4), prepare to evacuate(5), evacuate the areas as instructed in the warning(6). Almost respondents(69.2%) chose the level 6(51.5%) and level 5(17.7%). This proves the elderly are not uncompliant or uncooperative population. Furthermore, this finding emphasizes the importance of public warning in case of disasters. And 13.8% of total respondent checked level 1 for their reaction.

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Exposure Assessment and Health Risk of Polybrominated Diphenyl Ether (PBDE) Flame Retardants in Indoor Environments of Children's Facilities in Korea

  • Kim, Ho-Hyun;Yang, Ji-Yeon;Jang, Yun-Suk;Lee, Yong-Jin;Lee, Chung-Soo;Shin, Dong-Chun;Lim, Young-Wook
    • Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.247-262
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    • 2011
  • This study assessed the health risks of childhood exposure to PBDEs via different possible pathways in children's facilities and indoor playgrounds. When PBDE contamination was measured, it was determined through multiple routes, including inhalation of indoor dust, dermal contact with product surfaces and children's hands, and incidental dust ingestion. Samples were collected from various children's facilities (playrooms, daycare centers, kindergartens, and indoor playgrounds) during summer (Jul-Sep, 2007) and winter (Jan-Feb, 2008). The hazard index (HI) was estimated for non-carcinogens, and PBDEs, such as TeBDE, PeBDE, HxBDE, and DeBDE, were examined. The sensitivity to the compounds did not exceed 1.0 (HI) for any of the subjects in any facility. However, current data about toxicity does not reflect effects that were fully sensitive in children, so there is uncertainty in the dose-response data. The contribution rates of PBDEs were 71.4 to 96.1% and 3.7 to 28.2% for intake and inhalation exposure, respectively, indicating that intake of floor dust and inhalation are the primary routes.

인삼섭취와 암발생과의 관련성에 관한 연구 - 강화코호트연구 - (A Study on the Association Between Ginseng Intake and Incidences of Cancer - Kangwha Cohort Study -)

  • 변주선;오희철;홍재석;손태용;이상욱
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.367-372
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    • 2003
  • Objectives : There are many concerns about ginseng as a cancer chemopreventive substance, but there have been few epidemiological studies on ginseng, This study sought to examine the relationships between ginseng intake and cancer incidence in the Kangwha cohort. Methods ; Between March 1985 and December 1999, 2697 males, aged 55 or over, as of 1985, were followed up for their cancer incidence. The cancer incidence rate, standardized incidence ratio and risk ratios were calculated according to ginseng intake. A Cox proportional hazard model was used to adjust for age at entry, smoking, alcohol intake, hypertension, and body mass index. Results & Conclusions : The ginseng intake group had the same cancer (C00-C97) incidences (Standardized Incidence Ratio: SIR=1.11, 95% Confidence Interval=0.97-1.27) and the same risk ratio (RR=1.09, 95% Confidence Interval=0.85-1.41) as the no-intake group. Analyzing the subjects that had followed up from 1990, however, the ginseng intake group had lower cancer incidences at all sites (RR=0.79, 95% Confidence Interval=0.58-1.09). This was a cohort study to try and evaluate the association between ginseng intake and the incidences of cancer, The results of this study provide no clear conclusions on the cancer preventive effects of ginseng. Therefore, further study is needed in the future.

동수역학 모형을 이용한 침수사고 분석 및 특성요인도를 활용한 재해 원인 고찰 (Inundation Accident Analysis Using Hydrodynamic Model and Consideration of Disaster Roots Using Cause and Effect Diagram)

  • 유동현;송창근
    • 융합정보논문지
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    • 제10권10호
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    • pp.128-134
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    • 2020
  • 최근 기후변화로 인해 태풍과 호우 피해가 증가하고 있으나 물리적인 침수대책과 재난대응 안전관리가 여전히 미흡한 실정이다. 따라서 안전 확보를 위한 대응체계를 마련하고, 침수 발생 시 피해를 최소화할 수 있는 실용적인 방안을 확보함으로써 경제적인 손실과 인명피해를 최소화하는 방안 마련이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 '노량진 배수지 수몰 사고', '초량제1지하차도 침수사고'에 대한 동수역학 모의를 수행하고 침수양상을 해석하였으며, 침수위험도 정량화 지수를 이용하여 공간적 위험도를 산정하였다. 또한 특성요인도를 통해 침수사고에 대한 물리적, 관리적 원인을 체계적으로 제시하였다.

Health Risks to Children and Adults Residing in Riverine Environments where Surficial Sediments Contain Metals Generated by Active Gold Mining in Ghana

  • Armah, Frederick Ato;Gyeabour, Elvis Kyere
    • Toxicological Research
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.69-79
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the current status of metal pollution in the sediment from rivers, lakes, and streams in active gold mining districts in Ghana. Two hundred and fifty surface sediment samples from 99 locations were collected and analyzed for concentrations of As, Hg, Cr, Co, Cu, Fe, Zn, Pb, Cd, Ni, and Mn using inductively coupled plasma-mass spectroscopy (ICP-MS). Metal concentrations were then used to assess the human health risks to resident children and adults in central tendency exposure (CTE) and reasonable maximum exposure (RME) scenarios. The concentrations of Pb, Cd, and As were almost twice the threshold values established by the Hong Kong Interim Sediment Quality Guidelines (ISQG). Hg, Cu, and Cr concentrations in sediment were 14, 20, and 26 times higher than the Canadian Freshwater Sediment Guidelines for these elements. Also, the concentrations of Pb, Cu, Cr, and Hg were 3, 11, 12, and 16 times more than the Australian and New Zealand Environment and Conservation Council (ANZECC) sediment guideline values. The results of the human health risk assessment indicate that for ingestion of sediment under the central tendency exposure (CTE) scenario, the cancer risks for child and adult residents from exposure to As were $4.18{\times}10^{-6}$ and $1.84{\times}10^{-7}$, respectively. This suggests that up to 4 children out of one million equally exposed children would contract cancer if exposed continuously to As over 70 years (the assumed lifetime). The hazard index for child residents following exposure to Cr(VI) in the RME scenario was 4.2. This is greater than the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) threshold of 1, indicating that adverse health effects to children from exposure to Cr(VI) are possible. This study demonstrates the urgent need to control industrial emissions and the severe heavy metal pollution in gold mining environments.

Establishment of Acceptable Daily Intakes (ADIs) and Risk Assessment for Ephedrine, Menichlopholan, Anacolin, and Etisazole Hydrochloride

  • Min Ji Kim;Ji Young Kim;Jang Duck Choi;Guiim Moon
    • 한국환경농학회지
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    • 제41권4호
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    • pp.261-275
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    • 2022
  • BACKGROUND: Prior to implementing a positive list system (PLS), there is a need to establish acceptable daily intake (ADI) and maximum residue limit (MRL) for veterinary drugs that have been approved a few decades ago in South Korea. On top of that, chronic dietary exposure assessment of veterinary drug residues should be performed to determine whether the use of these veterinary drugs would cause health concerns or not. METHODS AND RESULTS: To establish the ADI, the relevant toxicological data were collected from evaluation reports issued by international organizations. A slightly modified global estimate of chronic dietary exposure (GECDE) model was employed in the exposure assessment owing to the limited residual data. Therefore, only the ADI of ephedrine was established due to insufficient data for the other veterinary drugs. Thus, instead of ADI, the threshold of toxicological concern (TTC) value was used for the other drugs. Lastly, the hazard index (HI) was calculated, except for etizazole hydrochloride, due to the potential of mutagenicity. CONCLUSION(S): The HI values of ephedrine, menichlopholan, and anacolin were found to be as high as 6.4%, suggesting that chronic dietary exposure to the residues from these uses was unlikely to be a public health concern. Further research for exposure assessment of veterinary drug residues should be performed using up-todate Korean national health and nutrition examination survey (KNHANES) food consumption data. In addition, all relevant available data sources should be utilized for identifying the potentials of toxicity.

Hazard prediction of coal and gas outburst based on fisher discriminant analysis

  • Chen, Liang;Wang, Enyuan;Feng, Junjun;Wang, Xiaoran;Li, Xuelong
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.861-879
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    • 2017
  • Coal and gas outburst is a serious dynamic disaster that occurs during coal mining and threatens the lives of coal miners. Currently, coal and gas outburst is commonly predicted using single indicator and its critical value. However, single indicator is unable to fully reflect all of the factors impacting outburst risk and has poor prediction accuracy. Therefore, a more accurate prediction method is necessary. In this work, we first analyzed on-site impacting factors and precursors of coal and gas outburst; then, we constructed a Fisher discriminant analysis (FDA) index system using the gas adsorption index of drilling cutting ${\Delta}h_2$, the drilling cutting weight S, the initial velocity of gas emission from borehole q, the thickness of soft coal h, and the maximum ratio of post-blasting gas emission peak to pre-blasting gas emission $B_{max}$; finally, we studied an FDA-based multiple indicators discriminant model of coal and gas outburst, and applied the discriminant model to predict coal and gas outburst. The results showed that the discriminant model has 100% prediction accuracy, even when some conventional indexes are lower than the warning criteria. The FDA method has a broad application prospects in coal and gas outburst prediction.