• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hazard Index

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Liquefaction Hazard Assessment according to Seismic Recurrence Intervals Using Simple Estimating Method in Busan City, Korea (간이평가법을 이용한 지진재현주기별 부산광역시 액상화 재해 평가)

  • Lim, Hyunjee;Jeong, Rae-yoon;Oh, Dongha;Kang, Hyejin;Son, Moon
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.589-602
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    • 2020
  • As can be seen in many earthquakes, liquefaction causes differential settlement, which sometimes produces serious damages such as building destruction and ground subsidence. There are many possible active faults near the Busan city and the Yangsan, Dongrae, and Ilgwang faults among them pass through the city. The Busan city is also located within the influence of recent earthquakes, which occurred in the Gyeongju, Pohang, and Kumamoto (Japan). Along the wide fault valleys in the city, the Quaternary unconsolidated alluvial sediments are thickly accumulated, and the reclaimed lands with beach sediments are widely distributed in the coastal area. A large earthquake near or in the Busan city is thus expected to cause major damage due to liquefaction in urban areas. This study conducted an assessment of the liquefaction hazard according to seismic recurrence intervals across the Busan city. As a result, although there are slight differences in degree depending on seismic recurrence intervals, it is predicted that the liquefaction potential is very high in the areas of the Nakdonggang Estuary, Busan Bay, Suyeong Bay, and Songjeong Station. In addition, it is shown that the shorter the seismic recurrence interval, the greater difference the liquefaction potential depending on site periods.

Risk of Flood Damage Potential and Design Frequency (홍수피해발생 잠재위험도와 기왕최대강수량을 이용한 설계빈도의 연계)

  • Park, Seok Geun;Lee, Keon Haeng;Kyung, Min Soo;Kim, Hung Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.5B
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    • pp.489-499
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    • 2006
  • The Potential Flood Damage (PFD) is widely used for representing the degree of potential of flood damage. However, this cannot be related with the design frequency of river basin and so we have difficulty in the use of water resources field. Therefore, in this study, the concept of Potential Risk for Flood Damage Occurrence (PRFD) was introduced and estimated, which can be related to the design frequency. The PRFD has three important elements of hazard, exposure, and vulnerability. The hazard means a probability of occurrence of flood event, the exposure represents the degree that the property is exposed in the flood hazard, and the vulnerability represents the degree of weakness of the measures for flood prevention. Those elements were devided into some sub-elements. The hazard is explained by the frequency based rainfall, the exposure has two sub-elements which are population density and official land price, and the vulnerability has two sub-elements which are undevelopedness index and ability of flood defence. Each sub-elements are estimated and the estimated values are rearranged in the range of 0 to 100. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is also applied to determine weighting coefficients in the equation of PRFD. The PRFD for the Anyang river basin and the design frequency are estimated by using the maximum rainfall. The existing design frequency for Anyang river basin is in the range of 50 to 200. And the design frequency estimation result of PRFD of this study is in the range of 110 to 130. Therefore, the developed method for the estimation of PRFD and the design frequency for the administrative districts are used and the method for the watershed and the river channel are to be applied in the future study.

Smoke Hazard Assessment of Cypress Wood Coated with Boron/Silicon Sol Compounds (붕소/실리콘 졸 화합물로 도포된 편백 목재의 연기유해성 평가)

  • Jin, Eui;Chung, Yeong-Jin
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2020
  • In this study, boron/silicon sol compounds were applied to wood for construction and durable materials, and fire risks were investigated in terms of smoke performance index (SPI), smoke growth index (SGI), and smoke intensity (SI). The compound was synthesized by reacting tetraethoxyorthosilicate with boric acid and boronic acid derivatives. Smoke characteristics were investigated using a cone calorimeter (ISO 5660-1) equipment for cypress wood. The fire intensity fixed the external heat flux at 50 kW/㎡. The smoke performance index measured after the combustion reaction increased between 13.4% and 126.7% compared with cypress wood. The fire risk due to the smoke performance index decreased in the order of cypress, phenylboronic acid/silicon sol (PBA/Si), (2-methylpropyl) boronic acid/silicon sol (IBBA/Si), boric acid/silicon sol (BA/Si). The smoke growth index decreased between 12.0% and 57.5% compared to the base specimen. The risk of fire caused by the smoke growth index decreased in the order of cypress, PBA/Si, IBBA/Si, BA/Si. The fire risk due to smoke intensity decreased between 3.2% and 57.8%, and in the order of cypress, PBA/Si, IBBA/Si, BA/Si. COpeak concentrations ranged between 85 and 93 ppm, and decreased between 37% and 43% compared to the base specimen. A comprehensive assessment of the fire risk on smoke hazards decreased in the order of cypress, PBA/Si, IBBA/Si, BA/Si.

Heat Risk Assessment of Wood Coated with Boron/Silicone Sol (붕소/실리콘 졸로 도포된 목재의 열위험성 평가)

  • Jin, Eui;Chung, Yeong-Jin
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.9-20
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    • 2019
  • This study was examined fire risk properties of wood specimen for the constructional interiors, especially focusing on the fire performance index (FPI) and the fire growth index (FGI) as heat hazard characteristics. Flame retardants were synthesized using boric acid, boronic acid and tetraethoxyorthosilicate. Heat release characteristics were measured by using a cone calorimeter (ISO 5660-1) and cypress was used. The external heat flux as fire intensity was maintained at 50 kW/㎡. The measured fire performance index (FPI) after burning was increased by 1.6 times for boric acid/silicone (BA/Si) sol, each 1.1 times for isobutylboronic acid/silicone (IBBA/Si) sol and phenylboronic acid/silicone (PBA/Si) sol compared with cypress. Fire risk by the fire performance index was increased BA/Si, IBBA/Si ≈ PBA/Si order. The fire growth index was decreased 94% for the BA/Si and 8% for the IBBA/Si sol, and was increased by 17% for the PBA/Si sol. Fire risk by the fire growth index was increased BA/Si, IBBA/Si, PBA/Si order. Overall fire risk was higher in the order of BA/Si < IBBA/Si < PBA/Si.

Development of Mid-range Forecast Models of Forest Fire Risk Using Machine Learning (기계학습 기반의 산불위험 중기예보 모델 개발)

  • Park, Sumin;Son, Bokyung;Im, Jungho;Kang, Yoojin;Kwon, Chungeun;Kim, Sungyong
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.38 no.5_2
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    • pp.781-791
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    • 2022
  • It is crucial to provide forest fire risk forecast information to minimize forest fire-related losses. In this research, forecast models of forest fire risk at a mid-range (with lead times up to 7 days) scale were developed considering past, present and future conditions (i.e., forest fire risk, drought, and weather) through random forest machine learning over South Korea. The models were developed using weather forecast data from the Global Data Assessment and Prediction System, historical and current Fire Risk Index (FRI) information, and environmental factors (i.e., elevation, forest fire hazard index, and drought index). Three schemes were examined: scheme 1 using historical values of FRI and drought index, scheme 2 using historical values of FRI only, and scheme 3 using the temporal patterns of FRI and drought index. The models showed high accuracy (Pearson correlation coefficient >0.8, relative root mean square error <10%), regardless of the lead times, resulting in a good agreement with actual forest fire events. The use of the historical FRI itself as an input variable rather than the trend of the historical FRI produced more accurate results, regardless of the drought index used.

A Study for Monitoring Soil Liquefaction Occurred by Earthquakes Using Soil Moisture Indices Derived from the Multi-temporal Landsat Satellite Imagery Acquired in Pohang, South Korea (다중시기 Landsat 위성영상으로부터 산출한 토양 수분 지수를 활용하여 지진 발생으로 인한 토양 액상화 모니터링에 관한 연구: 포항시를 사례로)

  • PARK, Insun;KIM, Kyoung-Seop;HAN, Byeong Cheol;CHOUNG, Yun-Jae;GU, Bon Yup;HAN, Jin Tae;KIM, Jongkwan
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.126-137
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    • 2021
  • Recently, the number of damages on social infrastructure has increased due to natural disasters and the frequency of earthquake events that are higher than magnitude 3 has increased in South Korea. Liquefaction was found near the epicenter of a 5.4 magnitude earthquake that occurred in Pohang, South Korea, in 2017. To explore increases in soil moisture index due to soil liquefaction, changes in the remote exploration index by the land cover before and post-earthquake occurrence were analyzed using liquefaction feasibility index and multi-cyclical Landsat-8 satellite images. We found that the soil moisture index(SMI) in the liquefaction region immediately after the earthquake event increased significantly using the Normal Vegetation Index(NDVI) and Surface Temperature(LST).

Risk Assessment and Airworthiness Study for the Development of IFS A/C (공중모의비행시험기 개조개발 위험도 분석 및 감항인증 연구)

  • Ko, Joon Soo;Ahn, Jong Min
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.138-145
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    • 2013
  • Airworthiness certification is a government certification for the military aircraft to safely attain, sustain and terminate flight and It is a mandatory process of qualifying the flight safety within the operational boundaries of a military aircraft. To save the manhour, time and cost for applying all the airworthiness certification criteria to the aircraft equipped with flight control switching mechanism development program, an identification of the risk and systematic assessment of risk is analysed. Airworthiness redesign actions so called software switching mechanism for the modified aircraft in the flight technology and electric system area are suggested to reduce the risk hazard index.

APPLICATION OF LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL AND ITS VALIDATION FOR LANDSLIDE SUSCEPTIBILITY MAPPING USING GIS AND REMOTE SENSING DATA AT PENANG, MALAYSIA

  • LEE SARO
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.310-313
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    • 2004
  • The aim of this study is to evaluate the hazard of landslides at Penang, Malaysia, using a Geographic Information System (GIS) and remote sensing. Landslide locations were identified in the study area from interpretation of aerial photographs and from field surveys. Topographical and geological data and satellite images were collected, processed, and constructed into a spatial database using GIS and image processing. The factors chosen that influence landslide occurrence were: topographic slope, topographic aspect, topographic curvature and distance from drainage, all from the topographic database; lithology and distance from lineament, taken from the geologic database; land use from TM satellite images; and the vegetation index value from SPOT satellite images. Landslide hazardous area were analysed and mapped using the landslide-occurrence factors by logistic regression model. The results of the analysis were verified using the landslide location data and compared with probabilistic model. The validation results showed that the logistic regression model is better prediction accuracy than probabilistic model.

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Certification Criteria and Safety Assessment for High Altitude Long Endurance Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (장기체공 무인항공기 기술기준 및 안전성 평가 연구)

  • Ko, Joon Soo;Kim, Kyungmok
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2016
  • Multi disciplinary approach for aerodynamics, structure, propulsion, and flight control system is necessary to develop High Altitude Long Endurance Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (HALE UAV). Various HALE UAV development trends are surveyed to understand their operational requirements. Separating the UAV Take Off Weight by 150kg, Airworthiness implementation direction for HALE UAV is studied under the current Airworthiness regulations. NATO STANAG 4671 and STANAG 4703 Airworthiness certification criteria are analyzed, and their applicability was proposed for future HALE UAV development. In addition, minimization of the risk for UAV is studied by considering probability of cumulative catastrophic failure for HALE UAV. This Hazard Risk Index can support the future UAV Airworthiness Certification Criteria.

Assessment of Combustion Property for Epoxy/Montmorillonite Composite (Epoxy/Montmorillonite 합성체의 연소 특성 평가)

  • Song, Young-Ho;Ha, Dong-Myeong;Chung, Kook-Sam
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.168-172
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    • 2008
  • The flame retardancy by the addition of clay was evaluated to present as the fundamental data to decrease the fire hazard of polymers and life losses. The flame retardancy was examined to increase flame retardancy and to decrease smoke yield of epoxy by the addition of clay such as montmorillonite. For this study, the experiments of flame retardancy were conducted as follows : the measurement of the limiting oxygen index(LOI), char yield, and smoke density. As MMT concentration increased, epoxy/MMT composite increased LOI and char yield with the decreased smoke density.

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