• 제목/요약/키워드: Groundwater model

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컨벌루션 기법을 이용한 제주도 표선유역 부정류 지하수 흐름 모델 개발 (Development of a Transient Groundwater Flow Model in Pyoseon Watershed of Jeju Island: Use of a Convolution Method)

  • 김승구;구민호;정일문
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.481-494
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    • 2015
  • Groundwater level hydrographs from observation wells in Jeju island clearly illustrate distinctive features of recharge showing the time-delaying and dispersive process, mainly affected by the thickness and hydrogeologic properties of the unsaturated zone. Most groundwater flow models have limitations on delineating temporal variation of recharge, although it is a major component of the groundwater flow system. Recently, a convolution model was suggested as a mathematical technique to generate time series of recharge that incorporated the time-delaying and dispersive process. A groundwater flow model was developed to simulate transient groundwater level fluctuations in Pyoseon area of Jeju island. The model used the convolution technique to simulate temporal variations of groundwater levels. By making a series of trial-and-error adjustments, transient model calibration was conducted for various input parameters of both the groundwater flow model and the convolution model. The calibrated model could simulate water level fluctuations closely coinciding with measurements from 8 observation wells in the model area. Consequently, it is expected that, in transient groundwater flow models, the convolution technique can be effectively used to generate a time series of recharge.

ARIMA 모델을 이용한 수막재배지역 지하수위 시계열 분석 및 미래추세 예측 (Time-series Analysis and Prediction of Future Trends of Groundwater Level in Water Curtain Cultivation Areas Using the ARIMA Model)

  • 백미경;김상민
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제65권2호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzed the impact of greenhouse cultivation area and groundwater level changes due to the water curtain cultivation in the greenhouse complexes. The groundwater observation data in the Miryang study area were used and classified into greenhouse and field cultivation areas to compare the groundwater impact of water curtain cultivation in the greenhouse complex. We identified the characteristics of the groundwater time series data by the terrain of the study area and selected the optimal model through time series analysis. We analyzed the time series data for each terrain's two representative groundwater observation wells. The Seasonal ARIMA model was chosen as the optimal model for riverside well, and for plain and mountain well, the ARIMA model and Seasonal ARIMA model were selected as the optimal model. A suitable prediction model is not limited to one model due to a change in a groundwater level fluctuation pattern caused by a surrounding environment change but may change over time. Therefore, it is necessary to periodically check and revise the optimal model rather than continuously applying one selected ARIMA model. Groundwater forecasting results through time series analysis can be used for sustainable groundwater resource management.

강우량과 지하 수위를 이용한 지하수 함양특성 분석 (Analysis of Groundwater Recharge Characteristics Using Relationship between Rainfall and Groundwater Level)

  • 이동률;구호본
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2000
  • 시계열모형과 시차분포모형을 결합한 동적모형을 이용하여 강우량과 지하수위의 관계를 파악하였다. 시차에 따른 현재 및 과거 강우량과 과거 지하수위를 독립변수로 하여 동적모형을 구성하였다. 지하수위에 미치는 시차에 다른 강우량의 영향을 Almon 다항식으로 분포시켜 시차분포모형의 매개변수를 추정하였다. IHP 대표유역의 방림과 탄부의 지하수위관측소에서 적용된 동적모형은 강우량에 따른 지하수위를 매우 잘 재현해 주고 있으며, 지하 수위의 예측에도 이용할 수 있음을 확인하였다. 또한 모형의 매개변수는 대수층의 지질특성을 반영하고 있다. 지하수위는 1일전 강우량과 가장 큰 연관성이 있으며, 방림의 경우 18mm/일, 탄부의 경우 30mm/일 이하의 강우량에서는 지하수위의 변동에 큰 영향이 없었다.

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전남 무안 해안 대수층에서의 지하수위 예측을 위한 자기교차회귀모형 구축 (Development of the Autoregressive and Cross-Regressive Model for Groundwater Level Prediction at Muan Coastal Aquifer in Korea)

  • 김현정;여인욱
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2014
  • Coastal aquifer in Muan, Jeonnam, has experienced heavy seawater intrusion caused by the extraction of a substantial amount of groundwater for the agricultural purpose throughout the year. It was observed that groundwater level dropped below sea level due to heavy pumping during a dry season, which could accelerate seawater intrusion. Therefore, water level needs to be monitored and managed to prevent further seawater intrusion. The purpose of this study is to develop the autoregressive-cross-regressive (ARCR) models that can predict the present or future groundwater level using its own previous values and pumping events. The ARCR model with pumping and water level data of the proceeding five hours (i.e., the model order of five) predicted groundwater level better than that of the model orders of ten and twenty. This was contrary to expectation that higher orders do increase the coefficient of determination ($R^2$) as a measure of the model's goodness. It was found that the ARCR model with order five was found to make a good prediction of next 48 hour groundwater levels after the start of pumping with $R^2$ higher than 0.9.

보 건설이 주변지역 지하수 흐름계에 미치는 영향 (Analyzing the Effect of a Weir Construction on the Groundwater Flow System)

  • 정수정;구민호
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2012
  • Visual MODFLOW, a three dimensional groundwater flow model, was used to analyze effects of a weir construction in an alluvial stream on the nearby groundwater flow system. A hypothetical conceptual model was developed to investigate how the groundwater level and the water budget could change after a weir construction depending on the location of tributary streams. A site example, dealing with the Juksan weir installed in the Yeongsan River, was also demonstrated to predict the effects of the weir construction. Model results show that impacts of a weir construction on the groundwater flow system greatly vary depending on how far a tributary is located and whether it is located downstream or upstream from the weir. Therefore, consideration of the location of tributaries in planning the location of a weir could effectively minimize the impacts of a weir construction on the groundwater flow system. It is also demonstrated that model results are highly dependent upon how the model is dealing with small tributaries and agricultural drainage channels, which can be easily found nearby the main streams, acting as major water bodies for groundwater discharge. The model for the Juksan area shows that the weir construction will change the direction of groundwater flow in some areas, leading to changes of groundwater quality and interaction of the Yeongsan River to the aquifer from a gaining to a losing stream. The model also predicted the areas where rise of groundwater level caused by the Juksan weir could adversely affect plant growth, and thereby suggested installing new drainage channels as a countermeasure to drawdown the groundwater level.

Development and application of a GIS based groundwater modeling system

  • Lee, Saro;Park, Eungyu;Cho, Min-Joe
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.551-565
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    • 2002
  • To carry out systematic groundwater assessment, exploration and management and to use these for protection of optimal groundwater yield, a data analysis and management system is required. Thus, the object of this research was to develop and apply software that integrates GIS and groundwater modeling: GISGAM (GIS for groundwater analysis and management system). The GIS program ArcView and the groundwater-modeling program MODFLOW were used for the GISGAM. The program components consist of a pre-processor, a processor, and a post-processor for groundwater modeling. In addition, GIS functions such as input, manipulation, analysis and output of data were embedded into the program. In applying the program to pilot area, topography, geology, soil, land use and well databases, and a groundwater flow model were constructed for the study area. This case study revealed the advantage and convenience of groundwater modeling using GIS capabilities. By integrating GIS and the groundwater model, the impact of changing values of hydrogeological constants on model results could be more easily evaluated.

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매립지 지하수 오염물 확산이송의 유한요소 모형 (A Finite Element Model of Groundwater Contamination at Landfill Site)

  • 류병로
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.495-511
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    • 1996
  • The quantitative study of the groundwater contamination in a porous media is a difficult task. For complex problems, numerical solutions are the most effective means to study the movement of contaminants in the groundwater, The solute transport model used in this study has proved to be an efficient tool to model contaminant transport for complex problems. The model demonstrates its effectiveness in reproducing the coniamination by ihlorides of the groundwater at the landfill site due to leachath from the wastes. It describes the two dimentional solute transport and alteration of the water quality and forecasts the contamination for different management alternatives of the landfill. The model also indicates how the groundwater contamination can be contained within the lower site if a barrier is constructed downstream of the disposed wastes.

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DRASTIC과 SINTACS 모델의 비교적용에 의한 부여읍 일대의 지하수 오염 취약성 평가 (A Comparative Application of DRASTIC and SINTACS Models for The Assessment of Groundwater Vulnerability of Buyeo Area)

  • 강진희;박은규
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.32-39
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    • 2010
  • In this study, we applied DRASTIC and SINTACS models for the assessment of groundwater vulnerability to Buyeo-eup area in Buyeo-gun, Chungcheongnam-do, Korea. Currently, DRASTIC model is a main tool for the assessment of groundwater vulnerability, which has been widely applied for the multiple purposes related to local developments, construction projects, groundwater investigations, etc. since 1980s. Because DRASTIC model has been the sole tool used for the domestic environment, there has been doubt about the degree of reliability of the model, and a benchmark model has been sought by the many practitioners. The objective of this study is to check the applicability of SINTACS model to domestic environment, which is the first attempt in Korea as far as authors understand. The comparative results show that the DRASTIC assessment underestimates groundwater vulnerability of the aquifers composed of fractured bedrocks while that from the SINTACS model is relatively higher. Through this study, it is expected that SINTACS model serves as a reasonable alternative of DRASTIC model where the subsurface is composed of more than two different media such as fractured rocks and alluvium.

WINFLOW 모델을 이용한 지하수 유동해석 (Groundwater Movement Analysis Using the WINFLOW Model)

  • 최윤영;안승섭;김재광
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제45권3호
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    • pp.103-115
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    • 2003
  • This study examines groundwater movement system analysis and movement forecast algorithm using finite element method. The target is Cheongha-myeon area, Bukgu, Pohang-city which has many difficulties in water supply during drought period. From the comparison of the differences between obtained values by WINFlOW model and observed values, it is thought that groundwater head distribution under steady flow is reflected well at the level of reliability Groundwater movement of study area shows stable pattern from western watershed to eastern coastal area while flow path is dense and steep in the center of the coastal area. The results of particle tracing for each well show a comparatively straight line from the western boundary side to the observation position at the upper area of the well, and are analyzed as it diffuses according to getting closer to the coast at the lower area of the well. The result of effect circle examination attendant on pumping amount in study area shows variation tendency that groundwater head decreases at the side and the lower area more than at the upper area of the well when groundwater flows from west to east(coast). As mentioned above, satisfactory results of groundwater movement analysis using WINFlOW model, two dimensional groundwater movement analysis model, are obtained through the great decrease of physical uncertainty of groundwater movement system.

Real Options Analysis of Groundwater Extraction and Management with Water Price Uncertainty

  • Lee, Jaehyung
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.639-666
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    • 2018
  • This paper analyses the investment options of groundwater development project under water price uncertainty. The optimal investment threshold price which trigger the investment are calibrated base on monopolistic real options model. Stochastic dynamic model is set to reflect the uncertainty of water price which follows the GBM (Geometric Brownian Motion) process. Our finding from non-cooperative investment decision model is that uncertainty of water price could deter the groundwater investment by considering the existence of option values. For policy markers, it is easy to manage 'charges for utilization of groundwater' rather than 'performance guarantee ratio' when managing groundwater investment with pricing policy. And it is necessary to make comprehensive and well-designed policies considering the characteristics of regional groundwater reservoir and groundwater developers.