• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.37 no.4
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• pp.315-328
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• 2004

Recent increase of green house gases may increase the frequency of meteorological extremes. In this study, using the index and meteorological data generated by the Markov chain model under the condition of GCM predictions, the possible width of variability of flood and drought occurrences were predicted. As results, we could find that the frequency of both floods and droughts would be increased to make the water resources planning and management more difficult. Thus, it is recommended to include the effect of climate change on water resources in the related policy making.