• Current Photovoltaic Research
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.39-43
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• 2020

In this study, we predict the generation of end-of-life photovoltaic modules when Feed in Tariff applied, in Republic of Korea. Based on the installation of photovoltaic modules, we prepared three different senarios in order to estimate the generation of end-of-life photovoltaic modules. The senarios are i) early worn-out, ii) mid worn-out and iii) late-worn out senario. We selected the mid worn-out senario to estimated the amount of end-of-life photovoltaic modules in this study. Establishment of the end-of-life module generation scenario predicted generation of end-of-life photovoltaic module, and forecasted generation amount of end-of-life module to which Feed in Tariff was applied in consideration of installed photovoltaic modules installed by Feed in Tariff support. The generation of Feed in Tariff-applied end-of-life modules increased from 2021 to 2025 compared to without Feed in Tariff, and since then, the Feed in Tariff-applied end-of-life modules were generated as waste modules during the relevant period (2021 ~ 2025).

• Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.116-124
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• 2008

In this study, the Tier 2 method recommended by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was used to predict the methane generation rate at two landfill sites, designated as Y and C for purposes of this study, in South Korea. Factors such as the average annual waste disposal, methane emissions ($L_0$) and methane gas generation rate constant (k) were estimated by analyses of waste and the historical data for the landfills. The value of k was estimated by field experiments and then the changes in the methane generation rate were predicted through the year 2050, based on the value of k. The Y landfill site, which was in operation until the year 2008, will generate a total of 17, 198.7 tons by the end of 2018, according to our estimations. At the C landfill site, which will not be closed until the end of 2011, the amount of methane gas generated in 2011 will be 3,316 tons and the total amount of gas generated by 2029 will be 61,200 tons. The total production rate of methane gas at the C landfill is higher than that of the Y landfill. This indicates that the capacity of a landfill site affects the production rate of methane gas. However, the interrelation between the generation rate of methane and the value of k is weak. In addition, the generation of methane gas does not cease even when the operations at a landfill site come to a close and the methane gas production rate is at its highest at end of the operating life of a landfill site.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.1504-1514
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• 2018

The objective of this study is to compare the suitability of a non-parametric and 3 parametric distributions in the characterization of prediction intervals of photovoltaic power forecasts with high confidence levels. The prediction intervals of the forecasts are calculated using a method based on recent past data similar to the target forecast input data, and on a distribution assumption for the forecast error. To compare the suitability of the distributions, prediction intervals were calculated using the proposed method and each of the 4 distributions. The calculations were done for one year of day-ahead forecasts of hourly power generation of 432 PV systems. The systems have different sizes and specifications, and are installed in different locations in Japan. The results show that, in general, the non-parametric distribution assumption for the forecast error yielded the best prediction intervals. For example, with a confidence level of 85% the use of the non-parametric distribution assumption yielded a median annual forecast error coverage of 86.9%. This result was close to the one obtained with the Laplacian distribution assumption (87.8% of coverage for the same confidence level). Contrasting with that, using a Gaussian and Hyperbolic distributions yielded median annual forecast error coverage of 89.5% and 90.5%.

• 한국항공우주학회지
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• 제45권10호
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• pp.881-891
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• 2017

본 논문에서는 인공위성의 궤도예측을 위해 사용되는 미국 합동우주관제센터(JSpOC, Joint Space Operation Center)의 TLE(Two Line Element) 정보에 대한 SGP4(Simplified General Perturbations 4) 모델의 장기 궤도예측 오차를 줄이기 위해 과거의 TLE 정보들을 이용한 보상기법을 적용하여 새로운 TLE 정보를 생성하는 방법에 대해 기술하고 있다. 이를 위해 과거 특정 시점에서의 TLE 정보를 바탕으로 현재까지 궤도전파를 한 데이터와 동일기간 동안 미국 합동우주관제센터에서 공개된 모든 TLE를 이용해서 궤도전파를 수행한 데이터를 비교하여 계산한 궤도잔차를 이용하였다. 이러한 궤도잔차 성분은 SGP4 궤도전파 모델에 의한 궤도오차 증가 경향을 보여주고 있기 때문에 궤도오차 보정을 위해 해당 궤도잔차 성분들을 적절한 함수로 표현하였다. 이후, 현재 시점에서 공개된 TLE 정보를 이용한 SGP4 궤도전파 데이터에 해당 잔차함수를 적용함으로써 장기 궤도전파에 따른 SGP4 모델의 궤도오차를 줄일 수 있었으며, 이를 바탕으로 새로운 TLE 정보를 생성하였다. 본 논문에서 일주일의 궤도전파에 대한 시뮬레이션을 통해 기존의 TLE를 이용한 궤도전파 오차가 4km 정도인 반면 새로운 TLE 생성기법에 의한 궤도전파 오차가 약 2km 수준으로 줄어드는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국해양정보통신학회 2010년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.942-945
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• 2010

분산형 전원은 에너지 실수요자 근처 혹은 건물 내부에 소형 발전설비(태양광, 풍력 발전을 포함하는 신재생에너지 발전)를 설치해 에너지 손실과 송 배전 설비를 줄이려는 노력에서 출발했다. 최근 세계적으로 기후 환경 변화에 대처하기 위해 다양한 신재생에너지를 활용하기 위한 댁내 분산형 전원 환경 시대를 예고하고 있다. 특히 태양광, 풍력 발전은 댁내에 설치하기 용이하고 가장 경제성이 뛰어나 많은 기업들이 적극적으로 사업에 진출하고 있다. 하지만 풍력 발전의 경우 바람의 세기에 따라 발전량의 변화가 심하고, 태양광은 일사량 및 일조량의 영향을 많이 받기 때문에 기후 상황에 따라 출력이 불안정하다는 단점이 있기 때문에 균일한 전력품질을 제공하기 위해 해결해야 할 기술적인 과제를 가지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 댁내에서 운용이 용이한 풍력 에너지, 태양광 에너지 및 기존 전력으로 구성되는 분산형 전원시스템에서 기후변화에 민감한 신재생에너지 발전량의 예측 방법에 대해 제안한다. 이를 바탕으로 효율적인 분산전력 관리를 가능하게 하며, 궁극적으로 제로에너지 홈을 구현하기 위한 기본 요소 기술을 제공하는 것이 본 논문의 목표이다.

• 대한전기학회논문지:시스템및제어부문D
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• 제54권1호
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• pp.1-10
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• 2005

This paper proposes a new and simple input prediction method for robust servo system. A robust tracking control system for optical disk drives was proposed recently based on both Coprime Factorization (CF) and Zero Phase Error Tracking (ZPET) control. The CF control system can be designed simply and systematically. Moreover, this system has not only stability but also robustness to parameter uncertainties and disturbance rejection capability. Since optical disk tracking servo system can detect only tracking error, it was proposed that the reference input signal for ZPET could be estimated from tracking errors. In this paper, we propose a new control structure for the ZPET controller. It requires less memory than the previously proposed method for the reference signal generation. Numerical simulation results show that the proposed method is effective.

• 한국전산유체공학회지
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.49-56
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• 2003

Three-dimensional endwall flow within a linear cascade passage of high performance turbine blade is simulated with a 3-D Navier-Stokes CFD code (MOSA3D), which is based on body-fitted coordinate system, pressure-correction and finite volume method. The endwall flow characteristics, including the development and generation of horseshoe vortex, passage vortex, etc. are clearly simulated, consistent with the generally known tendency. The effects of both turbulence model and convective differencing scheme on the prediction performance of endwall flow are systematically analyzed in the present paper. The convective scheme is found to have stronger effect than the turbulence model on the prediction performance of endwall flow. The present simulation result also indicates that the suction leg of the horseshoe vortex continues on the suction side until it reaches the trailing edge.

• 한국전산유체공학회지
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.1-6
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• 2003

Three-dimensional endwall flow within a linear cascade passage of high performance turbine blade is simulated with a 3-D Wavier-Stokes CFD code (MOSA3D), which is based on body-fitted coordinate system, pressure-correction and finite volume method. the endwall flow characteristics, including the development and generation of horseshoe vortex, passage vortex, etc. are clearly simulated, consistent with the generally known tendency The effects of both turbulence model and convective differencing scheme on the Prediction performance of endwall flow are systematically analyzed in the present paper. The convective scheme is found to have stronger effect than the turbulence modei on the prediction performance of endwall flow. The present simulation result also indicates that the suction leg of the horseshoe vortex continues on the suction side until it reaches the trailing edge.

• 한국주조공학회지
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.67-72
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• 1989

Solidification analysis was conducted on large steel castings and ingots by a modified finite difference method. Auto-mesh generation system was developed for improving the application of the computer analysis system to casting disign. Combined use of the prediction parameters, solidification time and temperature gradient, and an auxiliary parameter, shrinkage potential, were used to predict the formation of shrinkage defects. Several examples on the prediction of shrinkage cavity by this method were campared with the experimental reslts. It was found that a quantitative design of large steel castings and ingots can be made by the computer aided analysis of solidification process.

• 한국추진공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국추진공학회 2003년도 제21회 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.57-60
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• 2003

An axisymmetric compressible flow solver accounting for chemical equilibrium has been developed as an analysis tool exclusively suitable for performance prediction and optimum contour design of LRE thrust chamber. By virtue of several features focusing on user-friendliness and effectiveness including automatical grid generation and iterative calculations with changes in design parameters prescribed through only one keyword-type input file, a design engineer can evaluate very fast and easily the influences of various design inputs such as geometrical parameters and operating conditions on propulsive performance. Validations have been carried out for various aspects by detailed comparisons with the result of CEA code, experimental data of JPL nozzle, actual data for two historical engines, and ReTF data for KSR-III.