• Current Photovoltaic Research
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.39-43
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• 2020

In this study, we predict the generation of end-of-life photovoltaic modules when Feed in Tariff applied, in Republic of Korea. Based on the installation of photovoltaic modules, we prepared three different senarios in order to estimate the generation of end-of-life photovoltaic modules. The senarios are i) early worn-out, ii) mid worn-out and iii) late-worn out senario. We selected the mid worn-out senario to estimated the amount of end-of-life photovoltaic modules in this study. Establishment of the end-of-life module generation scenario predicted generation of end-of-life photovoltaic module, and forecasted generation amount of end-of-life module to which Feed in Tariff was applied in consideration of installed photovoltaic modules installed by Feed in Tariff support. The generation of Feed in Tariff-applied end-of-life modules increased from 2021 to 2025 compared to without Feed in Tariff, and since then, the Feed in Tariff-applied end-of-life modules were generated as waste modules during the relevant period (2021 ~ 2025).

• Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.116-124
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• 2008

In this study, the Tier 2 method recommended by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was used to predict the methane generation rate at two landfill sites, designated as Y and C for purposes of this study, in South Korea. Factors such as the average annual waste disposal, methane emissions ($L_0$) and methane gas generation rate constant (k) were estimated by analyses of waste and the historical data for the landfills. The value of k was estimated by field experiments and then the changes in the methane generation rate were predicted through the year 2050, based on the value of k. The Y landfill site, which was in operation until the year 2008, will generate a total of 17, 198.7 tons by the end of 2018, according to our estimations. At the C landfill site, which will not be closed until the end of 2011, the amount of methane gas generated in 2011 will be 3,316 tons and the total amount of gas generated by 2029 will be 61,200 tons. The total production rate of methane gas at the C landfill is higher than that of the Y landfill. This indicates that the capacity of a landfill site affects the production rate of methane gas. However, the interrelation between the generation rate of methane and the value of k is weak. In addition, the generation of methane gas does not cease even when the operations at a landfill site come to a close and the methane gas production rate is at its highest at end of the operating life of a landfill site.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.1504-1514
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• 2018

The objective of this study is to compare the suitability of a non-parametric and 3 parametric distributions in the characterization of prediction intervals of photovoltaic power forecasts with high confidence levels. The prediction intervals of the forecasts are calculated using a method based on recent past data similar to the target forecast input data, and on a distribution assumption for the forecast error. To compare the suitability of the distributions, prediction intervals were calculated using the proposed method and each of the 4 distributions. The calculations were done for one year of day-ahead forecasts of hourly power generation of 432 PV systems. The systems have different sizes and specifications, and are installed in different locations in Japan. The results show that, in general, the non-parametric distribution assumption for the forecast error yielded the best prediction intervals. For example, with a confidence level of 85% the use of the non-parametric distribution assumption yielded a median annual forecast error coverage of 86.9%. This result was close to the one obtained with the Laplacian distribution assumption (87.8% of coverage for the same confidence level). Contrasting with that, using a Gaussian and Hyperbolic distributions yielded median annual forecast error coverage of 89.5% and 90.5%.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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• v.45 no.10
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• pp.881-891
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• 2017

In this paper, we described the new TLE(Two Line Elements) generation method based on the compansation technique by using past TLEs(Two Line Elements) released by JSpOC(Joint Space Operation Center) in USA to reduce the orbit prediction error for long duration of SGP4(Simplified General Perturbations 4) which is a simplifed and analytical orbit propagator. The orbital residuals the orbital difference between two ephemeris for the first TLE only and for the all TLEs updated by JSpOC for the past some period was applied for this algorithm instead of general orbit determination software. Actually, in these orbital residuals, the trend of orbit prediction error from SGP4 is included. Thus, it is possible to make a simple residual function from these orbital residulas by using the fitting process. By using these residual functions with SGP4 prediction data for the currnet TLE data, the compansated orbit prediction can be reconstructed and the orbit prediction error for long duration of SGP4 is also reduced. And it is possible to generate new TLE data from it. In this paper, we demonstraed this algorithm in simple simulation, and the orbital error is decreased dramatically from 4km for the SGP4 propagation to 2km for it during 7 days as a result.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2010.05a
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• pp.942-945
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• 2010

The development of decentralized power has appeared as part of an effort to decrease the energy loss and the cost for electric power facilities through installing small renewable energy generation systems including solar and wind power generation. Recently a new era for decentralized power environment in building is coming in order to handle the climatic and environmental change occurred all over the world. Especially solar and wind power generation systems can be easily set up and are also economically feasible, and thus many industrial companies enter into this business. This paper suggests the overall architecture for the decentralized renewable power system and the prediction method of power on climatic change. The ultimate goal is to help manage the overall power efficiently and thus provide the technological basis for achieving zero-energy house.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
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• v.54 no.1
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• pp.1-10
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• 2005

This paper proposes a new and simple input prediction method for robust servo system. A robust tracking control system for optical disk drives was proposed recently based on both Coprime Factorization (CF) and Zero Phase Error Tracking (ZPET) control. The CF control system can be designed simply and systematically. Moreover, this system has not only stability but also robustness to parameter uncertainties and disturbance rejection capability. Since optical disk tracking servo system can detect only tracking error, it was proposed that the reference input signal for ZPET could be estimated from tracking errors. In this paper, we propose a new control structure for the ZPET controller. It requires less memory than the previously proposed method for the reference signal generation. Numerical simulation results show that the proposed method is effective.

• Journal of computational fluids engineering
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.49-56
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• 2003

Three-dimensional endwall flow within a linear cascade passage of high performance turbine blade is simulated with a 3-D Navier-Stokes CFD code (MOSA3D), which is based on body-fitted coordinate system, pressure-correction and finite volume method. The endwall flow characteristics, including the development and generation of horseshoe vortex, passage vortex, etc. are clearly simulated, consistent with the generally known tendency. The effects of both turbulence model and convective differencing scheme on the prediction performance of endwall flow are systematically analyzed in the present paper. The convective scheme is found to have stronger effect than the turbulence model on the prediction performance of endwall flow. The present simulation result also indicates that the suction leg of the horseshoe vortex continues on the suction side until it reaches the trailing edge.

• Journal of computational fluids engineering
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• v.8 no.3
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• pp.1-6
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• 2003

Three-dimensional endwall flow within a linear cascade passage of high performance turbine blade is simulated with a 3-D Wavier-Stokes CFD code (MOSA3D), which is based on body-fitted coordinate system, pressure-correction and finite volume method. the endwall flow characteristics, including the development and generation of horseshoe vortex, passage vortex, etc. are clearly simulated, consistent with the generally known tendency The effects of both turbulence model and convective differencing scheme on the Prediction performance of endwall flow are systematically analyzed in the present paper. The convective scheme is found to have stronger effect than the turbulence modei on the prediction performance of endwall flow. The present simulation result also indicates that the suction leg of the horseshoe vortex continues on the suction side until it reaches the trailing edge.

• Journal of Korea Foundry Society
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• v.9 no.1
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• pp.67-72
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• 1989

Solidification analysis was conducted on large steel castings and ingots by a modified finite difference method. Auto-mesh generation system was developed for improving the application of the computer analysis system to casting disign. Combined use of the prediction parameters, solidification time and temperature gradient, and an auxiliary parameter, shrinkage potential, were used to predict the formation of shrinkage defects. Several examples on the prediction of shrinkage cavity by this method were campared with the experimental reslts. It was found that a quantitative design of large steel castings and ingots can be made by the computer aided analysis of solidification process.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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• 2003.10a
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• pp.57-60
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• 2003

An axisymmetric compressible flow solver accounting for chemical equilibrium has been developed as an analysis tool exclusively suitable for performance prediction and optimum contour design of LRE thrust chamber. By virtue of several features focusing on user-friendliness and effectiveness including automatical grid generation and iterative calculations with changes in design parameters prescribed through only one keyword-type input file, a design engineer can evaluate very fast and easily the influences of various design inputs such as geometrical parameters and operating conditions on propulsive performance. Validations have been carried out for various aspects by detailed comparisons with the result of CEA code, experimental data of JPL nozzle, actual data for two historical engines, and ReTF data for KSR-III.