• Title/Summary/Keyword: Generation Prediction

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Prediction of Life of Heat Pipes by Measuring Temperature Distribution (온도측정에 의한 히트파이프의 수명예측)

  • Shin, Hung Tae;Polasek, Frantisek;Lee, Yoon Pyo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.23 no.7
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    • pp.856-863
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    • 1999
  • The thermal performance degradation of heat pipes is caused by the non-condensable gas generation mainly due to the electrochemical corrosion which results from the reaction of working fluids with tube materials. In this study, a simplified method described below was proposed to estimate the life of heat pipes concerning the non-condensable gas generation. The temperature distributions at the outer surface of heat pipes was measured, and based on them the amount of non-condensable gas of hydrogen was estimated. Applying it to the Arrhenius model, the mass generation of hydrogen and the volume occupied by the gas In heat pipes could be estimated for an operating temperature and time. Moreover, this simplified method was applied to the accelerated life test of nine methanol-stainless steel heat pipe samples.

PAIVS: prediction of avian influenza virus subtype

  • Park, Hyeon-Chun;Shin, Juyoun;Cho, Sung-Min;Kang, Shinseok;Chung, Yeun-Jun;Jung, Seung-Hyun
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.5.1-5.5
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    • 2020
  • Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) viruses have caused severe respiratory disease and death in poultry and human beings. Although most of the avian influenza viruses (AIVs) are of low pathogenicity and cause mild infections in birds, some subtypes including hemagglutinin H5 and H7 subtype cause HPAI. Therefore, sensitive and accurate subtyping of AIV is important to prepare and prevent for the spread of HPAI. Next-generation sequencing (NGS) can analyze the full-length sequence information of entire AIV genome at once, so this technology is becoming a more common in detecting AIVs and predicting subtypes. However, an analysis pipeline of NGS-based AIV sequencing data, including AIV subtyping, has not yet been established. Here, in order to support the pre-processing of NGS data and its interpretation, we developed a user-friendly tool, named prediction of avian influenza virus subtype (PAIVS). PAIVS has multiple functions that support the pre-processing of NGS data, reference-guided AIV subtyping, de novo assembly, variant calling and identifying the closest full-length sequences by BLAST, and provide the graphical summary to the end users.

Development of Economic Prediction Model for Internal Combustion Engine by Dual Fuel Generation (내연기관엔진의 가스혼소발전 경제성 예측모델 개발)

  • HUR, KWANG-BEOM;JANG, HYUCK-JUN;LEE, HYEONG-WON
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.380-386
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    • 2020
  • This paper represents an analysis of the economic impact of firing natural gas/diesel and natural gas/by-product oil mixtures in diesel engine power plants. The objects of analysis is a power plant with electricity generation capacity (300 kW). Using performance data of original diesel engines, the fuel consumption characteristics of the duel fuel engines were simulated. Then, economic assessment was carried out using the performance data and the net present value method. A special focus was given to the evaluation of fuel cost saving when firing natural gas/diesel and natural gas/by-product oil mixtures instead of the pure diesel firing case. Analyses were performed by assuming fuel price changes in the market as well as by using current prices. The analysis results showed that co-firing of natural gas/diesel and natural gas/by-product oil would provide considerable fuel cost saving, leading to meaningful economic benefits.

Automatic Tool Development for Initial Hull Form Design (초기 선형 설계를 위한 자동화 툴 개발)

  • Lee, Ju-Hyun;Rhee, Shin-Hyung;Jun, Dong-Su;Chi, Hye-Ryoun;Kim, Yong-Soo
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.763-769
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    • 2010
  • Thanks to the rapid advancement of computational power and development of numerical methods, Computational fluid dynamics techniques are being used widely for the prediction of ship resistance performance. In the present study, an automatic tool was developed to facilitate hull form modification, consequent mesh generation, and flow analysis for parametric study. It is a tedious job to go back and forth between geometry modification and mesh generation for every hull form variation. With the developed tool, users can make multiple hull form variation and their hull form performance prediction easily in a few simple steps. The verification of the developed tool was done by applying it to resistance performance parametric study of a generic POD propulsion cruise ship with different lengths of bow and stern. It is believed that the tool can be extended to more sophisticated hull form variation and help optimize the ship performance more efficiently.

The Development of Photovoltaic Resources Map Concerning Topographical Effect on Gangwon Region (지형효과를 고려한 강원지역의 태양광 발전지도 개발)

  • Jee, Joon-Bum;Zo, Il-Sung;Lee, Kyu-Tae;Lee, Won-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.37-46
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    • 2011
  • The GWNU (Gangnung-Wonju national university) solar radiation model was developed with radiative transfer theory by Iqbal and it is applied the NREL (National Research Energy Laboratory). Input data were collected and accomplished from the model prediction data from RDAPS (Regional Data Assimilated Prediction Model), satellite data and ground observations. And GWNU solar model calculates not only horizontal surface but also complicated terrain surface. Also, We collected the statistical data related on photovoltaic power generation of the Korean Peninsula and analyzed about photovoltaic power efficiency of the Gangwon region. Finally, the solar energy resource and photovoltaic generation possibility map established up with 4 km, 1 km and 180 m resolution on Gangwon region based on actual equipment from Shinan solar plant,statistical data for photovoltaic and complicated topographical effect.

Power Prediction of P-Type Si Bifacial PV Module Using View Factor for the Application to Microgrid Network (View Factor를 고려한 마이크로그리드 적용용 고효율 P-Type Si 양면형 태양광 모듈의 출력량 예측)

  • Choi, Jin Ho;Kim, David Kwangsoon;Cha, Hae Lim;Kim, Gyu Gwang;Bhang, Byeong Gwan;Park, So Young;Ahn, Hyung Keun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.182-187
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    • 2018
  • In this study, 20.8% of a p-type Si bifacial solar cell was used to develop a photovoltaic (PV) module to obtain the maximum power under a limited installation area. The transparent back sheet material was replaced during fabrication with a white one, which is opaque in commercial products. This is very beneficial for the generation of more electricity, owing to the additional power generation via absorption of light from the rear side. A new model is suggested herein to predict the power of the bifacial PV module by considering the backside reflections from the roof and/or environment. This model considers not only the frontside reflection, but also the nonuniformity of the backside light sources. Theoretical predictions were compared to experimental data to prove the validity of this model, the error range for which ranged from 0.32% to 8.49%. Especially, under $700W/m^2$, the error rate was as low as 2.25%. This work could provide theoretical and experimental bases for application to a distributed and microgrid network.

A Design and Analysis of Pressure Predictive Model for Oscillating Water Column Wave Energy Converters Based on Machine Learning (진동수주 파력발전장치를 위한 머신러닝 기반 압력 예측모델 설계 및 분석)

  • Seo, Dong-Woo;Huh, Taesang;Kim, Myungil;Oh, Jae-Won;Cho, Su-Gil
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.672-682
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    • 2020
  • The Korea Nowadays, which is research on digital twin technology for efficient operation in various industrial/manufacturing sites, is being actively conducted, and gradual depletion of fossil fuels and environmental pollution issues require new renewable/eco-friendly power generation methods, such as wave power plants. In wave power generation, however, which generates electricity from the energy of waves, it is very important to understand and predict the amount of power generation and operational efficiency factors, such as breakdown, because these are closely related by wave energy with high variability. Therefore, it is necessary to derive a meaningful correlation between highly volatile data, such as wave height data and sensor data in an oscillating water column (OWC) chamber. Secondly, the methodological study, which can predict the desired information, should be conducted by learning the prediction situation with the extracted data based on the derived correlation. This study designed a workflow-based training model using a machine learning framework to predict the pressure of the OWC. In addition, the validity of the pressure prediction analysis was verified through a verification and evaluation dataset using an IoT sensor data to enable smart operation and maintenance with the digital twin of the wave generation system.

Probabilistic Analysis of JPV Prime Generation Algorithm and its Improvement (JPV 소수 생성 알고리즘의 확률적 분석 및 성능 개선)

  • Park, Hee-Jin;Jo, Ho-Sung
    • Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.75-83
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    • 2008
  • Joye et al. introduced a new prime generation algorithm (JPV algorithm hereafter), by removing the trial division from the previous combined prime generation algorithm (combined algorithm hereafter) and claimed that JPV algorithm is $30{\sim}40%$ faster than the combined algorithm. However, they only compared the number of Fermat-test calls, instead of comparing the total running times of two algorithms. The reason why the total running times could not be compared is that there was no probabilistic analysis on the running time of the JPV algorithm even though there was a probabilistic analysis for the combined algorithm. In this paper, we present a probabilistic analysis on the running time of the JPV algorithm. With this analytic model, we compare the running times of the JPV algorithm and the combined algorithm. Our model predicts that JPV algorithm is slower than the combined algorithm when a 512-bit prime is generated on a Pentium 4 system. Although our prediction is contrary to the previous prediction from comparing Fermat-test calls, our prediction corresponds to the experimental results more exactly. In addition, we propose a method to improve the JPV algorithm. With this method, the JPV algorithm can be comparable to the combined algorithm with the same space requirement.

Long-term Creep Life Prediction Methods of Grade 91 Steel (Grade 91 강의 장시간 크리프 수명 예측 방법)

  • Park, Jay-Young;Kim, Woo-Gon;EKAPUTRA, I.M.W.;Kim, Seon-Jin;Jang, Jin-Sung
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.45-51
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    • 2015
  • Grade 91 steel is used for the major structural components of Generation-IV reactor systems such as a very high temperature reactor (VHTR) and sodium-cooled fast reactor (SFR). Since these structures are designed for up to 60 years at elevated temperatures, the prediction of long-term creep life is very important to determine an allowable design stress of elevated temperature structural component. In this study, a large body of creep rupture data was collected through world-wide literature surveys, and using these data, the long-term creep life was predicted in terms of three methods: Larson-Miller (L-M), Manson-Haferd (M-H) and Wilshire methods. The results for each method was compared using the standard deviation of error. The L-M method was overestimated in the longer time of a low stress. The Wilshire method was superior agreement in the long-term life prediction to the L-M and M-H methods.

PREDICTION OF DIAMETRAL CREEP FOR PRESSURE TUBES OF A PRESSURIZED HEAVY WATER REACTOR USING DATA BASED MODELING

  • Lee, Jae-Yong;Na, Man-Gyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.355-362
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    • 2012
  • The aim of this study was to develop a bundle position-wise linear model (BPLM) to predict Pressure Tube (PT) diametral creep employing the previously measured PT diameters and operating conditions. There are twelve bundles in a fuel channel, and for each bundle a linear model was developed by using the dependent variables, such as the fast neutron fluences and the bundle coolant temperatures. The training data set was selected using the subtractive clustering method. The data of 39 channels that consist of 80 percent of a total of 49 measured channels from Units 2, 3, and 4 of the Wolsung nuclear plant in Korea were used to develop the BPLM. The data from the remaining 10 channels were used to test the developed BPLM. The BPLM was optimized by the maximum likelihood estimation method. The developed BPLM to predict PT diametral creep was verified using the operating data gathered from Units 2, 3, and 4. Two error components for the BPLM, which are the epistemic error and the aleatory error, were generated. The diametral creep prediction and two error components will be used for the generation of the regional overpower trip setpoint at the corresponding effective full power days. The root mean square (RMS) errors were also generated and compared to those from the current prediction method. The RMS errors were found to be less than the previous errors.