• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.390-390
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• 2023

최근 기후변화로 인해 가뭄이 5 ~ 7년 주기로 발생하고 있으며 가뭄 강도가 심화되고 있고, 이러한 현상은 향후 10년 이상이 지속될 것으로 예측되고 있다. 이러한 가뭄으로 인해 2022년에는 각 지역에서 제한급수 및 운반급수 피해인구가 발생하였으며, 전국의 다목적댐 또는 용수전용댐에서는 가뭄 대응을 위해 용수를 감량하였다. 특히 2018년에는 농업용수 공급이 어려워 다수의 지역에서는 논이 마르고 밭이 시들어 농업피해가 발생하였다. 이에 따라 농업용 저수지에서는 가뭄 대응을 위해 저수지 운영곡선 및 연계운영 등과 같은 저수지 운영방안 수립이 필요한 실정이다. 하지만 다목적댐과는 달리 농업용 저수지에서는 수문 계측자료가 부족하기 때문에 저수지 운영방안 수립에 한계가 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 심각한 가뭄이 발생한 섬진강 유역의 농업용 저수지를 대상으로 딥러닝 모델 기반의 일단위 유입량 예측모형을 개발하였다. 저수지 유입량을 예측하기 위해서는 유역평균강우량 및 과거 유입량 등을 독립변수로 선정하였으며, 시계열 자료 분석을 위해 딥러닝 모델 중 GRU(Gated Recurrent Unit) 모델을 활용하였다. 향후에는 예측 유입량을 활용하여 농업용 저수지의 수요량을 고려한 저수지 운영방안 수립을 통해 가뭄에 대응할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• International conference on construction engineering and project management
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• 2022.06a
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• pp.814-822
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• 2022

The deployment of sensors for Structural Health Monitoring requires a complicated network arrangement, ground truthing, and calibration for validating sensor performance periodically. Any conventional sensor on a structural element is also subjected to static and dynamic vertical loadings in conjunction with other environmental factors, such as brightness, noise, temperature, and humidity. A structural model with strain gauges was built and tested to get realistic sensory information. This paper investigates different deep learning architectures and algorithms, including unsupervised, autoencoder, and supervised methods, to benchmark blind drift calibration methods using deep learning. It involves a fully connected neural network (FCNN), a long short-term memory (LSTM), and a gated recurrent unit (GRU) to address the blind drift calibration problem (i.e., performing calibrations of installed sensors when ground truth is not available). The results show that the supervised methods perform much better than unsupervised methods, such as an autoencoder, when ground truths are available. Furthermore, taking advantage of time-series information, the GRU model generates the most precise predictions to remove the drift overall.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2022.11a
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• pp.144-146
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• 2022

차량 환경에서 발생하는 계산 집약적인 태스크가 증가하면서 모바일 엣지 컴퓨팅(MEC, Mobile Edge Computing)의 필요성이 높아지고 있다. 하지만 지상에 존재하는 MEC 서버는 출퇴근 시간과 같이 태스크가 일시적으로 급증하는 상황에 유동적으로 대처할 수 없으며, 이러한 상황을 대비하기 위해 지상 MEC 서버를 추가로 설치하는 것은 자원의 낭비를 불러온다. 최근 이 문제를 해결하기 위해 UAV(Unmanned Aerial Vehicle)기반 MEC 서버를 추가로 사용해 엣지 서비스를 제공하는 연구가 진행되고 있다. 그러나 UAV MEC 서버는 지상 MEC 서버와 달리 한정적인 배터리 용량으로 인해 서버 간 로드밸런싱을 통해 에너지 사용량을 최소화 하는 것이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 UAV MEC 서버의 에너지 사용량을 고려한 마이그레이션 기법을 제안한다. 또한 GRU(Gated Recurrent Unit) 모델을 활용한 트래픽 예측을 바탕으로 한 마이그레이션을 통해 지연시간을 최소화할 수 있도록 한다. 제안 시스템의 성능을 평가하기 위해 MEC의 마이그레이션 시점을 결정하는 기준점와 차량의 밀도에 따라 실험을 진행하고, 서버의 로드 편차, UAV MEC 서버의 에너지 사용량 그리고 평균 지연 시간 측면에서 성능을 분석한다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.149-149
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• 2022

Accurate quantitative evaluation of baseflow contribution to streamflow is imperative to address seasonal drought vulnerability, flood occurrence and groundwater management concerns for efficient and sustainable water resources management in watersheds. Several baseflow separation algorithms using recursive filters, graphical method and tracer or chemical balance have been developed but resulting baseflow outputs always show wide variations, thereby making it hard to determine best separation technique. Therefore, the current global shift towards implementation of artificial intelligence (AI) in water resources is employed to compare the performance of deep learning models with conventional hydrograph separation techniques to quantify baseflow contribution to streamflow of Piney River watershed, Tennessee from 2001-2021. Streamflow values are obtained from the USGS station 03602500 and modeled to generate values of Baseflow Index (BI) using Web-based Hydrograph Analysis (WHAT) model. Annual and seasonal baseflow outputs from the traditional separation techniques are compared with results of Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) and simple Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) models. The GRU model gave optimal BFI values during the four seasons with average NSE = 0.98, KGE = 0.97, r = 0.89 and future baseflow volumes are predicted. AI offers easier and more accurate approach to groundwater management and surface runoff modeling to create effective water policy frameworks for disaster management.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• v.18 no.3
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• pp.528-550
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• 2024

Warehousing demand prediction is an essential part of the supply chain, providing a fundamental basis for product manufacturing, replenishment, warehouse planning, etc. Existing forecasting methods cannot produce accurate forecasts since warehouse demand is affected by external factors such as holidays and seasons. Some aspects, such as consumer psychology and producer reputation, are challenging to quantify. The data can fluctuate widely or do not show obvious trend cycles. We introduce a new model for warehouse demand prediction called MAGRU, which stands for Multi-layer Attention with GRU. In the model, firstly, we perform the embedding operation on the input sequence to quantify the external influences; after that, we implement an encoder using GRU and the attention mechanism. The hidden state of GRU captures essential time series. In the decoder, we use attention again to select the key hidden states among all-time slices as the data to be fed into the GRU network. Experimental results show that this model has higher accuracy than RNN, LSTM, GRU, Prophet, XGboost, and DARNN. Using mean absolute error (MAE) and symmetric mean absolute percentage error(SMAPE) to evaluate the experimental results, MAGRU's MAE, RMSE, and SMAPE decreased by 7.65%, 10.03%, and 8.87% over GRU-LSTM, the current best model for solving this type of problem.

• Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.145-152
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• 2024

Closed quotient (CQ) represents the time ratio for which the vocal folds remain in contact during voice production. Because analyzing CQ values serves as an important reference point in vocal training for professional singers, these values have been measured mechanically or electrically by either inverse filtering of airflows captured by a circumferentially vented mask or post-processing of electroglottography waveforms. In this study, we introduced a novel algorithm to predict the CQ values only from audio signals. This has eliminated the need for mechanical or electrical measurement techniques. Our algorithm is based on a gated recurrent unit (GRU)-type neural network. To enhance the efficiency, we pre-processed an audio signal using the pitch feature extraction algorithm. Then, GRU-type neural networks were employed to extract the features. This was followed by a dense layer for the final prediction. The Results section reports the mean square error between the predicted and real CQ. It shows the capability of the proposed algorithm to predict CQ values.

• Phonetics and Speech Sciences
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.57-64
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• 2019

In this paper, we construct a Korean text-to-speech system using the Merlin toolkit which is an open source system for speech synthesis. In the text-to-speech system, the HMM-based statistical parametric speech synthesis method is widely used, but it is known that the quality of synthesized speech is degraded due to limitations of the acoustic modeling scheme that includes context factors. In this paper, we propose an acoustic modeling architecture that uses deep neural network technique, which shows excellent performance in various fields. Fully connected deep feedforward neural network (DNN), recurrent neural network (RNN), gated recurrent unit (GRU), long short-term memory (LSTM), bidirectional LSTM (BLSTM) are included in the architecture. Experimental results have shown that the performance is improved by including sequence modeling in the architecture, and the architecture with LSTM or BLSTM shows the best performance. It has been also found that inclusion of delta and delta-delta components in the acoustic feature parameters is advantageous for performance improvement.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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• v.18 no.2
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• pp.94-107
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• 2022

Accidents prevention and mitigation is the highest priority of nuclear power plant (NPP) operation, particularly in the aftermath of the Fukushima Daiichi accident, which has reignited public anxieties and skepticism regarding nuclear energy usage. To deal with accident scenarios more effectively, operators must have ample and precise information about key safety parameters as well as their future trajectories. This work investigates the potential of machine learning in forecasting NPP response in real-time to provide an additional validation method and help reduce human error, especially in accident situations where operators are under a lot of stress. First, a base-case SGTR simulation is carried out by the best-estimate code RELAP5/MOD3.4 to confirm the validity of the model against results reported in the APR1400 Design Control Document (DCD). Then, uncertainty quantification is performed by coupling RELAP5/MOD3.4 and the statistical tool DAKOTA to generate a large enough dataset for the construction and training of neural-based machine learning (ML) models, namely LSTM, GRU, and hybrid CNN-LSTM. Finally, the accuracy and reliability of these models in forecasting system response are tested by their performance on fresh data. To facilitate and oversee the process of developing the ML models, a Systems Engineering (SE) methodology is used to ensure that the work is consistently in line with the originating mission statement and that the findings obtained at each subsequent phase are valid.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• v.37 no.3
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• pp.223-241
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• 2024

Evaluating the performance of Tunnel Boring Machines (TBMs) stands as a pivotal juncture in the domain of hard rock mechanized tunneling, essential for achieving both a dependable construction timeline and utilization rate. In this investigation, three advanced artificial neural networks namely, gated recurrent unit (GRU), back propagation neural network (BPNN), and simple recurrent neural network (SRNN) were crafted to prognosticate TBM-rate of penetration (ROP). Drawing from a dataset comprising 1125 data points amassed during the construction of the Alborze Service Tunnel, the study commenced. Initially, five geomechanical parameters were scrutinized for their impact on TBM-ROP efficiency. Subsequent statistical analyses narrowed down the effective parameters to three, including uniaxial compressive strength (UCS), peak slope index (PSI), and Brazilian tensile strength (BTS). Among the methodologies employed, GRU emerged as the most robust model, demonstrating exceptional predictive prowess for TBM-ROP with staggering accuracy metrics on the testing subset (R² = 0.87, NRMSE = 6.76E-04, MAD = 2.85E-05). The proposed models present viable solutions for analogous ground and TBM tunneling scenarios, particularly beneficial in routes predominantly composed of volcanic and sedimentary rock formations. Leveraging forecasted parameters holds the promise of enhancing both machine efficiency and construction safety within TBM tunneling endeavors.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.27 no.5
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• pp.574-583
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• 2021

Predicting shipping markets is an important issue. Such predictions form the basis for decisions on investment methods, fleet formation methods, freight rates, etc., which greatly affect the profits and survival of a company. To this end, in this study, we propose a shipping freight rate prediction model for container ships using gated recurrent units (GRUs) and long short-term memory structure. The target of our freight rate prediction is the China Container Freight Index (CCFI), and CCFI data from March 2003 to May 2020 were used for training. The CCFI after June 2020 was first predicted according to each model and then compared and analyzed with the actual CCFI. For the experimental model, a total of six models were designed according to the hyperparameter settings. Additionally, the ARIMA model was included in the experiment for performance comparison with the traditional analysis method. The optimal model was selected based on two evaluation methods. The first evaluation method selects the model with the smallest average value of the root mean square error (RMSE) obtained by repeating each model 10 times. The second method selects the model with the lowest RMSE in all experiments. The experimental results revealed not only the improved accuracy of the deep learning model compared to the traditional time series prediction model, ARIMA, but also the contribution in enhancing the risk management ability of freight fluctuations through deep learning models. On the contrary, in the event of sudden changes in freight owing to the effects of external factors such as the Covid-19 pandemic, the accuracy of the forecasting model reduced. The GRU1 model recorded the lowest RMSE (69.55, 49.35) in both evaluation methods, and it was selected as the optimal model.